CFB Zeitgeist Score
20
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 49th percentile.
Jaziun Patterson
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
296 RUSH YDS · 0 RUSH TD · 60 CARRIES
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Michigan State
RB · IOWA · BIG TEN
CFB Zeitgeist Score
20
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 49th percentile.
Heisman Heat
#304
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterStarter. A locked-in starting role.
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2022–2025Up 530% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3-star | 0.8748 | No. 663 recruit | HighSchool |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Iowa -> Michigan State | 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate |
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8748
#663 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
100
Grounded Optimism
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
To hit 750-yard season (currently 296): needs 151.3/game over remaining 3.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 296): needs 234.7/game over remaining 3.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 296): needs 401.3/game over remaining 3.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 3.3/game over remaining 3.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 5/game over remaining 3.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 6.7/game over remaining 3.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Jaziun Patterson's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Iowa, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
Receiving
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 10 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 34-7vs UAlbany | 7 | 47 | 6.7 | 0 | 17 | |
| Wk 2 | L 13-16@ Iowa State | 11 | 60 | 5.5 | 0 | 10 | Season-high 60 yds |
| Wk 3 | W 47-7vs Massachusetts | 10 | 54 | 5.4 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 4 | W 38-28@ Rutgers | 6 | 37 | 6.2 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 9 | W 41-3vs Minnesota | 5 | 18 | 3.6 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 11 | L 16-18vs Oregon | 2 | 10 | 5.0 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 12 | L 21-26@ USC | 8 | 37 | 4.6 | 0 | 10 | |
| Wk 13 | W 20-17vs Michigan State | 6 | 24 | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 14 | W 40-16@ Nebraska | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | 0 | 9 | |
| Bowl | W 34-27@ Vanderbilt | 3 | -3 | -1.0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Total | 60 | 296 | 4.6 | 0 | 17 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 296 | #264/735 | 64th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #447/739 | 40th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.9 | #305/735 | 59th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 3 | #371/552 | 33rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 9 | #460/548 | 16th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.14 | #141/362 | 61st pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 53 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 10.4% | #306/738 | 59th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 60 | #276/739 | 63rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 17 | #434/733 | 41st pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 5 | #482/540 | 11th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 3.0 | #489/548 | 11th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 15.5% | #338/738 | 54th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 14.6% | #236/738 | 68th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 12.5% | #284/738 | 62nd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 9.3% | #370/738 | 50th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 4.4% | #468/738 | 37th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 4.2% | #509/738 | 31st pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 2.0% | #401/738 | 46th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 10 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 30.6 | 4.9 | 0.0 |
| Road5g | 28.6 | 4.3 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins7g | 27.0 | 4.4 | 0.0 |
| Losses3g | 35.7 | 5.0 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-75g | 39.0 | 4.6 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 20.2 | 4.6 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
Concern: rush tds (3rd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jevyon Ducker’s 2021 season.
Jevyon Ducker
Jabari Small
Juma Otoviano
Jaziun Patterson
Pat Garwo III
Matches Jevyon on
Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to CJ Verdell’s path through Oregon.
CJ Verdell
Andrew Body
Trestan Ebner
Kay'Ron Adams
Domonique Thomas
Matches CJ on
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Dallan Hayden's senior season at Colorado (2025).
Dallan Hayden
Donald Chaney Jr.
Pat Garwo III
Justice Ellison
Jabari Small
Matches Dallan on
Differs from Dallan on
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Kirk Ferentz
Pass share
36.6%
286 pass / 495 run
Plays / game
60.1
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.9%
228 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy, slow tempo.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
1 coachPlayed his entire career under Kirk Ferentz.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Team, conference, and class by season.