Caleb Heavner

#6 · QB · Sr. · Miami (OH)6′2″ · 220 lb · Denison, TX

ZPR22113th of 119 QBs Last gameL 31–34vs Buffalo · Nov 3

Nextvs OhioTue Nov 10 · 7 pm ET

Graded Shaky or Rough in each of the last two games.

Last game: L 31-34 in overtime vs Buffalo, Nov 3 · 12 of 23 for 154 yards, a touchdown · 13 carries for -5 yards

Miami (OH)’s next game: vs Ohio, Tue Nov 10, 7:00 p.m. ET · ESPN2

Miami (OH) is 3-2 in the five games with 10 or more passes thrown. A vertical passer.

Weakest: sacked on 13% of dropbacks, 4th highest of 158 starters.

Plays most like Burton, UAB.

Passing yards

769

68 of 125, 54%

TD–INT

4–4

6.2 per throw

NCAA rating

110.2

115th of 119

ZPR

113th of 119

How ZPR works

Shaky or worse in 5 of 5 graded games.

Best by our grade: at Central Michigan. Lowest: Akron, with 1 interception and sacked 2 times. Best play: Completion for 10 yards, touchdown, against Bowling Green, Q4 8:50. Win chance 36% to 63%. Costliest play: Sack, against Bowling Green, Q4 0:04. Win chance 30% to 0%.

Tap a game for its plays

Q1Q2Q3Q4

at Pittsburgh

L 14–59·Unranked

Came on in Q4

Came on in the fourth quarter for David McComb · 21 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT · Rush 1 for 11 · Sacked 0

Holy Cross

W 45–7·FCS

Came on at half

Came on at half for David McComb, up 42-0 · 2 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT · Rush 4 for 21 · Sacked 0

at Cincinnati

L 31–35·Unranked

Did not play

UConn

W 24–21·Unranked

Came on in Q4

Came on in the fourth quarter for David McComb · 13 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT · Rush 2 for 4 · Sacked 0

Bowling Green

L 20–24·Unranked

Shaky

Passing grade only · 198 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT · Rush 15 for 24 · Sacked 5

Heavner showing some good pocket presence so far!
Miami (OH) fan

Biggest swing: a Q4 completion added 40 points of win chance. It flipped the game for the team: 23% to 63%.

Full game page

at Massachusetts

W 20–19·Unranked

Shaky

Passing grade only · 95 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT · Rush 11 for 54, 1 TD · Sacked 2

Biggest swing: a Q1 run added 22 points of win chance. Win chance: 55% to 78%.

Full game page

Akron

W 34–14·Unranked

Rough

65 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT · Rush 5 for 45 · The interception cost about 6 points of win chance · Sacked 2

Biggest swing: a Q2 completion added 11 points of win chance. Win chance: 76% to 87%.

Full game page

at Central Michigan

W 28–27·Unranked

Shaky

Passing grade only · 221 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT · Rush 15 for 58, 1 TD · A second-quarter interception took the team's chance of winning from 71% to 44% · Sacked 4

Biggest swing: a Q2 completion added 28 points of win chance. It flipped the game for the team: 37% to 65%.

Full game page

Buffalo

L 31–34·Unranked

Rough

Strong start, faded late · 154 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT · Rush 13 for -5 · Sacked 5

Biggest swing: a Q1 completion added 16 points of win chance. Win chance: 59% to 76%.

Full game page

Season

Fades after halftime

How to read this

Each column is a quarter. Blue and up is a good stretch for the quarterback, red and down a bad one, hatched means the game was already decided. A red cross is a turnover and a black dot a touchdown. The word on the right grades the whole game; on games with a lot of running it grades the passing only. A gold line means the r/CFB game thread kept naming the quarterback. Tap a game to open its plays: each bar is one of the quarterback’s plays, up helped the team’s chance of winning and down hurt it, and the grey line is that chance.

The word grades the game against every FBS quarterback start, from Rough to Great, using the same throws as the season Zeitgeist Passer Rating and adjusting for the defense faced. Bars are points added per throw in that quarter. The Season row leaves out quarters after a game was decided.

Style of play

Vertical passer

Also: mobile

Why this word

Runs6.8 a gameRarelyA lot

Throws10.4 yards past the lineShortDeep

Completes54%FewerMore

Takes sacks13% of dropbacksRarelyOften

The dot is this quarterback, among this season’s starters; the tick is the middle.

Throws deeper than most and runs some. 6.8 carries a game. Closest matches: Burton, Semonza, James ’25, Brosterhous.

Where the throws go

Behind the line11%typical 17%

Short45%typical 47%

Middle26%typical 22%

Deep18%typical 14%

Runs 6.8 times a game; 78% of starters run less.

Closest in style

Nearer the middle means more alike.

Burton UAB · Balanced
1,333 yards, 6 TD, 5 INT so far. Both rarely throw behind the line and miss more.
Semonza Tulane · Balanced
804 yards, 4 TD, 2 INT so far. Both throw deep and score less.
James ’25 Boston College 2025 · Mobile passer
1,196 yards, 7 TD, 5 INT. Both rarely throw behind the line and throw deep.
Brosterhous Utah State · Run-first
1,120 yards, 7 TD, 6 INT so far. Both rarely throw behind the line and throw deep.

Compared with the 158 FBS starters this season for throws and running, and with 219 quarterbacks across 2 seasons for the matches, on how they play and how they have done.

This week

RecordMiami (OH) is 5-4.

Caleb Heavner

QB · Miami (OH) · Fr · #6

Filling the Shoesas of Nov 4

Caleb Heavner takes over from Dequan Finn at Miami (OH).

769passing yards4passing TD217rushing yards

Passing value per play

+0.13

our model · 2026 · 57 plays

Read the story so far

Caleb Heavner lines up at QB for Miami (OH).

On the field, the headline is 769 pass yds, with 4 pass td.

Caleb Heavner inherited the QB job from Dequan Finn.

The number to watch: +0.13 — passing value per play.

QB successionleap of faith

Inherited fromDequan Finn

AI-generated narrative · may contain errors · not journalism · updated 2026-11-04

Career stats

Swipe the table sideways for more columns.

Season	Team
2026	Miami (OH)	68	125	54.4%	769	6.2	4	4	110.2	22
Career		68	125	54.4%	769	6.2	4	4	110.2	22

Season	Team
2026	Miami (OH)	66	212	3.2	2	29
Career		66	212	3.2	2	29

Last game (Wk 10): 154 passing yards, 1 passing TD.

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2026 season · 8 games

Box score · CFBD

Swipe the table sideways for more columns.

Wk	Opp	Grade	CMP/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA	QBR	SK	RUSH	Note
Wk 1	L 14-59@ Pittsburgh	Came on in Q4	3/4	21	0	1	5.3	—	—	11
Wk 2	W 45-7vs Holy Cross	Came on at half	1/2	2	0	0	1.0	--	—	21
Wk 4	W 24-21vs UConn	Came on in Q4	3/3	13	0	0	4.3	28.0	0	4
Wk 5	L 20-24vs Bowling Green	Shaky	17/24	198	1	0	8.3	40.3	5	24
Wk 6	W 20-19@ Massachusetts	Shaky	6/20	95	0	0	4.8	26.0	2	54
Wk 7	W 34-14vs Akron	Rough	8/16	65	1	1	4.1	11.0	2	45
Wk 8	W 28-27@ Central Michigan	Shaky	18/33	221	1	2	6.7	32.7	4	58	Season-high 221 yds
Wk 10	L 31-34vs Buffalo	Rough	12/23	154	1	0	6.7	—	5	-5
Total			68/125	769	4	4	6.2	—	18	212

The latest game

Nov. 3 · L 31-34 vs Buffalo, play by play

12 of 23 for 154 yards and a touchdown. He was 5 of 15 on third and fourth down.

4 of 12 of his drives scored
5 of 15 on 3rd and 4th down
sacked 5 times
8 runs for 27 yds

First quarterbegan tied 0-0
Punt0 of 1, 0 yds1
TD4 of 4, 48 yds23
TD1 of 1, 15 yds4
Second quarterbegan up 7-3
Punt0 of 1, 0 yds
Punt1 of 2, 13 yds
FG3 of 7, 38 yds
Third quarterbegan up 18-10
Punt—
Missed FG1 of 2, 9 yds
TD2 of 3, 31 yds
Fourth quarterbegan up 18-16
Punt—
Punt0 of 1, 0 yds
Ot quarterbegan tied 31-31
Missed FG0 of 1, 0 yds
FinalL 31-34

a drive that ended in a touchdown or a field goala drive he didn’t playa completion, by its yardshis runincompleteinterceptedsacked, by the yards lost

completea touchdownincompleteinterceptedhis runsacked

No game thread archived for this game yet.

1
Sacked for a 10-yard loss on 3rd and 5. First quarter, tied 0-0.
2
10-yard completion to Braylon Isom on 3rd and 3. First quarter, down 3-0. Converted.
3
21-yard touchdown pass to Braylon Isom. First quarter, made it 7-3.
4
15-yard completion to Maleek Huggins on 3rd and 15. First quarter, up 7-3. Converted.

The season, game by game

Highs and lows

Only games with 20 or more plays count for best and lowest.
Best by our grade	at Central Michigan	W 28-27 · Graded shaky · Passing grade only · 221 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT · Rush 15 for 58, 1 TD · A second-quarter interception took the team's chance of winning from 71% to 44% · Sacked 4
Lowest by our grade	Akron	W 34-14 · Graded rough · 65 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT · Rush 5 for 45 · The interception cost about 6 points of win chance · Sacked 2
Best play	Bowling Green	Completion for 10 yards, touchdown, Q4 8:50 · Win chance 36% to 63%
Costliest play	Bowling Green	Sack, Q4 0:04 · Win chance 30% to 0%

Where he ranks

Stat	His	Nation	Mid-American
Passing yards	769	133rd of 370	12th of 34
Yards an attempt	6.2	T-134th of 152	T-9th of 14
Touchdown passes	4	T-134th of 370	T-12th of 34
Passer rating	110.2	145th of 152	12th of 14
Completion percentage	54.4	143rd of 152	13th of 14
Rushing yards	212	54th of 370	6th of 34
Rushing touchdowns	2	T-71st of 370	T-9th of 34

Counting stats rank all FBS quarterbacks with a pass attempt; the rates rank those with at least 10 attempts a game.

All Mid-American quarterbacks

Rk	Quarterback	Yards	TD	INT	Att	Y/A
1	John Alan Richter	2,244	17	2	259	8.7
2	Noah Kim	1,678	11	4	285	5.9
3	Dru DeShields	1,624	9	7	251	6.5
4	Jay Kastantin	1,567	11	8	225	7.0
5	Broc Lowry	1,397	11	3	194	7.2
6	Jason Wright	1,345	9	6	231	5.8
7	Brayden Roggow	1,343	7	10	192	7.0
8	Keldric Luster	1,300	9	6	211	6.2
9	David McComb	1,120	7	1	103	10.9
10	William Watson III	1,025	8	2	138	7.4
11	Nick Poulos	966	7	0	117	8.3
12	Caleb Heavner	769	4	4	125	6.2
13	Cibastian Broughton	612	4	1	100	6.1
14	Angel H Flores	475	2	2	92	5.2
15	Jadyn Glasser	463	2	3	74	6.3
16	Logan Inagawa	296	1	1	37	8.0
17	Tyler Mizzell	260	1	0	38	6.8
18	Elijah Holmes	253	3	0	61	4.1
19	Carson Conklin	222	0	1	46	4.8
20	Brogan McCaughey	215	1	1	43	5.0
21	Levi Davis	203	2	0	27	7.5
22	Aedan McCarthy	182	0	0	33	5.5
23	Brian Salazar	99	1	0	10	9.9
24	Trey Petty	59	1	0	8	7.4
25	Marcus Beamon	40	0	0	8	5.0
26	Walter Moses	40	1	0	1	40.0
27	Jace Stuckey	24	0	0	5	4.8
28	Nolan Good	24	0	2	14	1.7
29	Khamoni Robinson	21	0	1	6	3.5
30	Austin Novosad	20	0	0	7	2.9
31	Ethan Thanthanavong	16	0	0	2	8.0
32	Mason Atkins	10	0	0	1	10.0
33	Semaj Beals	0	0	0	1	0.0
34	Deante Ruffin	-1	0	0	3	-0.3

Sorted by passing yards. Gray: under 10 attempts a game, so not ranked on yards an attempt.

Opponents faced, by strength

Ratings of the games shown run from -25 to +8 points against an average team (SP+ rating of each opponent).

Pass targets

Huggins and Isom saw 48 of the 125 charted throws.

Receiver	Targets	Catches	Yards	Throw depth	After catch
Maleek Huggins	27	16	248	12.8	3.4
Braylon Isom	21	10	109	13.6	1.1
Lynel Billups-Williams	20	9	99	7.0	7.9
Damarion Witten	15	10	141	12.2	2.9
Scoop Smith	12	7	67	12.2	6.6
9 others	25	16	105	4.8	3.6
No receiver charted	5	All four interceptions are among these

Play by play: 125 passes, 68 caught, 769 yards. Throw depth: average air yards per target. After catch: average yards after the catch per catch. Bar: targets; the blue part was caught.

Passing profile

Pass Profile · True throw depth (charted plays)

Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from

68/125 (54.4%) · 4 TD · 4 INT

125 of 125 attempts matched to play-by-play

125 of 125 attempts charted for true throw depth

Adjusted ANY/A

3.91173 of 185 QBs

Sack rate

12.6%179 of 185 QBs

Sacked on 12.6% of dropbacks (179 of 185) and Adjusted ANY/A trails the field (173 of 185).

Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.

Behind LOS · Negative air yds

11% of attempts (14)

79%comp

Air -2.6 · YAC 6.8 avg

Short · 0–9 air yds

46% of attempts (57)

63%comp1 INT

Air 5.2 · YAC 2.8 avg

Middle · 10–19 air yds

25% of attempts (31)

48%comp1 INT

Air 13.0 · YAC 5.4 avg

Deep · 20+ air yds

18% of attempts (23)

26%comp2 INT

Air 27.8 · YAC 1.8 avg

Overall 54.4% completion on 125 attempts · 26% completion on 23 deep attempts (20+ air yds).

Teams and coaches

2026Miami (OH)5-4HC: Chuck Martin · Run-leaning, slow tempo

Our ratings

CFB Zeitgeist Score 30 (#127 of 145). Show the ratings

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

30Below cohort / limited sample #127 of 145?

12 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: sack rate (3rd percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Explosive rate#110 / 157 · 30th pct

8.8%

Interception rate#126 / 157 · 20th pct

3.2%

Success rate#148 / 157 · 6th pct

33.6%

EPA / dropback#150 / 157 · 5th pct

-0.14

Sack rate#153 / 157 · 3rd pct

12.6%

Box-score rates (7)

Rush yards#45 / 159 · 72nd pct

212

Interceptions#62 / 159 · 54th pct

Rush TDs#57 / 159 · 52nd pct

Pass yards#138 / 159 · 14th pct

769

Yards / att#138 / 159 · 13th pct

6.2

Pass TDs#136 / 159 · 12th pct

Completion %#149 / 159 · 7th pct

54.4%

Season trend

EPA / dropback— first qualifying season

Success rate— first qualifying season

Explosive rate— first qualifying season

Sack rate— first qualifying season

Interception rate— first qualifying season

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Zeitgeist Passer Rating

2026 · our own passing-efficiency number, shown next to the 1979 formula it does not replace.

After 136 dropbacks

22Zeitgeist Passer Rating113th of 119 FBS QBs

NCAA passer rating 110.2 115th of 119 FBS QBs

Positive-play rate weight 24%

40.2%9th pct of FBS QBs

share of dropbacks that gained expected points · +0.5% schedule adj.

Yards per attempt weight 56%

6.5316th pct of FBS QBs

sacks excluded · +0.2 schedule adj.

Sack rate weight 21% (penalty)

13.5%0th pct of FBS QBs

the input passer rating cannot see · +0.3% schedule adj.

Opponent-adjusted; garbage time excluded (7 of 143 dropbacks dropped). 50 = FBS average; the number is pulled toward 50 when the sample is thin. How ZPR is built.

Splits

Home and road splits, scheme and staff

Splits · Per-game

2026 season · 8 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Home5g	86.4	0.6	4.9	0.2
Road3g	112	0.3	5.6	1.0

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Weeks 1-76g	65.7	0.3	4.6	0.3
Weeks 8+2g	188	1.0	6.7	1.0

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Chuck Martin

Pass share

43.0%

229 pass / 303 run

Plays / game

59.1

9 games

Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.

Miami (OH)’s two quarterbacks

Caleb Heavner	Threw in 8 of 9 games · 68 of 125, 769 yds, 4 TD, 4 INT · 6.2 yards an attempt on 125 attempts · ran for 212 yds, 2 TD
David McComb	Threw in 4 of 9 games · 65 of 103, 1,120 yds, 7 TD, 1 INT · 10.9 yards an attempt on 103 attempts · ran for 45 yds, 3 TD

Box score. Every quarterback on the team who has thrown a pass this season.

Who threw, quarter by quarter

Who threw in each quarter. Blue: Caleb Heavner. Gray: David McComb. From the play by play.

Q1Q2Q3Q4OT@ PittsburghHoly Cross@ CincinnatiUConnBowling Green@ MassachusettsAkron@ Central MichiganBuffalo

Awards

Player standing · 2026

Starter

125 pass attempts and 66 carries in 8 games, fewer passes and runs a game than most FBS quarterbacks who play every week.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Zeitgeist Score

30 · #127 of 145 QBs

Caleb Heavner

Style of play

This week

What fans said

Named in

Where to follow

Career stats

Game log

The latest game

The season, game by game

Highs and lows

Where he ranks

Pass targets

Passing profile

Teams and coaches

Our ratings

Splits

Miami (OH)’s two quarterbacks

Who threw, quarter by quarter

Awards

Starter

First season at Miami (OH), 8 games