CFB Zeitgeist Score
42
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 92nd percentile.
Brendan Sullivan
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
222 PASS YDS · 2 PASS TD · 76 RUSH YDS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Tulane for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Quarterback · Tulane
Returning around him
- 15% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- Transfer portal: -7 net (20 in / 27 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Tulane · Last season: 11-3 (AP #17) · Talent rank #68 · 2026 recruiting class #74
QB · TULANE · AMERICAN ATHLETIC
Brendan Sullivan
- 4
- #6
- 6-4 | 220 lb
- Davison, MI
Heisman Heat
#105
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2022–2025-62%
Sharp dropoff (-62%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
3 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3-star | 0.8696 | No. 695 recruit | HighSchool |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Iowa -> Tulane | 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate |
| 2024 | Northwestern -> Iowa | 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8696
#695 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Brendan Sullivan
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Brendan Sullivan
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 12g
222Pass yards
2Pass TDs
2INT
Per game
18.5Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
240.5Pass yards
2Pass TDs
2INT
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 222): needs 2,778/game over remaining 1.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 222): needs 3,778/game over remaining 1.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 2): needs 23/game over remaining 1.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 2): needs 28/game over remaining 1.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 2): needs 33/game over remaining 1.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Brendan Sullivan's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Tulane, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Balanced quarterback against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
19 42nd
ATT
30 43rd
CMP%
63.3% 59th
Y/A
7.4 64th
Passing Production
YDS
222 42nd
TD
2 52nd
INT
2 52nd
Rushing
CAR
31 58th
YDS
76 61st
YPC
2.5 46th
TD
0 44th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | W 33-31@ South Alabama | 3/3 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 13.3 | 80.2 | |
| Wk 3 | W 34-27vs Duke | 2/2 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 12.5 | 99.9 | |
| Wk 4 | L 10-45@ Ole Miss | 5/12 | 48 | 1 | 1 | 4.0 | 31.3 | |
| Wk 5 | W 31-14@ Tulsa | 1/2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 5.0 | 3.1 | |
| Wk 7 | W 26-19vs East Carolina | 1/1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 15.0 | 61.1 | |
| Wk 8 | W 24-17vs Army | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 10 | L 26-48@ UTSA | 6/7 | 63 | 1 | 1 | 9.0 | 70.3 | Season-high 63 yds |
| Wk 11 | W 38-32@ Memphis | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 3.2 | |
| Wk 12 | W 35-24vs Florida Atlantic | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 13 | W 37-13@ Temple | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 14 | W 27-0vs Charlotte | 1/1 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 21.0 | 62.7 | |
| Bowl | L 10-41@ Ole Miss | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 6.7 | |
| Total | 19/30 | 222 | 2 | 2 | 8.9 | 46.5 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Northwestern1-11HC: Pat Fitzgerald · Balanced
2023Northwestern8-5HC: David Braun · Run-leaning
2024Iowa8-5HC: Kirk Ferentz · Run-heavy
2025Tulane11-3HC: Jon Sumrall · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Tulane | 19 | 30 | 63.3% | 222 | 7.4 | 2 | 2 | 134.2 | -- | -- |
| 2024 | Iowa | 38 | 53 | 71.7% | 474 | 8.9 | 3 | 3 | 154.2 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Northwestern | 63 | 99 | 63.6% | 714 | 7.2 | 6 | 2 | 140.2 | -- | -- |
| 2022 | Northwestern | 71 | 96 | 74.0% | 589 | 6.1 | 4 | 3 | 133.0 | -- | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 191 | 278 | 68.7% | 1,999 | 7.2 | 15 | 10 | 139.7 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Tulane | 31 | 76 | 2.5 | 0 | -- |
| 2024 | Iowa | 47 | 151 | 3.2 | 4 | -- |
| 2023 | Northwestern | 75 | 160 | 2.1 | 2 | -- |
| 2022 | Northwestern | 54 | 97 | 1.8 | 1 | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 207 | 484 | 2.3 | 7 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 222 | #223/382 | 42nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 2 | #198/407 | 52nd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 19 | #225/383 | 42nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 63.3% | #159/383 | 59th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 7.4 | #140/382 | 64th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 76 | #160/408 | 61st pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.35 | #42/200 | 80th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 62 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 7.5% | #295/428 | 31st pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 30 | #232/407 | 43rd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 2 | #195/407 | 52nd pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 31 | #173/408 | 58th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 10 | #298/391 | 24th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 2.5 | #222/407 | 46th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #230/408 | 44th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 8.2% | #317/428 | 26th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 7.8% | #276/428 | 36th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 7.8% | #327/428 | 24th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 7.7% | #332/428 | 23rd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 7.4% | #297/428 | 31st pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 7.1% | #223/428 | 48th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 6.8% | #307/428 | 29th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.32 | #36/140 | 75th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 44 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/258 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 12.2 | 0.0 | 16.2 | 0.0 |
| Road7g | 23.0 | 0.3 | 5.2 | 0.3 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins9g | 12.3 | 0.0 | 11.1 | 0.0 |
| Losses3g | 37.0 | 0.7 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 23.0 | 0.2 | 8.3 | 0.2 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 14.0 | 0.2 | 10.0 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
42Mid-pack
Elite: interceptions (92nd). Strength: fumbles lost (91st). Concern: pass yards (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Brendan SullivanTulaneNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 59% simCade KlubnikClemson· 58% simJalen KitnaUAB· 57% sim
Interceptions
Fumbles lost
Yards / att
Completion %
Rush yards
Rush TDs
Pass TDs
Pass yards
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jon Sumrall
Pass share
45.8%
424 pass / 501 run
Plays / game
66.1
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
3.4%
294 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
3 coaches2022
Willie Fritz
Tulane
2023era →
Slade Nagle
Tulane
2024era →
Jon Sumrall
Tulane
2025
Jon Sumrall
Tulane
Played under 3 different head coaches: Willie Fritz, Slade Nagle, and Jon Sumrall. Multi-era developmental context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownDavison, MI
Height6'4"
Weight220 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey6
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamTulane
ConferenceAmerican Athletic
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Iowa | QB4 | #105 | #101 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2023 | Northwestern | QB4 | #182 | #238 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2022 | Northwestern | QB4 | #750 | #1084 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2021 | Northwestern | QB4 | #1530 | #1425 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big Ten |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Tulane | American Athletic | QB | 4 | No. 6 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Davison, MI |
| 2024 | Iowa | Big Ten | QB | 4 | No. 6 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Davison, MI |
| 2023 | Northwestern | Big Ten | QB | 4 | No. 6 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Davison, MI |
| 2022 | Northwestern | Big Ten | QB | 4 | No. 6 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Davison, MI |
| 2021 | Northwestern | Big Ten | QB | 4 | No. 6 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Davison, MI |