DIII CONFERENCE · 2025 SEASON
American Rivers
THE LONG WAIT · 2025
Wartburg's Iowa Standard
The American Rivers Conference — Wartburg, Loras, Luther, Central, Cornell, Coe, Buena Vista, Dubuque, Simpson, and Upper Iowa — is Iowa's liberal arts football corridor, a compact footprint where programs recruit within 90 minutes of each other and play in the same drainage basin. Wartburg College in Waverly won the DIII national championship in 2004. The conference produces physical, disciplined football from a state where high school football is a serious civic institution.
Wartburg won the 2004 national championship. Can the Knights reassert that standard in 2026, or has the American Rivers Conference grown deep enough to produce a different champion from the Iowa corridor?
Conference Standings · American Rivers · 2025
Standings
| # | Team | Conf |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wartburg | 8–0 |
| 2 | Coe College | 7–1 |
| 3 | Central College | 6–2 |
| 4 | Simpson College (IA) | 5–3 |
| 5 | Dubuque | 4–4 |
| 6 | Loras College | 3–5 |
| 7 | Buena Vista | 2–6 |
| 8 | Nebraska Wesleyan | 1–7 |
| 9 | Luther | 0–8 |
Conference record determines standing. Power = neutral-field pts vs. all-level average. Last 5 = most recent game results.
Projected Standings · American Rivers · 2025
Win Projection
Odds of winning at least N conference games from current power ratings — full slate played out, not locked to results. AVG = expected wins; W–L = most-likely record.
| # | Team | W–L | PWR | AVG | ≥8 | ≥7 | ≥6 | ≥5 | ≥4 | ≥3 | ≥2 | ≥1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favorites | ||||||||||||
| 1 | Nebraska Wesleyan | 5–3 | +4.6 | 4.9 | 2 | 12 | 35 | 63 | 85 | 96 | 99 | ✓ |
| 2 | Wartburg | 4–4 | +2.0 | 4.4 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 48 | 75 | 92 | 98 | ✓ |
| Challengers | ||||||||||||
| 3 | Central College | 4–4 | +1.6 | 4.3 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 46 | 73 | 91 | 98 | ✓ |
| 4 | Coe College | 4–4 | +1.6 | 4.3 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 45 | 72 | 91 | 98 | ✓ |
| The Field | ||||||||||||
| 5 | Simpson College (IA) | 4–4 | -0.8 | 3.8 | 3 | 12 | 32 | 59 | 83 | 96 | 99 | |
| 6 | Dubuque | 4–4 | -1.4 | 3.7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 55 | 80 | 95 | 99 | |
| 7 | Loras College | 4–4 | -1.5 | 3.7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 55 | 80 | 95 | 99 | |
| Rebuilding | ||||||||||||
| 8 | Buena Vista | 3–5 | -2.5 | 3.5 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 49 | 76 | 93 | 99 | |
| 9 | Luther | 3–5 | -3.6 | 3.3 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 42 | 70 | 90 | 99 | |
Conference Power · Division III
Where We Stand
| # | Conference | Avg Power |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | American Southwest | |
| 2 | Wisconsin | |
| 3 | Commonwealth Coast | |
| 4 | Old Dominion | |
| 5 | Northwest | |
| 6 | USA South | |
| 7 | Michigan | |
| 8 | Minnesota | |
| 9 | NEWMAC | |
| 10 | MSCAC | |
| 11 | Southern Athletic | |
| 12 | American RiversYou are here | |
| 13 | Southern Collegiate Athletic | |
| 14 | Landmark Conference | |
| 15 | Heartland | |
| 16 | So. Cal. | |
| 17 | Centennial | |
| 18 | Upper Midwest | |
| 19 | CCIW | |
| 20 | New Jersey | |
| 21 | Liberty League | |
| 22 | North Coast | |
| 23 | Ohio | |
| 24 | Mid Atlantic | |
| 25 | Presidents' | |
| 26 | Empire 8 | |
| 27 | NACC | |
| 28 | Midwest | |
| 29 | NESCAC |
Round-robin power = strength of schedule-adjusted conference average, points vs. all-level average team. Record = American Rivers's record vs. that conference across all games this season.
American Rivers is outperforming its raw power profile. The league body of work is stronger than the market would expect.
League Drivers
American Rivers Team Board
The league stack, sorted by predictive strength. Power is shown as neutral-field points versus the all-level average team, while resume is shown on a 0-100 season score.
| Rank | Team | Record | Power | Resume | ATS | Wins vs Market | Recent Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #444 | Nebraska Wesleyan | 1-9 | -6.4 | 8 | -- | +0.00 | 0-4 over the last 4 (L8 L10 L11 L12) |
| #479 | Wartburg | 10-1 | -8.9 | 86 | -- | +0.00 | 3-1 over the last 4 (W9 W10 W12 L14) |
| #483 | Central College | 8-2 | -9.3 | 74 | -- | +0.00 | 2-2 over the last 4 (L9 W10 W11 L12) |
| #485 | Coe College | 9-3 | -9.3 | 64 | -- | +0.00 | 3-1 over the last 4 (W11 W12 W13 L14) |
| #530 | Simpson College (IA) | 6-4 | -11.7 | 58 | -- | +0.00 | 3-1 over the last 4 (W9 W10 L11 W12) |
| #552 | Dubuque | 4-6 | -12.4 | 21 | -- | +0.00 | 2-2 over the last 4 (W8 L9 L10 W11) |
| #557 | Loras College | 3-7 | -12.4 | 28 | -- | +0.00 | 2-2 over the last 4 (W9 L10 L11 W12) |
| #592 | Buena Vista | 3-7 | -13.4 | 14 | -- | +0.00 | 1-3 over the last 4 (L9 L10 W11 L12) |
| #643 | Luther | 0-10 | -14.5 | 2 | -- | +0.00 | 0-4 over the last 4 (L8 L9 L11 L12) |