Wyoming

1-1

Mountain West · Jay Sawvel, year 3 (8-18) · War Memorial Stadium · 29,181 · 24,105 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#114 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #121 (-15.2) · FPI #130
The marketCentral Michigan by 1.5at Central Michigan · our model 43% Wyoming · a number, not a pick

LastW 21–13 vs Northern Colorado · Sat Sep 12 · Jones Thomas 2 INT, 5 tackles

Nextat Central Michigan · Sat Sep 19 · 1 pm ET · Kelly/Shorts Stadium · Central Michigan by 1.5 · series 2-1 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Key stats — 2026 — FBS rank
Points/game
17.0
Pts allowed/game
24.0
Total yards/gmT-#126 / 138 · 9th pct
288.5
Rush yards/gm#91 / 138 · 34th pct
149.0
Pass yards/gm#127 / 138 · 8th pct
139.5
Yards allowed/gmT-#94 / 138 · 32nd pct
370.5
Rush yds allowed/gm#93 / 138 · 33rd pct
146.5
SacksT-#80 / 138 · 33rd pct
3
InterceptionsT-#29 / 115 · 61st pct
2
3rd-down convT-#129 / 138 · 6th pct
25.0%
All 92 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team
577288.5/gm5.11/playT-#126 / 138 · 9th pct#66 / 70 · 6th pct#9 / 10 · 15th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
741370.5/gm5.74/playT-#94 / 138 · 32nd pctT-#57 / 70 · 19th pct#6 / 10 · 45th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush yards
Team
298149.0/gm2.64/play#91 / 138 · 34th pct#48 / 70 · 32nd pct#8 / 10 · 25th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
293146.5/gm2.27/play#93 / 138 · 33rd pct#60 / 70 · 15th pct#4 / 10 · 65th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush carries
Team
6834.0/gmT-#88 / 138 · 35th pctT-#45 / 70 · 36th pct#9 / 10 · 15th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
6934.5/gmT-#69 / 138 · 47th pctT-#44 / 70 · 35th pct#3 / 10 · 75th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush TDs
Team
21.0/gmT-#106 / 138 · 18th pctT-#56 / 70 · 15th pct#8 / 10 · 25th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
00.0/gmT-#1 / 138 · 92nd pctT-#1 / 70 · 87th pct#1 / 10 · 95th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Net pass yards
Team
279139.5/gm2.47/play#127 / 138 · 8th pct#69 / 70 · 2nd pct#9 / 10 · 15th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
448224.0/gm3.47/play#92 / 138 · 34th pct#52 / 70 · 26th pct#7 / 10 · 35th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass attempts
Team
4522.5/gmT-#116 / 138 · 15th pctT-#63 / 70 · 10th pct#7 / 10 · 35th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
6030.0/gmT-#69 / 138 · 49th pctT-#38 / 70 · 46th pctT-#4 / 10 · 60th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Completions
Team
3015.0/gmT-#107 / 138 · 22nd pct#60 / 70 · 15th pct#6 / 10 · 45th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
3819.0/gmT-#73 / 138 · 45th pctT-#44 / 70 · 36th pct#5 / 10 · 55th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass TDs
Team
21.0/gmT-#94 / 138 · 25th pctT-#54 / 70 · 19th pctT-#7 / 10 · 25th pct#12 / 13 · 15th pct
Opp
63.0/gmT-#129 / 138 · 5th pct#69 / 70 · 2nd pct#10 / 10 · 5th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Passer rating
Team
124.5124.5#84 / 115 · 27th pct#48 / 60 · 21st pct#5 / 13 · 69th pct
Opp
149.1149.1#73 / 91 · 20th pct#39 / 42 · 8th pct#11 / 13 · 23rd pct
Interceptions thrown
Team
31.5/gmT-#8 / 138 · 89th pctT-#5 / 70 · 91st pctT-#2 / 10 · 80th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#77 / 138 · 33rd pctT-#40 / 70 · 29th pctT-#4 / 10 · 60th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Sacks (def)
Team
31.5/gmT-#80 / 138 · 33rd pctT-#49 / 70 · 22nd pctT-#6 / 10 · 35th pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
31.5/gmT-#61 / 138 · 52nd pctT-#35 / 70 · 46th pct#4 / 10 · 65th pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
Tackles for loss
Team
126.0/gmT-#53 / 138 · 59th pctT-#33 / 70 · 51st pctT-#3 / 10 · 60th pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
115.5/gmT-#81 / 138 · 34th pctT-#47 / 70 · 27th pct#4 / 10 · 65th pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
First downs
Team
3316.5/gmT-#115 / 138 · 16th pct#64 / 70 · 9th pct#8 / 10 · 25th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
3517.5/gmT-#61 / 138 · 54th pctT-#43 / 70 · 37th pct#4 / 10 · 65th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down conv
Team
52.5/gmT-#131 / 138 · 4th pctT-#67 / 70 · 4th pct#10 / 10 · 5th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
115.5/gmT-#80 / 138 · 39th pctT-#50 / 70 · 28th pctT-#3 / 10 · 70th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down att
Team
2010.0/gmT-#123 / 138 · 10th pctT-#62 / 70 · 11th pct#10 / 10 · 5th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
2713.5/gmT-#54 / 138 · 59th pctT-#28 / 70 · 58th pct#3 / 10 · 75th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down conv
Team
10.5/gmT-#85 / 138 · 29th pctT-#44 / 70 · 32nd pctT-#8 / 10 · 15th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#71 / 138 · 37th pctT-#40 / 70 · 32nd pctT-#6 / 10 · 40th pct#2 / 13 · 92nd pct
4th-down att
Team
21.0/gmT-#98 / 138 · 22nd pctT-#45 / 70 · 29th pctT-#8 / 10 · 15th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
42.0/gmT-#80 / 138 · 36th pctT-#42 / 70 · 32nd pct#7 / 10 · 35th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Time of possession
Team
59:3429:47/gm#90 / 138 · 35th pct#47 / 70 · 34th pct#7 / 10 · 35th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
60:2630:13/gm#81 / 138 · 42nd pct#47 / 70 · 34th pct#3 / 10 · 75th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct

FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs

Player stats — 2026 season
Quarterbacks
Player#GCmp/AttPctYdsY/ATDINTRateZPRQBRAdj ANY/ASack%
+0.16 EPA/play6230 / 4566.72796.223120.14010.5
Running Backs
Player#GCarYdsAvgTDLongStuff%10+%
+0.00 EPA/play12271114.1115
Receivers
Player#GRecYdsAvgTDLong
+1.07 EPA/play89258617.2029
+0.25 EPA/play1925469.2115

2026 stat leaders · Wyoming

through 2 games

Ethan Stuhlsatz leads Wyoming with 26 tackles through 2 games.

1. Ethan Stuhlsatz LB 26 tackles
2. Gary Rutherford LB 14 tackles
3. Jones Thomas S 13 tackles
4. Esaia Bogar DE 12 tackles
5. Brooklyn Cheek S 10 tackles
How They Play · 2025

Wyoming fields a struggling offense behind a strong defense.

Offense
8th pct EPA/play
Defense
77th pct EPA allowed

Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.

The Savant Card · Wyoming · 2025

Wyoming reads strongest in passing epa allowed (top 16%) and success rate allowed (top 22%); the crux lives in epa / play, where Wyoming sits at the 8th percentile.

offense · strengths lead

EPA / play +0.04
8th
Success Rate +0.37
14th
Explosive Plays +1.20
25th
Rushing EPA -0.01
13th

defense · higher bar = harder to play against

EPA Allowed +0.08
77th
Success Rate Allowed +0.38
78th
Explosive Plays Allowed +1.24
59th
Passing EPA Allowed +0.13
84th

hidden math · special situations

Passing EPA +0.11
11th
Rushing EPA Allowed +0.04
68th
Elite · 90+Strong · 70+Average · 40-70Concern · 10-40Bottom · <10
Sources · CFBD tier-2 advanced stats · per-game production · 12 games this season · percentiles vs. up to 136 FBS peers

Home-field advantage · Wyoming · 2018–present · FBS opponents

Wyoming is worth +4.2 points more at home than on the road.

Middle of FBS, 52nd percentile of 133 programs

58% at home, 33% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (22–16 home, 15–31 away). Interval ±3.6.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Wyoming has beaten the number by +5.1 more at home than away over 73 games — inside the ±5.9 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

War Memorial Stadium seats 29,181 and has averaged 76% full (22,181, 26 games reported). Visitors face the 20th-longest trip of 135 FBS venues: a median 629 miles since 2018. The map isn't translating, though — the split above still reads middle of fbs. For the home side it is a home crowd more than a home town: only 8% of the 2026 roster (8 of 106 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 46 home games since 2018.

Home22–16Away15–31Edge+4.2 ±3.6Visitor trip629 mi

More in this tab

Scheme claimsFive specific, testable claims about how this team plays.

Standard downs vs. passing downs

Does Wyoming hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?

65th percentile success on standard downs, 36th on passing downs — a 29-point gap between the two.

Fragile off scheduleBalanced, both workStruggles even on scheduleStandard-downs reliantWyomingWeak on standard downsElite on standard downsFalls apart off scheduleHolds up off scheduleHawai'i18th standard · 41st passingUNLV51st standard · 7th passingStanford76th standard · 15th passingEastern Michigan52nd standard · 10th passingSan José State54th standard · 22nd passingNew Mexico State45th standard · 75th passingSacramento State23rd standard · 14th passingOklahoma State41st standard · 49th passingDuke20th standard · 29th passingFlorida State28th standard · 65th passingRutgers30th standard · 71st passingKansas70th standard · 35th passingBoston College27th standard · 56th passingNorfolk State16th standard · 9th passingLouisville96th standard · 70th passingMissouri36th standard · 85th passingMemphis69th standard · 65th passingGeorgia Southern24th standard · 45th passingOle Miss94th standard · 50th passingJacksonville State65th standard · 82nd passingNorth Dakota State86th standard · 27th passingArizona92nd standard · 86th passingUSC97th standard · 99th passingWake Forest56th standard · 97th passingTCU93rd standard · 8th passingDelaware70th standard · 31st passingUAB65th standard · 81st passingMichigan State62nd standard · 29th passingSouth Florida91st standard · 52nd passingFlorida International46th standard · 43rd passingNavy98th standard · 59th passingWisconsin13th standard · 18th passingOregon State10th standard · 38th passingSyracuse48th standard · 64th passingOhio State90th standard · 40th passingBall State12th standard · 24th passingPittsburgh30th standard · 76th passingColorado35th standard · 77th passingGeorgia Tech58th standard · 44th passingAuburn75th standard · 55th passingBaylor40th standard · 96th passingNorth Texas49th standard · 68th passingApp State44th standard · 90th passingIowa State4th standard · 23rd passingUTSA99th standard · 29th passingArkansas60th standard · 80th passingBoise State58th standard · 46th passingOregon35th standard · 33rd passingTulsa56th standard · 1st passingTulane31st standard · 2nd passingPurdue83rd standard · 88th passingMiddle Tennessee87th standard · 68th passingVanderbilt80th standard · 12th passingSan Diego State4th standard · 40th passingLSU33rd standard · 98th passingClemson1st standard · 19th passingCentral Michigan16th standard · 6th passingTexas Tech88th standard · 48th passingMichigan2nd standard · 62nd passingWestern Michigan39th standard · 20th passingOhio38th standard · 17th passingBuffalo7th standard · 14th passingTexas72nd standard · 94th passingCoastal Carolina61st standard · 52nd passingColorado State82nd standard · 91st passingWyoming65th standard · 36th passingTexas A&M85th standard · 72nd passingLiberty14th standard · 59th passingFlorida Atlantic43rd standard · 87th passingLouisiana19th standard · 92nd passingSouth Alabama50th standard · 73rd passingTroy22nd standard · 59th passingSam Houston78th standard · 61st passingNevada77th standard · 52nd passingWestern Kentucky25th standard · 34th passingWashington State8th standard · 3rd passingWashington81st standard · 4th passingCalifornia9th standard · 25th passingCharlotte73rd standard · 83rd passingTennessee65th standard · 78th passingUtah State4th standard · 93rd passing
Source CFB Zeitgeist · advanced team stats, Connelly success-rate definition
View all FBS teams as a table
TeamStandard-downs percentilePassing-downs percentile
App State44th90th
Arizona92nd86th
Arkansas60th80th
Auburn75th55th
Ball State12th24th
Baylor40th96th
Boise State58th46th
Boston College27th56th
Buffalo7th14th
California9th25th
Central Michigan16th6th
Charlotte73rd83rd
Clemson1st19th
Coastal Carolina61st52nd
Colorado35th77th
Colorado State82nd91st
Delaware70th31st
Duke20th29th
Eastern Michigan52nd10th
Florida Atlantic43rd87th
Florida International46th43rd
Florida State28th65th
Georgia Southern24th45th
Georgia Tech58th44th
Hawai'i18th41st
Iowa State4th23rd
Jacksonville State65th82nd
Kansas70th35th
LSU33rd98th
Liberty14th59th
Louisiana19th92nd
Louisville96th70th
Memphis69th65th
Michigan2nd62nd
Michigan State62nd29th
Middle Tennessee87th68th
Missouri36th85th
Navy98th59th
Nevada77th52nd
New Mexico State45th75th
Norfolk State16th9th
North Dakota State86th27th
North Texas49th68th
Ohio38th17th
Ohio State90th40th
Oklahoma State41st49th
Ole Miss94th50th
Oregon35th33rd
Oregon State10th38th
Pittsburgh30th76th
Purdue83rd88th
Rutgers30th71st
Sacramento State23rd14th
Sam Houston78th61st
San Diego State4th40th
San José State54th22nd
South Alabama50th73rd
South Florida91st52nd
Stanford76th15th
Syracuse48th64th
TCU93rd8th
Tennessee65th78th
Texas72nd94th
Texas A&M85th72nd
Texas Tech88th48th
Troy22nd59th
Tulane31st2nd
Tulsa56th1st
UAB65th81st
UNLV51st7th
USC97th99th
UTSA99th29th
Utah State4th93rd
Vanderbilt80th12th
Wake Forest56th97th
Washington81st4th
Washington State8th3rd
Western Kentucky25th34th
Western Michigan39th20th
Wisconsin13th18th
Wyoming65th36th
Tendency driftHow this coordinator's calls have drifted since arriving.

Season by season

How Wyoming’s current staff calls plays, year over year

Defense: Aaron Bohl (2024–2026)
1st-down pass rate
2024: 42% → 2026: 42% · 6-pt range · #160 of 203 · less than most
Red-zone pass rate
2024: 35% → 2026: 33% · 17-pt range · #74 of 200 · a typical amount
4th-down go rate
2024: 39% → 2025: 32% · 7-pt range · #175 of 189 · less than most
RatingsWhere the public rating systems put this team.

Model Consensus

Where the Models Rank Wyoming

CFB Zeitgeist

#114

-4.6

SP+

#121

-15.2

FPI

#130

-17.3

Elo

#111

1309

The national models put Wyoming between 111th and 130th nationally — CFB Zeitgeist agrees, slotting them 114th.

National rank of 138 FBS teams · 2026 season. SP+/FPI/SRS published; Elo & CFB Zeitgeist ranked by rating.

Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · Wyoming

Reads like

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

ConditionsThe weather and altitude visitors have to deal with.
Venue texture

58°F average kickoff temp; 5% of games had measurable precipitation; 11 mph average wind.

Based on 59 home games with weather data.

This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. AI-generated content is labeled and may contain factual errors. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site