Kyler Murray: QB · Oklahoma · #1.
Closest statistical matches, adjusted for opponent strength.
Kyler Murray
Extends plays on the move until something opens up. The three seasons span two programs and two head coaches: Kevin Sumlin and Lincoln Riley. The first career honor came in 2018: Davey O'Brien. A game that shows it: 432 passing yards and 45 rushing yards against Baylor — Week 5, 2018.
Play style
Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.
Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long
Where the completions actually land
60.0% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 34.5% conversion-per-dropback — 33.3% of completions land short of the sticks.
Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. checkdown by design
Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration
Who gets the tough yard
3 of the team's 26 inside-the-5 carries (11.5%).
No outlet on our list has written about this player by name this season.
FOX 4 News Dallas-Fort Worth Nov 3
On3 Oct 29
ABC News Oct 28Swipe the table sideways for more columns.
Game log · Week-by-week
2018 season · 14 games
Swipe the table sideways for more columns.
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 63-14vs Florida Atlantic | 9/11 | 209 | 2 | 0 | 19.0 | — | Clean 2-TD game |
| Wk 2 | W 49-21vs UCLA | 19/33 | 306 | 3 | 1 | 9.3 | — | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 3 | W 37-27@ Iowa State | 21/29 | 348 | 3 | 0 | 12.0 | — | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 4 | W 28-21vs Army | 11/15 | 165 | 3 | 1 | 11.0 | — | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 5 | W 66-33vs Baylor | 17/21 | 432 | 6 | 0 | 20.6 | — | Season-high 432 yds |
| Wk 6 | L 45-48vs No. 19 Texas | 18/25 | 307 | 4 | 1 | 12.3 | — | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 8 | W 52-27@ TCU | 19/24 | 213 | 4 | 0 | 8.9 | — | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 9 | W 51-14vs Kansas State | 19/24 | 352 | 3 | 0 | 14.7 | — | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 10 | W 51-46@ Texas Tech | 20/35 | 360 | 3 | 2 | 10.3 | — | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 11 | W 48-47vs Oklahoma State | 21/29 | 349 | 1 | 0 | 12.0 | — | |
| Wk 12 | W 55-40vs Kansas | 21/32 | 272 | 2 | 1 | 8.5 | — | |
| Wk 13 | W 59-56@ No. 12 West Virginia | 20/27 | 364 | 3 | 1 | 13.5 | — | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 14 | W 39-27vs No. 9 Texas | 25/34 | 379 | 3 | 0 | 11.1 | — | 3 TD passes |
 Bowl | L 34-45vs No. 1 Alabama | 19/37 | 308 | 2 | 0 | 8.3 | — | |
| Total | 259/376 | 4364 | 42 | 7 | 11.6 | — |
Week 5 · 2018
W 66-33
vs Baylor
432 yds · 6 TD · 0 INT · 45 rush yds (10 car) · 1 TD
Dominant 33-point win at home against Baylor.
With A. Seibert — 45.7 yards per punt · 3 punts · 1 inside the 20 · C. Lamb — 3 rec · 101 yds · 1 TD
The plays that mattered most
Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)
Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from
Totals here are the box score's. Play-by-play lists 368 passing plays (251 completions) against the box score's 376 attempts (259 completions), and the depth buckets use play-by-play.
Adjusted ANY/A
12.132 of 207 QBsSack rate
4.6%54 of 207 QBsRarely sacked (54 of 207 QBs) and still 2 of 207 in Adjusted ANY/A.
Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.
Short
0–9 ydsMiddle
10–19 ydsDeep
20+ ydsOverall 68.9% completion on 376 attempts · 68 deep completions averaging 35.9 yds.
Is he a different quarterback when it matters
Each situation vs his own 2018 baseline
No situation moves him more than 48 percentile points from his baseline.
Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.
Splits · Per-game
2018 season · 14 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 298 | 2.9 | 13.6 | 0.4 |
| Road4g | 321 | 3.2 | 11.2 | 0.8 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 296 | 3.3 | 13.2 | 0.4 |
| Weeks 8+7g | 327 | 2.7 | 11.3 | 0.6 |
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Lincoln Riley
Pass share
44.1%
399 pass / 506 run
Plays / game
64.6
14 games
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Player standing · 2018
The trophy is in the case.
Career, closed
Gone at No. 1 overall.
How it ended
Three seasons, at Texas A&M and Oklahoma, 5,409 passing yards, the Davey O'Brien Award (2018) — drafted at No. 1 overall by the Arizona Cardinals.
A stat line in 29 games over three seasons.
Trophy case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
National awards
Davey O'Brien, Manning
2018 season
ALL-BIG 12 · 1ST TEAM
All-Big 12 1st team (2018)
Coaching lineage · 2013–2018
3 coachesPlayed for 3 head coaches at 2 schools: Kevin Sumlin, Bob Stoops and Lincoln Riley.
Next stop · NFL
Arizona CardinalsEntering 8th NFL season
Arizona CardinalsEntering 8th NFL season
