cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Tailique Williams /Western Michigan

Tailique Williams

WR · Western Michigan · Sr

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

478 REC YDS · 35 REC · 2 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Western Michigan for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Western Michigan for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Wide receiver · Western Michigan

Returning around him

  • 100% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +1 net (14 in / 13 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Western Michigan · Last season: 10-4 · Talent rank #105 · 2026 recruiting class #104

WR · WESTERN MICHIGAN · MID-AMERICAN

Tailique Williams

  • 4
  • 5-9 | 177 lb
  • Pine Mountain, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

64

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 57th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4785

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2021–2025
66.02021
1632022
6152023
4782025

+624%

Up 624% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1763 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#21 in market ▼ from #18 · 6 books

+35002.8% implied▼ lengthened from +3000

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey--
Measurements5-9 | 177 lb
HometownPine Mountain, GA
Primary teamWestern Michigan

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1763 recruit
Composite rating 0.8326 HighSchool
Signed with Georgia State 2020
Origin Harris County Hamilton, GA, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 3-star | 0.8326 No. 1763 recruit | HighSchool | Georgia State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Western Michigan 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 10, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Georgia State -> Western Michigan 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate
2024 Georgia State -> -- 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4785Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#5212Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (478).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Georgia State

Composite

0.8326

#1763 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Tailique Williams

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Tailique Williams

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

13.7

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #185 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 65th

Why it matters

#185 of 531 All FBS WRs at 13.7 yards per reception (35 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 13.7 (65th)

HIGH · n=35 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#238 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#302 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 4 vs Toledo — 112 ypr

Result W 14-13

The week the volume broke through — put up 112 yds vs Toledo.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
478Rec yards
35Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
39.8Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
517.8Rec yards
38Receptions
2Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 478): needs 222/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 478): needs 522/game over remaining 1.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 35): needs 25/game over remaining 1.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 35): needs 45/game over remaining 1.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 6/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 8/game over remaining 1.

Why the profile pops beyond receiving

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The most interesting thing about Tailique Williams is that he shows up in multiple game states. He is a receiver first, but the profile also includes designed touches and return-game juice, which means his value is not limited to a conventional route tree.

Current place #4785 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 7.7% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 35 2 rec TD | #230/1110 (79th pct)
Receiving yards 478 13.7 per catch | #240/1107 (78th pct)
Scrimmage yards 562 Total offensive yardage | #240/1107 (78th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
35 79th
YDS
478 78th
YPR
13.7 65th
TD
2 75th

Rushing

CAR
12 91st
YDS
84 93rd
YPC
7.0 76th
TD
1 96th

Returns

PR YDS
-2 5th
PR AVG
-2.0 4th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 6-23@ Michigan State67412.3035
Wk 4W 14-13vs Toledo411228.0043Season-high 112 yds
Wk 5W 47-14vs Rhode Island23115.5024
Wk 6W 21-3@ Massachusetts3124.006
Wk 7W 42-0vs Ball State55511.0024
Wk 9L 17-26@ Miami (OH)57114.2143
Wk 10W 24-21vs Central Michigan7486.9115
Wk 12W 17-13vs Ohio17171.0071
Wk 13W 35-19@ Northern Illinois242.002
Wk 14W 31-21@ Eastern Michigan
Wk 15W 23-13vs Miami (OH)
BowlW 41-6vs Kennesaw State
Total3547818.3271
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Georgia State7-5HC: Shawn Elliott · Run-heavy
2022Georgia State4-8HC: Shawn Elliott · Run-heavy
2023Georgia State7-6HC: Shawn Elliott · Run-leaning
2025Western Michigan10-4HC: Lance Taylor · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Western Michigan3547813.72--
2023Georgia State4961512.66--
2022Georgia State1516310.90--
2021Georgia State16666.01--
Career4 loaded seasons1001,32213.29--
SeasonTeam
2025Western Michigan1284---2--
2023Georgia State1-1187----
2022Georgia State----3643--
2021Georgia State17------
Career4 loaded seasons149022341--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 7.7% 18.6% pass-game share | #117/1137 (90th pct)
Return yards -2 0 return TD
Touchdowns 3 Across offense and returns | #281/1111 (75th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 35 #230/1110 79th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 478 #240/1107 78th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #281/1111 75th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 13.7 #389/1106 65th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards -2 #214/224 5th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 18.6% #117/1137 90th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 84 #29/397 93rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 36 #24/346 93rd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 12 #37/407 91st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 7.0 #95/393 76th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 1 #19/411 96th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 71 #89/1105 92nd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 1 #182/237 24th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg -2.0 #215/222 4th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 11.0% #181/1137 84th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 9.8% #241/1137 79th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 7.7% #230/1137 80th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 7.6% #203/1137 82nd pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 6.4% #266/1137 77th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 5.4% #459/1137 60th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 2.3% #81/1137 93rd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/302 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home7g2.745.326.50.1
Road5g3.232.28.10.2

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins10g2.433.319.80.1
Losses2g5.572.513.20.5

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g3.347.314.20.0
Weeks 8+6g2.532.323.50.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

64Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rush yards (90th). Strength: rush tds (85th).

Rush yards#27 / 287 · 91st pct
84rush
Rush TDs#19 / 287 · 85th pct
1rush
Long catch#83 / 558 · 85th pct
71rece
Fumbles lost#1 / 218 · 81st pct
0fumb
Yards / catch#228 / 558 · 59th pct
13.7rece
Receptions#230 / 558 · 58th pct
35rece
Rec yards#240 / 558 · 57th pct
478rece
Rec TDs#276 / 558 · 42nd pct
2rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Tailique WilliamsWestern MichiganHank BeattyIllinois· 80% simDevin VoisinSouth Alabama· 76% simVictor SnowBuffalo· 75% sim
Rush yards
91
Williams
79
Beatty
92
Snow
Rush TDs
85
Williams
85
Beatty
96
Snow
Long catch
85
Williams
74
Beatty
78
Voisin
91
Snow
Fumbles lost
81
Williams
81
Beatty
81
Voisin
81
Snow
Yards / catch
59
Williams
42
Beatty
35
Voisin
51
Snow
Receptions
58
Williams
96
Beatty
95
Voisin
91
Snow
Rec yards
57
Williams
91
Beatty
87
Voisin
89
Snow
Rec TDs
42
Williams
57
Beatty
68
Voisin
95
Snow

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Yusuf Ali’s 2020 season.

Yusuf Ali

84%match

Middle Tennessee · 2020

#2

Yusuf Ali

Middle Tennessee · 2021

86%
#3

Ja'Shaun Poke

Kent State · 2021

80%
#4

Ja'Shaun Poke

Kent State · 2022

80%
#5

Michael Mathison

Akron · 2021

80%

Matches Yusuf on

TD rate
Yards / reception
Weight

Differs from Yusuf on

Class year (higher)

Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Ryan Flournoy’s path through Southeast Missouri State.

Ryan Flournoy

98%match

Southeast Missouri State · 2023

NFL Rd 6
#2

Jordan Allen

Georgia Tech · 2025

98%
#3

Anthony Lowe

Gardner-Webb · 2025

98%
#4

Ian Duarte

Idaho State · 2025

97%
#5

Elijah Metcalf

Southern Miss · 2025

All-Conference USA
95%

Matches Ryan on

Yards per reception

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Bryce Bohanon's graduate season at Tulane (2025).

Bryce Bohanon

78%match

Tulane · 2025

#2

Keegan Jones

UCLA · 2024

78%
#3

Trayvon Rudolph

Toledo · 2025

All-MAC
78%
#4

Jacquez Stuart

Toledo · 2024

76%
#5

Deion Burks

Oklahoma · 2025

All-SECNFL Rd 7
73%

Matches Bryce on

Reception volume
Total EPA (college ability)
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Lance Taylor

Pass share

33.3%

304 pass / 609 run

Plays / game

65.2

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.3%

248 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Tim Lester
Western Michigan
2022
Tim Lester
Western Michigan
2023
Lance Taylor
Western Michigan
era →
2025
Lance Taylor
Western Michigan

Coaching transition mid-career: Tim Lester → Lance Taylor. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownPine Mountain, GA
Height5'9"
Weight177 lb
Class4
PositionWR

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Georgia State WR4 #4785 #5212 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 Georgia State WR4 #1017 #1383 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt
2022 Georgia State WR4 #3436 #3718 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Sun Belt
2021 Georgia State WR4 #2824 #3313 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Western Michigan Mid-American WR 4 5-9 | 177 lb | Pine Mountain, GA
2024 Georgia State Sun Belt WR 4 5-9 | 177 lb | Pine Mountain, GA
2023 Georgia State Sun Belt WR 4 5-9 | 177 lb | Pine Mountain, GA
2022 Georgia State Sun Belt WR 4 5-9 | 177 lb | Pine Mountain, GA
2021 Georgia State Sun Belt WR 4 5-9 | 177 lb | Pine Mountain, GA