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OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Owen Chambliss /San Diego State

Owen Chambliss

LB · San Diego State · So · #12

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

90 TACKLES · 4 SACKS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred San Diego State → Nebraska for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Nebraska

2025San Diego State
2026Nebraska

LB · SAN DIEGO STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST

Owen Chambliss

  • 2
  • #12
  • 6-3 | 230 lb
  • Corona, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

79

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 93rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#14923

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

2 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2025

2023

Utah · LB

2025

San Diego State · LB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#515 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#4 in market · 6 books

+90010.0% implied

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class2
Jersey12
Measurements6-3 | 230 lb
HometownCorona, CA
Primary teamSan Diego State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 515 recruit
Composite rating 0.8853 HighSchool
Signed with Utah 2023
Origin Centennial Corona, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8853 No. 515 recruit | HighSchool | Utah

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Nebraska 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 6, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 San Diego State -> Nebraska 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate
2024 Utah -> San Diego State 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#14923Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#14981Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Utah

Composite

0.8853

#515 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Owen Chambliss

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Owen Chambliss

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 13g
90Tackles
8.5Tackles for loss
4Sacks
Per game
7Tackles
0.7Tackles for loss
0.3Sacks
Final
90Tackles
8.5Tackles for loss
4Sacks

✓ Hit 80-tackle season · finished with 90.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Owen Chambliss is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on San Diego State's defense, with 4.0 sacks, 8.5 tackles for loss, and 1 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #14923 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 90 59 solo | #86/4942 (98th pct)
TFL 8.5 Backfield disruption | #175/4972 (97th pct)
Sacks 4.0 Pass-rush finish | #169/4972 (97th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderCoverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
90 98th
SOLO
59 99th
TFL
8.5 97th
SACK
4.0 97th
QBH
4 85th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
5 90th
INT
1 65th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 42-0vs Stony Brook731.51.00
Wk 2L 13-36@ Washington State850.00.01
Wk 4W 34-0vs California880.00.01
Wk 5W 6-3@ Northern Illinois1171.01.00
Wk 6W 45-24vs Colorado State761.50.01
Wk 7W 44-10@ Nevada320.50.00
Wk 9W 23-0@ Fresno State631.00.01
Wk 10W 24-7vs Wyoming1380.50.010Season-high 13 tackles
Wk 11L 6-38@ Hawai'i222.02.002 sacks
Wk 12W 17-7vs Boise State840.50.00
Wk 13W 25-3vs San José State650.00.01
Wk 14L 17-23@ New Mexico750.00.00
BowlL 47-49vs North Texas410.00.00
Total90598.54.015
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Utah8-5HC: Kyle Whittingham · Run-heavy
2025San Diego State9-4HC: Sean Lewis · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025San Diego State90598.54.051--
2023Utah110.00.0------
Career2 loaded seasons91608.54.051--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 1 0 pick-six TD | #308/869 (65th pct)
Pass breakups 5 Coverage disruption | #218/2184 (90th pct)
QB pressures 4 Quarterback hurries | #291/1878 (85th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 90 #86/4942 98th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 8.5 #175/4972 97th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 4.0 #169/4972 97th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 1 #308/869 65th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 5 #218/2184 90th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 4 #291/1878 85th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 59 #26/4584 99th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 2.0 #512/578 12th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 2 #527/578 9th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g7.60.60.10.4
Road6g6.20.80.50.3

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins9g7.70.70.20.4
Losses4g5.20.50.50.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g6.90.60.30.4
Weeks 8+6g7.00.70.30.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

79All-Conference
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: solo tackles (99th). Strength: tackles (97th).

Solo tackles#26 / 2975 · 99th pct
59defe
Tackles#86 / 2975 · 97th pct
90defe
Tackles for loss#175 / 2975 · 94th pct
8.5defe
Sacks#169 / 2975 · 93rd pct
4.0defe
Passes defended#218 / 2975 · 91st pct
5defe
QB hurries#288 / 2975 · 88th pct
4defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Interceptions#304 / 817 · 31st pct
1inte

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Owen ChamblissSan Diego StateRolijah HardyIndiana· 97% simSammy BrownClemson· 96% simCade UluaveCalifornia· 96% sim
Solo tackles
99
Chambliss
97
Hardy
98
Brown
94
Uluave
Tackles
97
Chambliss
99
Hardy
99
Brown
98
Uluave
Tackles for loss
94
Chambliss
99
Hardy
99
Brown
98
Uluave
Sacks
93
Chambliss
99
Hardy
97
Brown
89
Uluave
Passes defended
91
Chambliss
91
Hardy
91
Brown
86
Uluave
QB hurries
88
Chambliss
88
Hardy
95
Brown
88
Uluave
Forced fumbles
47
Chambliss
47
Brown
Interceptions
31
Chambliss
31
Brown

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Coverage 'Backer

Carries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Luke Mergott’s 2025 season.

Luke Mergott

79%match

Duke · 2025

#2

Easton Gibbs

Wyoming · 2021

78%
#3

Tui Faumuina-Brown

UConn · 2024

74%
#4

Dyontae Johnson

Toledo · 2021

All-MAC
73%
#5

Charles Correa

Purdue · 2025

73%

Matches Luke on

Class year
Tackle volume
TFL rate

Differs from Luke on

PD rate (higher)
Sack rate (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Luke Mergott's junior season at Duke (2025).

Luke Mergott

87%match

Duke · 2025

#2

Taye Brown

Arizona · 2025

All-Big 12
69%
#3

C.J. Allen

Georgia · 2025

68%
#4

Blayne Myrick

South Alabama · 2025

All-Sun Belt
68%
#5

Ty Anthony Morris

Rice · 2025

68%

Matches Luke on

Class year
Tackle volume
TFL rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Sean Lewis

Pass share

35.3%

290 pass / 532 run

Plays / game

63.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.6%

224 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Brady Hoke
San Diego State
2025
Sean Lewis
San Diego State
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Brady Hoke → Sean Lewis. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownCorona, CA
Height6'3"
Weight230 lb
Class2
PositionLB
Jersey12

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Mountain West

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-Mountain West all_conference San Diego State | Mountain West LB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 San Diego State LB2 #14923 #14981 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 Utah LB2 #10864 #10648 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 San Diego State Mountain West LB 2 No. 12 | 6-3 | 230 lb | Corona, CA
2024 San Diego State Mountain West LB 2 No. 12 | 6-3 | 230 lb | Corona, CA
2023 Utah Pac-12 LB 2 No. 12 | 6-3 | 230 lb | Corona, CA