Next game: vs Miami
Miami’s best edge on Notre Dame is red zone
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
Notre Dame offense against Miami defense
Miami offense against Notre Dame defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pocket Passer · +0.43 EPA/play | 13 | 8 | 148 / 222 | 66.7 | 1849 #36 FBS | 8.3 | 18 #14 FBS | 1 | 162.5 | 72 | 84.2 | 9.6 | 0.9 | |
Yards by week → Pocket passerBalanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile. In the Heisman race — our Heisman model ranks this player #3 right now. This week's matchup — QB Carr operates within the system without forcing anything. McKenzie is the one who extends plays on the move until something opens up. Season receipt Yards / attempt8.5 74th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts INT rate0.5% 93th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View CJ Carr's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| +1.34 EPA/play | 10 | 4 | 15 / 23 | 65.2 | 176 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 143.8 | — | 48.1 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · +0.35 EPA/play | 2 | 8 | 90 | 519 #71 FBS | 5.8 | 8 #26 FBS | 52 | 8.9 | 11.1 | |
Yards by week → Balanced backPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. In the Heisman race — our Heisman model ranks this player #23 right now. This week's matchup — RB Jr. does a little of everything without one standout trait. III is the one who does a little of everything without one standout trait. Season receipt Yards / carry5.9 71th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Rush TD rate8.9% 94th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Nolan James Jr.'s full player page | ||||||||||
| Speed Merchant · +0.28 EPA/play | 20 | 7 | 69 | 477 | 6.9 | 4 | 97 | 13.0 | 13.0 | |
Yards by week → Speed merchant· Boom-or-bustCuts upfield fast. Designed to find the crease, not run through the line. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine 69 carries and 5 catches in 7 games. About as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Walton hits the crease and outruns the angle. III is the one who does a little of everything without one standout trait. Season receipt Yards / carry7.1 95th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / reception14.0 99th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jonaz Walton's full player page | ||||||||||
| Balanced Back · +0.26 EPA/play | 22 | 8 | 72 | 331 | 4.6 | 4 | 28 | 12.5 | 11.1 | |
Yards by week → Balanced backPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. Starter — 72 carries and 10 catches in 8 games, about as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Williams does a little of everything without one standout trait. III is the one who does a little of everything without one standout trait. Season receipt Yards / carry4.3 bottom 18th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / reception12.1 95th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Aneyas Williams's full player page | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.54 EPA/play | 6 | 8 | 38 | 497 #74 FBS | 13.1 | 4 #70 FBS | 39 | |
Yards by week → Slot technicianRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. 38 catches in 8 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Faison wins underneath on volume and route precision. Jr. is the one who wins the 50-50 ball at the goal line. Season receipt Reception volume38 86th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Plays like View Jordan Faison's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.93 EPA/play | 14 | 8 | 24 | 430 | 17.9 | 3 | 61 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 24 catches in 8 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Gilbert moves the chains on third down. Jr. is the one who wins the 50-50 ball at the goal line. Season receipt Yards / reception16.1 77th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.9 92th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Micah Gilbert's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.68 EPA/play | 1 | 7 | 22 | 289 | 13.1 | 2 | 38 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. This week's matchup — WR Greathouse moves the chains on third down. Jr. is the one who wins the 50-50 ball at the goal line. Season receipt Yards / reception14.0 55th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.7 73th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jaden Greathouse's full player page | ||||||||
| +0.47 EPA/play | 8 | 4 | 10 | 170 | 17 | 1 | 56 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.23 EPA/play | 85 | 3 | 7 | 65 | 9.3 | 0 | 21 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| -0.64 EPA/play | 87 | 4 | 6 | 48 | 8 | 2 | 27 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| -0.08 EPA/play | 3 | 3 | 5 | 37 | 7.4 | 0 | 20 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.11 EPA/play | 88 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 4.4 | 1 | 9 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 5 | 8 | 24 | 18 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 8 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. Starter — 24 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate22.9% 76th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Boubacar Traore's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 95 | 8 | 23 | 15 | 5.5 | 3 | 1 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 23 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate23.9% 78th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Bryce Young's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 7 | 7 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate18.8% 63th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Francis Brewu's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 88 | 8 | 15 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2023 class View Armel Mukam's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | — | 7 | 13 | 6 | 1.5 | 1 | 0 |
Nose anchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 130 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight320 lb 90th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Tionne Gray's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 44 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 2.5 | 1 | 1 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt View Rodney Dunham's full player pageTFL rate20.8% 69th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 10 | 7 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate16.7% 55th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Loghan Thomas's full player page | |||||||
| 11 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 34 | 8 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 45 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 4-star, 2023 class View Drayk Bowen's full player page | |||||||||
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 3 | 8 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sideline-to-sidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. 34 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. 83 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.6 84th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate0.0% bottom 9th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jaylen Sneed's full player page | |||||||||
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 4 | 8 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sideline-to-sidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. 83 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.6 80th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles PD rate0.0% bottom 21th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jaiden Ausberry's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 27 | 5 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume15 bottom 10th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles PD rate0.0% bottom 21th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa's full player page | |||||||||
| 19 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Box Safety | 28 | 7 | 37 | 1 | 2 #51 FBS | 4.5 | 1 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. 37 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume37 68th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Luke Talich's full player page | |||||||
| Box Safety | 8 | 8 | 33 | 1 | 1 | 2.5 | 0 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. 33 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume33 55th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Adon Shuler's full player page | |||||||
| Ball Hawk | 15 | 5 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Ball hawkReads the quarterback's eyes and takes the ball away. 36 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate38.5% 99th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Leonard Moore's full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 29 | 8 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Cover cornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. The most common profile in its group this season — 138 of 244 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 4-star, 2023 class View Christian Gray's full player page | |||||||
| Ball Hawk | 12 | 6 | 11 | 6 #43 FBS | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Ball hawkReads the quarterback's eyes and takes the ball away. 36 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate54.5% 100th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Jayden Sanders's full player page | |||||||
| 20 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | |
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| 22 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 35 | 8 | 10/11 | 90.9 | 36/37 | 66 | 52 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 8 | 15 | 681 | 45.4 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · +0.26 EPA/play | 22 | 8 | 5 | 86 | 17.2 | 0 | 29 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.54 EPA/play | 6 | 8 | 10 | 137 | 13.7 | 0 | 37 |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0.3 | 0 | 6 |
Biggest plays from Notre Dame’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Notre Dame’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q4, 1:47 · BYU down 3, takes the leadBear Bachmeier finds Walker Lyons for a 6-yard touchdownNotre Dame at BYU, week 7Q4, 1:47 · BYU 28, Notre Dame 241:47Go-ahead touchdown for BYU with 1:47 left1:47Go-ahead touchdown for BYU with 1:47 leftGo-ahead touchdown for BYU with 1:47 leftB.Bachmeier pass complete short middle to W.Lyons caught at ND00, for 6 yards to the ND00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q4, 9:31 · Notre Dame down 5, takes the leadJonaz Walton runs 3 yards for a touchdownNotre Dame at BYU, week 7Q4, 9:31 · Notre Dame 24, BYU 21Go-ahead touchdown for Notre Dame in the fourth quarterGo-ahead touchdown for Notre Dame in the fourth quarterJ.Walton rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BYU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN J.Walton rush attempt Successful▶Watch from this play- Q2, 0:55 · Notre Dame down 6, takes the leadNolan James Jr. runs 52 yards for a touchdownNotre Dame at Navy, week 9Q2, 0:55 · Notre Dame 14, Navy 135252-yard touchdown run5252-yard touchdown run52-yard touchdown runN.James Jr. rush middle for 52 yards gain to the Navy00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q2, 10:37 · Notre Dame down 4, takes the leadNolan James Jr. runs 8 yards for a touchdownNotre Dame at BYU, week 7Q2, 10:37 · Notre Dame 10, BYU 7Notre Dame took the lead in the second quarterNotre Dame took the lead in the second quarterN.James Jr. rush middle for 8 yards gain to the BYU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q2, 5:52 · BYU down 3, takes the leadKyler Kasper finds Bear Bachmeier for a 15-yard touchdownNotre Dame at BYU, week 7Q2, 5:52 · BYU 14, Notre Dame 100Kyler Kasper, with no passes this season before the game, throws the go-ahead touchdown pass0Kyler Kasper, with no passes this season before the game, throws the go-ahead touchdown passKyler Kasper, with no passes this season before the game, throws the go-ahead touchdown passK.Kasper pass complete short right to B.Bachmeier caught at ND21, for 15 yards to the ND00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q2, 1:52 · Navy down 1, takes the leadJackson Gutierrez runs 2 yards for a touchdownNotre Dame at Navy, week 9Q2, 1:52 · Navy 13, Notre Dame 7Navy took the lead in the second quarterNavy took the lead in the second quarterJ.Gutierrez rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NotreD00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
How scary each game got
Notre Dame lost at BYU after being 70% to win; the closest win was at North Carolina, down to 18%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Notre Dame during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · Notre Dame
through 8 games
2026 stat leaders · Notre DameC.J. Carr leads Notre Dame with 1,849 passing yards through 8 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+16 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
Notre Dame fields an elite methodical, ball-control offense behind an elite defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
Notre Dame reads strongest in EPA / play (top 2%) and success rate (top 2%); the crux lives in explosive plays, where Notre Dame sits at the 24th percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Notre Dame is worth +3.7 points more at home than on the road.
Middle of FBS, 42nd percentile of 133 programs
89% at home, 78% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (48-6 home, 29-8 away). Interval ±3.8.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Notre Dame has beaten the number by −2.1 more at home than away over 92 games. That is inside the ±6.5 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Notre Dame Stadium seats 80,795 and has averaged 96% full (77,326, 29 games reported). Visitors cover a median 523 miles to get here since 2018 — 41st-longest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. 14% of the 2026 roster (15 of 106 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 55 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- Garbage timeJadarian Price does not see a usage spike in garbage time: his workload holds steady regardless of score, and he's also efficient in competitive snaps, the production isn't just garbage-time padding.
- Garbage timeJeremiyah Love does not see a usage spike in garbage time: his workload holds steady regardless of score, and he's also efficient in competitive snaps, the production isn't just garbage-time padding.
- Money downMalachi Fields is a legitimate money-down target: his 3rd-down conversion rate ranks among the position's best, and his per-target value holds up in that spot too.
- Deep threatMalachi Fields is a real deep-ball threat: a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
Position battles
RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Nolan James Jr. and Aneyas Williams split the carries (89/161 vs 72/161) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Jordan Faison (WR) and Jack Larsen (TE) split the targets (53/65 vs 12/65) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Jack Larsen produces in bigger chunks.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Notre Dame actually scores
97th percentile quality, 5th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
Notre Dame’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 95th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 99th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Notre Dame hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
100th percentile success on standard downs, 43rd on passing downs — a 57-point gap between the two.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
Notre Dame by half
1st-half offense ranks 95th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 99th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of Notre Dame’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.36; 98th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.13. The widest gap came in week 3: 0.39 raw vs. 0.06 adjusted.
Tendency drift
How Notre Dame’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Notre Dame’s passing game completes a completion rate above the FBS mean (69.8% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 198-play sample) — mid-pack, 115 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Notre Dame’s defense allows a completion rate below the FBS mean (65.6% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 176-play sample) — mid-pack, 52 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
73% recovery rate on the fumbles they've forced — well above the ~48% league baseline.
8 of 11 forced fumbles recovered, 2026 only.
Takeaways
24% of tipped/broken-up passes have turned into picks — running hot vs. the ~18% league average.
8 interceptions of 34 disrupted passes (26 deflected, 8 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
24 penalties committed, 39 drawn on opponents — netting a 121-yard field-position edge.
231 penalty yards committed vs. 352 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Notre Dame
Most similar programs · Notre DameReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Weather
Notre Dame Stadium, Notre Dame, IN
Usual during the game around Nov 7: 45°, between 34° and 55° in about 7 in 10 games (35 games since 2016).
Road games since 2016: the middle game was 64°, and 8 in 10 ran between 47° and 79° (41 of 42 road games, at stadiums we cover).
What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time
Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure
Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.