Wake Forest
2-0ACC · Jake Dickert, year 2 (11-4) · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium · 31,500 · 30,735 avg in 2026
LastW 38–36 at Purdue · Sat Sep 12 · Giovanni Lopez 225 pass yds, 1 TD, 59 rush yds
Nextvs Miami · Fri Sep 18 · 7:30 pm ET · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium · Miami by 21 · series 3-9, lost the last 8 · Game preview
Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2
All 83 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.64 EPA/play | 3 | 2 | 37 / 59 | 62.7 | 575 #23 FBS | 9.7 | 4 #36 FBS | 0 | 166.9 | 71 | 86 | 10.5 | 3.3 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0.13 EPA/play | 22 | 2 | 25 | 97 | 3.9 | 1 | 14 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1.59 EPA/play | 8 | 2 | 11 | 253 #9 FBS | 23 | 1 | 78 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +1.22 EPA/play | 14 | 2 | 5 | 125 | 25 | 1 | 72 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.51 EPA/play | 5 | 2 | 8 | 94 | 11.8 | 1 | 27 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two-Gap Base | 11 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 2.5 #68 FBS | 1 | 0 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 12 of 27 classified this way. Played in 2 of 3 games this season · senior View Langston Hardy's full player page | |||||||
| 10 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 2.5 #68 FBS | 1 | 1 | |
| 94 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 52 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1 | |
| 14 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 23 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 46 of 84 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume20 68th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate0.0% bottom 26th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Vincent Firenze's full player page | |||||||||
| 21 | 2 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 43 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 40 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hybrid Nickel | 8 | 2 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 22 of 46 classified this way. Played in 2 of 3 games this season · junior View Braylon Johnson's full player page | |||||||
| 5 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | |
| 6 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 13 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 27 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 22 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 2 | 6/7 | 85.7 | 6/6 | 24 | 44 |
2026 stat leaders · Wake Forest
through 2 games
2026 stat leaders · Wake ForestCarlos Hernandez leads Wake Forest with 253 receiving yards through 2 games.
How They Play · 2025Wake Forest fields a capable explosive, big-play offense behind an elite, bend-don't-break defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Wake Forest reads strongest in explosive plays (top 2%) and success rate allowed (top 10%); the crux lives in success rate, where Wake Forest sits at the 16th percentile.
offense · strengths lead
defense · higher bar = harder to play against
hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · Wake Forest · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Wake Forest is worth +1.4 points more at home than on the road.
Bottom tenth of FBS, 8th percentile of 133 programs
55% at home, 50% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (24–20 home, 21–21 away). Interval ±4.3.
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Wake Forest has beaten the number by −2.4 more at home than away over 73 games — inside the ±7.2 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium seats 31,500 and has averaged 95% full (29,938, 28 games reported). Visitors cover a median 284 miles to get here since 2018 — 30th-shortest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. 12% of the 2026 roster (12 of 98 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 52 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
Scheme claims
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Wake Forest hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
56th percentile success on standard downs, 97th on passing downs — a 41-point gap between the two.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| App State | 44th | 90th |
| Arizona | 92nd | 86th |
| Arkansas | 60th | 80th |
| Auburn | 75th | 55th |
| Ball State | 12th | 24th |
| Baylor | 40th | 96th |
| Boise State | 58th | 46th |
| Boston College | 27th | 56th |
| Buffalo | 7th | 14th |
| California | 9th | 25th |
| Central Michigan | 16th | 6th |
| Charlotte | 73rd | 83rd |
| Clemson | 1st | 19th |
| Coastal Carolina | 61st | 52nd |
| Colorado | 35th | 77th |
| Colorado State | 82nd | 91st |
| Delaware | 70th | 31st |
| Duke | 20th | 29th |
| Eastern Michigan | 52nd | 10th |
| Florida Atlantic | 43rd | 87th |
| Florida International | 46th | 43rd |
| Florida State | 28th | 65th |
| Georgia Southern | 24th | 45th |
| Georgia Tech | 58th | 44th |
| Hawai'i | 18th | 41st |
| Iowa State | 4th | 23rd |
| Jacksonville State | 65th | 82nd |
| Kansas | 70th | 35th |
| LSU | 33rd | 98th |
| Liberty | 14th | 59th |
| Louisiana | 19th | 92nd |
| Louisville | 96th | 70th |
| Memphis | 69th | 65th |
| Michigan | 2nd | 62nd |
| Michigan State | 62nd | 29th |
| Middle Tennessee | 87th | 68th |
| Missouri | 36th | 85th |
| Navy | 98th | 59th |
| Nevada | 77th | 52nd |
| New Mexico State | 45th | 75th |
| Norfolk State | 16th | 9th |
| North Dakota State | 86th | 27th |
| North Texas | 49th | 68th |
| Ohio | 38th | 17th |
| Ohio State | 90th | 40th |
| Oklahoma State | 41st | 49th |
| Ole Miss | 94th | 50th |
| Oregon | 35th | 33rd |
| Oregon State | 10th | 38th |
| Pittsburgh | 30th | 76th |
| Purdue | 83rd | 88th |
| Rutgers | 30th | 71st |
| Sacramento State | 23rd | 14th |
| Sam Houston | 78th | 61st |
| San Diego State | 4th | 40th |
| San José State | 54th | 22nd |
| South Alabama | 50th | 73rd |
| South Florida | 91st | 52nd |
| Stanford | 76th | 15th |
| Syracuse | 48th | 64th |
| TCU | 93rd | 8th |
| Tennessee | 65th | 78th |
| Texas | 72nd | 94th |
| Texas A&M | 85th | 72nd |
| Texas Tech | 88th | 48th |
| Troy | 22nd | 59th |
| Tulane | 31st | 2nd |
| Tulsa | 56th | 1st |
| UAB | 65th | 81st |
| UNLV | 51st | 7th |
| USC | 97th | 99th |
| UTSA | 99th | 29th |
| Utah State | 4th | 93rd |
| Vanderbilt | 80th | 12th |
| Wake Forest | 56th | 97th |
| Washington | 81st | 4th |
| Washington State | 8th | 3rd |
| Western Kentucky | 25th | 34th |
| Western Michigan | 39th | 20th |
| Wisconsin | 13th | 18th |
| Wyoming | 65th | 36th |
Tendency drift
Season by season
How Wake Forest’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Pass defense by zone
Pass-depth identity
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Wake Forest’s defense allows a completion rate above the FBS mean (70.2% vs 65.2% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 73-play sample) — most generous, 18 of 18 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Wake Forest
Most similar programs · Wake ForestReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Conditions
70°F average kickoff temp; 9% of games had measurable precipitation; 6 mph average wind.
Based on 78 home games with weather data.