cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Anthony Simpson /Michigan

Anthony Simpson

WR · Michigan · Sr · #5

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Michigan → Toledo for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Toledo

2025Michigan
2026Toledo

WR · MICHIGAN · BIG TEN

Anthony Simpson

  • 4
  • #5
  • 5-11 | 186 lb
  • Hartford, CT

CFB Zeitgeist WR Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#3468

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2021–2024
46.02021
64.02022
7922023
16.02024

-65%

Sharp dropoff (-65%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2503 national
CFB
College
3 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey5
Measurements5-11 | 186 lb
HometownHartford, CT
Primary teamMichigan

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 5 recruit
Composite rating 0.8250 PrepSchool
Signed with Arizona 2021
Origin Trinity-Pawling School (PREP) Pawling, NY, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8250 No. 5 recruit | PrepSchool | Arizona
2020 3-star | 0.8100 No. 2503 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Toledo 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 17, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Michigan -> Toledo 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate
2025 Massachusetts -> Michigan 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3468Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3903Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Arizona

Composite

0.8250

#5 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Anthony Simpson

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

62

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 4 mentions
Confidence LOW

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 4 mentions · belief +25 · "Is Michigan's freshman QB the next Trevor Lawrence? Bryce Underwood's potential "Own fansNational: 3 mentions · belief +0 · "[Source](https://www.rotowire.com/cfootball/headlines/anthony-simpson-news-movin"National
  • Own fans · n=4
  • National · n=3

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Anthony Simpson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Anthony Simpson's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Michigan, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3468 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 1.3% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions -- -- rec TD
Receiving yards -- -- per catch
Scrimmage yards 10 Total offensive yardage
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
1 35th
YDS
10 48th
YPC
10.0 87th
TD
0 81st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 1 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 3W 63-3vs Central Michigan
Total
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Arizona1-11HC: Jedd Fisch · Balanced
2022Arizona5-7HC: Jedd Fisch · Pass-leaning
2023Massachusetts3-9HC: Don Brown · Balanced, slow tempo
2024Massachusetts2-10HC: Shane Montgomery · Run-leaning
2025Michigan9-4HC: Sherrone Moore · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Michigan----------
2024Massachusetts3165.30--
2023Massachusetts5779213.93--
2022Arizona56412.80--
2021Arizona44611.50--
Career5 loaded seasons6991813.33--
SeasonTeam
2025Michigan110------
2024Massachusetts----64----
2023Massachusetts119310----
2022Arizona28342----
2021Arizona17------
Career5 loaded seasons15118416----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 1.3% 0.0% pass-game share | #1114/1137 (2nd pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Usage Pass share 0.0% #1114/1137 2nd pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 10 #173/346 50th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 10 #206/397 48th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 10.0 #54/393 87th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 1 #264/407 35th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 2.4% #829/1137 27th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 1.8% #114/1137 90th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 1.6% #982/1137 14th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 1.3% #1096/1137 4th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 0.0% #993/1137 13th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 0.0% #937/1137 18th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 0.0% #1009/1137 11th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 1 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home1g

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins1g

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-71g

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

2 metrics · season cumulative

Production sits in the middle of the position cohort across the board.

Rush yards#156 / 287 · 45th pct
10rush
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Sherrone Moore

Pass share

40.9%

340 pass / 492 run

Plays / game

64.0

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.4%

256 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Jim Harbaugh
Michigan
2022
Jim Harbaugh
Michigan
2023
Jim Harbaugh
Michigan
2024
Sherrone Moore
Michigan
era →
2025
Sherrone Moore
Michigan

Coaching transition mid-career: Jim Harbaugh → Sherrone Moore. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownHartford, CT
Height5'11"
Weight186 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Massachusetts WR4 #3468 #3903 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | FBS Independents
2023 Massachusetts WR4 #956 #1549 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | FBS Independents
2022 Arizona WR4 #2367 #2744 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12
2021 Arizona WR4 #3221 #3736 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Michigan Big Ten WR 4 No. 5 | 5-11 | 186 lb | Hartford, CT
2024 Massachusetts FBS Independents WR 4 No. 5 | 5-11 | 186 lb | Hartford, CT
2023 Massachusetts FBS Independents WR 4 No. 5 | 5-11 | 186 lb | Hartford, CT
2022 Arizona Pac-12 WR 4 No. 5 | 5-11 | 186 lb | Hartford, CT
2021 Arizona Pac-12 WR 4 No. 5 | 5-11 | 186 lb | Hartford, CT