CFB Zeitgeist QB Score
Awaiting
Jalen Mayden
Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.
QB · SAN DIEGO STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST
Jalen Mayden
- 4
- #18
- 6-3 | 220 lb
- Sachse, TX
Heisman Heat
#381
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 0 · Not on teamR01 · Scout team / redshirt
Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2021–2023+3962%
Up 3962% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
San Diego State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 4-star | 0.8917 | No. 361 recruit | HighSchool | Mississippi State |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Mississippi State -> San Diego State | 4-star | TBD |
Heisman Lens · 2023 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 19Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Mississippi State
Composite
0.8917
#361 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Jalen Mayden
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Jalen Mayden
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Scenario Explorer
Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.
Why this is a two-channel quarterback case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The unusual part of Jalen Mayden's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For San Diego State, he has 2,031 passing yards and 10 touchdown passes, but he also adds 528 rushing yards and 5 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.
2023 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2023 season snapshot | final
2023 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Steady volume | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2023 Season · Final
2023 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
199 82nd
ATT
314 81st
CMP%
63.4% 60th
Y/A
6.5 41st
Passing Production
YDS
2,031 77th
TD
10 74th
INT
9 12th
Rushing
CAR
128 92nd
YDS
528 92nd
YPC
4.1 66th
TD
5 86th
Game Log
Week-by-week box
No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021San Diego State11-2HC: Brady Hoke · Run-heavy
2022San Diego State7-6HC: Brady Hoke · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2023San Diego State4-8HC: Brady Hoke · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | San Diego State | 199 | 314 | 63.4% | 2,031 | 6.5 | 10 | 9 | 122.5 | -- | -- |
| 2022 | San Diego State | 140 | 236 | 59.3% | 2,018 | 8.6 | 12 | 10 | 139.5 | -- | -- |
| 2021 | San Diego State | 5 | 6 | 83.3% | 50 | 8.3 | 1 | 0 | 208.3 | -- | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 344 | 556 | 61.9% | 4,099 | 7.4 | 23 | 19 | 130.6 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | San Diego State | 128 | 528 | 4.1 | 5 | -- |
| 2022 | San Diego State | 69 | 231 | 3.3 | 3 | -- |
| 2021 | San Diego State | 4 | 36 | 9.0 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 201 | 795 | 4.0 | 8 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 2,031 | #88/382 | 77th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 10 | #105/407 | 74th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 199 | #70/383 | 82nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 63.4% | #155/383 | 60th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 6.5 | #226/382 | 41st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 528 | #32/408 | 92nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 14.5% | #240/428 | 44th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 314 | #77/407 | 81st pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 9 | #359/407 | 12th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 128 | #34/408 | 92nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 70 | #11/391 | 97th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 5 | #59/408 | 86th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.1 | #138/407 | 66th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 20.6% | #255/428 | 41st pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 16.7% | #219/428 | 49th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 14.3% | #242/428 | 44th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 13.8% | #230/428 | 46th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 11.1% | #292/428 | 32nd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 8.8% | #182/428 | 58th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 7.1% | #339/428 | 21st pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 4 | #237/258 | 9th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits
Per-game splits
Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2023
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Sean Lewis
Pass share
35.3%
290 pass / 532 run
Plays / game
63.2
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.6%
224 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2023
1 coach2021
Brady Hoke
San Diego State
2022
Brady Hoke
San Diego State
2023
Brady Hoke
San Diego State
Played his entire career under Brady Hoke.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownSachse, TX
Height6'3"
Weight220 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey18
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamSan Diego State
ConferenceMountain West
Joined2023
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | San Diego State | QB4 | #381 | #599 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2022 | San Diego State | QB4 | #227 | #321 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2021 | San Diego State | QB4 | #535 | #418 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mountain West |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | San Diego State | Mountain West | QB | 4 | No. 18 | 6-3 | 220 lb | Sachse, TX |
| 2022 | San Diego State | Mountain West | QB | 4 | No. 18 | 6-3 | 220 lb | Sachse, TX |
| 2021 | San Diego State | Mountain West | QB | 4 | No. 18 | 6-3 | 220 lb | Sachse, TX |