#10

Dylan Hopkins

Senior quarterback for New Mexico. 2023: 2,074 passing yards, 11 TD, 9 INT.

QB · New Mexico · Sr. · #10

6′2″ · 225 lb · Maryville, TN

CFB Index 39 · #90 of 140 QBsHigh confidenceNew Mexico 2023 alumnus

Recruiting

3★

DUAL recruit

No. 2228 nationally · Signed with UAB

No college snaps yet.

His career numbers, season by season

The story

4 quarterback for New Mexico. 2023: 2,074 passing yards, 11 TD, 9 INT.

Signed as a 3-star recruit to UAB in 2018.
Transferred from UAB to New Mexico in 2023.

His career, year by year

How it ended

Five seasons at New Mexico, 6,831 passing yards — his college career is complete.

His career

Nobody recruited him. He earned the honors anyway.

2018

Signed with UAB3-star out of Maryville

202112 games

The role got bigger.

All-Conference USAhonorable_mention

202311 games

Entered the portal

Career arc

Recruit

★★★

#2228 national

CFB

College

2 teams

2018–2023

NFL

NFL Draft

—

Not drafted

Trophy case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

4 honors · 1 category

🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE USA

All-Conference USA mention (2021)

Coaching lineage · 2018–2023

2 coaches

2018–2019

Bob Davie

New Mexico

2021–2023

Danny Gonzales

New Mexico

era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Bob Davie → Danny Gonzales. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

2023 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2018UAB11-3HC: Bill Clark · Run-heavy

2019UAB9-5HC: Bill Clark · Run-heavy

2021UAB9-4HC: Bill Clark · Run-heavy

2022UAB7-6HC: Bryant Vincent · Run-heavy

2023New Mexico4-8HC: Danny Gonzales · Run-leaning

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

39Below cohort / limited sample #90 of 140?

High confidence13 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: interception rate (19th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

EPA / dropback#40 / 177 · 78th pct

0.39

Success rate#52 / 177 · 71st pct

44.9%

Sack rate#58 / 177 · 68th pct

4.7%

Explosive rate#64 / 177 · 64th pct

11.3%

Interception rate#144 / 177 · 19th pct

1.1%

Box-score rates (8)

Fumbles lost#24 / 167 · 71st pct

Yards / att#75 / 179 · 56th pct

7.4

Pass yards#80 / 179 · 56th pct

2074

Rush yards#88 / 179 · 51st pct

124

Pass TDs#95 / 179 · 44th pct

Rush TDs#124 / 179 · 23rd pct

Interceptions#133 / 179 · 22nd pct

Completion %#147 / 179 · 18th pct

55.7%

Season trend

Last seasonThis season

EPA / dropback

81st → 78th percentile

Success rate

69th → 71st percentile

Explosive rate

63rd → 64th percentile

Sack rate

52nd → 68th percentile

Interception rate

80th → 19th percentile

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Passing profile

Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)

Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from

156/266 (58.6%) · 11 TD · 9 INT

266 of 282 attempts matched to play-by-play

Adjusted ANY/A

6.22105 of 212 QBs

Sack rate

4.4%69 of 212 QBs

Rarely sacked (69 of 212 QBs) and still 105 of 212 in Adjusted ANY/A.

Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.

Short

0–9 yds

47%of completions

74 comp4.5 yds avg2 TD

Middle

10–19 yds

33%of completions

52 comp13.7 yds avg3 TD

Deep

20+ yds

19%of completions

30 comp34.0 yds avg5 TD

Overall 58.6% completion on 266 attempts · 30 deep completions averaging 34.0 yds.

Situational

Is he a different quarterback when it matters

Each situation vs his own 2023 baseline

No situation moves him more than 40 percentile points from his baseline.

BaselineThis situation

Down 1

-35 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 4/107 (3.7%) · league sack rate 4.9% · ~our read

Down 2

+13 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 4/81 (4.9%) · league sack rate 5.2% · ~our read

Down 3+

+40 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 3/66 (4.5%) · league sack rate 9.1% · ~our read

Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2023 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Home6g	204	1.3	8.4	0.3
Road5g	171	0.6	7.2	1.4

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Weeks 1-76g	194	1.2	8.6	0.7
Weeks 8+5g	182	0.8	7.0	1.0

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Jason Eck

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2023

Impact starter

Producing measurably more than a replacement-level starter.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

39 · #90 of 140 QBs

Three-star recruit. Now #90 at the position.

Career stats

Season	Team
2023	New Mexico	157	282	55.7%	2,074	7.4	11	9	123.9	47	--	--
2022	UAB	136	215	63.3%	1,920	8.9	10	4	149.9	74	--	--
2021	UAB	155	235	66.0%	2,274	9.7	18	7	166.6	69	--	--
2019	UAB	44	85	51.8%	563	6.6	3	5	107.3	--	--	--
2018	UAB	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
Career		492	817	60.2%	6,831	8.4	42	25	141.3	62	--	--

Season	Team
2023	New Mexico	51	124	2.4	1	--
2022	UAB	48	116	2.4	2	--
2021	UAB	85	19	0.2	5	--
2019	UAB	64	217	3.4	1	--
2018	UAB	--	--	--	--	--
Career		248	476	1.9	9	--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 2 · 2023

W 56–10

vs Tennessee Tech

273 yds · 4 TD · 1 INT · QBR 81.1 · 9 rush yds (3 car)

Dominant 46-point win at home against Tennessee Tech.

With J. Merritt — 162 rush yds (12 car) · 3 TD · D. Jones — 1 rec · 78 yds · 1 TD

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 2 · Tennessee Tech · 1&10 · Q2 · EPA +6.27Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Duece Jones for 78 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)
Week 9 · Nevada · 1&10 · Q3 · EPA +4.66Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 59 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)
Week 2 · Tennessee Tech · 3&12 · Q2 · EPA +4.10Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Luke Wysong for 27 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)
Week 5 · Wyoming · 3&9 · Q3 · EPA +3.99Dylan Hopkins run for 48 yds to the WYO 11 for a 1ST down
Week 4 · Massachusetts · 3&15 · Q2 · EPA +3.86Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Duece Jones for 34 yds to the MASS 16 for a 1ST down
Week 3 · New Mexico State · 2&13 · Q2 · EPA +3.81Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Luke Wysong for 41 yds to the NMSU 23 for a 1ST down
Week 3 · New Mexico State · 4&8 · Q4 · EPA +3.79Dylan Hopkins pass complete to D.J. Washington for 20 yds to the NMSU 40 for a 1ST down
Week 7 · San José State · 2&10 · Q1 · EPA +3.74Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Ryan Davis for 41 yds to the SJSU 28 for a 1ST down
Week 4 · Massachusetts · 1&10 · Q1 · EPA +3.65Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Caleb Medford for 55 yds to the MASS 24 for a 1ST down
Week 4 · Massachusetts · 1&10 · Q2 · EPA +3.55Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 52 yds to the MASS 26 for a 1ST down

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2023 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	CMP/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA	QBR	Note
Wk 1	L 10-52@ Texas A&M	15/24	115	0	1	4.8	63.8
Wk 2	W 56-10vs Tennessee Tech	13/17	273	4	1	16.1	81.1	Season-high 273 yds
Wk 3	L 17-27vs New Mexico State	20/39	247	1	0	6.3	37.5
Wk 4	W 34-31@ Massachusetts	9/17	192	1	0	11.3	82.6
Wk 5	L 26-35@ Wyoming	14/30	151	1	1	5.0	42.1
Wk 7	L 24-52vs San José State	13/24	187	0	1	7.8	22.3
Wk 8	W 42-21vs Hawai'i	20/25	202	3	0	8.1	86.6	3 TD passes
Wk 9	L 24-34@ Nevada	18/34	271	1	3	8.0	8.1	3 INTs — rough day
Wk 10	L 14-56vs UNLV	15/23	187	0	0	8.1	56.6
Wk 12	W 25-17@ Fresno State	8/18	124	0	2	6.9	15.5
Wk 13	L 41-44vs Utah State	12/31	125	0	0	4.0	29.7
Total		157/282	2074	11	9	7.9	47.8

How he plays

Play style

Balanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile.

CFB Index positional classification

Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long

Where the completions actually land

fact

40.5%Completion %

25.0%Conversion/dropback

33.3%Land short of sticks

1INTs

40.5% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 25.0% conversion-per-dropback — 33.3% of completions land short of the sticks.

Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. ~ our read: checkdown by design

Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration

Who gets the tough yard

fact

1/22Inside-5 share

1 of the team's 22 inside-the-5 carries (4.5%).