CFB Zeitgeist Score
50
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 52nd percentile.
Trayvon Rudolph
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
435 REC YDS · 39 REC · 2 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to Toledo for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Wide receiver · Toledo
Returning around him
- 68% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- 2 Toledo players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -5 net (33 in / 38 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Toledo · Last season: 8-5 · Talent rank #75 · 2026 recruiting class #73
WR · TOLEDO · MID-AMERICAN
Trayvon Rudolph
- 4
- #9
- 5-10 | 187 lb
- Crete, IL
Heisman Heat
#4273
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
3 seasons on the ladder
★
2021
Northern Illinois · WR
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
2023
Northern Illinois · WR
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
2025
Toledo · WR
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2021–2025-51%
Sharp dropoff (-51%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 3-star | 0.8333 | No. 1735 recruit | HighSchool | Northern Illinois |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Northern Illinois -> Toledo | 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate |
| 2024 | Northern Illinois -> -- | 3-star | Withdrawn |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Northern Illinois
Composite
0.8333
#1735 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Trayvon Rudolph
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Trayvon Rudolph
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Yards per reception
11.2
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #337 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 37th
Why it matters
#337 of 531 All FBS WRs at 11.2 yards per reception (39 catches).
Vs cohort
This player 11.2 (37th)
HIGH · n=39 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving yards (total)#273 / 531
- Receiving TDs#302 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 8 vs Kent State — 119 ypr
Result W 45-10
The week the volume broke through — put up 119 yds vs Kent State.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 13g
435Rec yards
39Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
33.5Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Final
435Rec yards
39Receptions
2Rec TDs
Why the honors trail matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Trayvon Rudolph already has 4 loaded recognition items, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
All-purpose weapon against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
39 83rd
YDS
435 76th
YPR
11.2 44th
TD
2 75th
Rushing
CAR
3 64th
YDS
7 42nd
YPC
2.3 30th
TD
0 81st
Returns
KR YDS
374 88th
KR AVG
20.8 61st
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 16-24@ Kentucky | 3 | 27 | 9.0 | 0 | 20 | |
| Wk 2 | W 45-21vs Western Kentucky | 2 | 21 | 10.5 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 3 | W 60-0vs Morgan State | 2 | 29 | 14.5 | 0 | 16 | |
| Wk 4 | L 13-14@ Western Michigan | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wk 5 | W 45-3vs Akron | 4 | 41 | 10.3 | 0 | 17 | |
| Wk 7 | L 23-28@ Bowling Green | 5 | 44 | 8.8 | 0 | 17 | |
| Wk 8 | W 45-10vs Kent State | 5 | 119 | 23.8 | 1 | 58 | Season-high 119 yds |
| Wk 9 | L 7-28@ Washington State | 6 | 45 | 7.5 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 11 | W 42-3vs Northern Illinois | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | 0 | 4 | |
| Wk 12 | W 24-3@ Miami (OH) | 4 | 40 | 10.0 | 0 | 32 | |
| Wk 13 | W 38-9vs Ball State | 2 | 26 | 13.0 | 1 | 14 | |
| Wk 14 | W 21-3@ Central Michigan | 2 | 16 | 8.0 | 0 | 10 | |
| Bowl | L 22-27@ Louisville | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | 0 | 12 | |
| Total | 39 | 435 | 10.6 | 2 | 58 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Northern Illinois9-4HC: Thomas Hammock · Run-heavy, fast tempo
2023Northern Illinois7-6HC: Thomas Hammock · Run-leaning
2025Toledo8-5HC: Jason Candle · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Toledo | 39 | 435 | 11.2 | 2 | -- |
| 2023 | Northern Illinois | 51 | 531 | 10.4 | 2 | -- |
| 2021 | Northern Illinois | 51 | 892 | 17.5 | 7 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 141 | 1,858 | 13.2 | 11 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Toledo | 3 | 7 | 374 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Northern Illinois | 22 | 182 | 220 | -- | -- |
| 2021 | Northern Illinois | 9 | 113 | 451 | 6 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 34 | 302 | 1,045 | 6 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 39 | #192/1110 | 83rd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 435 | #267/1107 | 76th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 2 | #281/1111 | 75th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 11.2 | #619/1106 | 44th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 374 | #29/238 | 88th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 12.4% | #351/1137 | 69th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 7 | #233/397 | 42nd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 4 | #279/346 | 20th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Carries | 3 | #146/407 | 64th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 2.3 | #278/393 | 30th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #81/411 | 81st pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 58 | #193/1105 | 83rd pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 20.8 | #94/236 | 61st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick returns | 18 | #11/243 | 96th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick return TD | 1 | #4/20 | 85th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 6.5% | #524/1137 | 54th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 6.4% | #516/1137 | 55th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 6.1% | #386/1137 | 66th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 5.9% | #335/1137 | 71st pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 5.9% | #379/1137 | 67th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 5.7% | #310/1137 | 73rd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.7% | #239/1137 | 79th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/302 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 2.8 | 40.7 | 12.7 | 0.3 |
| Road7g | 3.1 | 27.3 | 8.9 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins8g | 2.9 | 37.5 | 11.8 | 0.2 |
| Losses5g | 3.2 | 27.0 | 8.9 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 2.6 | 25.9 | 10.3 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 3.5 | 42.3 | 11.0 | 0.3 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
50Mid-pack
Elite: fumbles lost (80th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Trayvon RudolphToledoDevin VoisinSouth Alabama· 78% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 75% simDonovan FaupelNew Mexico State· 75% sim
Fumbles lost
Long catch
Receptions
Rec yards
Rec TDs
Rush TDs
Rush yards
Yards / catch
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Possession Receiver
Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Will Pauling’s 2024 season.
Will Pauling
89%match
#2
Jacob Bernard
87%
#3
Cam Ross
87%
#4
DeMeer Blankumsee
86%
#5
TJ Sheffield
84%
Matches Will on
EPA / play (adj)
TD rate
Yards / reception
Through 5 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to DeVontres Dukes’s path through South Florida.
DeVontres Dukes
99%match
#2
Robert Lewis
All-Sun Belt
98%
#3
BJ Hawkins Jr.
97%
#4
Jalen McDonald
96%
#5
Je'Quan Burton
96%
Matches DeVontres on
Yards per reception
As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Luke Wysong's graduate season at Arizona (2025).
Luke Wysong
82%match
All-Mountain West
#2
Reese Smith
78%
#3
Deion Burks
All-SECNFL Rd 7
78%
#4
Tailique Williams
78%
#5
Bryce Bohanon
76%
Matches Luke on
Weight
Recruiting rating
TD rate
Differs from Luke on
Reception volume (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jason Candle
Pass share
45.9%
397 pass / 467 run
Plays / game
66.5
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
4.5%
290 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
1 coach2021
Jason Candle
Toledo
2023
Jason Candle
Toledo
2025
Jason Candle
Toledo
Played his entire career under Jason Candle.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownCrete, IL
Height5'10"
Weight187 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey9
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamToledo
ConferenceMid-American
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🥈
ALL-CONFERENCE · 1ST TEAM
All-Conf 1st team (2025)
All-MAC
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
4 all-conference honors
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-MAC | all_conference | Toledo | MAC | RET |
| 2025 | All-MAC | all_conference | Toledo | MAC | WR |
| 2023 | All-MAC | all_conference | Northern Illinois | MAC | WR |
| 2021 | All-MAC | all_conference | Northern Illinois | MAC | WR |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Northern Illinois | WR4 | #4273 | #4295 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2023 | Northern Illinois | WR4 | #1219 | #1521 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2022 | Northern Illinois | WR4 | #5352 | #5799 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2021 | Northern Illinois | WR4 | #551 | #769 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mid-American |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Toledo | Mid-American | WR | 4 | No. 9 | 5-10 | 187 lb | Crete, IL |
| 2024 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | WR | 4 | No. 9 | 5-10 | 187 lb | Crete, IL |
| 2023 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | WR | 4 | No. 9 | 5-10 | 187 lb | Crete, IL |
| 2022 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | WR | 4 | No. 9 | 5-10 | 187 lb | Crete, IL |
| 2021 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | WR | 4 | No. 9 | 5-10 | 187 lb | Crete, IL |