Next game: vs Central Michigan
Eastern Michigan’s best edge on Central Michigan is red zone
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
Eastern Michigan offense against Central Michigan defense
Central Michigan offense against Eastern Michigan defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pocket Passer · +0.04 EPA/play | 1 | 8 | 169 / 285 | 59.3 | 1678 #55 FBS | 5.9 | 11 #57 FBS | 4 | 118.7 | 27 | 47.6 | 5.6 | 2.7 | |
Yards by week → Pocket passerBalanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile. Starter — 285 pass attempts and 29 carries in 8 games, about as many passes and runs a game as a typical FBS quarterback who plays every week. This week's matchup — QB Kim operates within the system without forcing anything. Lowry is the one who extends plays on the move until something opens up. Season receipt Yards / attempt5.8 bottom 5th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Rush yards / carry-0.8 bottom 8th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Noah Kim's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| +0.09 EPA/play | 10 | 2 | 29 / 43 | 67.4 | 215 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 112.5 | 39 | 37.1 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · +0.11 EPA/play | 15 | 9 | 79 | 405 | 5.1 | 3 | 50 | 11.5 | 14.1 | |
Yards by week → Balanced backPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. 79 carries and 8 catches in 9 games. About as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Blue does a little of everything without one standout trait. Buckley is the one who just keeps getting the ball, series after series. Season receipt Yards / carry5.2 bottom 48th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / reception5.8 bottom 26th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Amareon Blue's full player page | ||||||||||
| Balanced Back · +0.19 EPA/play | 28 | 9 | 63 | 280 | 4.4 | 2 | 16 | 21.0 | 8.1 | |
Yards by week → Balanced backPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. 63 carries and 9 catches in 9 games. Fewer touches a game than most FBS running backs who play every week. This week's matchup — RB Bennett does a little of everything without one standout trait. Buckley is the one who just keeps getting the ball, series after series. Season receipt Yards / carry4.3 bottom 20th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / reception10.2 82th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Braydon Bennett's full player page | ||||||||||
| Satellite Back · -0.05 EPA/play | 24 | 9 | 60 | 265 | 4.4 | 1 | 25 | 11.9 | 10.2 | |
Yards by week → Satellite backDeployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles. 60 carries and 25 catches in 9 games. About as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Mattord wins in space out of the backfield. Buckley is the one who just keeps getting the ball, series after series. Season receipt Receiving share29.4% 100th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Rush TD rate1.7% bottom 14th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Joey Mattord's full player page | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Complete TE · +0.36 EPA/play | 9 | 9 | 42 | 383 | 9.1 | 2 | 30 | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. Impact starter — 42 catches in 9 games, more catches a game than nearly every FBS tight end who plays every week. This week's matchup — TE Long shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Levicki is the one who creates mismatches lined up all over the formation. Season receipt Yards / reception8.9 bottom 29th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Reception volume42 100th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Joshua Long's full player page | ||||||||
| Slot Technician · +0.28 EPA/play | 5 | 8 | 34 | 367 | 10.8 | 4 #70 FBS | 34 | |
Yards by week → Slot technicianRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. 34 catches and 2 carries in 8 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Mack wins underneath on volume and route precision. Jr. is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Reception volume34 77th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Plays like View Harold Mack's full player page | ||||||||
| Slot Technician · +0.11 EPA/play | 3 | 8 | 34 | 346 | 10.2 | 1 | 26 | |
Yards by week → Slot technicianRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. 34 catches and 2 carries in 8 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Prosper wins underneath on volume and route precision. Jr. is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Reception volume34 77th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Plays like View Ben Prosper's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.04 EPA/play | 2 | 5 | 19 | 171 | 9 | 2 | 31 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. This week's matchup — WR Devereaux moves the chains on third down. Jr. is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Yards / reception9.0 bottom 11th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.0 bottom 8th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Nick Devereaux's full player page | ||||||||
| +0.57 EPA/play | 85 | 5 | 7 | 105 | 15 | 2 | 40 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.52 EPA/play | 88 | 7 | 8 | 96 | 12 | 0 | 34 | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. The most common profile in its group this season — 126 of 166 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Tanner Lemaster's full player page | ||||||||
| -0.18 EPA/play | 11 | 4 | 7 | 52 | 7.4 | 0 | 15 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 54 | 9 | 27 | 10 | 7.5 #73 FBS | 5 #38 FBS | 7 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. Starter — 27 tackles in 9 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate27.8% 87th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Quincy Byas's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 88 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 2.5 | 3 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 21 tackles in 9 games. Fewer tackles a game than most FBS defensive linemen who play every week. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate19.0% 64th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Ronn Hardin's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 58 | 9 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate10.5% bottom 34th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Peyton Christian's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 33 | 9 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0.5 | 2 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 9 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2021 class View Carter Evans's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 98 | 7 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Nose anchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 130 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight310 lb 82th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Joseph Oluwayemi's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 90 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate0.0% bottom 9th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Hector Gonzalez's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 43 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 5 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate13.6% bottom 45th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Marvell Eggleston's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 5 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 2 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate9.1% bottom 30th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Makhi Gilbert's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 99 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0.5 | 1 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate9.1% bottom 30th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Warren-Stevens Tayou's full player page | |||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coverage 'Backer | 11 | 8 | 58 | 23 | 35 | 2.5 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Coverage ’backerCarries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage. 58 tackles in 8 games. More tackles a game than most FBS linebackers who play every week. 89 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate6.9% 88th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Zach Mowchan's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 51 | 7 | 44 | 19 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 44 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2026 class View Elgin McDuffey's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 40 | 7 | 33 | 11 | 22 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman · 2-star, 2023 class View Bryce Eliuk's full player page | |||||||||
| 3 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Box Safety | 6 | 9 | 53 | 3 | 0 | 2.5 | 0 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Starter — 53 tackles in 9 games, more tackles a game than most FBS defensive backs who play every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume53 96th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Bryce Llewellyn's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 4 | 9 | 41 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 41 tackles in 9 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate7.3% bottom 48th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Juan Salas's full player page | |||||||
| Box Safety | 25 | 9 | 36 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. 36 tackles in 9 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume36 65th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Rayquan Adkins's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 13 | 7 | 34 | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 34 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate5.9% bottom 40th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Jason Marshall's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 29 | 8 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 29 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate6.9% bottom 45th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Donmiel Rogers's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 10 | 8 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt View Tylan Boykin's full player pagePD rate8.3% 53th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 9 | 3 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 3 of 10 games this season · freshman View Davion Williams's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 17 | 8 | 15 | 7 #20 FBS | 2 #51 FBS | 0 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 116 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate46.7% 100th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Caleb Dobbs's full player page | |||||||
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 46 | 9 | 11/14 | 78.6 | 21/22 | 54 | 51 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 39 | 9 | 39 | 1747 | 44.8 | 62 | 12 | 2 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Possession Receiver · +0.04 EPA/play | 2 | 5 | 5 | 95 | 19 | 0 | 40 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1.05 EPA/play | 4 | 6 | 7 | 51 | 7.3 | 0 | 30 |
Biggest plays from Eastern Michigan’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Eastern Michigan’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q3, 0:53 · Eastern Michigan down 3, takes the leadEastern Michigan scores a touchdownSan José State at Eastern Michigan, week 1Q3, 0:53 · Eastern Michigan 21, San José State 171Fumble return touchdown1Fumble return touchdownFumble return touchdownL.Weaver sacked for loss of 11 yards to the SJSU01 (R.Hardin), fumble by L.Weaver recovered by EMU B.Llewellyn at SJSU01 B.Llewellyn return 1 yard to the SJSU00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q4, 11:19 · San José State down 4, takes the leadLuke Weaver finds Cooper Hoch for a 40-yard touchdownSan José State at Eastern Michigan, week 1Q4, 11:19 · San José State 24, Eastern Michigan 21▲28%San José State’s chance to win, 29% to 57%▲28%San José State’s chance to win, 29% to 57%L.Weaver pass complete deep middle to C.Hoch caught at EMU16, for 40 yards to the EMU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play- Q3, 6:08 · San José State down 4, takes the leadLuke Weaver finds Cooper Hoch for a 10-yard touchdownSan José State at Eastern Michigan, week 1Q3, 6:08 · San José State 17, Eastern Michigan 14▲24%San José State’s chance to win, 32% to 56%▲24%San José State’s chance to win, 32% to 56%L.Weaver pass complete short right to C.Hoch caught at EMU00, for 10 yards to the EMU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q2, 1:19 · San José State down 7, ties itLuke Weaver finds Jase Nix for a 27-yard touchdownSan José State at Eastern Michigan, week 1Q2, 1:19 · San José State 7, Eastern Michigan 7San José State tied the game in the second quarterSan José State tied the game in the second quarterL.Weaver pass complete deep left to J.Nix caught at EMU00, for 27 yards to the EMU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q2, 9:19 · Eastern Michigan tiedNoah Kim finds Harold Mack for a 5-yard touchdownSan José State at Eastern Michigan, week 1Q2, 9:19 · Eastern Michigan 7, San José State 0Eastern Michigan opened the scoringEastern Michigan opened the scoringN.Kim pass complete short left to H.Mack caught at SJSU00, for 5 yards to the SJSU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q1, 9:24 · Eastern Michigan tiedNoah Kim finds Nick Devereaux for an 18-yard touchdownEastern Michigan at Wisconsin, week 3Q1, 9:24 · Eastern Michigan 7, Wisconsin 0Eastern Michigan opened the scoringEastern Michigan opened the scoringN.Kim pass complete short left to N.Devereaux caught at WIS00, for 18 yards to the WIS00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this playBig Ten Football
How scary each game got
Eastern Michigan lost to San José State after being 86% to win; the closest win was at Akron, down to 23%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Eastern Michigan during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · Eastern Michigan
through 9 games
2026 stat leaders · Eastern MichiganZach Mowchan leads Eastern Michigan with 58 tackles through 9 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+21 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
Eastern Michigan fields a struggling pass-first offense behind a porous defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
Eastern Michigan reads strongest in rushing EPA allowed (top 27%) and red-zone defense (top 33%); the crux lives in field position (O), where Eastern Michigan sits at the 9th percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Eastern Michigan has had no measurable home edge: −0.1 points, home against road.
No measurable home edge, 1st percentile of 133 programs
49% at home, 43% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (20-21 home, 22-29 away). Interval ±3.4.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Eastern Michigan has beaten the number by 7.5 points less at home than away over 100 games. That is outside the ±5.3 that many games can resolve, so this is one of the few buildings where the results say something the flat number does not.
Rynearson Stadium seats 30,200 and has averaged 49% full (14,719, 29 games reported). Visitors get here easily: a median 218 miles trip since 2018, the 9th-shortest of 135 FBS venues. There is no travel penalty on visitors here either way. 24% of the 2026 roster (26 of 110 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 49 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- Money downJoshua Long isn't a money-down weapon: his 3rd-down conversion rate lags the position, and his per-target value drops further in that spot.
- Money downNick Devereaux is a legitimate money-down target: his 3rd-down conversion rate ranks among the position's best, and his per-target value holds up in that spot too.
- Deep threatHarold Mack is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
- Deep threatJamarien Wheeler is a real deep-ball threat: a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
- Deep threatJoshua Long is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
- Deep threatNick Devereaux is a real deep-ball threat: a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
Position battles
RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Amareon Blue and Braydon Bennett split the carries (78/140 vs 62/140) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Amareon Blue produces in bigger chunks.
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Ben Prosper (WR) and Joshua Long (TE) split the targets (56/107 vs 51/107) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Ben Prosper produces in bigger chunks.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Eastern Michigan actually scores
14th percentile quality, 80th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
Eastern Michigan’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 8th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 22nd — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Eastern Michigan hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
16th percentile success on standard downs, 30th on passing downs — little dropoff between the two — a schedule-independent identity.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
Eastern Michigan by half
1st-half offense ranks 22nd percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 25th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of Eastern Michigan’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.02; 21st percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.01. The widest gap came in week 7: 0.08 raw vs. 0.03 adjusted.
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Eastern Michigan’s passing game completes a completion rate below the FBS mean (66.6% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 292-play sample) — mid-pack, 54 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Eastern Michigan’s defense allows a completion rate above the FBS mean (67.7% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 224-play sample) — mid-pack, 100 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
The bounces haven't gone their way on their own fumbles: 14% recovered, vs. ~52% expected.
1 of 7 own fumbles recovered themselves; 7 of 11 forced fumbles recovered, 2026 only.
Takeaways
Deflections without payoff: 10% of disrupted passes intercepted, vs. ~18% league-wide.
4 interceptions of 40 disrupted passes (36 deflected, 4 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
The flags have favored them: 71 penalties drawn on opponents vs. 43 committed, 257 yards to the good.
369 penalty yards committed vs. 626 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Eastern Michigan
Most similar programs · Eastern MichiganReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Weather
Rynearson Stadium, Ypsilanti, MI
Usual during the game around Nov 24: 39°, between 29° and 50° in about 7 in 10 games (23 games since 2016).
Road games since 2016: the middle game was 64°, and 8 in 10 ran between 36° and 78° (56 of 59 road games, at stadiums we cover).
What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time
Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure
Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.