CFB Zeitgeist Score
32
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 43rd percentile.
Nate Kurisky
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
157 REC YDS · 20 REC · 2 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to Louisville for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Tight end · Louisville
Returning around him
- 46% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
- 1 Louisville player drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -6 net (33 in / 39 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Louisville · Last season: 9-4 (AP #19) · Talent rank #50 · 2026 recruiting class #68
TE · LOUISVILLE · ACC
Nate Kurisky
- 3
- #85
- 6-3 | 240 lb
- Washington, DC
Heisman Heat
#683
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP TE AWARD
Mackey
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2023–2025+11%
Modest growth (11%) across the multi-season window.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Louisville
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3-star | 0.8574 | No. 1073 recruit | HighSchool |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8574
#1073 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Nate Kurisky
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Nate Kurisky
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Receiving TDs
2
count
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #302 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 43rd
Why it matters
#302 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving TDs — 2 TDs on 20 receptions.
Vs cohort
This player 2 (43th)
MODERATE · n=20 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Yards per reception#498 / 531
- Receiving yards (total)#521 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 5 at Pittsburgh — 1 receiving_tds
Result W 34-27
The week the volume broke through — stacked 1 td at Pittsburgh.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 10g
157Rec yards
20Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
15.7Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
204.1Rec yards
26Receptions
3Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 157): needs 181/game over remaining 3.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 157): needs 281/game over remaining 3.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 20): needs 13.3/game over remaining 3.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 20): needs 20/game over remaining 3.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 2/game over remaining 3.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 2.7/game over remaining 3.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Nate Kurisky's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Louisville, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
TE season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
20 79th
YDS
157 70th
YPR
7.9 29th
TD
2 84th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 10 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 4 | W 40-17vs Bowling Green | 1 | -3 | -3.0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wk 5 | W 34-27@ Pittsburgh | 4 | 31 | 7.8 | 1 | 14 | |
| Wk 6 | L 27-30vs Virginia | 4 | 31 | 7.8 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 8 | W 24-21@ Miami | 2 | 18 | 9.0 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 9 | W 38-24vs Boston College | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 10 | W 28-16@ Virginia Tech | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | 0 | 10 | |
| Wk 11 | L 26-29vs California | 2 | 41 | 20.5 | 0 | 37 | Season-high 41 yds |
| Wk 12 | L 19-20vs Clemson | 2 | 7 | 3.5 | 1 | 5 | |
| Wk 13 | L 6-38@ SMU | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 14 | W 41-0vs Kentucky | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | 6 | |
| Total | 20 | 157 | 7.2 | 2 | 37 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Louisville10-4HC: Jeff Brohm · Run-leaning
2024Louisville9-4HC: Jeff Brohm · Balanced
2025Louisville9-4HC: Jeff Brohm · Balanced
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Louisville | 20 | 157 | 7.8 | 2 | -- |
| 2024 | Louisville | 13 | 117 | 9.0 | 3 | -- |
| 2023 | Louisville | 18 | 141 | 7.8 | 2 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 51 | 415 | 8.1 | 7 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.
A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 20 | #102/475 | 79th pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 157 | #144/475 | 70th pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 2 | #79/475 | 84th pct | Scoringvs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 7.9 | #338/475 | 29th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Pass share | 7.5% | #153/468 | 68th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 37 | #85/475 | 82nd pct | Metricvs FBS TE |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 5.1% | #111/468 | 76th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 4.7% | #169/468 | 64th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 4.6% | #163/468 | 65th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | Role share | 3.9% | #131/468 | 72nd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS TE |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 3.6% | #157/468 | 67th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 2.9% | #237/468 | 50th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #58/468 | 88th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS TE |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 10 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 1.8 | 15.2 | 7.3 | 0.2 |
| Road4g | 2.2 | 16.5 | 7.0 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins6g | 1.8 | 12.2 | 5.8 | 0.2 |
| Losses4g | 2.2 | 21.0 | 9.2 | 0.2 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-73g | 3.0 | 19.7 | 4.2 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+7g | 1.6 | 14.0 | 8.4 | 0.1 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort
32Below cohort
Concern: yards / catch (10th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · TE · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Nate KuriskyLouisvilleBryce CaufieldOregon State· 79% simHayden HansenFlorida· 76% simTyler FortenberryArkansas State· 73% sim
Long catch
Rec TDs
Receptions
Rec yards
Yards / catch
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Complete TE
Dual-threat: blocks when needed, catches when needed. Coveted on both sides.
TE
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Emmanuel Stevenson’s 2023 season.
Emmanuel Stevenson
92%match
#2
Emmanuel Stevenson
89%
#3
Treyton Welch
84%
#4
Nate Kurisky
82%
#5
Christian Trahan
80%
Matches Emmanuel on
Height
Total EPA (college ability)
Weight
Differs from Emmanuel on
Class year (lower)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jaheim Bell's junior season at South Carolina (2022).
Jaheim Bell
81%match
All-ACCNFL Rd 7
#2
Emmanuel Stevenson
79%
#3
Kenny Fletcher
79%
#4
Alec Holler
78%
#5
Eli Wilson
All-Sun Belt
78%
Matches Jaheim on
TD rate
Yards / reception
Total EPA (college ability)
Differs from Jaheim on
Recruiting rating (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jeff Brohm
Pass share
50.2%
414 pass / 410 run
Plays / game
63.4
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.0%
314 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Jeff Brohm
Louisville
2024
Jeff Brohm
Louisville
2025
Jeff Brohm
Louisville
Played his entire career under Jeff Brohm.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownWashington, DC
Height6'3"
Weight240 lb
Class3
PositionTE
Jersey85
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamLouisville
ConferenceACC
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Louisville | TE3 | #683 | #757 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | ACC |
| 2023 | Louisville | TE3 | #1027 | #896 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | ACC |
| 2022 | Louisville | TE3 | #3038 | #2739 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | ACC |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Louisville | ACC | TE | 3 | No. 85 | 6-3 | 240 lb | Washington, DC |
| 2024 | Louisville | ACC | TE | 3 | No. 85 | 6-3 | 240 lb | Washington, DC |
| 2023 | Louisville | ACC | TE | 3 | No. 85 | 6-3 | 240 lb | Washington, DC |
| 2022 | Louisville | ACC | TE | 3 | No. 85 | 6-3 | 240 lb | Washington, DC |