Next game: at Texas Tech
Texas Tech’s best edge on West Virginia is staying on schedule
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
West Virginia offense against Texas Tech defense
Texas Tech offense against West Virginia defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dual Threat · +0.29 EPA/play | 3 | 8 | 90 / 159 | 56.6 | 1598 #66 FBS | 10.1 | 11 #57 FBS | 2 | 161.3 | 67 | 81.6 | 9.5 | 8.1 | |
Yards by week → Dual threatDangerous with both arm and legs — defenses can't just pin the ears back. Impact starter — 163 carries and 159 pass attempts in 8 games, more passes and runs a game than most FBS quarterbacks who play every week. This week's matchup — QB Jr. runs when the pocket breaks down. Marshall is the one who extends plays on the move until something opens up. Season receipt Rush yards / carry5.1 91th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Rush usage50.6% 100th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Michael Hawkins Jr.'s full player page | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · +0.04 EPA/play | 4 | 8 | 186 | 923 #9 FBS | 5.0 | 7 #36 FBS | 75 | 15.2 | 10.3 | |
Yards by week → Balanced back· Boom-or-bustPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine Impact starter — 186 carries and 11 catches in 8 games, more touches a game than nearly every FBS running back who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 134 of 278 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Cam Cook's full player page | ||||||||||
| Power Back · +0.04 EPA/play | 1 | 7 | 40 | 178 | 4.5 | 3 | 29 | — | — | |
Yards by week → Power backShort-yardage and goal-line specialist. Carries the load, owns the red zone. 40 carries and 6 catches in 7 games. Fewer touches a game than most FBS running backs who play every week. This week's matchup — RB Latimer wears you down at the goal line. Edwards is the one who does a little of everything without one standout trait. Season receipt Rush TD rate7.5% 85th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / reception14.5 99th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Amari Latimer's full player page | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Threat · +0.53 EPA/play | 2 | 7 | 22 | 556 #54 FBS | 25.3 | 5 #39 FBS | 59 | |
Yards by week → Deep threat· Money-downStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. lives on the sticks and moves the chains 22 catches and 6 carries in 7 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Epps beats you over the top. McMillan is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Yards / reception22.5 99th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate22.7% 98th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View DJ Epps's full player page | ||||||||
| Deep Threat · +0.67 EPA/play | 17 | 5 | 14 | 275 | 19.6 | 0 | 41 | |
Yards by week → Deep threatStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. This week's matchup — WR Strachan beats you over the top. McMillan is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Yards / reception22.8 100th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate0.0% bottom 10th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Prince Strachan's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.25 EPA/play | 5 | 7 | 12 | 174 | 14.5 | 0 | 38 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. This week's matchup — WR Bray moves the chains on third down. McMillan is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Yards / reception6.8 bottom 3th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate0.0% bottom 10th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jaden Bray's full player page | ||||||||
| +0.26 EPA/play | 80 | 7 | 10 | 144 | 14.4 | 0 | 33 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +1.15 EPA/play | 86 | 5 | 7 | 102 | 14.6 | 1 | 33 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.78 EPA/play | 84 | 3 | 5 | 98 | 19.6 | 1 | 36 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two-Gap Base | 18 | 8 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. Starter — 25 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Ezekiel Durham-Campbell's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 93 | 8 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 22 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate18.2% 61th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Nate Gabriel's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 43 | 8 | 20 | 10 | 3.5 | 1 | 1 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 20 tackles in 8 games. Fewer tackles a game than most FBS defensive linemen who play every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2026 class View KJ Henson's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 52 | 7 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2023 class View Corey McIntyre Jr.'s full player page | |||||||
| 92 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1.5 | 0 | 1 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 16 | 8 | 48 | 22 | 26 | 4.5 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 48 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Isaiah Patterson's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 15 | 8 | 38 | 18 | 20 | 3.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 38 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2023 class View Ben Cutter's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 13 | 8 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 34 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2025 class View Cam Torbor's full player page | |||||||||
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 33 | 6 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
Sideline-to-sidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. 83 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.6 85th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate22.7% 98th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Ashton Woods's full player page | |||||||||
| Thumper | 50 | 8 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 1.5 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
ThumperDownhill striker who fills the run lane and blitzes off the edge. 22 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 62 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate6.8% bottom 38th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles PD rate9.1% 96th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Harper Holloman's full player page | |||||||||
| Versatile End | 99 | 7 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Versatile endNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. 18 tackles in 7 games. Fewer tackles a game than most FBS defensive linemen who play every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 121 of 180 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View David Afogho's full player page | |||||||||
| 40 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Box Safety | 1 | 7 | 39 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Starter — 39 tackles in 7 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume39 73th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Geimere Latimer's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 8 | 8 | 36 | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 36 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate5.6% bottom 38th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Kamari Wilson's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | — | 8 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 33 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate6.1% bottom 41th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Andrew Powdrell's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 3 | 8 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 28 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 4-star, 2026 class View Matt Sieg's full player page | |||||||
| Press Corner | 7 | 8 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Press cornerLong and physical; jams receivers off their route at the line. 27 tackles in 8 games. Fewer tackles a game than most FBS defensive backs who play every week. 34 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Height6'3" 96th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Chams Diagne's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 29 | 5 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 5 of 10 games this season · freshman View Kameron Reddic's full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 20 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Cover cornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. 138 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate0.0% bottom 10th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Keyshawn Robinson's full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 19 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
Cover cornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. The most common profile in its group this season — 138 of 244 classified this way. Played in 3 of 10 games this season · freshman View Nick Taylor's full player page | |||||||
| 30 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 36 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 8 | 7/8 | 87.5 | 37/37 | 58 | 54 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 83 | 8 | 32 | 1364 | 42.6 | 74 | 9 | 3 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hybrid Nickel | 3 | 8 | 4 | 45 | 11.3 | 0 | 22 |
Biggest plays from West Virginia’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in West Virginia’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q4, 5:04 · West Virginia down 3, takes the leadMichael Hawkins Jr. finds DJ Epps for a 47-yard touchdownWest Virginia at Iowa State, week 5Q4, 5:04 · West Virginia 42, Iowa State 38▲33%West Virginia’s chance to win, 21% to 54%▲33%West Virginia’s chance to win, 21% to 54%M.Hawkins Jr. pass complete deep right to D.Epps caught at ISU23, for 47 yards to the ISU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Big 12 Conference
Q4, 7:34 · West Virginia down 3, takes the leadCam Cook runs 8 yards for a touchdownWest Virginia at Iowa State, week 5Q4, 7:34 · West Virginia 35, Iowa State 31Go-ahead touchdown for West Virginia in the fourth quarterGo-ahead touchdown for West Virginia in the fourth quarterC.Cook rush middle for 8 yards gain to the ISU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Big 12 Conference
Q4, 0:34 · TCU down 4TCU turns it overWest Virginia at TCU, week 8Q4, 0:34 · TCU 20, West Virginia 24▼24%TCU’s chance to win, 52% to 28%▼24%TCU’s chance to win, 52% to 28%J.Craig sacked for loss of 9 yards to the WVU23 (N.Gabriel), fumble by J.Craig recovered by WVU B.Cutter at WVU23, End Of Play▶Watch from this play
Q3, 0:12 · West Virginia breaks the tieMichael Hawkins Jr. finds DJ Epps for a 21-yard touchdownWest Virginia at Virginia, week 3Q3, 0:12 · West Virginia 28, Virginia 21▲24%West Virginia’s chance to win, 34% to 58%▲24%West Virginia’s chance to win, 34% to 58%M.Hawkins Jr. pass complete deep right to D.Epps caught at UVA00, for 21 yards to the UVA00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q4, 3:44 · West Virginia down 7, ties itMichael Hawkins Jr. finds Cam Cook for a 40-yard touchdownCincinnati at West Virginia, week 7Q4, 3:44 · West Virginia 42, Cincinnati 423:44Game-tying touchdown for West Virginia with 3:44 left3:44Game-tying touchdown for West Virginia with 3:44 leftGame-tying touchdown for West Virginia with 3:44 leftM.Hawkins Jr. pass complete short left to C.Cook caught at CIN44, for 40 yards to the CIN00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Big 12 Conference
Q4, 1:57 · Iowa State down 4, takes the leadAiden Flora runs 2 yards for a touchdownWest Virginia at Iowa State, week 5Q4, 1:57 · Iowa State 45, West Virginia 421:57Go-ahead touchdown for Iowa State with 1:57 left1:57Go-ahead touchdown for Iowa State with 1:57 leftGo-ahead touchdown for Iowa State with 1:57 leftNo Huddle A.Flora rush left for 2 yards gain to the WVU00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
Big 12 Conference
How scary each game got
West Virginia lost to Oklahoma State after being 89% to win; the closest win was against Cincinnati, down to 9%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave West Virginia during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · West Virginia
through 8 gamesCam Cook leads West Virginia with 923 rushing yards through 8 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+15 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
West Virginia fields a strong run-heavy, explosive, big-play offense behind a porous defense, though it gives up the big play.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
West Virginia reads strongest in red-zone finish (top 9%) and passing EPA (top 19%); the crux lives in passing EPA allowed, where West Virginia sits at the 0th percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
West Virginia is worth +3.9 points more at home than on the road.
Middle of FBS, 45th percentile of 133 programs
56% at home, 38% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (25-20 home, 17-28 away). Interval ±3.7.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, West Virginia has beaten the number by +2.4 more at home than away over 98 games. That is inside the ±6.0 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Milan Puskar Stadium seats 60,000 and has averaged 86% full (51,477, 30 games reported). Visitors face the 3rd-longest trip of 135 FBS venues: a median 887 miles since 2018. The map isn't translating, though — the split above still reads middle of fbs. For the home side it is a home crowd more than a home town: only 7% of the 2026 roster (8 of 112 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 53 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- Garbage timeDiore Hubbard sees a real spike in usage once the game is out of reach, and his efficiency in competitive snaps sits below the position baseline: the numbers lean on the opponent giving up.
- Deep threatCam Vaughn is a real deep-ball threat: a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
- Deep threatRodney Gallagher is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
Position battles
RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Cam Cook and Amari Latimer split the carries (183/222 vs 39/222) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Amari Latimer produces in bigger chunks.
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
DJ Epps (WR) and Ryan Ward (TE) split the targets (36/43 vs 7/43) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How West Virginia actually scores
73rd percentile quality, 24th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
West Virginia’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 35th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 82nd — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does West Virginia hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
54th percentile success on standard downs, 75th on passing downs — a 21-point gap between the two.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
West Virginia by half
1st-half offense ranks 68th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 79th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of West Virginia’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.20; 68th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.06. The widest gap came in week 3: 0.29 raw vs. 0.03 adjusted.
Tendency drift
How West Virginia’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), West Virginia’s passing game completes a completion rate above the FBS mean (67.1% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 113-play sample) — mid-pack, 63 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), West Virginia’s defense allows a completion rate above the FBS mean (68.0% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 185-play sample) — mid-pack, 107 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
The bounces haven't gone their way on their own fumbles: 25% recovered, vs. ~52% expected.
2 of 8 own fumbles recovered themselves; 5 of 8 forced fumbles recovered, 2026 only.
Takeaways
Cashing in at a normal clip: 22% of disrupted passes intercepted, close to ~18% league-wide.
5 interceptions of 23 disrupted passes (18 deflected, 5 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
The flags have favored them: 62 penalties drawn on opponents vs. 46 committed, 137 yards to the good.
389 penalty yards committed vs. 526 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · West Virginia
Reads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Weather
Milan Puskar Stadium, Morgantown, WV
Usual during the game around Nov 14: 45°, between 36° and 55° in about 7 in 10 games (30 games since 2016).
Road games since 2016: the middle game was 72°, and 8 in 10 ran between 47° and 83° (51 of 52 road games, at stadiums we cover).
What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time
Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure
Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.