cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Devin Robinson /Tulsa

Devin Robinson

LB · Tulsa · So · #16

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

50 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Tulsa for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Tulsa for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Linebacker · Tulsa

Returning around him

  • 99% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -1 net (21 in / 22 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Tulsa · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #85 · 2026 recruiting class #109

LB · TULSA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Devin Robinson

  • 2
  • #16
  • 6-0 | 210 lb
  • Tulsa, OK

CFB Zeitgeist Score

51

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by tackles for loss at the 85th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#14513

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2029 national
CFB
College
Tulsa
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class2
Jersey16
Measurements6-0 | 210 lb
HometownTulsa, OK
Primary teamTulsa

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2029 recruit
Composite rating 0.8230 HighSchool
Signed with Tulsa 2023
Origin Union Tulsa, OK, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8230 No. 2029 recruit | HighSchool | Tulsa

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#14513Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#14746Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Tulsa

Composite

0.8230

#2029 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Devin Robinson

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Devin Robinson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
50Tackles
6Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
54Tackles
6.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 50): needs 30/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 50): needs 50/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 6/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 10/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Devin Robinson is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Tulsa's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 6.0 tackles for loss, and 1 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #14513 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 0.0 sacks | 6.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 50 21 solo | #600/4942 (88th pct)
TFL 6.0 Backfield disruption | #406/4972 (92nd pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
50 88th
SOLO
21 79th
TFL
6.0 92nd
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
2 64th
INT
1 65th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 35-7vs Abilene Christian610.00.00
Wk 2L 14-21@ New Mexico State652.50.002.5 TFL
Wk 3L 23-42vs Navy200.00.00
Wk 4W 19-12@ Oklahoma State420.00.00
Wk 5L 14-31vs Tulane410.00.00
Wk 6L 7-45@ Memphis420.00.00
Wk 8L 27-41@ East Carolina631.00.01
Wk 9L 37-38vs Temple720.50.00Season-high 7 tackles
Wk 11L 21-40@ Florida Atlantic110.00.01
Wk 12W 31-14vs Oregon State200.00.00
Wk 13W 26-25@ Army100.00.00
Wk 14L 24-31vs UAB742.00.010
Total50216.00.012
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Tulsa4-8HC: Kevin Wilson · Run-heavy
2024Tulsa3-9HC: Kevin Wilson · Balanced
2025Tulsa4-8HC: Tre Lamb · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Tulsa50216.00.021--
2024Tulsa23110.00.0------
2023Tulsa110.00.0------
Career3 loaded seasons74336.00.021--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 1 0 pick-six TD | #308/869 (65th pct)
Pass breakups 2 Coverage disruption | #792/2184 (64th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 50 #600/4942 88th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 6.0 #406/4972 92nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 1 #308/869 65th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 2 #792/2184 64th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 21 #959/4584 79th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 14.0 #292/578 50th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 14 #365/578 37th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g4.70.40.00.0
Road6g3.70.60.00.3

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins4g3.20.00.00.0
Losses8g4.60.80.00.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g4.30.40.00.0
Weeks 8+6g4.00.60.00.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

51Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles for loss (85th). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Tackles for loss#406 / 2975 · 85th pct
6.0defe
Tackles#600 / 2975 · 79th pct
50defe
Passes defended#777 / 2975 · 67th pct
2defe
Solo tackles#959 / 2975 · 67th pct
21defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Interceptions#304 / 817 · 31st pct
1inte
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Devin RobinsonTulsaTyler MartinMassachusetts· 87% simRobert FitzgeraldNorthwestern· 81% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 80% sim
Tackles for loss
85
Robinson
63
Martin
85
Fitzgerald
56
Ra-El
Tackles
79
Robinson
98
Martin
99
Fitzgerald
99
Ra-El
Passes defended
67
Robinson
67
Martin
86
Fitzgerald
91
Ra-El
Solo tackles
67
Robinson
87
Martin
100
Fitzgerald
100
Ra-El
Forced fumbles
47
Robinson
47
Martin
47
Fitzgerald
47
Ra-El
Interceptions
31
Robinson
31
Martin
31
Fitzgerald
Sacks
24
Robinson
24
Martin
24
Fitzgerald
24
Ra-El
QB hurries
22
Robinson
22
Martin
55
Fitzgerald
22
Ra-El

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Linebacker

Solid in every phase without a signature dimension.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Mario Thompson’s 2023 season.

Mario Thompson

76%match

Old Dominion · 2023

#2

Ty'Anthony Smith

Texas · 2025

69%
#3

Omar Fortt

UConn · 2021

67%
#4

Kaleo Neves

Utah State · 2022

67%
#5

Terry Thomas

Troy · 2023

67%

Matches Mario on

Tackle volume
Weight
PD rate

Differs from Mario on

Sack rate (lower)
Class year (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to DJ Walker's junior season at Ohio (2025).

DJ Walker

78%match

Ohio · 2025

All-MAC
#2

DJ Johnson Jr.

East Carolina · 2025

75%
#3

Blesyng Alualu-Tuiolemotu

UNLV · 2025

74%
#4

Caleb Ransaw

Troy · 2023

All-AACNFL Rd 3 · Pk 24
72%
#5

Braden Awls

Toledo · 2025

All-MAC
70%

Matches DJ on

TFL rate
Tackle volume
PD rate

Differs from DJ on

Weight (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tre Lamb

Pass share

45.9%

407 pass / 480 run

Plays / game

73.9

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.2%

357 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Kevin Wilson
Tulsa
2024
Kevin Wilson
Tulsa
2025
Tre Lamb
Tulsa
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Kevin Wilson → Tre Lamb. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownTulsa, OK
Height6'0"
Weight210 lb
Class2
PositionLB
Jersey16

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Tulsa LB2 #14513 #14746 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 Tulsa LB2 #15462 #15553 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Tulsa American Athletic LB 2 No. 16 | 6-0 | 210 lb | Tulsa, OK
2024 Tulsa American Athletic LB 2 No. 16 | 6-0 | 210 lb | Tulsa, OK
2023 Tulsa American Athletic LB 2 No. 16 | 6-0 | 210 lb | Tulsa, OK