Nick Fitzgerald: QB · Mississippi State · #7.
Closest statistical matches, adjusted for opponent strength.
Nick Fitzgerald
Extends plays on the move until something opens up. Played for two head coaches in four seasons at Mississippi State. A game that shows it: 243 passing yards and 107 rushing yards against Louisiana Tech — Week 10, 2018.
Play style
Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.
Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long
Where the completions actually land
51.2% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 25.5% conversion-per-dropback — 45.5% of completions land short of the sticks.
Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. checkdown by design
Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration
Who gets the tough yard
15 of 23 on 3rd/4th-and-2-or-less (65.2%). 17 of the team's 24 inside-the-5 carries (70.8%).
No outlet on our list has written about this player by name this season.
The Clarion-Ledger Oct 17Swipe the table sideways for more columns.
| Season | Team | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | Mississippi State | 145 | 281 | 51.6% | 1,772 | 6.3 | 16 | 9 | 117.0 | 33 |
| 2017 | Mississippi State | 159 | 286 | 55.6% | 1,782 | 6.2 | 15 | 11 | 117.5 | 54 |
| 2016 | Mississippi State | 196 | 361 | 54.3% | 2,423 | 6.7 | 21 | 10 | 124.3 | 34 |
| 2015 | Mississippi State | 11 | 14 | 78.6% | 235 | 16.8 | 3 | 0 | 290.3 | -- |
| Career | 511 | 942 | 54.2% | 6,212 | 6.6 | 55 | 30 | 122.5 | 39 |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | Mississippi State | 221 | 1,121 | 5.1 | 13 | 76 |
| 2017 | Mississippi State | 162 | 984 | 6.1 | 14 | 45 |
| 2016 | Mississippi State | 195 | 1,375 | 7.1 | 16 | 74 |
| 2015 | Mississippi State | 23 | 127 | 5.5 | 3 | 21 |
| Career | 601 | 3,607 | 6.0 | 46 | 76 |
Game log · Week-by-week
2018 season · 12 games
Swipe the table sideways for more columns.
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | W 31-10@ Kansas State | 11/27 | 154 | 2 | 1 | 5.7 | — | |
| Wk 3 | W 56-10vs Louisiana | 14/21 | 243 | 2 | 0 | 11.6 | — | Season-high 243 yds |
| Wk 4 | L 7-28@ Kentucky | 16/32 | 150 | 0 | 1 | 4.7 | — | |
| Wk 5 | L 6-13vs Florida | 11/26 | 98 | 0 | 0 | 3.8 | — | |
| Wk 6 | W 23-9vs No. 8 Auburn | 9/17 | 69 | 0 | 1 | 4.1 | — | |
| Wk 8 | L 3-19@ No. 5 LSU | 8/24 | 59 | 0 | 4 | 2.5 | — | 4 INTs — rough day |
| Wk 9 | W 28-13vs No. 16 Texas A&M | 14/22 | 241 | 2 | 0 | 11.0 | — | |
| Wk 10 | W 45-3vs Louisiana Tech | 17/28 | 243 | 4 | 0 | 8.7 | — | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 11 | L 0-24@ No. 1 Alabama | 11/20 | 125 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 | — | |
| Wk 12 | W 52-6vs Arkansas | 9/14 | 127 | 4 | 0 | 9.1 | — | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 13 | W 35-3@ Ole Miss | 11/18 | 111 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 | — | |
 Bowl | L 22-27vs Iowa | 14/32 | 152 | 1 | 2 | 4.8 | — | |
| Total | 145/281 | 1772 | 16 | 9 | 6.3 | — |
Week 9 · 2018
W 28-13
vs Texas A&M
The plays that mattered most
Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)
Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from
Totals here are the box score's. Play-by-play lists 279 passing plays (143 completions) against the box score's 281 attempts (145 completions), and the depth buckets use play-by-play.
Adjusted ANY/A
4.95163 of 207 QBsSack rate
8.2%156 of 207 QBsSacked on 8.2% of dropbacks (156 of 207) and Adjusted ANY/A trails the field (163 of 207).
Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.
Short
0–9 ydsMiddle
10–19 ydsDeep
20+ ydsOverall 51.6% completion on 281 attempts · 28 deep completions averaging 30.2 yds.
Is he a different quarterback when it matters
Each situation vs his own 2018 baseline
No situation moves him more than 40 percentile points from his baseline.
Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.
Splits · Per-game
2018 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 170 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 0.2 |
| Road5g | 120 | 0.6 | 5.1 | 1.2 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 144 | 0.8 | 5.8 | 0.8 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 151 | 1.8 | 7.3 | 0.7 |
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Joe Moorhead
Pass share
38.9%
323 pass / 507 run
Plays / game
63.8
13 games
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Player standing · 2018
Our Heisman model had this player inside its top 25 in 2018.
How it ended
Four seasons at Mississippi State, 6,212 passing yards — the college career is complete.
A stat line in 44 games over four seasons.
Coaching lineage · 2014–2018
2 coachesCoaching transition mid-career: Dan Mullen → Joe Moorhead. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
