cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Maguire Neal /Missouri State

Maguire Neal

S · Missouri State · Sr

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

63 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Missouri State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Missouri State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Safety · Missouri State

Returning around him

  • Transfer portal: +8 net (19 in / 11 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Missouri State · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #129 · 2026 recruiting class #133

S · MISSOURI STATE · CONFERENCE USA

Maguire Neal

  • 4
  • 6-1 | 200 lb
  • Zephyrhills, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

48

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 91st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#13654

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1648 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionS
Class4
Jersey--
Measurements6-1 | 200 lb
HometownZephyrhills, FL
Primary teamMissouri State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1648 recruit
Composite rating 0.8330 HighSchool
Signed with Charlotte 2022
Origin Zephyrhills Zephyrhills, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8330 No. 1648 recruit | HighSchool | Charlotte

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#13654Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#14026Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Charlotte

Composite

0.8330

#1648 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Maguire Neal

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Maguire Neal

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 13g
63Tackles
1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
5Tackles
0.1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Final
63Tackles
1Tackles for loss
0Sacks

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Maguire Neal is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Missouri State's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 1.0 tackles for loss, and 1 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #13654 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 63 39 solo | #360/4942 (93rd pct)
TFL 1.0 Backfield disruption | #2051/4972 (59th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

Coverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
63 93rd
SOLO
39 95th
TFL
1.0 59th
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
5 90th
INT
1 65th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 13-73@ USC950.00.00Season-high 9 tackles
Wk 2W 21-20@ Marshall310.00.00
Wk 3L 10-28vs SMU530.00.01
Wk 4W 42-10vs UT Martin210.00.00
Wk 5L 22-27vs Western Kentucky840.00.00
Wk 7W 22-20@ Middle Tennessee760.00.00
Wk 9W 24-17@ New Mexico State330.00.011
Wk 10W 28-21vs Florida International400.00.01
Wk 11W 21-17@ Liberty550.00.01
Wk 12W 38-24vs UTEP320.00.00
Wk 13L 34-41@ Kennesaw State420.00.00
Wk 14L 30-42vs Louisiana Tech641.00.01
BowlL 28-34@ Arkansas State430.00.00
Total63391.00.015
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Charlotte3-9HC: Peter Rossomando · Balanced
2023Charlotte3-9HC: Biff Poggi · Run-leaning
2024Charlotte5-7HC: Biff Poggi · Balanced, slow tempo
2025Missouri State7-6HC: Ryan Beard · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Missouri State63391.00.051--
2024Charlotte440.00.0--1--
2023Charlotte1050.50.011--
2022Charlotte23152.00.0------
Career4 loaded seasons100633.50.063--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 1 0 pick-six TD | #308/869 (65th pct)
Pass breakups 5 Coverage disruption | #218/2184 (90th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 63 #360/4942 93rd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 1.0 #2051/4972 59th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 1 #308/869 65th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 5 #218/2184 90th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 65.0 #17/578 97th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 65 #72/578 88th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 39 #237/4584 95th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g4.70.20.00.5
Road7g5.00.00.00.3

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins7g3.90.00.00.4
Losses6g6.00.20.00.3

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g5.40.00.00.1
Weeks 8+6g4.20.20.00.7

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the S cohort

48Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: solo tackles (91st). Strength: passes defended (90th). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Solo tackles#237 / 2975 · 91st pct
39defe
Passes defended#218 / 2975 · 91st pct
5defe
Tackles#360 / 2975 · 88th pct
63defe
Interceptions#304 / 817 · 31st pct
1inte
Tackles for loss#1936 / 2975 · 28th pct
1.0defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · S · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Maguire NealMissouri StateTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 87% simTyler MartinMassachusetts· 84% simBrevin HamblinUtah State· 78% sim
Solo tackles
91
Neal
100
Ra-El
87
Martin
99
Hamblin
Passes defended
91
Neal
91
Ra-El
67
Martin
98
Hamblin
Tackles
88
Neal
99
Ra-El
98
Martin
99
Hamblin
Interceptions
31
Neal
31
Martin
31
Hamblin
Tackles for loss
28
Neal
56
Ra-El
63
Martin
56
Hamblin
Sacks
24
Neal
24
Ra-El
24
Martin
74
Hamblin
QB hurries
22
Neal
22
Ra-El
22
Martin
22
Hamblin

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Box Safety

Lives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to JoJo Evans’s 2025 season.

JoJo Evans

92%match

Louisville · 2025

#2

CJ Taylor

Vanderbilt · 2022

88%
#3

TJ Harris

Troy · 2022

86%
#4

M.J. Griffin

Temple · 2021

83%
#5

Tony Adams

Illinois · 2021

84%

Matches JoJo on

Class year
Height
Interceptions

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Quinn Schulte's senior season at Iowa (2023).

Quinn Schulte

89%match

Iowa · 2023

#2

Alijah Clark

Syracuse · 2024

89%
#3

Darian Chestnut

Syracuse · 2024

88%
#4

Coen King

Virginia · 2023

86%
#5

Miles Brooks

Georgia Tech · 2023

87%

Matches Quinn on

Class year
Height
Tackle volume

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Ryan Beard

Pass share

51.9%

433 pass / 401 run

Plays / game

64.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

13.0%

307 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Missouri State
2023
Missouri State
2024
Missouri State
2025
Ryan Beard
Missouri State
era →

Played his entire career under Ryan Beard.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownZephyrhills, FL
Height6'1"
Weight200 lb
Class4
PositionS

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Charlotte S4 #13654 #14026 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 Charlotte S4 #13596 #13942 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic
2022 Charlotte S4 #15002 #15118 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Missouri State Conference USA S 4 6-1 | 200 lb | Zephyrhills, FL
2024 Charlotte American Athletic S 4 6-1 | 200 lb | Zephyrhills, FL
2023 Charlotte American Athletic S 4 6-1 | 200 lb | Zephyrhills, FL
2022 Charlotte Conference USA S 4 6-1 | 200 lb | Zephyrhills, FL