cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Max Carroll /TCU

Max Carroll

LB · TCU · So · #33

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

34 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to TCU for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to TCU for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Linebacker · TCU

Returning around him

  • 61% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 3 TCU players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -2 net (12 in / 14 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

TCU · Last season: 9-4 (AP #24) · Talent rank #32 · 2026 recruiting class #24

LB · TCU · BIG 12

Max Carroll

  • 2
  • #33
  • 6-3 | 225 lb
  • Memphis, TN

CFB Zeitgeist Score

55

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by tackles for loss at the 73rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#12039

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#515 national
CFB
College
TCU
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class2
Jersey33
Measurements6-3 | 225 lb
HometownMemphis, TN
Primary teamTCU

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 515 recruit
Composite rating 0.8853 HighSchool
Signed with TCU 2023
Origin Briarcrest Christian Memphis, TN, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8853 No. 515 recruit | HighSchool | TCU

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#12039Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#12060Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to TCU

Composite

0.8853

#515 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Max Carroll

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Max Carroll

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 13g
34Tackles
4Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.3Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Final
34Tackles
4Tackles for loss
0Sacks

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Max Carroll is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on TCU's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 4.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #12039 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 0.0 sacks | 4.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 34 20 solo | #1138/4942 (77th pct)
TFL 4.0 Backfield disruption | #738/4972 (85th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
34 77th
SOLO
20 78th
TFL
4.0 85th
SACK
0.0 65th
QBH
2 66th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 48-14@ North Carolina410.50.00
Wk 3W 42-21vs Abilene Christian430.00.00
Wk 4W 35-24vs SMU220.00.00
Wk 5L 24-27@ Arizona State321.50.00
Wk 6W 35-21vs Colorado000.00.01
Wk 7L 28-41@ Kansas State221.00.00
Wk 8W 42-36vs Baylor300.00.00
Wk 9W 23-17@ West Virginia110.00.00
Wk 11L 17-20vs Iowa State310.00.00
Wk 12L 13-44@ BYU640.00.00Season-high 6 tackles
Wk 13W 17-14@ Houston100.00.00
Wk 14W 45-23vs Cincinnati210.00.00
BowlW 30-27vs USC331.00.00
Total34204.00.01
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023TCU5-7HC: Sonny Dykes · Pass-leaning, fast tempo
2024TCU9-4HC: Sonny Dykes · Pass-leaning
2025TCU9-4HC: Sonny Dykes · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025TCU34204.00.01----
2024TCU20110.50.02----
2023TCU110.00.0------
Career3 loaded seasons55324.50.03----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 2 Quarterback hurries | #647/1878 (66th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 34 #1138/4942 77th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 4.0 #738/4972 85th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 2 #647/1878 66th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 20 #1029/4584 78th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g2.40.10.00.1
Road6g2.80.50.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins9g2.20.20.00.1
Losses4g3.50.60.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g2.60.60.00.1
Weeks 8+6g2.70.00.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

55Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: sacks (23rd).

Tackles for loss#736 / 2975 · 73rd pct
4.0defe
QB hurries#634 / 2975 · 72nd pct
2defe
Solo tackles#1029 / 2975 · 64th pct
20defe
Tackles#1138 / 2975 · 61st pct
34defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Max CarrollTCUBryce LlewellynEastern Michigan· 75% simTy BenefieldBoise State· 73% simRobert FitzgeraldNorthwestern· 72% sim
Tackles for loss
73
Carroll
80
Llewellyn
94
Benefield
85
Fitzgerald
QB hurries
72
Carroll
72
Llewellyn
55
Benefield
55
Fitzgerald
Solo tackles
64
Carroll
95
Llewellyn
100
Benefield
100
Fitzgerald
Tackles
61
Carroll
99
Llewellyn
99
Benefield
99
Fitzgerald
Passes defended
48
Carroll
86
Llewellyn
78
Benefield
86
Fitzgerald
Sacks
24
Carroll
24
Llewellyn
24
Benefield
24
Fitzgerald

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Linebacker

Solid in every phase without a signature dimension.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Justin Williams’s 2025 season.

Justin Williams

82%match

Georgia · 2025

#2

Mathis Haygood

Southern Miss · 2025

78%
#3

Avery Morris

UTSA · 2022

75%
#4

Trenilyas Tatum

Georgia Tech · 2023

75%
#5

Jeslord Boateng

Akron · 2022

75%

Matches Justin on

PD rate
Tackle volume
TFL rate

Differs from Justin on

Height (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Kendall Johnson's junior season at Duke (2025).

Kendall Johnson

81%match

Duke · 2025

#2

Kieren Douglas

Purdue · 2022

74%
#3

Dickson Agu

Tulane · 2025

74%
#4

Matt Kingsbury

Minnesota · 2025

73%
#5

Sam Greene

Kentucky · 2025

73%

Matches Kendall on

Class year
Tackle volume
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Sonny Dykes

Pass share

51.9%

460 pass / 426 run

Plays / game

68.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.6%

340 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Sonny Dykes
TCU
2024
Sonny Dykes
TCU
2025
Sonny Dykes
TCU

Played his entire career under Sonny Dykes.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMemphis, TN
Height6'3"
Weight225 lb
Class2
PositionLB
Jersey33

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 TCU LB2 #12039 #12060 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 TCU LB2 #13942 #13816 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 TCU Big 12 LB 2 No. 33 | 6-3 | 225 lb | Memphis, TN
2024 TCU Big 12 LB 2 No. 33 | 6-3 | 225 lb | Memphis, TN
2023 TCU Big 12 LB 2 No. 33 | 6-3 | 225 lb | Memphis, TN