cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jyaire Hill /Michigan

Jyaire Hill

DB · Michigan · Jr · #20

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

36 TACKLES · 1 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Michigan for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Michigan for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive back · Michigan

Returning around him

  • 40% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 6 Michigan players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -16 net (17 in / 33 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Michigan · Last season: 9-4 (AP #18) · Talent rank #11 · 2026 recruiting class #6

DB · MICHIGAN · BIG TEN

Jyaire Hill

  • 3
  • #20
  • 6-2 | 190 lb
  • Kankakee, IL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

57

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 91st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#8871

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#166 national
CFB
College
Michigan
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDB
Class3
Jersey20
Measurements6-2 | 190 lb
HometownKankakee, IL
Primary teamMichigan

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 166 recruit
Composite rating 0.9333 HighSchool
Signed with Michigan 2023
Origin Kankakee Kankakee, IL, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 4-star | 0.9333 No. 166 recruit | HighSchool | Michigan

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#8871Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#8974Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

NIL Valuation · On3

$798K

On3 ranking · Jun 2026

Whisper Rate

$750K

per-deal market estimate

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Michigan

Composite

0.9333

#166 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jyaire Hill

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jyaire Hill

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 13g
36Tackles
3Tackles for loss
1Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Final
36Tackles
3Tackles for loss
1Sacks

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jyaire Hill is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Michigan's defense, with 1.0 sacks, 3.0 tackles for loss, and 1 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #8871 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 166 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 36 24 solo | #1060/4942 (79th pct)
TFL 3.0 Backfield disruption | #1006/4972 (80th pct)
Sacks 1.0 Pass-rush finish | #872/4972 (82nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash against FBS defenders.

Coverage splash

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
36 79th
SOLO
24 83rd
TFL
3.0 80th
SACK
1.0 82nd

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
5 90th
INT
1 65th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 34-17vs New Mexico330.00.01
Wk 2L 13-24@ Oklahoma431.00.01Season-high 4 tackles
Wk 3W 63-3vs Central Michigan431.01.00
Wk 4W 30-27@ Nebraska400.00.01
Wk 6W 24-10vs Wisconsin320.00.01
Wk 7L 13-31@ USC330.00.00
Wk 8W 24-7vs Washington110.00.00
Wk 9W 31-20@ Michigan State330.00.01
Wk 10W 21-16vs Purdue310.00.00
Wk 12W 24-22@ Northwestern210.00.00
Wk 13W 45-20@ Maryland100.00.00
Wk 14L 9-27vs Ohio State210.00.010
BowlL 27-41@ Texas331.00.00
Total36243.01.015
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Michigan15-0HC: Jim Harbaugh · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2024Michigan8-5HC: Sherrone Moore · Run-heavy
2025Michigan9-4HC: Sherrone Moore · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Michigan36243.01.051--
2024Michigan35265.51.081--
2023Michigan841.50.0------
Career3 loaded seasons795410.02.0132--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 1 0 pick-six TD | #308/869 (65th pct)
Pass breakups 5 Coverage disruption | #218/2184 (90th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 36 #1060/4942 79th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 3.0 #1006/4972 80th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 1.0 #872/4972 82nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 1 #308/869 65th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 5 #218/2184 90th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 24 #790/4584 83rd pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g2.70.20.20.3
Road7g2.90.30.00.4

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins9g2.70.10.10.4
Losses4g3.00.50.00.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g3.40.40.10.6
Weeks 8+6g2.00.00.00.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DB cohort

57Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: passes defended (90th). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Passes defended#218 / 2975 · 91st pct
5defe
Solo tackles#790 / 2975 · 73rd pct
24defe
Tackles#1060 / 2975 · 64th pct
36defe
Sacks#847 / 2975 · 63rd pct
1.0defe
Tackles for loss#1001 / 2975 · 63rd pct
3.0defe
Interceptions#304 / 817 · 31st pct
1inte
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Jyaire HillMichiganBrevin HamblinUtah State· 82% simOwen LongColorado State· 79% simNick AndersenWake Forest· 79% sim
Passes defended
91
Hill
98
Hamblin
91
Long
96
Andersen
Solo tackles
73
Hill
99
Hamblin
99
Long
96
Andersen
Tackles
64
Hill
99
Hamblin
100
Long
99
Andersen
Sacks
63
Hill
74
Hamblin
80
Long
74
Andersen
Tackles for loss
63
Hill
56
Hamblin
80
Long
90
Andersen
Interceptions
31
Hill
31
Hamblin
QB hurries
22
Hill
22
Hamblin
22
Long
22
Andersen

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Centerfielder

Single-high range who erases the deep middle of the field.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Hudson Clark’s 2024 season.

Hudson Clark

90%match

Arkansas · 2024

#2

Malcolm Bell

UConn · 2022

88%
#3

Gabe Jeudy-Lally

BYU · 2022

84%
#4

Ajani Carter

Utah State · 2022

84%
#5

Omarion Cooper

Colorado · 2023

82%

Matches Hudson on

Interceptions
Tackle volume
PD rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Roman Pearson's junior season at Ball State (2025).

Roman Pearson

85%match

Ball State · 2025

#2

Tracy Hill Jr.

Georgia Southern · 2025

All-Sun Belt
82%
#3

Braylon Johnson

Wake Forest · 2025

78%
#4

Antoine Jackson

UCF · 2025

75%
#5

Antonio Kite

Ole Miss · 2025

74%

Matches Roman on

Class year
Height
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Sherrone Moore

Pass share

40.9%

340 pass / 492 run

Plays / game

64.0

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.4%

256 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Jim Harbaugh
Michigan
2024
Sherrone Moore
Michigan
era →
2025
Sherrone Moore
Michigan

Coaching transition mid-career: Jim Harbaugh → Sherrone Moore. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownKankakee, IL
Height6'2"
Weight190 lb
Class3
PositionDB
Jersey20

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Michigan DB3 #8871 #8974 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Michigan DB3 #3645 #3186 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Michigan Big Ten DB 3 No. 20 | 6-2 | 190 lb | Kankakee, IL
2024 Michigan Big Ten DB 3 No. 20 | 6-2 | 190 lb | Kankakee, IL
2023 Michigan Big Ten DB 3 No. 20 | 6-2 | 190 lb | Kankakee, IL