cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / T.J. Bush /California

T.J. Bush

LB · California · Jr · #3

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

39 TACKLES · 4.5 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to California for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to California for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Linebacker · California

Returning around him

  • 22% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 1 California player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -4 net (32 in / 36 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

California · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #36 · 2026 recruiting class #69

LB · CALIFORNIA · ACC

T.J. Bush

  • 3
  • #3
  • 6-3 | 265 lb
  • Woodbridge, VA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

78

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 95th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#7470

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1669 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class3
Jersey3
Measurements6-3 | 265 lb
HometownWoodbridge, VA
Primary teamCalifornia

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1669 recruit
Composite rating 0.8408 HighSchool
Signed with Liberty 2023
Origin Bishop Ireton Alexandria, VA, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8408 No. 1669 recruit | HighSchool | Liberty

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#7470Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#7907Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Liberty

Composite

0.8408

#1669 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on T.J. Bush

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about T.J. Bush

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 13g
39Tackles
10.5Tackles for loss
4.5Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.8Tackles for loss
0.3Sacks
Final
39Tackles
10.5Tackles for loss
4.5Sacks

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

T.J. Bush is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on California's defense, with 4.5 sacks, 10.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #7470 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 39 16 solo | #937/4942 (81st pct)
TFL 10.5 Backfield disruption | #91/4972 (98th pct)
Sacks 4.5 Pass-rush finish | #136/4972 (97th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
39 81st
SOLO
16 71st
TFL
10.5 98th
SACK
4.5 97th
QBH
4 85th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 34-15@ Oregon State521.00.00Season-high 5 tackles
Wk 2W 35-3vs Texas Southern511.01.00
Wk 3W 27-14vs Minnesota311.01.00
Wk 4L 0-34@ San Diego State111.00.00
Wk 5W 28-24@ Boston College200.00.00
Wk 6L 21-45vs Duke400.00.00
Wk 8W 21-18vs North Carolina200.50.00
Wk 9L 34-42@ Virginia Tech210.00.00
Wk 10L 21-31vs Virginia432.01.01
Wk 11W 29-26@ Louisville222.01.00
Wk 13L 10-31@ Stanford520.50.50
Wk 14W 38-35vs SMU220.00.00
BowlL 31-35@ Hawai'i211.50.00
Total391610.54.51
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Liberty13-1HC: Jamey Chadwell · Run-heavy
2024Liberty8-4HC: Jamey Chadwell · Run-heavy
2025California7-6HC: Justin Wilcox · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025California391610.54.51----
2024Liberty58229.55.54----
2023Liberty3096.01.03----
Career3 loaded seasons1274726.011.08----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 4 Quarterback hurries | #291/1878 (85th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 39 #937/4942 81st pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 10.5 #91/4972 98th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 4.5 #136/4972 97th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 4 #291/1878 85th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 16 #1348/4584 71st pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g3.30.80.50.2
Road7g2.70.90.20.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins7g3.00.80.40.0
Losses6g3.00.80.20.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g3.10.80.30.0
Weeks 8+6g2.80.80.40.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

78All-Conference
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles for loss (96th). Strength: sacks (94th).

Tackles for loss#91 / 2975 · 97th pct
10.5defe
Sacks#136 / 2975 · 95th pct
4.5defe
QB hurries#288 / 2975 · 88th pct
4defe
Tackles#937 / 2975 · 68th pct
39defe
Solo tackles#1348 / 2975 · 53rd pct
16defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
T.J. BushCaliforniaMaverick BaranowskiMinnesota· 78% simAmare CampbellPenn State· 77% simOumar DiomandeUConn· 77% sim
Tackles for loss
97
Bush
95
Baranowski
96
Campbell
93
Diomande
Sacks
95
Bush
89
Baranowski
89
Campbell
96
Diomande
QB hurries
88
Bush
82
Baranowski
88
Campbell
92
Diomande
Tackles
68
Bush
98
Baranowski
99
Campbell
99
Diomande
Solo tackles
53
Bush
98
Baranowski
100
Campbell
100
Diomande
Passes defended
48
Bush
48
Baranowski
48
Campbell
48
Diomande

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Thumper

Downhill striker who fills the run lane and blitzes off the edge.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Barryn Sorrell’s 2024 season.

Barryn Sorrell

76%match

Texas · 2024

NFL Rd 4
#2

Barryn Sorrell

Texas · 2022

NFL Rd 4
67%
#3

Reggie Johnson

Middle Tennessee · 2025

67%
#4

DJ Johnson

Oregon · 2022

64%
#5

Chris Braswell

Alabama · 2023

All-SECNFL Rd 2 · Pk 25
61%

Matches Barryn on

TFL rate
Sack rate
Weight

Differs from Barryn on

Class year (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to T.J. Parker's junior season at Clemson (2025).

T.J. Parker

88%match

Clemson · 2025

All-ACCNFL Rd 2 · Pk 3
#2

MJ Anderson

Iowa State · 2022

86%
#3

Ikenna Enechukwu

Rice · 2022

84%
#4

Malachi Davis

Toledo · 2025

All-MAC
80%
#5

Anas Luqman

Ohio · 2025

78%

Matches T.J. on

Class year
PD rate
Tackle volume

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Justin Wilcox

Pass share

57.0%

502 pass / 379 run

Plays / game

67.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.2%

353 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Justin Wilcox
California
2024
Justin Wilcox
California
2025
Justin Wilcox
California

Played his entire career under Justin Wilcox.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownWoodbridge, VA
Height6'3"
Weight265 lb
Class3
PositionLB
Jersey3

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Liberty LB3 #7470 #7907 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA
2023 Liberty LB3 #7260 #7575 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 California ACC LB 3 No. 3 | 6-3 | 265 lb | Woodbridge, VA
2024 Liberty Conference USA LB 3 No. 3 | 6-3 | 265 lb | Woodbridge, VA
2023 Liberty Conference USA LB 3 No. 3 | 6-3 | 265 lb | Woodbridge, VA