Next game: at Purdue
Purdue’s best edge on Maryland is red zone
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
Maryland offense against Purdue defense
Purdue offense against Maryland defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pocket Passer · +0.07 EPA/play | 7 | 8 | 174 / 289 | 60.2 | 1805 #42 FBS | 6.2 | 9 | 7 | 118.1 | 42 | 49.9 | 5.4 | 2.7 | |
Yards by week → Pocket passerBalanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile. Impact starter — 289 pass attempts and 45 carries in 8 games, more passes and runs a game than most FBS quarterbacks who play every week. This week's matchup — QB Washington operates within the system without forcing anything. Joseph is the one who extends plays on the move until something opens up. Season receipt Yards / attempt6.5 bottom 13th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Rush usage13.5% bottom 21th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Malik Washington's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · +0.06 EPA/play | — | 6 | 57 | 338 | 5.9 | 4 | 94 | 21.4 | 12.5 | |
Yards by week → Balanced backPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. 57 carries and 10 catches in 6 games. About as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 134 of 278 classified this way. Played in 6 of 10 games this season · freshman View DeJuan Williams's full player page | ||||||||||
| Balanced Back · +0.00 EPA/play | 24 | 8 | 64 | 245 | 3.8 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 14.1 | |
Yards by week → Balanced backPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. 64 carries and 9 catches in 8 games. About as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Howard does a little of everything without one standout trait. III is the one who does a little of everything without one standout trait. Season receipt Yards / carry3.6 bottom 7th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / reception5.3 bottom 21th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Iverson Howard's full player page | ||||||||||
| -0.44 EPA/play | 25 | 3 | 30 | 113 | 3.8 | 3 | 14 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.63 EPA/play | 13 | 8 | 58 | 638 #32 FBS | 11 | 4 #70 FBS | 65 | |
Yards by week → Slot technician· Boom-or-bustRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. Impact starter — 58 catches and 2 carries in 8 games, more catches a game than nearly every FBS receiver who plays every week. The rare part: the passing game runs through him — and every touch moves the offense, too This week's matchup — WR Jr. wins underneath on volume and route precision. Jr. is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Reception volume58 100th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Total EPA (college ability)50.2 99th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions — the part the label misses Trait fingerprint Plays like View Chris Durr Jr.'s full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.28 EPA/play | 2 | 8 | 24 | 319 | 13.3 | 0 | 44 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 24 catches in 8 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Webb moves the chains on third down. Jr. is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Yards / reception15.4 70th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate0.0% bottom 10th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Kaleb Webb's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver | 1 | 7 | 22 | 279 | 12.7 | 2 | 60 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiver· Boom-or-bustReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine 22 catches and 2 carries in 7 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 279 of 467 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding's full player page | ||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.22 EPA/play | 9 | 8 | 23 | 213 | 9.3 | 2 | 29 | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. Starter — 23 catches in 8 games, about as many catches a game as a typical FBS tight end who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 126 of 166 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Dorian Fleming's full player page | ||||||||
| +0.14 EPA/play | 17 | 7 | 10 | 111 | 11.1 | 0 | 31 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| -0.42 EPA/play | 8 | 5 | 6 | 70 | 11.7 | 0 | 25 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| -0.60 EPA/play | 11 | 5 | 7 | 58 | 8.3 | 0 | 20 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nose Anchor | 98 | 7 | 28 | 16 | 2.5 | 2 | 0 |
Nose anchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. Starter — 28 tackles in 7 games, more tackles a game than most FBS defensive linemen who play every week. 130 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight337 lb 97th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Eyan Thomas's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 88 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 2.5 | 2 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate20.8% 69th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Derrick LeBlanc's full player page | |||||||
| 97 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0 | |
| 95 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 44 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| 99 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | |
| 57 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 1 | 8 | 49 | 21 | 28 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 49 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume49 74th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles PD rate0.0% bottom 21th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Daniel Wingate's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 32 | 8 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 47 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2025 class View Carlton Smith's full player page | |||||||||
| Thumper | 11 | 7 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
ThumperDownhill striker who fills the run lane and blitzes off the edge. Starter — 33 tackles in 7 games, more tackles a game than nearly every FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 62 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate12.1% 69th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles PD rate0.0% bottom 21th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Sidney Stewart's full player page | |||||||||
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Sideline-to-sidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. 83 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.6 89th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate1.6% bottom 14th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Trey Reddick's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 40 | 7 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Starter — 25 tackles in 7 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume25 bottom 24th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles PD rate0.0% bottom 21th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Nahsir Taylor's full player page | |||||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | — | 7 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate38.5% 98th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Zion Elee's full player page | |||||||||
| 35 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 56 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | |
| 27 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hybrid Nickel | 2 | 7 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 33 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate3.0% bottom 27th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Lavain Scruggs's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 33 | 8 | 27 | 2 | 3 #16 FBS | 2 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 27 tackles in 8 games. Fewer tackles a game than most FBS defensive backs who play every week. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate7.4% bottom 48th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Messiah Delhomme's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 4 | 7 | 24 | 7 #20 FBS | 2 #51 FBS | 3 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate29.2% 100th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Jamare Glasker's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 24 | 7 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 116 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate13.6% 78th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Amari Jackson's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 6 | 6 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 116 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate12.5% 73th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Jordan Scruggs's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 12 | 6 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate6.7% bottom 44th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Jayden Shipps's full player page | |||||||
| 21 | 6 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 14 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | |
| 25 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | |
| 16 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 36 | 8 | 9/11 | 81.8 | 23/23 | 50 | 46 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 34 | 8 | 35 | 1451 | 41.5 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Possession Receiver | 1 | 7 | 4 | 48 | 12 | 0 | 34 |
| -0.41 EPA/play | 10 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 8.3 | 0 | 24 |
Biggest plays from Maryland’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Maryland’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q2, 2:41 · Nebraska down 9Dwayne McDougle takes an interception 81 yards for a pick-sixMaryland at Nebraska, week 5Q2, 2:41 · Nebraska 21, Maryland 2381Pick-six81Pick-sixPick-sixM.Washington pass intercepted by D.McDougle III at NEB19 D.McDougle III return 81 yards to the UMD00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this playBig Ten Football
Q2, 9:53 · UCLA up 7Anthony Woods runs 1 yard for a touchdownUCLA at Maryland, week 4Q2, 9:53 · UCLA 14, Maryland 0▼20%UCLA’s chance to win, 80% to 60%▼20%UCLA’s chance to win, 80% to 60%A.Woods rush right for 1 yard gain to the UMD00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q2, 13:31 · UCLA tiedUCLA scores a touchdownUCLA at Maryland, week 4Q2, 13:31 · UCLA 7, Maryland 0UCLA opened the scoringUCLA opened the scoringW.Knight rush middle for 45 yards gain to the UMD00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, penalty UCLA UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (J.Phifer) 15 yards from UMD00 to UMD03, kick good▶Watch from this play- Q1, 3:24 · Maryland down 7, ties itMaryland scores a touchdownMaryland at UConn, week 2Q1, 3:24 · Maryland 7, UConn 76060-yard touchdown pass6060-yard touchdown pass60-yard touchdown passM.Washington pass complete short right to N.Abdul-Rahim Gladding caught at UC45, for 60 yards to the UC00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
CBS Sports College Football - Q1, 13:11 · Illinois tiedMessiah Delhomme intercepts Katin Houser and returns it 43 yardsIllinois at Maryland, week 9Q1, 13:11 · Illinois 0, Maryland 0▼18%Illinois’s chance to win, 56% to 38%▼18%Illinois’s chance to win, 56% to 38%K.Houser pass intercepted by M.Delhomme at UMD45 M.Delhomme return 43 yards to the ILL12 (K.Feagin)▶Watch from this play
- Q1, 10:20 · UCLA tiedN. Fox-Flores fumbles and Maryland recoversUCLA at Maryland, week 4Q1, 10:20 · UCLA 0, Maryland 0▼18%UCLA’s chance to win, 59% to 41%▼18%UCLA’s chance to win, 59% to 41%N.Iamaleava pass complete short left to N.Fox-Flores caught at UMD30, for 9 yards to the UMD28 fumbled by N.Fox-Flores at UMD30 forced by D.Wingate recovered by UMD L.Scruggs at UMD28, End Of Play▶Watch from this play
How scary each game got
Maryland lost to Rutgers after being 87% to win; the closest win was at UConn, down to 18%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Maryland during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · Maryland
through 8 games
2026 stat leaders · MarylandChris Durr Jr. leads Maryland with 638 receiving yards through 8 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+17 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
Maryland fields a struggling pass-first offense behind a porous defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
Maryland reads strongest in field position (O) (top 21%) and rushing EPA (top 40%); the crux lives in passing EPA, where Maryland sits at the 9th percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Maryland is worth +2.9 points more at home than on the road.
Bottom third of FBS, 28th percentile of 133 programs
42% at home, 32% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (20-28 home, 13-28 away). Interval ±5.1.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Maryland has beaten the number by −0.7 more at home than away over 95 games. That is inside the ±7.5 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
SECU Stadium seats 51,802 and has averaged 73% full (37,564, 33 games reported). Visitors cover a median 422 miles to get here since 2018 — 67th-shortest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. For the home side it is genuinely home ground: 54% of the 2026 roster (54 of 100 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 54 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- UnderdogOctavian Smith Jr. produces at a notably lower rate when his team is an underdog than when favored: he fades when the pressure is on, and his per-target value drops too.
- UnderdogShaleak Knotts produces at a notably lower rate when his team is an underdog than when favored: he fades when the pressure is on, and his per-target value drops too.
- Garbage timeDeJuan Williams does not see a usage spike in garbage time: his workload holds steady regardless of score.
- Deep threatDorian Fleming is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
- Deep threatJalil Farooq is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
- Deep threatKaleb Webb is a real deep-ball threat: a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
- Deep threatShaleak Knotts is a real deep-ball threat: a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
Position battles
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Chris Durr Jr. (WR) and Dorian Fleming (TE) split the targets (77/110 vs 33/110) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Maryland actually scores
17th percentile quality, 85th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
Maryland’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 37th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 86th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Maryland hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
34th percentile success on standard downs, 26th on passing downs — little dropoff between the two — a schedule-independent identity.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
Maryland by half
1st-half offense ranks 39th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 55th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of Maryland’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.04; 9th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's -0.01. The widest gap came in week 2: 0.50 raw vs. 0.04 adjusted.
Tendency drift
How Maryland’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Maryland’s passing game completes a completion rate below the FBS mean (65.4% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 268-play sample) — mid-pack, 41 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Maryland’s defense allows a completion rate above the FBS mean (68.5% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 172-play sample) — mid-pack, 120 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
Recovering 50% of the fumbles they've forced — in line with the ~48% league rate.
4 of 8 forced fumbles recovered, 2026 only.
Takeaways
Converting 17% of pass disruptions into takeaways — right in line with the ~18% league rate.
4 interceptions of 24 disrupted passes (20 deflected, 4 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
Winning the penalty battle: 49 penalties committed vs. 65 drawn on opponents, a 69-yard edge.
450 penalty yards committed vs. 519 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Maryland
Most similar programs · MarylandReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Weather
SECU Stadium, College Park, MD
Usual during the game around Nov 14: 50°, between 41° and 59° in about 7 in 10 games (27 games since 2016).
Road games since 2016: the middle game was 55°, and 8 in 10 ran between 36° and 74° (50 road games).
What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time
Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure
Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.