Jaxson Dart: QB · Ole Miss · #2.
Closest statistical matches, adjusted for opponent strength.
Jaxson Dart
Extends plays on the move until something opens up. The four seasons span two programs and two head coaches: Donte Williams and Lane Kiffin. First career honor, 2024: All-SEC. On tape: 515 passing yards and 47 rushing yards against Arkansas, Week 10, 2024.
Play style
Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.
Q4 transformation · one-season descriptive
Fourth-quarter fade
2 times this season the team led entering the fourth quarter and lost — and it shows in the tape: 0.544 → -0.190 EPA/dropback into the fourth.
t=-2.86 (n=340/41), one season of descriptive data — never a predictive trait. Across ~200 QB-seasons screened at this threshold, expected false positives run near 5%.
Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long
Where the completions actually land
51.5% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 24.3% conversion-per-dropback — 47.1% of completions land short of the sticks.
Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. checkdown by design
Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration
Who gets the tough yard
2 of the team's 27 inside-the-5 carries (7.4%).
No outlet on our list has written about this player by name this season.
Yahoo Sports Oct 25Swipe the table sideways for more columns.
Game log · Week-by-week
2024 season · 13 games
Swipe the table sideways for more columns.
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 76-0vs Furman | 22/27 | 418 | 5 | 0 | 15.5 | 97.3 | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 2 | W 52-3vs Middle Tennessee | 25/27 | 377 | 1 | 0 | 14.0 | 84.2 | |
| Wk 3 | W 40-6@ Wake Forest | 26/34 | 377 | 2 | 1 | 11.1 | 90.7 | |
| Wk 4 | W 52-13vs Georgia Southern | 22/31 | 382 | 4 | 1 | 12.3 | 77.3 | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 5 | L 17-20vs Kentucky | 18/27 | 261 | 1 | 0 | 9.7 | 79.5 | |
| Wk 6 | W 27-3@ South Carolina | 14/27 | 285 | 0 | 0 | 10.6 | 90.5 | |
| Wk 7 | L 26-29@ No. 13 LSU | 24/42 | 284 | 1 | 1 | 6.8 | 52.2 | |
| Wk 9 | W 26-14vs Oklahoma | 22/30 | 311 | 1 | 0 | 10.4 | 88.8 | |
| Wk 10 | W 63-31@ Arkansas | 25/31 | 515 | 6 | 0 | 16.6 | 98.2 | Season-high 515 yds |
| Wk 11 | W 28-10vs No. 2 Georgia | 13/22 | 199 | 1 | 1 | 9.0 | 89.6 | |
| Wk 13 | L 17-24@ Florida | 24/41 | 323 | 2 | 2 | 7.9 | 86.3 | |
| Wk 14 | W 26-14vs Mississippi State | 14/24 | 143 | 1 | 0 | 6.0 | 58.5 | |
 Bowl | W 52-20vs Duke | 27/35 | 404 | 4 | 0 | 11.5 | 95.2 | |
| Total | 276/398 | 4279 | 29 | 6 | 10.8 | — |
Week 10 · 2024
W 63-31
at Arkansas
515 yds · 6 TD · 0 INT · QBR 98.2 · 47 rush yds (10 car)
Dominant 32-point win on the road against Arkansas.
With J. Watkins — 8 rec · 254 yds · 5 TD · C. Lee — 5 rec · 127 yds
The plays that mattered most
Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)
Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from
Totals here are the box score's. Play-by-play lists 396 passing plays (273 completions) against the box score's 398 attempts (276 completions), and the depth buckets use play-by-play.
Adjusted ANY/A
10.511 of 205 QBsSack rate
6.4%125 of 205 QBsSacked on 6.4% of dropbacks (125 of 205) — and still 1 of 205 in Adjusted ANY/A.
Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.
Short
0–9 ydsMiddle
10–19 ydsDeep
20+ ydsOverall 69.3% completion on 398 attempts · 73 deep completions averaging 34.5 yds.
Is he a different quarterback when it matters
Each situation vs his own 2024 baseline
No situation moves him more than 17 percentile points from his baseline.
Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.
Splits · Per-game
2024 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 299 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 0.3 |
| Road5g | 357 | 2.2 | 10.6 | 0.8 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-78g | 348 | 2.2 | 11.4 | 0.4 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 298 | 2.2 | 10.0 | 0.6 |
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Lane Kiffin
Pass share
47.6%
433 pass / 477 run
Plays / game
70.0
13 games
Scheme: Balanced.
Player standing · 2024
First team in his league at the position.
The All-Conference 1st team honor is earned — and the box score backs it up emphatically: #1 of 137 FBS quarterbacks by CFB Zeitgeist Score.2024 profile
Recognition
Production · CFB Zeitgeist Score
Former four-star. Now #1 at the position.
How it ended
Four seasons, at USC and Ole Miss, 11,971 passing yards, a first-team All-Conference season (2024) — drafted at #25 overall by the New York Giants.
A blue-chip recruit with honors.
The role got bigger.
Trophy case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
ALL-SEC · 1ST TEAM
All-SEC 1st team (2024)
Coaching lineage · 2021–2024
2 coachesPlayed for 2 head coaches at 2 schools: Donte Williams and Lane Kiffin.
Next stop · NFL
New York GiantsEntering 2nd NFL season
New York GiantsEntering 2nd NFL season
