Vanderbilt
2-0SEC · Clark Lea, year 6 (28-36) · FirstBank Stadium · 40,351 · 35,000 avg in 2026
LastW 35–26 vs Delaware · Sat Sep 12 · C.J. Heard 2 sacks, 2 TFL, 8 tackles
Nextvs NC State · Sat Sep 19 · 12:45 pm ET · FirstBank Stadium · Vanderbilt by 3 · series 2-1, last win 2012 · Game preview
Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2
All 85 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.47 EPA/play | 2 | 2 | 21 / 31 | 67.7 | 270 | 8.7 | 1 | 0 | 151.5 | — | 65.6 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| +0.15 EPA/play | 1 | 2 | 14 / 25 | 56.0 | 178 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 115.8 | — | 1.8 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.10 EPA/play | — | 2 | 9 | 164 #52 FBS | 18.2 | 0 | 35 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.50 EPA/play | 8 | 2 | 10 | 117 | 11.7 | 0 | 31 | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. The most common profile in its group this season — 17 of 21 classified this way. Played in 2 of 3 games this season · junior View Jayvontay Conner's full player page | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 #26 FBS | 1 | |
| 53 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 3 #30 FBS | 2 #26 FBS | 3 | 0 | |
| 11 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 29 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 4 #9 FBS | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| 4 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 #22 FBS | 0 | 0 | |
| 26 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 #22 FBS | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 2 | 2/2 | 100 | 7/7 | 13 | 37 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 2 | 7 | 347 | 49.6 | 59 | 2 | 1 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | 5 | 63 | 12.6 | 0 | 25 |
2026 stat leaders · Vanderbilt
through 2 gamesC.J. Heard leads Vanderbilt with 14 tackles through 2 games.
Vanderbilt fields an elite offense behind a leaky, gives up the big play defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Vanderbilt reads strongest in epa / play (top 1%) and rushing epa (top 2%); the crux lives in passing epa allowed, where Vanderbilt sits at the 16th percentile.
offense · strengths lead
defense · higher bar = harder to play against
hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · Vanderbilt · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Vanderbilt is worth +1.1 points more at home than on the road.
Bottom tenth of FBS, 6th percentile of 133 programs
41% at home, 24% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (19–27 home, 10–31 away). Interval ±4.7.
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Vanderbilt has beaten the number by −2.4 more at home than away over 74 games — inside the ±7.6 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
FirstBank Stadium seats 40,351 and has averaged 74% full (29,985, 27 games reported). Visitors cover a median 359 miles to get here since 2018 — 56th-shortest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. 14% of the 2026 roster (15 of 111 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 54 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
Scheme claims
Fourth-quarter reliability, corrected
Vanderbilt's 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 6th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it drops to the 3rd — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Vanderbilt hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
80th percentile success on standard downs, 12th on passing downs — a 68-point gap between the two.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| App State | 44th | 90th |
| Arizona | 92nd | 86th |
| Arkansas | 60th | 80th |
| Auburn | 75th | 55th |
| Ball State | 12th | 24th |
| Baylor | 40th | 96th |
| Boise State | 58th | 46th |
| Boston College | 27th | 56th |
| Buffalo | 7th | 14th |
| California | 9th | 25th |
| Central Michigan | 16th | 6th |
| Charlotte | 73rd | 83rd |
| Clemson | 1st | 19th |
| Coastal Carolina | 61st | 52nd |
| Colorado | 35th | 77th |
| Colorado State | 82nd | 91st |
| Delaware | 70th | 31st |
| Duke | 20th | 29th |
| Eastern Michigan | 52nd | 10th |
| Florida Atlantic | 43rd | 87th |
| Florida International | 46th | 43rd |
| Florida State | 28th | 65th |
| Georgia Southern | 24th | 45th |
| Georgia Tech | 58th | 44th |
| Hawai'i | 18th | 41st |
| Iowa State | 4th | 23rd |
| Jacksonville State | 65th | 82nd |
| Kansas | 70th | 35th |
| LSU | 33rd | 98th |
| Liberty | 14th | 59th |
| Louisiana | 19th | 92nd |
| Louisville | 96th | 70th |
| Memphis | 69th | 65th |
| Michigan | 2nd | 62nd |
| Michigan State | 62nd | 29th |
| Middle Tennessee | 87th | 68th |
| Missouri | 36th | 85th |
| Navy | 98th | 59th |
| Nevada | 77th | 52nd |
| New Mexico State | 45th | 75th |
| Norfolk State | 16th | 9th |
| North Dakota State | 86th | 27th |
| North Texas | 49th | 68th |
| Ohio | 38th | 17th |
| Ohio State | 90th | 40th |
| Oklahoma State | 41st | 49th |
| Ole Miss | 94th | 50th |
| Oregon | 35th | 33rd |
| Oregon State | 10th | 38th |
| Pittsburgh | 30th | 76th |
| Purdue | 83rd | 88th |
| Rutgers | 30th | 71st |
| Sacramento State | 23rd | 14th |
| Sam Houston | 78th | 61st |
| San Diego State | 4th | 40th |
| San José State | 54th | 22nd |
| South Alabama | 50th | 73rd |
| South Florida | 91st | 52nd |
| Stanford | 76th | 15th |
| Syracuse | 48th | 64th |
| TCU | 93rd | 8th |
| Tennessee | 65th | 78th |
| Texas | 72nd | 94th |
| Texas A&M | 85th | 72nd |
| Texas Tech | 88th | 48th |
| Troy | 22nd | 59th |
| Tulane | 31st | 2nd |
| Tulsa | 56th | 1st |
| UAB | 65th | 81st |
| UNLV | 51st | 7th |
| USC | 97th | 99th |
| UTSA | 99th | 29th |
| Utah State | 4th | 93rd |
| Vanderbilt | 80th | 12th |
| Wake Forest | 56th | 97th |
| Washington | 81st | 4th |
| Washington State | 8th | 3rd |
| Western Kentucky | 25th | 34th |
| Western Michigan | 39th | 20th |
| Wisconsin | 13th | 18th |
| Wyoming | 65th | 36th |
Tendency drift
Season by season
How Vanderbilt’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Vanderbilt
Reads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Historical echo
Historical echo
Vanderbilt’s breakout has happened before — and 1 of the 4 closest programs couldn’t hold it.
Programs whose stature climbed in the same shape. The grey line is their run; the color is what came next for them.
An analogy on the shape of a program’s Zeitgeist stature arc — not a prediction. Interim calibration, medium confidence; matched among current FBS programs at a comparable level.
Conditions
69°F average kickoff temp; 12% of games had measurable precipitation; 7 mph average wind.
Based on 82 home games with weather data.