Next game: at UTEP
Hawai’i’s best edge on UTEP is staying on schedule
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
Hawai'i offense against UTEP defense
UTEP offense against Hawai'i defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pocket Passer · +0.06 EPA/play | 12 | 8 | 202 / 337 | 59.9 | 2186 #14 FBS | 6.5 | 9 | 6 | 119.7 | 32 | 47.1 | 5.5 | 5.6 | |
Yards by week → Pocket passerBalanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile. Impact starter — 337 pass attempts and 46 carries in 8 games, more passes and runs a game than nearly every FBS quarterback who plays every week. This week's matchup — QB Alejado operates within the system without forcing anything. Hayes is the one who extends plays on the move until something opens up. Season receipt Yards / attempt6.5 bottom 14th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Rush usage12.0% bottom 17th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Micah Alejado's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Satellite Back · +0.04 EPA/play | 1 | 8 | 82 | 385 | 4.7 | 6 #55 FBS | 33 | 17.1 | 13.4 | |
Yards by week → Satellite backDeployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles. Starter — 82 carries and 15 catches in 8 games, about as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Rice wins in space out of the backfield. Scott is the one who does a little of everything without one standout trait. Season receipt Receiving share15.5% 81th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Rush TD rate7.3% 83th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint View DeVon Rice's full player page | ||||||||||
| Satellite Back · -0.03 EPA/play | — | 6 | 45 | 150 | 3.3 | 1 | 13 | — | — | |
Yards by week → Satellite backDeployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles. 45 carries and 11 catches in 6 games. About as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Barfield wins in space out of the backfield. Scott is the one who does a little of everything without one standout trait. Season receipt Receiving share19.6% 95th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / carry3.4 bottom 5th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint View Cam Barfield's full player page | ||||||||||
| -0.04 EPA/play | 26 | 8 | 27 | 87 | 3.2 | 1 | 12 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.23 EPA/play | 6 | 8 | 35 | 399 | 11.4 | 0 | 32 | |
Yards by week → Slot technicianRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. 35 catches in 8 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Carvalho wins underneath on volume and route precision. Kiel is the one who wins the 50-50 ball at the goal line. Season receipt Reception volume35 79th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate0.0% bottom 10th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint View Kainoa Carvalho's full player page | ||||||||
| Deep Threat · +0.46 EPA/play | 11 | 7 | 16 | 312 | 19.5 | 1 | 58 | |
Yards by week → Deep threatStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. This week's matchup — WR Alves beats you over the top. Kiel is the one who wins the 50-50 ball at the goal line. Season receipt Yards / reception23.9 100th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Reception volume16 bottom 21th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Devin Alves's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.33 EPA/play | 2 | 7 | 16 | 308 | 19.2 | 1 | 55 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. The most common profile in its group this season — 279 of 467 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Audric Harris's full player page | ||||||||
| Slot Technician · +0.55 EPA/play | 8 | 8 | 32 | 281 | 8.8 | 1 | 22 | |
Yards by week → Slot technicianRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. Starter — 32 catches, 7 carries and 1 pass attempt in 8 games, about as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Uiliata wins underneath on volume and route precision. Kiel is the one who wins the 50-50 ball at the goal line. Season receipt Reception volume32 71th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Yards / reception9.0 bottom 10th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Tama Uiliata's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.42 EPA/play | 22 | 8 | 26 | 171 | 6.6 | 1 | 22 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 26 catches and 1 carry in 8 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Lacaden moves the chains on third down. Kiel is the one who wins the 50-50 ball at the goal line. Season receipt Yards / reception7.1 bottom 4th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate3.8% bottom 23th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Titan Lacaden's full player page | ||||||||
| +1.27 EPA/play | 83 | 6 | 8 | 155 | 19.4 | 1 | 47 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.01 EPA/play | 9 | 7 | 10 | 78 | 7.8 | 1 | 20 | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. This week's matchup — TE Tauaefa shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Kessel is the one who shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Season receipt Yards / reception7.8 bottom 19th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.0 bottom 9th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Devon Tauaefa's full player page | ||||||||
| +0.15 EPA/play | 18 | 7 | 7 | 72 | 10.3 | 0 | 24 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| -0.02 EPA/play | 3 | 5 | 6 | 71 | 11.8 | 0 | 32 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.93 EPA/play | 81 | 3 | 8 | 62 | 7.8 | 3 | 13 | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. This week's matchup — TE Abreu shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Kessel is the one who shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Season receipt Yards / reception7.7 bottom 18th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions TD rate37.5% 100th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Frank Abreu's full player page | ||||||||
| -0.41 EPA/play | 17 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 7.8 | 0 | 14 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two-Gap Base | 99 | 8 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 23 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Ozzy Pollard's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 95 | 8 | 22 | 12 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 22 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate6.8% bottom 23th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Geoffrey Speight's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 91 | 6 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate7.1% bottom 24th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Josh Sagapolutele's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 51 | 4 | 11 | 8 | 2.5 | 0 | 2 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate22.7% 75th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Lesterlaisene Lagafuaina's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 26 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate10.0% bottom 33th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Nazaiah Caravallo's full player page | |||||||
| 52 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 10 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| 88 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 20 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| 55 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | |
| 56 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 11 | 8 | 53 | 26 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Starter — 53 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume53 81th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate3.8% bottom 22th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint View Jamih Otis's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 12 | 8 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 4.5 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 45 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Wynden Ho'Ohuli's full player page | |||||||||
| 7 | 4 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 2.5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | |
| 31 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Box Safety | 2 | 7 | 46 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Starter — 46 tackles in 7 games, more tackles a game than nearly every FBS defensive back who plays every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume46 88th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Kona Moore's full player page | |||||||
| Box Safety | 4 | 8 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 2.5 | 1 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Starter — 38 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume38 71th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Elijah Palmer's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 25 | 6 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 32 tackles in 6 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 6 of 10 games this season · freshman · 2-star, 2021 class View Matagi Thompson's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 21 | 7 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate5.0% bottom 36th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Makana Meyer's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | — | 7 | 19 | 3 | 3 #16 FBS | 3 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate15.8% 85th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Jeremiah Hughes's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 5 | 6 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate6.2% bottom 42th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Jaylon Edmond's full player page | |||||||
| 13 | 6 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 98 | 8 | 12/16 | 75 | 14/16 | 50 | 44 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinner | 47 | 8 | 38 | 1655 | 43.6 | 65 | 16 | 1 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.15 EPA/play | 18 | 7 | 5 | 73 | 14.6 | 0 | 27 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.55 EPA/play | 8 | 8 | 11 | 49 | 4.5 | 0 | 10 |
Biggest plays from Hawai’i’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Hawai'i’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q4, 1:41 · Stanford down 4, takes the leadMicah Ford runs 2 yards for a touchdownHawai'i at Stanford, week 1Q4, 1:41 · Stanford 30, Hawai'i 271:41Go-ahead touchdown for Stanford with 1:41 left1:41Go-ahead touchdown for Stanford with 1:41 leftGo-ahead touchdown for Stanford with 1:41 leftM.Ford rush middle for 2 yards gain to the HAW00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q4, 4:06 · Hawai'i down 2, takes the leadMicah Alejado finds Devon Rice for a 29-yard touchdownHawai'i at Stanford, week 1Q4, 4:06 · Hawai'i 27, Stanford 234:06Go-ahead touchdown for Hawai'i with 4:06 left4:06Go-ahead touchdown for Hawai'i with 4:06 leftGo-ahead touchdown for Hawai'i with 4:06 leftM.Alejado pass complete short middle to D.Rice caught at STAN26, for 29 yards to the STAN00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick no good▶Watch from this play
Q4, 14:01 · Hawai'i up 3M. Alejado fumbles and New Mexico recoversNew Mexico at Hawai'i, week 7Q4, 14:01 · Hawai'i 10, New Mexico 77Hawai'i’s turnover led to a touchdown7Hawai'i’s turnover led to a touchdownHawai'i’s turnover led to a touchdownM.Alejado rush middle for 12 yards gain to the UNM00 fumbled by M.Alejado at UNM01 forced by D.Speech recovered by UNM M.Swaim at UNM00, Touchback▶Watch from this play
Q4, 6:57 · New Mexico down 3, takes the leadNew Mexico scores a touchdownNew Mexico at Hawai'i, week 7Q4, 6:57 · New Mexico 14, Hawai'i 10Go-ahead touchdown for New Mexico in the fourth quarterGo-ahead touchdown for New Mexico in the fourth quarterT.Fa'avae rush middle for 21 yards gain to the Hawaii00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q2, 10:18 · Hawai'i down 7, ties itDevon Rice runs 3 yards for a touchdownHawai'i at Stanford, week 1Q2, 10:18 · Hawai'i 7, Stanford 7Hawai'i tied the game in the second quarterHawai'i tied the game in the second quarterD.Rice rush right for 3 yards gain to the STAN00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q2, 7:02 · Stanford breaks the tieDavis Warren finds Atticus Joseph for a 6-yard touchdownHawai'i at Stanford, week 1Q2, 7:02 · Stanford 14, Hawai'i 7Stanford took the lead in the second quarterStanford took the lead in the second quarterAtticus Joseph 6 yd pass from Davis Warren (Emmet Kenney Kick)▶Watch from this play
How scary each game got
Hawai’i lost to New Mexico after being 83% to win; the closest win was at Northern Illinois, down to 37%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Hawai'i during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · Hawai'i
through 8 gamesMicah Alejado leads Hawai'i with 2,186 passing yards through 8 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+17 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
Hawai'i fields a struggling pass-first, methodical, ball-control offense behind a porous, bend-don't-break defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
Hawai'i reads strongest in explosive plays allowed (top 33%) and success rate (top 64%); the crux lives in red-zone defense, where Hawai'i sits at the 6th percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Hawai’i is worth +5.4 points more at home than on the road.
Top third of FBS, 71st percentile of 133 programs
58% at home, 29% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (29-21 home, 14-35 away). Interval ±3.7.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Hawai'i has beaten the number by +3.8 more at home than away over 106 games. That is inside the ±6.4 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex seats 15,194 and has averaged 80% full (12,101, 33 games reported). Visitors face the 1st-longest trip of 135 FBS venues: a median 2,968 miles since 2018. Some of what the band above measures is the map, not the crowd. For the home side it is genuinely home ground: 50% of the 2026 roster (49 of 98 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 58 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- Money downJackson Harris is a legitimate money-down target: his 3rd-down conversion rate ranks among the position's best, and his per-target value holds up in that spot too.
- Money downPofele Ashlock is a legitimate money-down target: his 3rd-down conversion rate ranks among the position's best, and his per-target value holds up in that spot too.
- Deep threatJackson Harris is a real deep-ball threat: a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
Position battles
RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
DeVon Rice and Cam Barfield split the carries (82/126 vs 44/126) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Kainoa Carvalho (WR) and Devon Tauaefa (TE) split the targets (53/68 vs 15/68) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Hawai’i actually scores
12th percentile quality, 88th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
Hawai’i’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 13th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it drops to the 11th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Hawai’i hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
48th percentile success on standard downs, 29th on passing downs — a 19-point gap between the two.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
Hawai’i by half
1st-half offense ranks 32nd percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 15th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of Hawai’i’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.06; 32nd percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.02. The widest gap came in week 3: 0.04 raw vs. -0.01 adjusted.
Tendency drift
How Hawai’i’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Hawai'i’s passing game completes a completion rate below the FBS mean (63.3% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 308-play sample) — mid-pack, 18 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Hawai'i’s defense allows a completion rate below the FBS mean (66.1% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 179-play sample) — mid-pack, 63 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
40% recovery rate on their own fumbles — below the ~52% league baseline.
2 of 5 own fumbles recovered themselves; 5 of 9 forced fumbles recovered, 2026 only.
Takeaways
22% of tipped/broken-up passes have turned into picks — about the ~18% league average.
6 interceptions of 27 disrupted passes (21 deflected, 6 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
57 penalties committed, 57 drawn on opponents — netting a 66-yard field-position edge.
460 penalty yards committed vs. 526 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Hawai'i
Reads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.