CFB Zeitgeist Score
31
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 95th percentile.
Eric Weatherly
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
238 REC YDS · 29 REC · 1 REC TD
In Portal · 2026
In transfer portal
WR · BALL STATE · MID-AMERICAN
CFB Zeitgeist Score
31
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 95th percentile.
Heisman Heat
#2762
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterImpact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3-star | 0.8567 | No. 1083 recruit | HighSchool |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Ball State -> -- | 3-star | Immediate |
| 2025 | Bucknell -> Ball State | 3-star | Immediate |
| 2023 | Duke -> Bucknell | 3-star | Immediate |
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 20Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8567
#1083 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
1
count
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
Why it matters
#402 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving TDs — 1 TDs on 29 receptions.
Vs cohort
MODERATE · n=29 cohort 531
Signature Moment
Week 14 at Miami (OH) — 1 receiving_tds
Result L 24-45
The week the volume broke through — stacked 1 td at Miami (OH).
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 238): needs 462/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 238): needs 762/game over remaining 1.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 29): needs 31/game over remaining 1.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 29): needs 51/game over remaining 1.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 7/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 9/game over remaining 1.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Eric Weatherly's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Ball State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
Rushing
Returns
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 0-31@ Purdue | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 2 | L 3-42@ Auburn | 5 | 42 | 8.4 | 0 | 16 | |
| Wk 3 | W 34-29vs New Hampshire | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | 0 | 10 | |
| Wk 4 | L 25-31@ UConn | 2 | 40 | 20.0 | 0 | 28 | |
| Wk 6 | W 20-14vs Ohio | 2 | 14 | 7.0 | 0 | 10 | |
| Wk 7 | L 0-42@ Western Michigan | 5 | 4 | 0.8 | 0 | 3 | |
| Wk 8 | W 42-28vs Akron | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wk 9 | L 7-21@ Northern Illinois | 1 | 16 | 16.0 | 0 | 16 | |
| Wk 11 | W 17-13vs Kent State | 3 | 15 | 5.0 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 12 | L 9-24vs Eastern Michigan | 3 | 4 | 1.3 | 0 | 4 | |
| Wk 13 | L 9-38@ Toledo | 1 | 22 | 22.0 | 0 | 22 | |
| Wk 14 | L 24-45@ Miami (OH) | 3 | 54 | 18.0 | 1 | 35 | Season-high 54 yds |
| Total | 29 | 238 | 10.1 | 1 | 35 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Ball State | 29 | 238 | 8.2 | 1 | -- |
| 2022 | Duke | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 29 | 238 | 8.2 | 1 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Ball State | 13 | 117 | 78 | -8 | -- |
| 2022 | Duke | 2 | 16 | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 15 | 133 | 78 | -8 | -- |
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 29 | #297/1110 | 73rd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 238 | #421/1107 | 62nd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 1 | #396/1111 | 64th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 8.2 | #909/1106 | 18th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 78 | #101/238 | 58th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt return yards | -8 | #223/224 | 1st pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 13.3% | #303/1137 | 73rd pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 117 | #17/397 | 96th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 22 | #56/346 | 84th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Carries | 13 | #30/407 | 93rd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 9.0 | #64/393 | 84th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #81/411 | 81st pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 35 | #527/1105 | 52nd pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 15.6 | #171/236 | 28th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick returns | 5 | #86/243 | 65th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt returns | 2 | #156/237 | 35th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt return avg | -4.0 | #220/222 | 1st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 9.7% | #253/1137 | 78th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 9.6% | #105/1137 | 91st pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 7.7% | #230/1137 | 80th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 6.5% | #258/1137 | 77th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 6.4% | #516/1137 | 55th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 5.9% | #403/1137 | 65th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 3.3% | #47/1137 | 96th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #131/302 | 57th pct | Turnoversvs FBS WR |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 2.2 | 10.4 | 5.6 | 0.0 |
| Road7g | 2.6 | 26.6 | 13.3 | 0.1 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins4g | 2.0 | 12.0 | 6.6 | 0.0 |
| Losses8g | 2.6 | 23.8 | 11.8 | 0.1 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 2.7 | 19.7 | 9.0 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 2.2 | 20.0 | 11.1 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
Elite: rush yards (94th). Concern: yards / catch (4th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2022
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Ja'Carree Kelly’s 2025 season.
Ja'Carree Kelly
Aaron Turner
Eric Willis III
Yusuf Ali
Jalen Walker
Matches Ja'Carree on
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Brian Jenkins Jr.’s path through Alabama A&M.
Brian Jenkins Jr.
Aviyon Smith-Mack
Geoffrey Wall
Dior Scott
Sutton Smith
Matches Brian on
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Sutton Smith's senior season at Memphis (2025).
Sutton Smith
Joseph Himon II
Robert Briggs
Braylon McReynolds
Gavin Freeman
Matches Sutton on
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Mike Uremovich
Pass share
38.2%
277 pass / 449 run
Plays / game
60.5
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
19.6%
265 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy, slow tempo.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
2 coachesCoaching transition mid-career: Mike Neu → Mike Uremovich. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Duke | WR3 | #2762 | #2575 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | ACC |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Ball State | Mid-American | WR | 3 | No. 3 | 5-8 | 173 lb | Jacksonville, FL |
| 2022 | Duke | ACC | WR | 3 | No. 3 | 5-8 | 173 lb | Jacksonville, FL |