cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Laterrance Welch /UNLV

Laterrance Welch

DB · UNLV · Jr

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

24 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to UNLV for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to UNLV for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive back · UNLV

Returning around him

  • 15% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: +0 net (15 in / 15 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

UNLV · Last season: 10-4 · Talent rank #51 · 2026 recruiting class #95

DB · UNLV · MOUNTAIN WEST

Laterrance Welch

  • 3
  • 6-1 | 190 lb
  • Lafayette, LA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

48

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 98th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#9578

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#127 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDB
Class3
Jersey--
Measurements6-1 | 190 lb
HometownLafayette, LA
Primary teamUNLV

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 127 recruit
Composite rating 0.9503 HighSchool
Signed with LSU 2022
Origin Acadiana Lafayette, LA, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 4-star | 0.9503 No. 127 recruit | HighSchool | LSU

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#9578Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#9251Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to LSU

Composite

0.9503

#127 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Laterrance Welch

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Laterrance Welch

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
24Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
26Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 24): needs 56/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 24): needs 76/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 6/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 10/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Laterrance Welch is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on UNLV's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 0.0 tackles for loss, and 5 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #9578 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 127 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 24 16 solo | #1737/4942 (65th pct)
TFL 0.0 Backfield disruption | #3020/4972 (39th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash against FBS defenders.

Coverage splash

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
24 65th
SOLO
16 71st
TFL
0.0 39th
SACK
0.0 65th
QBH
1 44th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
2 64th
INT
5 99th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 38-31vs Idaho State000.00.021
Wk 2W 30-23vs UCLA210.00.00
Wk 6W 31-17@ Wyoming110.00.00
Wk 7W 51-48vs Air Force110.00.00
Wk 8L 31-56@ Boise State220.00.010
Wk 10L 35-40vs New Mexico210.00.00
Wk 11W 42-10@ Colorado State210.00.010
Wk 12W 29-26vs Utah State320.00.00
Wk 13W 38-10vs Hawai'i110.00.00
Wk 14W 42-17@ Nevada300.00.00
Wk 15L 21-38@ Boise State430.00.01Season-high 4 tackles
BowlL 10-17@ Ohio330.00.010
Total24160.00.052
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022LSU10-4HC: Brian Kelly · Balanced
2023LSU10-3HC: Brian Kelly · Balanced
2025UNLV10-4HC: Dan Mullen · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025UNLV24160.00.025--
2023LSU1040.50.01----
2022LSU330.00.0------
Career3 loaded seasons37230.50.035--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 5 0 pick-six TD | #6/869 (99th pct)
Pass breakups 2 Coverage disruption | #792/2184 (64th pct)
QB pressures 1 Quarterback hurries | #1051/1878 (44th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 24 #1737/4942 65th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 0.0 #3020/4972 39th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 5 #6/869 99th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 2 #792/2184 64th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 1 #1051/1878 44th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 27 #245/578 58th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 16 #1348/4584 71st pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 5.4 #429/578 26th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g1.50.00.00.2
Road6g2.50.00.00.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins8g1.60.00.00.1
Losses4g2.80.00.00.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-75g1.40.00.00.2
Weeks 8+7g2.40.00.00.1

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DB cohort

48Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: interceptions (98th). Concern: tackles for loss (7th).

Interceptions#6 / 817 · 98th pct
5inte
Passes defended#777 / 2975 · 67th pct
2defe
QB hurries#1007 / 2975 · 55th pct
1defe
Solo tackles#1348 / 2975 · 53rd pct
16defe
Tackles#1737 / 2975 · 40th pct
24defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
Tackles for loss#2548 / 2975 · 7th pct
0.0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Laterrance WelchUNLVBlake FletcherAir Force· 67% simDalton JohnsonArizona· 62% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 60% sim
Interceptions
98
Welch
95
Johnson
Passes defended
67
Welch
67
Fletcher
96
Johnson
91
Ra-El
QB hurries
55
Welch
92
Fletcher
22
Johnson
22
Ra-El
Solo tackles
53
Welch
91
Fletcher
97
Johnson
100
Ra-El
Tackles
40
Welch
99
Fletcher
98
Johnson
99
Ra-El
Sacks
24
Welch
24
Fletcher
63
Johnson
24
Ra-El
Tackles for loss
7
Welch
28
Fletcher
47
Johnson
56
Ra-El

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Centerfielder

Single-high range who erases the deep middle of the field.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Darion Dunn’s 2021 season.

Darion Dunn

90%match

Texas · 2021

#2

Marquise Robinson

South Alabama · 2022

88%
#3

Joshua Hastings

Memphis · 2022

87%
#4

Lee Molette III

UConn · 2024

86%
#5

Keyshawn Swanson

Troy · 2022

85%

Matches Darion on

Height
Weight
PD rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Jordan Drew's senior season at Tulsa (2025).

Jordan Drew

83%match

Tulsa · 2025

#2

Kamari Ramsey

USC · 2025

NFL Rd 5
83%
#3

Caleb Ransaw

Tulane · 2024

All-AACNFL Rd 3 · Pk 24
80%
#4

Nate Ritchie

Utah · 2025

75%
#5

James Kreutz

Illinois · 2025

73%

Matches Jordan on

Class year
Tackle volume
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Dan Mullen

Pass share

46.5%

423 pass / 487 run

Plays / game

65.0

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.8%

283 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

3 coaches
2022
Marcus Arroyo
UNLV
2023
Barry Odom
UNLV
era →
2025
Dan Mullen
UNLV
era →

Played under 3 different head coaches: Marcus Arroyo, Barry Odom, and Dan Mullen. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownLafayette, LA
Height6'1"
Weight190 lb
Class3
PositionDB

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Arizona State DB3 #9578 #9251 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 LSU DB3 #10794 #10550 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC
2022 LSU DB3 #9117 #8713 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 UNLV Mountain West DB 3 6-1 | 190 lb | Lafayette, LA
2024 Arizona State Big 12 DB 3 6-1 | 190 lb | Lafayette, LA
2023 LSU SEC DB 3 6-1 | 190 lb | Lafayette, LA
2022 LSU SEC DB 3 6-1 | 190 lb | Lafayette, LA