cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Ke'Travion Hargrove /Old Dominion

Ke'Travion Hargrove

RB · Old Dominion · Sr · #18

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

268 RUSH YDS · 4 RUSH TD · 64 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Old Dominion for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Old Dominion for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Running back · Old Dominion

Returning around him

  • 74% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -7 net (15 in / 22 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Old Dominion · Last season: 10-3 · Talent rank #122 · 2026 recruiting class #102

RB · OLD DOMINION · SUN BELT

Ke'Travion Hargrove

  • 4
  • #18
  • 6-0 | 201 lb
  • Ruston, LA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

36

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 50th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2218

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2023–2025
43.02023
2682025

+523%

Up 523% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#310 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey18
Measurements6-0 | 201 lb
HometownRuston, LA
Primary teamOld Dominion

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 310 recruit
Composite rating 0.9001 HighSchool
Signed with Mississippi State 2021
Origin Ruston Ruston, LA, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 4-star | 0.9001 No. 310 recruit | HighSchool | Mississippi State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Old Dominion 2025
Transfer stars 4-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Apr 30, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Grambling -> Old Dominion 4-star | Immediate
2023 Mississippi State -> Memphis 4-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2023 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 19
Current nowcast#2218Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2008Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Mississippi State

Composite

0.9001

#310 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Ke'Travion Hargrove

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmRivals: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "The Hokies lost 45-26 to Old Dominion last year in Blacksburg. [Thomas Hughes]"Rivals
  • Rivals · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Ke'Travion Hargrove

Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
268Rush yards
64Carries
4Rush TDs
Per game
24.4Rush yards
6Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
316.7Rush yards
76Carries
5Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 268): needs 241/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 268): needs 366/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 268): needs 616/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 3/game over remaining 2.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 5.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 8/game over remaining 2.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Ke'Travion Hargrove's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Old Dominion, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2218 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 9.6% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 310 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 460 268 rush | 192 rec | #285/735 (61st pct)
Rush TD 4 64 carries | #154/739 (79th pct)
Yards/carry 4.2 Per-rush efficiency | #455/735 (38th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
64 65th
YDS
268 61st
YPC
4.2 38th
TD
4 79th

Receiving

REC
6 47th
YDS
192 89th
YPR
32.0 99th
TD
2 97th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 14-27@ Indiana372.305
Wk 2W 54-6vs North Carolina Central5255.0012
Wk 3W 45-26@ Virginia Tech7365.1011
Wk 5W 21-7vs Liberty5193.807
Wk 6W 47-7vs Coastal Carolina6477.8029Season-high 47 yds
Wk 7L 24-48@ Marshall6132.205
Wk 9W 24-21vs App State111.001
Wk 10W 31-6@ UL Monroe9384.2112
Wk 12W 33-0vs Troy6203.3013
Wk 13W 45-10@ Georgia Southern10404.03123 rushing TDs
Wk 14W 27-10vs Georgia State6223.7015
Total642683.9429
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Memphis10-3HC: Ryan Silverfield · Balanced
2025Old Dominion10-3HC: Ricky Rahne · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Old Dominion642684.24--
2023Memphis11433.91--
Career2 loaded seasons753114.15--
SeasonTeam
2025Old Dominion619232.02--
2023Memphis----------
Career2 loaded seasons619232.02--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 6 192 rec yds | #291/552 (47th pct)
Usage 9.6% 14.3% rush share | #331/738 (55th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.05 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #298/362 (18th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 268 #285/735 61st pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 4 #154/739 79th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.2 #455/735 38th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 6 #291/552 47th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 192 #63/548 89th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.05 #298/362 18th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 56 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 9.6% #331/738 55th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 64 #261/739 65th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 29 #303/733 59th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 80 #4/540 99th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 32.0 #6/548 99th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #20/552 97th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 14.3% #368/738 50th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 11.5% #312/738 58th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 10.5% #337/738 54th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 8.7% #398/738 46th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 6.9% #355/738 52nd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 6.3% #378/738 49th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 2.3% #376/738 49th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/256 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home6g22.34.10.0
Road5g26.83.60.8

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins9g27.64.20.4
Losses2g10.02.20.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-76g24.54.40.0
Weeks 8+5g24.23.20.8

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

36Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: fumbles lost (86th). Strength: rec yards (82nd). Concern: rush yards (18th).

Fumbles lost#1 / 201 · 87th pct
0fumb
Rec yards#59 / 338 · 82nd pct
192rece
Rush TDs#153 / 349 · 50th pct
4rush
Long run#253 / 349 · 27th pct
29rush
Carries#261 / 349 · 25th pct
64rush
Receptions#253 / 338 · 23rd pct
6rece
Yards / carry#272 / 349 · 20th pct
4.2rush
Rush yards#285 / 349 · 18th pct
268rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2023

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.05Below (<p25) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Ke'Travion HargroveOld DominionTae MeadowsTroy· 62% simSeth McGowanKentucky· 59% simTJ HardenSMU· 58% sim
Fumbles lost
87
Hargrove
49
Meadows
49
McGowan
87
Harden
Rec yards
82
Hargrove
38
Meadows
67
McGowan
54
Harden
Rush TDs
50
Hargrove
72
Meadows
94
McGowan
87
Harden
Long run
27
Hargrove
53
Meadows
11
McGowan
62
Harden
Carries
25
Hargrove
84
Meadows
85
McGowan
87
Harden
Receptions
23
Hargrove
45
Meadows
75
McGowan
75
Harden
Yards / carry
20
Hargrove
29
Meadows
29
McGowan
37
Harden
Rush yards
18
Hargrove
74
Meadows
76
McGowan
80
Harden

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Back

Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Ronald Awatt’s 2020 season.

Ronald Awatt

68%match

UTEP · 2020

#2

Daijun Edwards

Georgia · 2021

69%
#3

Christian Turner

Wake Forest · 2021

70%
#4

Willie Shaw III

Toledo · 2024

68%
#5

Anthony Grant

Nebraska · 2023

64%

Matches Ronald on

Rush TD rate
Yards / carry
Class year

Differs from Ronald on

Recruiting rating (higher)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Bryant Barr’s path through Campbell.

Bryant Barr

99%match

Campbell · 2020

#2

Justin Henderson

Louisiana Tech · 2020

All-Conference USA
96%
#3

Rickey Spruill

Wagner · 2024

96%
#4

Ryan Ingram

Chattanooga · 2025

95%
#5

Matt Jones

Southern Miss · 2025

93%

Matches Bryant on

Yards per carry

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to CJ Ogbonna's junior season at Buffalo (2024).

CJ Ogbonna

61%match

Buffalo · 2024

#2

Logan Smothers

Jacksonville State · 2023

66%
#3

Dewayne Coleman

Army · 2025

65%
#4

Dillon Gabriel

Oklahoma · 2022

All-Big TenNFL Rd 3 · Pk 30
67%
#5

Johnathan Arceneaux

Fresno State · 2025

66%

Matches CJ on

Class year
Rush TD rate
Yards / carry

Differs from CJ on

Height (lower)
Weight (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Ricky Rahne

Pass share

38.0%

330 pass / 539 run

Plays / game

66.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.4%

267 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Ricky Rahne
Old Dominion
2025
Ricky Rahne
Old Dominion

Played his entire career under Ricky Rahne.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownRuston, LA
Height6'0"
Weight201 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey18

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2023 Memphis RB4 #2218 #2008 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic
2022 Mississippi State RB4 #2073 #1797 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Old Dominion Sun Belt RB 4 No. 18 | 6-0 | 201 lb | Ruston, LA
2023 Memphis American Athletic RB 4 No. 18 | 6-0 | 201 lb | Ruston, LA
2022 Mississippi State SEC RB 4 No. 18 | 6-0 | 201 lb | Ruston, LA