Lehigh beats William & Mary 44-20

Team pages: William & Mary · Lehigh

William & Mary2-120
Lehigh3-044Final
Sat, Sep 12 · Goodman Stadium, Bethlehem, Pa. · Crowd 5,240ESPN+

Lehigh beat William & Mary 44-20.

We had Lehigh favored. It won.

Next: William & Mary lost to Fordham 52-27, Sat Sep 19

Next: Lehigh beat Dartmouth 24-20, Sat Sep 19

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Lehigh a 79% chance, and the closing betting line (Lehigh was a 13.5-point favorite) put it at 86%.

Favored the whole way: Lehigh never fell below 85%.

William & Mary never had better than a 15% chance.

FinalLehigh 44-20 William & MaryLehigh wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4LehighWon44-20Scores
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4LehighWon44-20Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4LehighLowest 0%Lost20-44Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4LehighLowest 0%Lost20-44Scores

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

Lehigh’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Lehigh -13.5), at 85% for Lehigh (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.

Every drive

Lehigh scored on 6 of its 12 drives; William & Mary on 3 of its 12.

Lehigh’s drives are teal, William & Mary’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1William & Mary: Punt, from 72 yards out to 64PuntLehigh: Touchdown, from 69 yards out to 0TouchdownWilliam & Mary: Safety, from 81 yards out to 100SafetyLehigh: Missed field goal, from 59 yards out to 17Missed FGWilliam & Mary: Punt, from 80 yards out to 78PuntLehigh: Touchdown, from 85 yards out to 0TouchdownWilliam & Mary: Punt, from 72 yards out to 59PuntQ2Lehigh: Touchdown, from 65 yards out to 0TouchdownWilliam & Mary: Interception, from 75 yards out to 64InterceptionLehigh: Touchdown, from 58 yards out to 0TouchdownWilliam & Mary: Punt, from 75 yards out to 63PuntLehigh: Punt, from 70 yards out to 69PuntWilliam & Mary: Touchdown, from 74 yards out to 0TouchdownLehigh: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownWilliam & Mary: End of half, from 67 yards out to 69End of halfQ3Lehigh: Punt, from 75 yards out to 66PuntWilliam & Mary: Turned over on downs, from 74 yards out to 2DownsLehigh: Punt, from 98 yards out to 89PuntWilliam & Mary: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownQ4Lehigh: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownWilliam & Mary: Touchdown, from 79 yards out to 0TouchdownLehigh: Fumble, from 50 yards out to 25FumbleWilliam & Mary: Fumble, from 76 yards out to 49FumbleLehigh: End of game, from 51 yards out to 53End of game

Box score

Lehigh 44, William & Mary 20

Lehigh covered −13.5 by 10.5. The total, 64, went over 47.5.

William & Mary leaders

  • Passing Winston Watkins 18 of 22, 164 yds
  • Rushing Andrew King 11 for 78 yds; Jah'Kei Chavis 10 for 51 yds, 2 TD
  • Receiving Kai Austin 10 for 82 yds; Luke Vanantwerp 5 for 55 yds

Lehigh leaders

  • Passing Hayden Johnson 4 of 6, 84 yds
  • Rushing Luke Yoder 23 for 169 yds, 3 TD; Derek Morgan 6 for 72 yds, 1 TD
  • Receiving Nick Palumbo 3 for 71 yds, 1 TD; Jamaire Harden 2 for 35 yds

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last two games

William & Mary · 2-0

Rated 183rd in our preseason ratings, 180th now.

Two straight wins, including a 3-point win over Villanova as a 12.5-point underdog.

W 22-15 vs Delaware State #187 of 668

won by 7 as a 9.5-point favorite

William & Mary won 22-15 vs Delaware State. Chance to win started at 81%, low 80%, high better than 99%.

W 35-32 @ Villanova #146 of 668

won by 3 as a 12.5-point underdog

William & Mary won 35-32 at Villanova. Chance to win started at 13%, low 2%, high better than 99%.

Last two games

Lehigh · 2-0

Rated 140th in our preseason ratings, 140th now.

Two straight wins — but still hunting a ranked opponent.

W 45-14 @ Georgetown #258 of 668

won by 31 as a 22.5-point favorite

Lehigh won 45-14 at Georgetown. Chance to win started at 91%, low 89%, high better than 99%.

W 35-10 @ Holy Cross #209 of 668

won by 25 as a 14-point favorite

Lehigh won 35-10 at Holy Cross. Chance to win started at 78%, low 76%, high better than 99%.

Week by week

Lehigh

Wk 1: W 35-10 at Holy Cross▲25Holy CrossWk 1: W 45-14 at Georgetown▲31Georgetown
  • Wk 1Wat Holy Cross35-10
  • Wk 1Wat Georgetown45-14

William & Mary

Wk 1: W 35-32 at Villanova▲3VillanovaWk 1: W 22-15 vs Delaware State▲7Delaware State
  • Wk 1Wat Villanova35-32
  • Wk 1Wvs Delaware State22-15

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Lehigh’s chances here.

50-50Model 79% · Line 86%William & MaryLehigh

Lehigh favored by 13.5 · Total 47.5

How games like this usually go

Lehigh by 13.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 385 games since 2025 with a favorite of 7.5 to 14.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 2 points toward Lehigh.

opened −11.5now −13.5

Spread: −11.5 → −13.5

The books’ cut: 5.3%, the margin built into the odds

Where next

Conference standings

Place in the conference, then conference record.