cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Dylan Goffney /SMU

Dylan Goffney

WR · SMU · Sr · #18

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

16 REC YDS · 1 REC · 0 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to SMU for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to SMU for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Wide receiver · SMU

Returning around him

  • 50% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 1 SMU player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -11 net (14 in / 25 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

SMU · Last season: 9-4 (AP #25) · Talent rank #25 · 2026 recruiting class #31

WR · SMU · ACC

Dylan Goffney

  • 4
  • #18
  • 6-0 | 216 lb
  • Cypress, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

18

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 84th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4576

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2021–2025
1312021
3692022
2982023
16.02025

-88%

Sharp dropoff (-88%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#511 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey18
Measurements6-0 | 216 lb
HometownCypress, TX
Primary teamSMU

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 511 recruit
Composite rating 0.8804 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2021
Origin Bridgeland Cypress, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8804 No. 511 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination SMU 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate May 5, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Colorado State -> SMU 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate
2023 SMU -> Colorado State 3-star | 0.8800 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4576Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4917Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8804

#511 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Dylan Goffney

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Dylan Goffney

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Dylan Goffney's story is about how role and output meet each other. For SMU, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #4576 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 1.6% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 1 0 rec TD | #973/1110 (12th pct)
Receiving yards 16 16.0 per catch | #958/1107 (14th pct)
Scrimmage yards 16 Total offensive yardage | #958/1107 (14th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Big-play receiver

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
1 12th
YDS
16 14th
YPR
16.0 82nd
TD
0 45th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 1 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 42-13vs East Texas A&M11616.0016Season-high 16 yds
Total11616.0016
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021SMU8-4HC: Jim Leavitt · Balanced
2022SMU7-6HC: Rhett Lashlee · Balanced, fast tempo
2023Colorado State5-7HC: Jay Norvell · Pass-leaning
2025SMU9-4HC: Rhett Lashlee · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025SMU11616.00--
2023Colorado State2329813.02--
2022SMU1836920.52--
2021SMU141319.40--
Career4 loaded seasons5681414.54--
SeasonTeam
2025SMU----------
2023Colorado State----1763--
2022SMU----15----
2021SMU----------
Career4 loaded seasons----1913--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 1.6% 3.3% pass-game share | #1007/1137 (12th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns | #615/1111 (45th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 1 #973/1110 12th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 16 #958/1107 14th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #615/1111 45th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 16.0 #205/1106 82nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 3.3% #1007/1137 12th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 16 #845/1105 24th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 5.3% #673/1137 41st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 5.0% #509/1137 55th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 1.6% #1017/1137 11th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 0.0% #1017/1137 11th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 0.0% #937/1137 18th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 0.0% #1080/1137 5th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 1 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home1g1.016.016.00.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins1g1.016.016.00.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-71g1.016.016.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

18Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / catch (83rd). Concern: receptions (0th).

Yards / catch#90 / 558 · 84th pct
16.0rece
Rec TDs#482 / 558 · 7th pct
0rece
Long catch#549 / 558 · 2nd pct
16rece
Rec yards#559 / 558 · 0th pct
16rece
Receptions#559 / 558 · 0th pct
1rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Dylan GoffneySMUMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 38% simTrent WalkerOregon State· 34% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 34% sim
Yards / catch
84
Goffney
9
III
40
Walker
15
Gibson
Rec TDs
7
Goffney
24
III
42
Walker
7
Gibson
Long catch
2
Goffney
16
III
39
Walker
56
Gibson
Rec yards
0
Goffney
70
III
89
Walker
74
Gibson
Receptions
0
Goffney
92
III
95
Walker
92
Gibson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Rhett Lashlee

Pass share

53.7%

460 pass / 396 run

Plays / game

65.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.4%

333 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Jim Leavitt
SMU
2022
Rhett Lashlee
SMU
era →
2023
Rhett Lashlee
SMU
2025
Rhett Lashlee
SMU

Coaching transition mid-career: Jim Leavitt → Rhett Lashlee. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownCypress, TX
Height6'0"
Weight216 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey18

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Colorado State WR4 #4576 #4917 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 Colorado State WR4 #1812 #2382 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mountain West
2022 SMU WR4 #1308 #1545 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | American Athletic
2021 SMU WR4 #1451 #1273 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 SMU ACC WR 4 No. 18 | 6-0 | 216 lb | Cypress, TX
2024 Colorado State Mountain West WR 4 No. 18 | 6-0 | 216 lb | Cypress, TX
2023 Colorado State Mountain West WR 4 No. 18 | 6-0 | 216 lb | Cypress, TX
2022 SMU American Athletic WR 4 No. 18 | 6-0 | 216 lb | Cypress, TX
2021 SMU American Athletic WR 4 No. 18 | 6-0 | 216 lb | Cypress, TX