CFB Zeitgeist Score
82
All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 91st percentile.
Michael Washington
Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22
Michael Washington is a cornerstone for Arkansas — measured against the line he joined.
1,068RUSH YDS8RUSH TD168CARRIES
PRODUCES ABOVE PERCEPTION · PCTL GAP
+54
perception vs production percentile · 2025
Read the story so far
AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data
2026 Outlook
Returning to Arkansas for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Arkansas
Returning around him
- 36% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
- 4 Arkansas players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -2 net (41 in / 43 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Arkansas · Last season: 2-10 · Talent rank #23 · 2026 recruiting class #32
RB · ARKANSAS · SEC
Michael Washington
- 4
- #4
- 6-2 | 223 lb
- Utica, NY
Heisman Heat
#4155
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2021–2025+709%
Up 709% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2-star | 0.7956 | No. 2494 recruit | HighSchool | Buffalo |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (1068).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★☆☆☆
to Buffalo
Composite
0.7956
#2494 national
Today’s Hot-Take
6.4 yards per carry — #2 in a 69-RB cohort, 99th percentile in the modern era.
Anti-Take
EFFICIENCYEfficiency rewards selectivity. Volume-adjusted rank in the same cohort almost always looks looser — call it elite, not unique.
The Room on Michael Washington
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Michael Washington
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Rushing WEPA per carry
+0.200
EPA
P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries
National rank #14 of 66
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries 80th
Why it matters
#14 of 66 P4 + Notre Dame RBs by rushing weighted- EPA per carry — +0.200 EPA/carry on 161 carries.
Vs cohort
This player +0.200 (80th)
HIGH · n=161 cohort 66
- Also strong
- Yards per carry#2 / 69
- Rushing yards (total)#11 / 69
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 12g
1,068Rush yards
168Carries
8Rush TDs
Per game
89Rush yards
14Carries
1Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
1,157Rush yards
182Carries
9Rush TDs
✓ Hit 750-yard season · finished with 1,068.
✓ Hit 1,000-yard season · finished with 1,068.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 1,068): needs 432/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 8): needs 2/game over remaining 1.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 8): needs 7/game over remaining 1.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 8): needs 12/game over remaining 1.
Why this is more than a rushing profile
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Michael Washington is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 1,068 rushing yards, 28 catches, and 0 return yards for Arkansas. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Workhorse | Efficient runner | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
168 93rd
YDS
1,068 96th
YPC
6.4 88th
TD
8 93rd
Receiving
REC
28 93rd
YDS
226 93rd
YPR
8.1 63rd
TD
1 89th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 52-7vs Alabama A&M | 9 | 79 | 8.8 | 0 | 30 | |
| Wk 2 | W 56-14vs Arkansas State | 9 | 116 | 12.9 | 1 | 53 | |
| Wk 3 | L 35-41@ Ole Miss | 13 | 65 | 5.0 | 2 | 47 | |
| Wk 4 | L 31-32@ Memphis | 15 | 70 | 4.7 | 1 | 17 | |
| Wk 5 | L 13-56vs Notre Dame | 15 | 63 | 4.2 | 0 | 21 | |
| Wk 7 | L 31-34@ Tennessee | 19 | 131 | 6.9 | 1 | 38 | |
| Wk 8 | L 42-45vs Texas A&M | 16 | 147 | 9.2 | 0 | 57 | Season-high 147 yds |
| Wk 9 | L 24-33vs Auburn | 12 | 41 | 3.4 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 10 | L 35-38vs Mississippi State | 19 | 116 | 6.1 | 1 | 20 | |
| Wk 12 | L 22-23@ LSU | 13 | 85 | 6.5 | 1 | 23 | |
| Wk 13 | L 37-52@ Texas | 17 | 105 | 6.2 | 1 | 41 | |
| Wk 14 | L 17-31vs Missouri | 11 | 50 | 4.5 | 0 | 11 | |
| Total | 168 | 1068 | 6.5 | 8 | 57 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Buffalo4-8HC: Maurice Linguist · Run-leaning
2022Buffalo7-6HC: Maurice Linguist · Run-leaning
2023Buffalo3-9HC: Maurice Linguist · Balanced
2025Arkansas2-10HC: Sam Pittman · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 1,068 | #28/735 | 96th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 8 | #51/739 | 93rd pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 6.4 | #86/735 | 88th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 28 | #39/552 | 93rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 226 | #39/548 | 93rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.20 | #58/362 | 84th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 161 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 25.5% | #43/738 | 94th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 168 | #50/739 | 93rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 57 | #118/733 | 84th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 35 | #95/540 | 83rd pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 8.1 | #202/548 | 63rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 1 | #60/552 | 89th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 42.1% | #51/738 | 93rd pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 30.9% | #35/738 | 95th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 29.3% | #42/738 | 94th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 24.8% | #48/738 | 94th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 17.2% | #40/738 | 95th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 14.8% | #73/738 | 90th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 10.3% | #27/738 | 96th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 2 | #205/256 | 20th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 87.4 | 7.0 | 0.3 |
| Road5g | 91.2 | 5.9 | 1.2 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins2g | 97.5 | 10.9 | 0.5 |
| Losses10g | 87.3 | 5.7 | 0.7 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 87.3 | 7.1 | 0.8 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 90.7 | 6.0 | 0.5 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
82All-Conference
Elite: rush yards (92nd). Strength: yards / carry (90th). Concern: fumbles lost (13th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.2High (p75–p90) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Michael WashingtonArkansasNate SheppardDuke· 93% simDaylan SmothersNC State· 92% simCaleb HawkinsNorth Texas· 92% sim
Rush yards
Yards / carry
Rec yards
Receptions
Carries
Rush TDs
Long run
Fumbles lost
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Speed Merchant
Cuts upfield fast. Designed to find the crease, not run through the line.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to LJ Martin’s 2025 season.
LJ Martin
67%match
#2
Raheim Sanders
All-SEC
65%
#3
Christopher Brooks
62%
#4
Isaac Guerendo
NFL Rd 4
61%
#5
Jalen White
All-Sun Belt
60%
Matches LJ on
Weight
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Differs from LJ on
Recruiting rating (lower)
Class year (higher)
Yards / carry (higher)
Through 5 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Narii Gaither’s path through Gardner-Webb.
Narii Gaither
96%match
#2
Andrew Body
96%
#3
Garrett Groshek
93%
#4
Adam Hill
92%
#5
Jordan Mason
89%
Matches Narii on
Yards per carry
As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Matthew Sluka's graduate season at James Madison (2025).
Matthew Sluka
48%match
#2
Kejon Owens
53%
#3
Sieh Bangura
All-MAC
52%
#4
Jalon Daniels
All-Big 12
46%
#5
Gavin Wimsatt
48%
Matches Matthew on
EPA / carry (adj)
Yards / carry
Differs from Matthew on
Total rush EPA (college ability) (higher)
Weight (higher)
Rush TD rate (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Sam Pittman
Pass share
48.8%
381 pass / 400 run
Plays / game
65.1
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
8.3%
324 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
1 coach2021
Sam Pittman
Arkansas
2022
Sam Pittman
Arkansas
2023
Sam Pittman
Arkansas
2025
Sam Pittman
Arkansas
Played his entire career under Sam Pittman.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownUtica, NY
Height6'2"
Weight223 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey4
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamArkansas
ConferenceSEC
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | New Mexico State | RB4 | #4155 | #4557 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Conference USA |
| 2023 | Buffalo | RB4 | #1754 | #2342 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2022 | Buffalo | RB4 | #913 | #1200 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2021 | Buffalo | RB4 | #1662 | #1896 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mid-American |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Arkansas | SEC | RB | 4 | No. 4 | 6-2 | 223 lb | Utica, NY |
| 2024 | New Mexico State | Conference USA | RB | 4 | No. 4 | 6-2 | 223 lb | Utica, NY |
| 2023 | Buffalo | Mid-American | RB | 4 | No. 4 | 6-2 | 223 lb | Utica, NY |
| 2022 | Buffalo | Mid-American | RB | 4 | No. 4 | 6-2 | 223 lb | Utica, NY |
| 2021 | Buffalo | Mid-American | RB | 4 | No. 4 | 6-2 | 223 lb | Utica, NY |