cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Tucker McDonald /UConn

Tucker McDonald

QB · UConn · So · #12

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

45 PASS YDS · 0 PASS TD

IN PORTALIn transfer portal — destination TBD (from UConn)

In Portal · 2026

In transfer portal

2025UConn
DestinationTBD

QB · UCONN · FBS INDEPENDENTS

Tucker McDonald

  • 2
  • #12
  • 6-2 | 200 lb
  • Holden, MA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

40

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / att at the 100th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#629

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2024–2025
20.02024
45.02025

+125%

Up 125% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
UConn
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class2
Jersey12
Measurements6-2 | 200 lb
HometownHolden, MA
Primary teamUConn

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination -- 2026
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Withdrawn Jan 8, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 UConn -> -- Withdrawn

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#629Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#553Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Tucker McDonald

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Tucker McDonald

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 3g
45Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Per game
15Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
195Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT

To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 45): needs 295.5/game over remaining 10.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 45): needs 395.5/game over remaining 10.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 2.5/game over remaining 10.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 3/game over remaining 10.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 3.5/game over remaining 10.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Tucker McDonald's story is about how role and output meet each other. For UConn, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #629 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 2.2% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 45 0 TD | 0 INT | #311/382 (19th pct)
Completion rate 33.3% 1/3 completions | #368/383 (4th pct)
Yards/attempt 15.0 Explosiveness through the air | #9/382 (98th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Vertical threat | Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Vertical threatPocket-leaning

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
1 8th
ATT
3 15th
CMP%
33.3% 4th
Y/A
15.0 98th

Passing Production

YDS
45 19th
TD
0 30th
INT
0 100th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 3 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1W 59-13vs Central Connecticut1/2450022.587.1Season-high 45 yds
Wk 3L 41-44@ Delaware0/10000.01.3
Wk 13W 48-45@ Florida Atlantic
Total1/3450011.244.2
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024UConn9-4HC: Jim Mora · Run-leaning
2025UConn9-4HC: Jim Mora · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025UConn1333.3%4515.000159.3----
2024UConn3560.0%204.00093.6----
Career2 loaded seasons4850.0%658.100118.2----
SeasonTeam
2025UConn----------
2024UConn393.00--
Career2 loaded seasons393.00--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact -- -- rush TD
Usage 2.2% 3.9% pass share | 0.0% rush share | #392/428 (9th pct)
Passing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 45 #311/382 19th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 0 #285/407 30th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 1 #355/383 8th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 33.3% #368/383 4th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 15.0 #9/382 98th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 2.2% #392/428 9th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 3 #346/407 15th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 0 #1/407 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 3.9% #362/428 16th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 3.1% #362/428 16th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 3.0% #369/428 14th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 2.4% #380/428 11th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 0.0% #400/428 7th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 0.0% #394/428 8th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/428 9th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 3 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home1g45.00.022.50.0
Road2g0.00.00.00.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins2g22.50.022.50.0
Losses1g0.00.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-72g22.50.011.20.0
Weeks 8+1g

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

40Mid-pack
5 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / att (100th). Strength: interceptions (99th). Concern: completion % (0th).

Yards / att#1 / 183 · 100th pct
15.0pass
Interceptions#1 / 183 · 99th pct
0pass
Pass yards#184 / 183 · 0th pct
45pass
Pass TDs#184 / 183 · 0th pct
0pass
Completion %#184 / 183 · 0th pct
33.3%pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Tucker McDonaldUConnBryson BarnesUtah State· 48% simAvery JohnsonKansas State· 46% simJake RetzlaffTulane· 43% sim
Yards / att
100
McDonald
75
Barnes
46
Johnson
81
Retzlaff
Interceptions
99
McDonald
67
Barnes
56
Johnson
44
Retzlaff
Pass yards
0
McDonald
75
Barnes
61
Johnson
86
Retzlaff
Pass TDs
0
McDonald
72
Barnes
72
Johnson
60
Retzlaff
Completion %
0
McDonald
32
Barnes
33
Johnson
45
Retzlaff

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jim Mora

Pass share

53.5%

451 pass / 392 run

Plays / game

64.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.5%

314 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Jim Mora
UConn
2025
Jim Mora
UConn

Played his entire career under Jim Mora.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownHolden, MA
Height6'2"
Weight200 lb
Class2
PositionQB
Jersey12

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 UConn QB2 #629 #553 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | FBS Independents
2023 UConn QB2 #1958 #2206 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | FBS Independents

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 UConn FBS Independents QB 2 No. 12 | 6-2 | 200 lb | Holden, MA
2024 UConn FBS Independents QB 2 No. 12 | 6-2 | 200 lb | Holden, MA
2023 UConn FBS Independents QB 2 No. 12 | 6-2 | 200 lb | Holden, MA