CFB Zeitgeist Score
79
All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 93rd percentile.
Owen Chambliss
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
90 TACKLES · 4 SACKS
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Nebraska
LB · SAN DIEGO STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST
CFB Zeitgeist Score
79
All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 93rd percentile.
Heisman Heat
#14923
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP LB AWARD
Butkus
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterImpact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
2 seasons on the ladder
2023
Utah · LB
—
2025
San Diego State · LB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
Career Arc
Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds
#4 in market · 6 books
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8853 | No. 515 recruit | HighSchool | Utah |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | San Diego State -> Nebraska | 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate |
| 2024 | Utah -> San Diego State | 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate |
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Selector Grid · 2025
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Utah
Composite
0.8853
#515 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
✓ Hit 80-tackle season · finished with 90.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Owen Chambliss is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on San Diego State's defense, with 4.0 sacks, 8.5 tackles for loss, and 1 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
High-disruption defender | Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
Coverage & Takeaways
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 42-0vs Stony Brook | 7 | 3 | 1.5 | 1.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 2 | L 13-36@ Washington State | 8 | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 4 | W 34-0vs California | 8 | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 5 | W 6-3@ Northern Illinois | 11 | 7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 6 | W 45-24vs Colorado State | 7 | 6 | 1.5 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 7 | W 44-10@ Nevada | 3 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 9 | W 23-0@ Fresno State | 6 | 3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 10 | W 24-7vs Wyoming | 13 | 8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | Season-high 13 tackles |
| Wk 11 | L 6-38@ Hawai'i | 2 | 2 | 2.0 | 2.0 | — | 0 | 2 sacks |
| Wk 12 | W 17-7vs Boise State | 8 | 4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 13 | W 25-3vs San José State | 6 | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 14 | L 17-23@ New Mexico | 7 | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Bowl | L 47-49vs North Texas | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Total | 90 | 59 | 8.5 | 4.0 | 1 | 5 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
| Season | Team | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | San Diego State | 90 | 59 | 8.5 | 4.0 | 5 | 1 | -- |
| 2023 | Utah | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 91 | 60 | 8.5 | 4.0 | 5 | 1 | -- |
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 90 | #86/4942 | 98th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 8.5 | #175/4972 | 97th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 4.0 | #169/4972 | 97th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Interceptions | 1 | #308/869 | 65th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Pass breakups | 5 | #218/2184 | 90th pct | Coveragevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | QB hurries | 4 | #291/1878 | 85th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 59 | #26/4584 | 99th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | INT return avg | 2.0 | #512/578 | 12th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | INT return yards | 2 | #527/578 | 9th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Fumbles recovered | 1 | #103/736 | 86th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/773 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS DEF |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 7.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| Road6g | 6.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins9g | 7.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Losses4g | 5.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 6.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 7.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort
Elite: solo tackles (99th). Strength: tackles (97th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · LB · 2024
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
Carries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Luke Mergott’s 2025 season.
Luke Mergott
Easton Gibbs
Tui Faumuina-Brown
Dyontae Johnson
Charles Correa
Matches Luke on
Differs from Luke on
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Luke Mergott's junior season at Duke (2025).
Luke Mergott
Taye Brown
C.J. Allen
Blayne Myrick
Ty Anthony Morris
Matches Luke on
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Sean Lewis
Pass share
35.3%
290 pass / 532 run
Plays / game
63.2
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.6%
224 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
2 coachesCoaching transition mid-career: Brady Hoke → Sean Lewis. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2025)
All-Mountain West
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-Mountain West | all_conference | San Diego State | Mountain West | LB |
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | San Diego State | LB2 | #14923 | #14981 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2023 | Utah | LB2 | #10864 | #10648 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Pac-12 |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | San Diego State | Mountain West | LB | 2 | No. 12 | 6-3 | 230 lb | Corona, CA |
| 2024 | San Diego State | Mountain West | LB | 2 | No. 12 | 6-3 | 230 lb | Corona, CA |
| 2023 | Utah | Pac-12 | LB | 2 | No. 12 | 6-3 | 230 lb | Corona, CA |