UTEP

1-7

Next game: vs Hawai'i

Hawai’i’s best edge on UTEP is staying on schedule

Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.

UTEP offense against Hawai'i defense

weakelite
PassingUTEP 1st · Hawai'i 21st
RunningUTEP 16th · Hawai'i 22nd
Staying on scheduleUTEP 2nd · Hawai'i 13th
Big playsUTEP 90th · Hawai'i 68th
Red zoneUTEP 0th · Hawai'i 7th

Hawai'i offense against UTEP defense

weakelite
PassingHawai'i 30th · UTEP 6th
RunningHawai'i 21st · UTEP 7th
Staying on scheduleHawai'i 37th · UTEP 7th
Big playsHawai'i 13th · UTEP 44th
Red zoneHawai'i 25th · UTEP 6th

Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.

Key stats

Key stats · 2026 · FBS rank

Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.

EPA / play136th of 138
-0.10
EPA allowed / play129th of 138
+0.24
Red zone pass rate3rd of 137
59.1%
Pass att (opp)Tied 10th of 138
203
First downs138th of 138
114
2nd-half EPA/play allowed137th of 137
0.5
Points / game138th of 138
14.1
All 98 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team
2242280.2/gm4.85/play138th of 13870th of 7010th of 1013th of 13
Opp
3169396.1/gm6.19/play98th of 13860th of 708th of 102nd of 13
Rush yards
Team
1088136.0/gm2.35/play102nd of 13855th of 707th of 1013th of 13
Opp
1495186.9/gm2.92/play116th of 13866th of 707th of 102nd of 13
Rush carries
Team
28335.4/gm82nd of 13844th of 708th of 1013th of 13
Opp
30938.6/gm104th of 13865th of 705th of 102nd of 13
Rush TDs
Team
60.8/gmTied 130th of 13869th of 709th of 1013th of 13
Opp
162.0/gmTied 115th of 138Tied 64th of 70Tied 8th of 103rd of 13
Net pass yards
Team
1154144.2/gm2.50/play132nd of 13870th of 708th of 1013th of 13
Opp
1674209.2/gm3.27/playTied 60th of 13830th of 708th of 101st of 13
Pass attempts
Team
17922.4/gm128th of 13869th of 707th of 1013th of 13
Opp
20325.4/gmTied 10th of 138Tied 5th of 70Tied 2nd of 101st of 13
Completions
Team
11614.5/gm126th of 13868th of 707th of 1013th of 13
Opp
13416.8/gmTied 32nd of 13815th of 70Tied 6th of 101st of 13
Pass TDs
Team
91.1/gmTied 108th of 138Tied 62nd of 705th of 1010th of 13
Opp
151.9/gmTied 105th of 138Tied 57th of 709th of 101st of 13
Passer rating
Team
131.1131.190th of 13856th of 703rd of 103rd of 13
Opp
152.8152.8129th of 13769th of 709th of 1011th of 13
Interceptions thrown
Team
70.9/gmTied 89th of 138Tied 46th of 70Tied 4th of 102nd of 13
Opp
40.5/gmTied 94th of 138Tied 46th of 708th of 1012th of 13
Sacks (def)
Team
81.0/gmTied 130th of 138Tied 67th of 7010th of 1011th of 11
Opp
384.8/gm137th of 13870th of 7010th of 1010th of 11
Tackles for loss
Team
384.8/gmTied 94th of 138Tied 50th of 70Tied 6th of 1011th of 11
Opp
779.6/gm137th of 13870th of 7010th of 108th of 11
First downs
Team
11414.2/gm138th of 13870th of 7010th of 1013th of 13
Opp
16420.5/gmTied 82nd of 138Tied 51st of 70Tied 6th of 102nd of 13
3rd-down conv
Team
273.4/gm138th of 13870th of 7010th of 1013th of 13
Opp
475.9/gmTied 100th of 138Tied 54th of 708th of 102nd of 13
3rd-down att
Team
10212.8/gmTied 95th of 138Tied 45th of 708th of 1013th of 13
Opp
10112.6/gmTied 25th of 138Tied 11th of 704th of 102nd of 13
4th-down conv
Team
121.5/gmTied 18th of 138Tied 9th of 70Tied 2nd of 106th of 13
Opp
91.1/gmTied 83rd of 138Tied 48th of 707th of 104th of 13
4th-down att
Team
202.5/gmTied 20th of 138Tied 9th of 702nd of 107th of 13
Opp
111.4/gmTied 21st of 138Tied 10th of 70Tied 3rd of 102nd of 13
Time of possession
Team
227:1628:24/gm116th of 13859th of 709th of 1013th of 13
Opp
252:4431:36/gm96th of 13854th of 708th of 102nd of 13

FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs

Player stats · 2026 season
Quarterbacks
Player#GCmp/AttPctYdsY/ATDINTRateZPRQBRAdj ANY/ASack%
Scrambler · +0.04 EPA/play1766 / 9966.76876.975138.22931.73.918.9
+0.05 EPA/play12848 / 7861.54375.622111.92842.73.415.2
Running backs
Player#GCarYdsAvgTDLongStuff%10+%
Balanced Back · -0.04 EPA/play—7662764.213323.814.3
-0.00 EPA/play32622743.4010——
Receivers
Player#GRecYdsAvgTDLong
Slot Technician · +0.47 EPA/play38342748.1128
Possession Receiver · +0.34 EPA/play571718711345
Red-Zone Weapon · +1.24 EPA/play46911813.1323
-0.91 EPA/play81488210.2029
-0.00 EPA/play245448.8014

Biggest plays from UTEP’s games

Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in UTEP’s games this season, whoever made them.

  1. Q1, 6:15 · Nevada tiedCarter Jones finds Dominic Kelley for a 21-yard touchdownNevada at UTEP, week 6Q1, 6:15 · Nevada 7, UTEP 0Nevada opened the scoringNevada opened the scoringC.Jones pass complete short right to D.Kelley caught at UTEP23, for 21 yards to the UTEP00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL UPHELD, kick goodWatch from this playCFB ON FOX
  2. Q2, 5:58 · UTEP breaks the tieEJ Colson finds Lamar Sperling for an 18-yard touchdownUTEP at Michigan, week 3Q2, 5:58 · UTEP 14, Michigan 7UTEP took the lead in the second quarterUTEP took the lead in the second quarterE.Colson Jr. pass complete short left to L.Sperling caught at U-M15, for 18 yards to the U-M00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick goodWatch from this playCFB ON FOX
  3. Q1, 10:08 · Nevada tiedC. Jones fumbles but keeps the ballNevada at UTEP, week 6Q1, 10:08 · Nevada 0, UTEP 0▼3%Nevada’s chance to win, 70% to 67%▼3%Nevada’s chance to win, 70% to 67%C.Jones rush middle for 4 yards loss to the Nevada47 fumbled by C.Jones at Nevada47 recovered by Nevada C.Jones at Nevada47, End Of PlayWatch from this playCFB ON FOX
  4. Q2, 9:27 · UTEP down 10UTEP is sackedNevada at UTEP, week 6Q2, 9:27 · UTEP 0, Nevada 10▼3%UTEP’s chance to win, 13% to 10%▼3%UTEP’s chance to win, 13% to 10%R.Moore III sacked for loss of 7 yards to the UTEP29 (J.Scott, K.Brown)Watch from this playCFB ON FOX
  5. Q1, 10:05 · Michigan tiedMichigan turns it overUTEP at Michigan, week 3Q1, 10:05 · Michigan 0, UTEP 00-0score after the play0-0score after the playB.Underwood sacked for loss of 3 yards to the TEP27 (E.Fields), fumble by B.Underwood recovered by TEP G.Hawkins at TEP27, End Of PlayWatch from this playCFB ON FOX
  6. Q1, 6:51 · UTEP tiedEJ Colson finds Carver Cheeks for a 45-yard touchdownUTEP at Michigan, week 3Q1, 6:51 · UTEP 7, Michigan 0UTEP opened the scoringUTEP opened the scoringE.Colson Jr. pass complete deep middle to C.Cheeks caught at U-M20, for 45 yards to the U-M00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick goodWatch from this playCFB ON FOX

All 20 plays from UTEP’s games

How scary each game got

UTEP lost at Michigan after being 81% to win; the closest win was against Texas Southern, down to 35%

50%W2L3L4L5L6L7L9

Tap a game for its score and win chances.

Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave UTEP during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.

Stat leaders

2026 stat leaders · UTEP

through 8 games

Jayden Wilson leads UTEP with 44 tackles through 8 games.

1. Jayden Wilson LB 44 tackles
2. Isaiah Bogerty LB 42 tackles
3. Justin Content CB 41 tackles
4. Esteban Guillory S 40 tackles
5. Xavier Smith S 38 tackles

Roster

Roster

2026
24 players carry a qualified CFB Zeitgeist Score this season so far.
Elijah Fields IDL #53 of 300
Kode Lowe S #137 of 537
Kaleb Miles CB #116 of 344
Esteban Guillory S #182 of 537
Jaden Smith WR #221 of 465
Sterling Miles EDGE #198 of 405

+18 more

Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back

How they play

How they play · 2026

UTEP fields a struggling run-heavy, explosive, big-play offense behind a porous defense.

Offense
2nd pct EPA/play
Run/Pass
63% run plays
Style
90th pct explosiveness
Defense
7th pct EPA allowed

Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.

Player percentiles

Player percentiles · UTEP · 2026

UTEP reads strongest in explosive plays (top 10%) and explosive plays allowed (top 57%); the crux lives in red-zone finish, where UTEP sits at the 0th percentile.

Offense · strengths lead

EPA / play -0.10
2nd
Success rate +0.33
2nd
Explosive plays +1.37
90th
Rushing EPA -0.02
16th
Red-zone finish +1.65
1st

Defense · higher bar = harder to play against

EPA allowed +0.24
7th
Success rate allowed +0.46
7th
Explosive plays allowed +1.25
44th
Passing EPA allowed +0.40
6th
Red-zone defense +4.43
6th

Hidden math · special situations

Field position (O) +28.08
27th
Passing EPA -0.12
1st
Rushing EPA allowed +0.18
7th
Elite · 90+Strong · 70+Average · 40-70Concern · 10-40Bottom · <10
Sources · CFBD tier-2 advanced stats · per-game production · 8 games this season · percentiles vs. up to 138 FBS peers

Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents

UTEP is worth +4.4 points more at home than on the road.

Middle of FBS, 55th percentile of 133 programs

26% at home, 16% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (10-29 home, 8-43 away). Interval ±3.3.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest
95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest
The stadium and how the home edge is measured

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, UTEP has beaten the number by −1.0 more at home than away over 99 games. That is inside the ±4.9 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Sun Bowl seats 51,500 and has averaged 34% full (17,695, 27 games reported). Visitors face the 8th-longest trip of 135 FBS venues: a median 811 miles since 2018. The map isn't translating, though — the split above still reads middle of fbs. 10% of the 2026 roster (10 of 104 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 48 home games since 2018.

Home10-29Away8-43Edge+4.4 ±3.3Visitor trip811 mi

More in this tab

How they play

Usage splitsWho gets the ball late, on money downs and as an underdog.

How the players get used

From the 2025 season's play-by-play

  • UnderdogKenny Odom produces at a notably lower rate when his team is an underdog than when favored: he fades when the pressure is on, and his per-target value drops too.
  • Deep threatEric Willis III is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
  • Deep threatWondame Davis Jr. is a real deep-ball threat: a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
Position battlesReps are split — here's who's actually winning them.

RB room

The carries are split. The job isn’t.

Tavorus Jones and Lamar Sperling split the carries (62/82 vs 20/82) -- but the job isn't split the same way.

Tavorus JonesLamar Sperling
Carries
6220
the baseline -- every row below is tested against this split, not a flat 50/50
Targets
10/144/14
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Top-5-carry share
34.7%53.6%
concentration alone -- EPA/carry doesn't corroborate, read with caution
Screened 2 claims, 0 survived, 2 falsified

WR/TE room

The targets are split. The job isn’t.

Jaden Smith (WR) and Cash Cheeks (TE) split the targets (42/55 vs 13/55) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Cash Cheeks produces in bigger chunks.

Jaden SmithCash Cheeks
Targets
4213
the baseline -- every row below is tested against this split, not a flat 50/50
3rd-down targets
14/228/22
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Garbage-time share
10/144/14
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Top-5-catch share
36.2%82.7%
concentration and EPA/target agree -- a real boom/bust split
Screened 3 claims, 1 survived, 2 falsified
Scheme claimsFive specific, testable claims about how this team plays.

UTEP’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time

Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 23rd percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 35th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.

league medianRaw 4th quarter · 23rd p…Competitive snaps only · 35th pctileWorst in FBSBest in FBS
Source CFB Zeitgeist · CFBD play-by-play, garbage-time adjusted by pre-play margin

Standard downs vs. passing downs

Does UTEP hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?

9th percentile success on standard downs, 1st on passing downs — little dropoff between the two — a schedule-independent identity.

Fragile off scheduleBalanced, both workStruggles even on scheduleStandard-downs reliantUTEPWeak on standard downsElite on standard downsFalls apart off scheduleHolds up off scheduleHawai'i48th standard · 29th passingUNLV41st standard · 19th passingStanford40th standard · 9th passingEastern Michigan16th standard · 30th passingSan José State17th standard · 2nd passingNew Mexico State14th standard · 36th passingSacramento State13th standard · 6th passingOklahoma State96th standard · 86th passingDuke21st standard · 67th passingFlorida State30th standard · 90th passingRutgers42nd standard · 81st passingKansas52nd standard · 18th passingBoston College63rd standard · 28th passingNorfolk State7th standard · 0th passingLouisville95th standard · 72nd passingMissouri34th standard · 41st passingMemphis92nd standard · 93rd passingGeorgia Southern60th standard · 71st passingOle Miss81st standard · 94th passingJacksonville State82nd standard · 80th passingNorth Dakota State30th standard · 45th passingArizona76th standard · 94th passingUSC79th standard · 97th passingWake Forest75th standard · 96th passingTCU70th standard · 10th passingDelaware59th standard · 64th passingUAB24th standard · 62nd passingMichigan State23rd standard · 55th passingSouth Florida84th standard · 57th passingFlorida International20th standard · 53rd passingNavy89th standard · 17th passingWisconsin25th standard · 22nd passingOregon State97th standard · 70th passingSyracuse57th standard · 39th passingOhio State84th standard · 80th passingBall State31st standard · 52nd passingPittsburgh65th standard · 50th passingColorado16th standard · 65th passingGeorgia Tech53rd standard · 40th passingAuburn14th standard · 69th passingBaylor15th standard · 46th passingNorth Texas95th standard · 84th passingApp State33rd standard · 49th passingIowa State18th standard · 31st passingUTSA91st standard · 33rd passingArkansas71st standard · 24th passingBoise State77th standard · 92nd passingOregon39th standard · 26th passingTulsa49th standard · 7th passingTulane12th standard · 8th passingPurdue57th standard · 82nd passingMiddle Tennessee27th standard · 64th passingVanderbilt41st standard · 32nd passingSan Diego State8th standard · 54th passingLSU86th standard · 98th passingClemson7th standard · 39th passingCentral Michigan36th standard · 9th passingTexas Tech64th standard · 76th passingMichigan10th standard · 89th passingWestern Michigan32nd standard · 27th passingOhio82nd standard · 42nd passingBuffalo9th standard · 11th passingTexas27th standard · 61st passingCoastal Carolina23rd standard · 64th passingColorado State66th standard · 95th passingWyoming78th standard · 48th passingTexas A&M46th standard · 55th passingLiberty93rd standard · 78th passingFlorida Atlantic67th standard · 87th passingLouisiana36th standard · 66th passingSouth Alabama44th standard · 74th passingTroy39th standard · 15th passingSam Houston11th standard · 37th passingNevada28th standard · 27th passingWestern Kentucky22nd standard · 25th passingWashington State19th standard · 5th passingWashington56th standard · 16th passingCalifornia11th standard · 20th passingCharlotte18th standard · 41st passingTennessee75th standard · 12th passingUtah State3rd standard · 76th passingMiami99th standard · 95th passingHouston87th standard · 99th passingUCF29th standard · 45th passingUtah94th standard · 98th passingFresno State25th standard · 84th passingAkron58th standard · 34th passingNorth Carolina89th standard · 73rd passingIllinois73rd standard · 91st passingToledo73rd standard · 52nd passingMinnesota32nd standard · 4th passingRice59th standard · 14th passingTemple50th standard · 68th passingNC State62nd standard · 77th passingVirginia83rd standard · 2nd passingNotre Dame100th standard · 43rd passingMassachusetts35th standard · 38th passingKent State5th standard · 21st passingSouth Carolina70th standard · 56th passingMiami (OH)50th standard · 43rd passingKennesaw State61st standard · 16th passingCincinnati68th standard · 83rd passingIndiana55th standard · 44th passingMaine0th standard · 86th passingNorthern Illinois51st standard · 14th passingBowling Green43rd standard · 21st passingGeorgia State68th standard · 66th passingSouthern Miss48th standard · 7th passingKansas State64th standard · 68th passingUConn72nd standard · 73rd passingAlabama77th standard · 57th passingEast Carolina37th standard · 19th passingOld Dominion1st standard · 36th passingOklahoma4th standard · 50th passingUTEP9th standard · 1st passingNorthwestern88th standard · 88th passingVirginia Tech43rd standard · 91st passingMaryland34th standard · 26th passingArizona State38th standard · 61st passingNew Mexico55th standard · 48th passingNebraska46th standard · 85th passingMarshall69th standard · 32nd passingArkansas State85th standard · 59th passingSMU91st standard · 82nd passingJames Madison45th standard · 77th passingTexas State74th standard · 100th passingMississippi State66th standard · 59th passingUL Monroe47th standard · 11th passingMissouri State52nd standard · 30th passingWest Virginia54th standard · 75th passingLouisiana Tech26th standard · 79th passingUCLA80th standard · 60th passingKentucky90th standard · 51st passingFlorida61st standard · 70th passingUT Martin6th standard · 3rd passingArmy93rd standard · 58th passingMercyhurst2nd standard · 34th passingIowa79th standard · 13th passingPenn State20th standard · 47th passingAir Force98th standard · 23rd passingRobert Morris2nd standard · 5th passingGardner-Webb5th standard · 23rd passingGeorgia98th standard · 89th passingBYU86th standard · 35th passing
Fragile off scheduleBalancedWeak both waysStandard downs onlyUTEPWeak on standard downsElite on standard downsFalls apart off scheduleHolds up off scheduleHawai'i48th standard · 29th passingUNLV41st standard · 19th passingStanford40th standard · 9th passingEastern Michigan16th standard · 30th passingSan José State17th standard · 2nd passingNew Mexico State14th standard · 36th passingSacramento State13th standard · 6th passingOklahoma State96th standard · 86th passingDuke21st standard · 67th passingFlorida State30th standard · 90th passingRutgers42nd standard · 81st passingKansas52nd standard · 18th passingBoston College63rd standard · 28th passingNorfolk State7th standard · 0th passingLouisville95th standard · 72nd passingMissouri34th standard · 41st passingMemphis92nd standard · 93rd passingGeorgia Southern60th standard · 71st passingOle Miss81st standard · 94th passingJacksonville State82nd standard · 80th passingNorth Dakota State30th standard · 45th passingArizona76th standard · 94th passingUSC79th standard · 97th passingWake Forest75th standard · 96th passingTCU70th standard · 10th passingDelaware59th standard · 64th passingUAB24th standard · 62nd passingMichigan State23rd standard · 55th passingSouth Florida84th standard · 57th passingFlorida International20th standard · 53rd passingNavy89th standard · 17th passingWisconsin25th standard · 22nd passingOregon State97th standard · 70th passingSyracuse57th standard · 39th passingOhio State84th standard · 80th passingBall State31st standard · 52nd passingPittsburgh65th standard · 50th passingColorado16th standard · 65th passingGeorgia Tech53rd standard · 40th passingAuburn14th standard · 69th passingBaylor15th standard · 46th passingNorth Texas95th standard · 84th passingApp State33rd standard · 49th passingIowa State18th standard · 31st passingUTSA91st standard · 33rd passingArkansas71st standard · 24th passingBoise State77th standard · 92nd passingOregon39th standard · 26th passingTulsa49th standard · 7th passingTulane12th standard · 8th passingPurdue57th standard · 82nd passingMiddle Tennessee27th standard · 64th passingVanderbilt41st standard · 32nd passingSan Diego State8th standard · 54th passingLSU86th standard · 98th passingClemson7th standard · 39th passingCentral Michigan36th standard · 9th passingTexas Tech64th standard · 76th passingMichigan10th standard · 89th passingWestern Michigan32nd standard · 27th passingOhio82nd standard · 42nd passingBuffalo9th standard · 11th passingTexas27th standard · 61st passingCoastal Carolina23rd standard · 64th passingColorado State66th standard · 95th passingWyoming78th standard · 48th passingTexas A&M46th standard · 55th passingLiberty93rd standard · 78th passingFlorida Atlantic67th standard · 87th passingLouisiana36th standard · 66th passingSouth Alabama44th standard · 74th passingTroy39th standard · 15th passingSam Houston11th standard · 37th passingNevada28th standard · 27th passingWestern Kentucky22nd standard · 25th passingWashington State19th standard · 5th passingWashington56th standard · 16th passingCalifornia11th standard · 20th passingCharlotte18th standard · 41st passingTennessee75th standard · 12th passingUtah State3rd standard · 76th passingMiami99th standard · 95th passingHouston87th standard · 99th passingUCF29th standard · 45th passingUtah94th standard · 98th passingFresno State25th standard · 84th passingAkron58th standard · 34th passingNorth Carolina89th standard · 73rd passingIllinois73rd standard · 91st passingToledo73rd standard · 52nd passingMinnesota32nd standard · 4th passingRice59th standard · 14th passingTemple50th standard · 68th passingNC State62nd standard · 77th passingVirginia83rd standard · 2nd passingNotre Dame100th standard · 43rd passingMassachusetts35th standard · 38th passingKent State5th standard · 21st passingSouth Carolina70th standard · 56th passingMiami (OH)50th standard · 43rd passingKennesaw State61st standard · 16th passingCincinnati68th standard · 83rd passingIndiana55th standard · 44th passingMaine0th standard · 86th passingNorthern Illinois51st standard · 14th passingBowling Green43rd standard · 21st passingGeorgia State68th standard · 66th passingSouthern Miss48th standard · 7th passingKansas State64th standard · 68th passingUConn72nd standard · 73rd passingAlabama77th standard · 57th passingEast Carolina37th standard · 19th passingOld Dominion1st standard · 36th passingOklahoma4th standard · 50th passingUTEP9th standard · 1st passingNorthwestern88th standard · 88th passingVirginia Tech43rd standard · 91st passingMaryland34th standard · 26th passingArizona State38th standard · 61st passingNew Mexico55th standard · 48th passingNebraska46th standard · 85th passingMarshall69th standard · 32nd passingArkansas State85th standard · 59th passingSMU91st standard · 82nd passingJames Madison45th standard · 77th passingTexas State74th standard · 100th passingMississippi State66th standard · 59th passingUL Monroe47th standard · 11th passingMissouri State52nd standard · 30th passingWest Virginia54th standard · 75th passingLouisiana Tech26th standard · 79th passingUCLA80th standard · 60th passingKentucky90th standard · 51st passingFlorida61st standard · 70th passingUT Martin6th standard · 3rd passingArmy93rd standard · 58th passingMercyhurst2nd standard · 34th passingIowa79th standard · 13th passingPenn State20th standard · 47th passingAir Force98th standard · 23rd passingRobert Morris2nd standard · 5th passingGardner-Webb5th standard · 23rd passingGeorgia98th standard · 89th passingBYU86th standard · 35th passing
Source CFB Zeitgeist · advanced team stats, Connelly success-rate definition
View all FBS teams as a table
TeamStandard-downs percentilePassing-downs percentile
Air Force98th23rd
Akron58th34th
Alabama77th57th
App State33rd49th
Arizona76th94th
Arizona State38th61st
Arkansas71st24th
Arkansas State85th59th
Army93rd58th
Auburn14th69th
BYU86th35th
Ball State31st52nd
Baylor15th46th
Boise State77th92nd
Boston College63rd28th
Bowling Green43rd21st
Buffalo9th11th
California11th20th
Central Michigan36th9th
Charlotte18th41st
Cincinnati68th83rd
Clemson7th39th
Coastal Carolina23rd64th
Colorado16th65th
Colorado State66th95th
Delaware59th64th
Duke21st67th
East Carolina37th19th
Eastern Michigan16th30th
Florida61st70th
Florida Atlantic67th87th
Florida International20th53rd
Florida State30th90th
Fresno State25th84th
Gardner-Webb5th23rd
Georgia98th89th
Georgia Southern60th71st
Georgia State68th66th
Georgia Tech53rd40th
Hawai'i48th29th
Houston87th99th
Illinois73rd91st
Indiana55th44th
Iowa79th13th
Iowa State18th31st
Jacksonville State82nd80th
James Madison45th77th
Kansas52nd18th
Kansas State64th68th
Kennesaw State61st16th
Kent State5th21st
Kentucky90th51st
LSU86th98th
Liberty93rd78th
Louisiana36th66th
Louisiana Tech26th79th
Louisville95th72nd
Maine0th86th
Marshall69th32nd
Maryland34th26th
Massachusetts35th38th
Memphis92nd93rd
Mercyhurst2nd34th
Miami99th95th
Miami (OH)50th43rd
Michigan10th89th
Michigan State23rd55th
Middle Tennessee27th64th
Minnesota32nd4th
Mississippi State66th59th
Missouri34th41st
Missouri State52nd30th
NC State62nd77th
Navy89th17th
Nebraska46th85th
Nevada28th27th
New Mexico55th48th
New Mexico State14th36th
Norfolk State7th0th
North Carolina89th73rd
North Dakota State30th45th
North Texas95th84th
Northern Illinois51st14th
Northwestern88th88th
Notre Dame100th43rd
Ohio82nd42nd
Ohio State84th80th
Oklahoma4th50th
Oklahoma State96th86th
Old Dominion1st36th
Ole Miss81st94th
Oregon39th26th
Oregon State97th70th
Penn State20th47th
Pittsburgh65th50th
Purdue57th82nd
Rice59th14th
Robert Morris2nd5th
Rutgers42nd81st
SMU91st82nd
Sacramento State13th6th
Sam Houston11th37th
San Diego State8th54th
San José State17th2nd
South Alabama44th74th
South Carolina70th56th
South Florida84th57th
Southern Miss48th7th
Stanford40th9th
Syracuse57th39th
TCU70th10th
Temple50th68th
Tennessee75th12th
Texas27th61st
Texas A&M46th55th
Texas State74th100th
Texas Tech64th76th
Toledo73rd52nd
Troy39th15th
Tulane12th8th
Tulsa49th7th
UAB24th62nd
UCF29th45th
UCLA80th60th
UConn72nd73rd
UL Monroe47th11th
UNLV41st19th
USC79th97th
UT Martin6th3rd
UTEP9th1st
UTSA91st33rd
Utah94th98th
Utah State3rd76th
Vanderbilt41st32nd
Virginia83rd2nd
Virginia Tech43rd91st
Wake Forest75th96th
Washington56th16th
Washington State19th5th
West Virginia54th75th
Western Kentucky22nd25th
Western Michigan32nd27th
Wisconsin25th22nd
Wyoming78th48th

UTEP by half

1st-half offense ranks 8th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 16th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.

league median1st half · 8th pctile2nd half · 16th pc…Worst in FBSBest in FBS
Source CFB Zeitgeist · advanced team stats, garbage-time adjusted by pre-play margin

How much of UTEP’s number is the schedule?

Raw EPA/play through week 10 is -0.10; 3rd percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's -0.03. The widest gap came in week 2: -0.25 raw vs. -0.01 adjusted.

0.04-0.13-0.29Wk 2Wk 6Wk 10Raw EPA/playOpponent-adjusted
0.04-0.13-0.29Wk 2Wk 6Wk 10RawAdjusted
Source CFB Zeitgeist · season-to-date, opponent-adjusted model
Pass defense by zoneThe part of the field opponents keep attacking.

What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.

On short throws (≤19 air yards), UTEP’s passing game completes a completion rate above the FBS mean (69.2% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 153-play sample) — mid-pack, 105 of 136 qualifying offenses.

On short throws (≤19 air yards), UTEP’s defense allows a completion rate above the FBS mean (67.9% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 155-play sample) — mid-pack, 103 of 137 qualifying defenses.

We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.

Screened 273 claims, 273 survived · 2025+ only, charted plays (parse_status='complete'); n=153 short-zone plays, raw rate 71.2%; 2025+ only, charted plays (parse_status='complete'); n=155 short-zone plays, raw rate 70.3%
Havoc & trenchesDefense havoc rate 0.121, 9th percentile

Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.

Havoc rate (D) 0.121
9th
Havoc allowed (O) 0.231
1st
Front-seven havoc (D) 0.086
30th
Secondary havoc (D) 0.034
2nd
Stuff rate (D) 0.175
33rd
Stuff rate allowed (O) 0.211
21st
Line yards (O) 2.734
18th
Line yards allowed (D) 3.100
20th
Standard-downs success (O) 0.394
4th
Standard-downs success allowed (D) 0.505
11th
Passing-downs success (O) 0.222
3rd
Passing-downs success allowed (D) 0.342
15th
Screened 12 claims, 12 survived · 2026 season, FBS only, min. 3 games with data this season
Turnover luckHow much of the margin was skill vs. the bounce.
Fumble luck

The bounces haven't gone their way on their own fumbles: 25% recovered, vs. ~52% expected.

2 of 8 own fumbles recovered themselves; 5 of 8 forced fumbles recovered, 2026 only.

TakeawaysWhat this defense does once it gets the ball.
Takeaway conversion

Cashing in at a normal clip: 22% of disrupted passes intercepted, close to ~18% league-wide.

4 interceptions of 18 disrupted passes (14 deflected, 4 intercepted), 2026 only.

PenaltiesWhether flags are costing this team games.
Penalty battle

The flags have favored them: 52 penalties drawn on opponents vs. 48 committed, 44 yards to the good.

436 penalty yards committed vs. 480 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.

Ratings and comparisons

RatingsWhere the public rating systems put this team.

Where the models rank UTEP

CFB Zeitgeist Score

#138

-11.3

SP+

#134

-24.5

FPI

#136

-24.6

Elo

#136

995

SRS

#133

-21.6

The national models put UTEP between 133rd and 136th nationally — CFB Zeitgeist is more skeptical, at 138th.

National rank of 138 FBS teams · 2026 season. SP+/FPI/SRS published; Elo & CFB Zeitgeist Score ranked by rating.

Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · UTEP

Reads like

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

WeatherHow warm or cold its home and road games usually are.

Sun Bowl, El Paso, TX

Usual during the game around Nov 7: 64°, between 56° and 73° in about 7 in 10 games (25 games since 2016).

Road games since 2016: the middle game was 73°, and 8 in 10 ran between 54° and 83° (45 of 59 road games, at stadiums we cover).

HomeRoad

What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time

Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure

Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.

This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site