cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Eric Weatherly /Ball State

Eric Weatherly

WR · Ball State · Jr · #3

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

238 REC YDS · 29 REC · 1 REC TD

IN PORTALIn transfer portal — destination TBD (from Ball State)

In Portal · 2026

In transfer portal

2025Ball State
DestinationTBD

WR · BALL STATE · MID-AMERICAN

Eric Weatherly

  • 3
  • #3
  • 5-8 | 173 lb
  • Jacksonville, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

31

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 95th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2762

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1083 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class3
Jersey3
Measurements5-8 | 173 lb
HometownJacksonville, FL
Primary teamBall State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1083 recruit
Composite rating 0.8567 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2022
Origin Bartram Trail Jacksonville, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8567 No. 1083 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 3 Programs changed on file
Latest destination -- 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 1, 2025
Season Move Context
2026 Ball State -> -- 3-star | Immediate
2025 Bucknell -> Ball State 3-star | Immediate
2023 Duke -> Bucknell 3-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2022 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 20
Current nowcast#2762Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2575Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8567

#1083 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Eric Weatherly

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Eric Weatherly

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Receiving TDs

1

count

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #402 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 24th

Why it matters

#402 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving TDs — 1 TDs on 29 receptions.

Vs cohort

This player 1 (24th)

MODERATE · n=29 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#461 / 531
  • Yards per reception#490 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 14 at Miami (OH) — 1 receiving_tds

Result L 24-45

The week the volume broke through — stacked 1 td at Miami (OH).

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
238Rec yards
29Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
19.8Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
257.8Rec yards
31Receptions
1Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 238): needs 462/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 238): needs 762/game over remaining 1.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 29): needs 31/game over remaining 1.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 29): needs 51/game over remaining 1.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 7/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 9/game over remaining 1.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Eric Weatherly's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Ball State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2762 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 7.7% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 3 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 29 1 rec TD | #297/1110 (73rd pct)
Receiving yards 238 8.2 per catch | #421/1107 (62nd pct)
Scrimmage yards 355 Total offensive yardage | #421/1107 (62nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
29 73rd
YDS
238 62nd
YPR
8.2 18th
TD
1 64th

Rushing

CAR
13 93rd
YDS
117 96th
YPC
9.0 84th
TD
0 81st

Returns

KR YDS
78 58th
KR AVG
15.6 28th
PR YDS
-8 1st
PR AVG
-4.0 1st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 0-31@ Purdue188.008
Wk 2L 3-42@ Auburn5428.4016
Wk 3W 34-29vs New Hampshire11010.0010
Wk 4L 25-31@ UConn24020.0028
Wk 6W 20-14vs Ohio2147.0010
Wk 7L 0-42@ Western Michigan540.803
Wk 8W 42-28vs Akron294.507
Wk 9L 7-21@ Northern Illinois11616.0016
Wk 11W 17-13vs Kent State3155.006
Wk 12L 9-24vs Eastern Michigan341.304
Wk 13L 9-38@ Toledo12222.0022
Wk 14L 24-45@ Miami (OH)35418.0135Season-high 54 yds
Total2923810.1135
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Duke9-4HC: Mike Elko · Run-leaning
2025Ball State4-8HC: Mike Uremovich · Run-heavy, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Ball State292388.21--
2022Duke----------
Career2 loaded seasons292388.21--
SeasonTeam
2025Ball State1311778-8--
2022Duke216------
Career2 loaded seasons1513378-8--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 7.7% 13.3% pass-game share | #303/1137 (73rd pct)
Return yards 70 0 return TD | #101/238 (58th pct)
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #396/1111 (64th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 29 #297/1110 73rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 238 #421/1107 62nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #396/1111 64th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 8.2 #909/1106 18th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return yards 78 #101/238 58th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards -8 #223/224 1st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 13.3% #303/1137 73rd pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 117 #17/397 96th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 22 #56/346 84th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 13 #30/407 93rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 9.0 #64/393 84th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 35 #527/1105 52nd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return avg 15.6 #171/236 28th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick returns 5 #86/243 65th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 2 #156/237 35th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg -4.0 #220/222 1st pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 9.7% #253/1137 78th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 9.6% #105/1137 91st pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 7.7% #230/1137 80th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 6.5% #258/1137 77th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 6.4% #516/1137 55th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 5.9% #403/1137 65th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 3.3% #47/1137 96th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #131/302 57th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home5g2.210.45.60.0
Road7g2.626.613.30.1

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins4g2.012.06.60.0
Losses8g2.623.811.80.1

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g2.719.79.00.0
Weeks 8+6g2.220.011.10.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

31Below cohort
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rush yards (94th). Concern: yards / catch (4th).

Rush yards#15 / 287 · 95th pct
117rush
Receptions#297 / 558 · 46th pct
29rece
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Fumbles lost#86 / 218 · 36th pct
1fumb
Rec yards#421 / 558 · 25th pct
238rece
Rec TDs#373 / 558 · 24th pct
1rece
Long catch#436 / 558 · 21st pct
35rece
Yards / catch#529 / 558 · 5th pct
8.2rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2022

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Eric WeatherlyBall StateJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 70% simKevin Coleman Jr.Missouri· 67% simAaron TurnerRice· 61% sim
Rush yards
95
Weatherly
76
Gibson
89
Jr.
98
Turner
Receptions
46
Weatherly
92
Gibson
94
Jr.
92
Turner
Rush TDs
39
Weatherly
39
Gibson
39
Jr.
99
Turner
Fumbles lost
36
Weatherly
81
Turner
Rec yards
25
Weatherly
74
Gibson
84
Jr.
48
Turner
Rec TDs
24
Weatherly
7
Gibson
24
Jr.
68
Turner
Long catch
21
Weatherly
56
Gibson
56
Jr.
65
Turner
Yards / catch
5
Weatherly
15
Gibson
28
Jr.
1
Turner

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Ja'Carree Kelly’s 2025 season.

Ja'Carree Kelly

90%match

Delaware · 2025

#2

Aaron Turner

UConn · 2021

82%
#3

Eric Willis III

UTEP · 2025

78%
#4

Yusuf Ali

Middle Tennessee · 2022

76%
#5

Jalen Walker

Miami (OH) · 2022

76%

Matches Ja'Carree on

Yards / reception
Total EPA (college ability)
Reception volume

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Brian Jenkins Jr.’s path through Alabama A&M.

Brian Jenkins Jr.

99%match

Alabama A&M · 2022

#2

Aviyon Smith-Mack

Sam Houston · 2025

96%
#3

Geoffrey Wall

Charleston Southern · 2021

94%
#4

Dior Scott

Hawai'i · 2022

89%
#5

Sutton Smith

Memphis · 2025

All-AACNFL Rd 6
88%

Matches Brian on

Yards per reception

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Sutton Smith's senior season at Memphis (2025).

Sutton Smith

76%match

Memphis · 2025

All-AACNFL Rd 6
#2

Joseph Himon II

Northwestern · 2025

76%
#3

Robert Briggs

Southern Miss · 2025

73%
#4

Braylon McReynolds

UL Monroe · 2025

73%
#5

Gavin Freeman

Oklahoma State · 2025

65%

Matches Sutton on

Total EPA (college ability)
Height
Reception volume

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Mike Uremovich

Pass share

38.2%

277 pass / 449 run

Plays / game

60.5

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

19.6%

265 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Mike Neu
Ball State
2025
Mike Uremovich
Ball State
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Mike Neu → Mike Uremovich. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownJacksonville, FL
Height5'8"
Weight173 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey3

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2022 Duke WR3 #2762 #2575 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Ball State Mid-American WR 3 No. 3 | 5-8 | 173 lb | Jacksonville, FL
2022 Duke ACC WR 3 No. 3 | 5-8 | 173 lb | Jacksonville, FL