Arkansas State

Home-field advantage · Arkansas State · 2018–present · FBS opponents

Arkansas State is worth +4.5 points more at home than on the road.

Middle of FBS, 59th percentile of 133 programs

51% at home, 31% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (20–19 home, 15–33 away). Interval ±4.2.

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Arkansas State has beaten the number by +3.3 more at home than away over 72 games — inside the ±6.9 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Centennial Bank Stadium seats 30,382 and has averaged 55% full (16,710, 25 games reported). Visitors cover a median 389 miles to get here since 2018 — 64th-shortest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. For the home side it is a home crowd more than a home town: only 6% of the 2026 roster (7 of 111 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 48 home games since 2018.