South Florida
2-0American Athletic · Brian Hartline, year 1 (2-0) · Raymond James Stadium · 65,828 · 41,847 avg in 2026
LastW 28–24 at Army · Sat Sep 12 · Michael Van Buren Jr. 239 pass yds, 2 TD, 45 rush yds
Nextvs Delaware State · Sat Sep 19 · 7 pm ET · Raymond James Stadium · Game preview
Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2
All 73 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +5.57 EPA/play | 3 | 2 | 30 / 48 | 62.5 | 339 | 7.1 | 2 | 0 | 135.6 | — | 82.3 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0.04 EPA/play | 2 | 2 | 26 | 99 | 3.8 | 0 | 12 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||
| +0.12 EPA/play | 5 | 2 | 20 | 81 | 4.0 | 1 | 13 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.50 EPA/play | 4 | 2 | 10 | 100 | 10 | 0 | 17 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.73 EPA/play | 1 | 2 | 9 | 89 | 9.9 | 1 | 21 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0 | |
| 28 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 25 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 33 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hybrid Nickel | 5 | 2 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 22 of 46 classified this way. Played in 2 of 3 games this season · senior View Ayden Jackson's full player page | |||||||
| 2 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 1 #22 FBS | 0 | 0 | |
| 31 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | |
| 15 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 #22 FBS | 1 | 0 | |
| 23 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 16 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 2 | 4/4 | 100 | 5/5 | 17 | 53 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 2 | 8 | 357 | 44.6 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
2026 stat leaders · South Florida
through 2 games
2026 stat leaders · South FloridaAyden Jackson leads South Florida with 16 tackles through 2 games.
How They Play · 2025South Florida fields an elite offense behind a strong, gives up the big play defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
South Florida reads strongest in passing epa (top 6%) and epa / play (top 10%); the crux lives in explosive plays allowed, where South Florida sits at the 17th percentile.
offense · strengths lead
defense · higher bar = harder to play against
hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · South Florida · 2018–present · FBS opponents
South Florida is worth +2.1 points more at home than on the road.
Bottom third of FBS, 19th percentile of 133 programs
41% at home, 28% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (16–23 home, 13–33 away). Interval ±4.9.
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, South Florida has beaten the number by −4.1 more at home than away over 71 games — inside the ±8.2 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Raymond James Stadium seats 65,828 and has averaged 53% full (34,701, 21 games reported). Visitors face the 25th-longest trip of 135 FBS venues: a median 607 miles since 2018. The map isn't translating, though — the split above still reads bottom third of fbs. For the home side it is genuinely home ground: 26% of the 2026 roster (28 of 107 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 47 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
Scheme claims
Fourth-quarter reliability, corrected
South Florida's 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 75th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 77th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does South Florida hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
91st percentile success on standard downs, 52nd on passing downs — a 39-point gap between the two.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| App State | 44th | 90th |
| Arizona | 92nd | 86th |
| Arkansas | 60th | 80th |
| Auburn | 75th | 55th |
| Ball State | 12th | 24th |
| Baylor | 40th | 96th |
| Boise State | 58th | 46th |
| Boston College | 27th | 56th |
| Buffalo | 7th | 14th |
| California | 9th | 25th |
| Central Michigan | 16th | 6th |
| Charlotte | 73rd | 83rd |
| Clemson | 1st | 19th |
| Coastal Carolina | 61st | 52nd |
| Colorado | 35th | 77th |
| Colorado State | 82nd | 91st |
| Delaware | 70th | 31st |
| Duke | 20th | 29th |
| Eastern Michigan | 52nd | 10th |
| Florida Atlantic | 43rd | 87th |
| Florida International | 46th | 43rd |
| Florida State | 28th | 65th |
| Georgia Southern | 24th | 45th |
| Georgia Tech | 58th | 44th |
| Hawai'i | 18th | 41st |
| Iowa State | 4th | 23rd |
| Jacksonville State | 65th | 82nd |
| Kansas | 70th | 35th |
| LSU | 33rd | 98th |
| Liberty | 14th | 59th |
| Louisiana | 19th | 92nd |
| Louisville | 96th | 70th |
| Memphis | 69th | 65th |
| Michigan | 2nd | 62nd |
| Michigan State | 62nd | 29th |
| Middle Tennessee | 87th | 68th |
| Missouri | 36th | 85th |
| Navy | 98th | 59th |
| Nevada | 77th | 52nd |
| New Mexico State | 45th | 75th |
| Norfolk State | 16th | 9th |
| North Dakota State | 86th | 27th |
| North Texas | 49th | 68th |
| Ohio | 38th | 17th |
| Ohio State | 90th | 40th |
| Oklahoma State | 41st | 49th |
| Ole Miss | 94th | 50th |
| Oregon | 35th | 33rd |
| Oregon State | 10th | 38th |
| Pittsburgh | 30th | 76th |
| Purdue | 83rd | 88th |
| Rutgers | 30th | 71st |
| Sacramento State | 23rd | 14th |
| Sam Houston | 78th | 61st |
| San Diego State | 4th | 40th |
| San José State | 54th | 22nd |
| South Alabama | 50th | 73rd |
| South Florida | 91st | 52nd |
| Stanford | 76th | 15th |
| Syracuse | 48th | 64th |
| TCU | 93rd | 8th |
| Tennessee | 65th | 78th |
| Texas | 72nd | 94th |
| Texas A&M | 85th | 72nd |
| Texas Tech | 88th | 48th |
| Troy | 22nd | 59th |
| Tulane | 31st | 2nd |
| Tulsa | 56th | 1st |
| UAB | 65th | 81st |
| UNLV | 51st | 7th |
| USC | 97th | 99th |
| UTSA | 99th | 29th |
| Utah State | 4th | 93rd |
| Vanderbilt | 80th | 12th |
| Wake Forest | 56th | 97th |
| Washington | 81st | 4th |
| Washington State | 8th | 3rd |
| Western Kentucky | 25th | 34th |
| Western Michigan | 39th | 20th |
| Wisconsin | 13th | 18th |
| Wyoming | 65th | 36th |
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · South Florida
Most similar programs · South FloridaReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Conditions
80°F average kickoff temp; 14% of games had measurable precipitation; 7 mph average wind.
Based on 74 home games with weather data.