Player stats
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Biggest plays from William & Mary’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in William & Mary’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q1, 10:42 · Duke tiedWalker Eget finds Jayden Moore for a 24-yard touchdownWilliam & Mary at Duke, week 4Q1, 10:42 · Duke 7, William & Mary 0Duke opened the scoringDuke opened the scoringW.Eget pass complete deep left to J.Moore caught at WM00, for 24 yards to the WM00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q1, 6:03 · Duke up 7Nate Sheppard runs 19 yards for a touchdownWilliam & Mary at Duke, week 4Q1, 6:03 · Duke 14, William & Mary 014-0score after the play14-0score after the playN.Sheppard rush left for 19 yards gain to the WM00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q1, 2:58 · William & Mary down 14Winston Watkins finds Jack Reuter for a 6-yard touchdownWilliam & Mary at Duke, week 4Q1, 2:58 · William & Mary 7, Duke 14William & Mary answered right backWilliam & Mary answered right backW.Watkins pass complete short left to J.Reuter caught at DUKE06, for 6 yards to the DUKE00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play- Q2, 10:42 · Duke up 10Dan Mahan finds Kavon Simmons for a 29-yard touchdownWilliam & Mary at Duke, week 4Q2, 10:42 · Duke 24, William & Mary 729Kavon Simmons's fourth touch of the season is a 29-yard touchdown29Kavon Simmons's fourth touch of the season is a 29-yard touchdownKavon Simmons's fourth touch of the season is a 29-yard touchdownD.Mahan pass complete deep middle to K.Simmons caught at WM05, for 29 yards to the WM00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q2, 7:58 · Duke up 17Dan Mahan finds Jaivon Solomon for a 29-yard touchdownWilliam & Mary at Duke, week 4Q2, 7:58 · Duke 31, William & Mary 729Jaivon Solomon's third touch of the season is a 29-yard touchdown29Jaivon Solomon's third touch of the season is a 29-yard touchdownJaivon Solomon's third touch of the season is a 29-yard touchdownD.Mahan pass complete deep left to J.Solomon caught at WM09, for 29 yards to the WM00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q2, 0:26 · Duke up 24Walker Eget finds Jared Richardson for a 28-yard touchdownWilliam & Mary at Duke, week 4Q2, 0:26 · Duke 38, William & Mary 795Capped a 95-yard drive95Capped a 95-yard driveCapped a 95-yard driveW.Eget pass complete deep left to J.Richardson caught at WM05, for 28 yards to the WM00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
How scary each game got
William & Mary lost to Georgetown after being 94% to win; the closest win was at Villanova, down to 4%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave William & Mary during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
William & Mary is worth +9.1 points more at home than on the road.
Top tenth of FBS, 99th percentile of 133 programs
33% at home, 9% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (1-2 home, 1-10 away). Interval ±9.9.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, William & Mary has beaten the number by +1.6 more at home than away over 57 games. That is inside the ±8.3 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Zable Stadium seats 12,400 and has averaged 81% full (10,015, 15 games reported). Visitors cover a median 205 miles to get here (2018-present).
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 42 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games.
More in this tab
Scheme claims
How much of William & Mary’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is −0.10; adjusted for opponent strength, it's −0.06. The widest gap came in week 2: −0.09 raw vs. −0.02 adjusted.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · William & Mary
Most similar programs · William & MaryReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.