Tyler Shough

Former quarterback at Louisville. 2024: 3,195 passing yards, 23 TD, 6 INT.

QB · Louisville · Sr. · #9

6′5″ · 225 lb · Chandler, AZ

CFB Index 72 · #24 of 137 QBsHigh confidenceWatch-list name (model)New Orleans — drafted 2025, Rd 2, Pick 8, #40 overall

Recruiting

4★

PRO recruit

No. 140 nationally · Signed with Oregon

No college snaps yet.

His career numbers, season by season

The story

Former quarterback at Louisville. 2024: 3,195 passing yards, 23 TD, 6 INT.

Signed as a 4-star recruit to Oregon in 2018.
Transferred from Texas Tech to Louisville in 2024.
Drafted round 2 by the New Orleans in 2025.

His career, year by year

How it ended

Six seasons at Louisville, 7,801 passing yards — drafted at #40 overall by New Orleans.

His career

He barely played early on. Then he did not come off the field.

2018

Signed with Oregon4-star out of Hamilton

20214 games

Entered the portal

202412 games

The role got bigger.

Entered the portal

2025

Drafted by New Orleansround 2, pick 40

Career arc

Recruit

★★★★

#140 national

CFB

College

3 teams

2019–2024

NFL

NFL Draft

R2 · #40

New Orleans · 2025

Coaching lineage · 2019–2024

2 coaches

2019–2022

Scott Satterfield

Louisville

2023–2024

Jeff Brohm

Louisville

era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Scott Satterfield → Jeff Brohm. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Where He Ended Up · NFL

New OrleansEntering 2nd NFL season

#40Rd 2 · Pick 8

New OrleansEntering 2nd NFL season

View college career stats ↓

2024 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2019Oregon12-2HC: Mario Cristobal · Balanced

2020Oregon4-3HC: Mario Cristobal · Run-leaning

2021Texas Tech7-6HC: Matt Wells · Balanced

2022Texas Tech8-5HC: Joey McGuire · Balanced, fast tempo

2023Texas Tech7-6HC: Joey McGuire · Balanced

2024Louisville9-4HC: Jeff Brohm · Balanced

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

72Quality starter #24 of 137?

High confidence13 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: interception rate (96th percentile). Strength: epa / dropback (93rd percentile). Concern: rush yards (22nd percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Interception rate#8 / 169 · 96th pct

0.8%

EPA / dropback#13 / 169 · 93rd pct

0.40

Sack rate#21 / 169 · 88th pct

3.0%

Explosive rate#26 / 169 · 85th pct

12.8%

Success rate#40 / 169 · 77th pct

45.5%

Box-score rates (8)

Pass yards#19 / 165 · 89th pct

3195

Pass TDs#29 / 165 · 82nd pct

Yards / att#32 / 165 · 79th pct

8.2

Fumbles lost#21 / 159 · 73rd pct

Interceptions#49 / 165 · 62nd pct

Completion %#66 / 165 · 60th pct

62.7%

Rush TDs#105 / 165 · 27th pct

Rush yards#129 / 165 · 22nd pct

Season trend

Last seasonThis season

EPA / dropback

16th → 93rd percentile

Success rate

37th → 77th percentile

Explosive rate

51st → 85th percentile

Sack rate

25th → 88th percentile

Interception rate

84th → 96th percentile

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Passing profile

Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)

Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from

243/384 (63.3%) · 23 TD · 6 INT

384 of 389 attempts matched to play-by-play

Adjusted ANY/A

8.2421 of 205 QBs

Sack rate

3.0%28 of 205 QBs

Rarely sacked (28 of 205 QBs) and still 21 of 205 in Adjusted ANY/A.

Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.

Short

0–9 yds

50%of completions

121 comp4.8 yds avg10 TD

Middle

10–19 yds

30%of completions

73 comp13.5 yds avg4 TD

Deep

20+ yds

20%of completions

49 comp33.2 yds avg9 TD

Overall 63.3% completion on 384 attempts · 49 deep completions averaging 33.2 yds.

Situational

Is he a different quarterback when it matters

Each situation vs his own 2024 baseline

No situation moves him more than 42 percentile points from his baseline.

BaselineThis situation

Down 1

-40 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 7/153 (4.6%) · league sack rate 4.9% · ~our read

Down 2

+17 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 2/133 (1.5%) · league sack rate 4.9% · ~our read

Down 3+

+42 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 2/92 (2.2%) · league sack rate 8.1% · ~our read

Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2024 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Home6g	302	2.7	10.2	0.2
Road6g	230	1.2	6.9	0.8

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Weeks 1-76g	279	2.3	9.6	0.5
Weeks 8+6g	254	1.5	7.5	0.5

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Jeff Brohm

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2024

Watch-list name (model)

Our Heisman model has him inside the top 25; he is not on a published award watch list yet.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

72 · #24 of 137 QBs

Former four-star. Now #24 at the position.

Career stats

Season	Team
2024	Louisville	244	389	62.7%	3,195	8.2	23	6	148.1	77	--	--
2023	Texas Tech	67	111	60.4%	746	6.7	7	4	130.4	37	--	--
2022	Texas Tech	106	177	59.9%	1,304	7.4	7	4	130.3	47	--	--
2021	Texas Tech	64	92	69.6%	872	9.5	6	3	164.2	69	--	--
2020	Oregon	105	166	63.3%	1,540	9.3	13	6	159.8	67	--	--
2019	Oregon	12	15	80.0%	144	9.6	3	0	226.6	--	--	--
Career		598	950	62.9%	7,801	8.2	59	23	147.6	65	--	--

Season	Team
2024	Louisville	42	19	0.5	1	--
2023	Texas Tech	48	149	3.1	2	--
2022	Texas Tech	72	269	3.7	4	--
2021	Texas Tech	16	14	0.9	2	--
2020	Oregon	66	271	4.1	2	--
2019	Oregon	2	11	5.5	0	--
Career		246	733	3.0	11	--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 10 · 2024

W 33–21

at Clemson

156 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT · QBR 78.1 · 9 rush yds (3 car) · 1 TD

With I. Brown — 151 rush yds (20 car) · 1 TD · C. Bell — 47 rush yds (1 car)

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 6 · SMU · 3&6 · Q3 · EPA +7.17Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 86 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)
Week 13 · Pittsburgh · 3&3 · Q3 · EPA +6.47Tyler Shough pass complete to Chris Bell for 68 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)
Week 4 · Georgia Tech · 2&10 · Q3 · EPA +5.62Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 57 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)
Week 6 · SMU · 3&8 · Q1 · EPA +4.76Tyler Shough pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 58 yds to the SMU 5 for a 1ST down
Week 2 · Jacksonville State · 3&11 · Q4 · EPA +4.47Tyler Shough pass complete to Cataurus Hicks for 51 yds to the JVST 26 for a 1ST down
Week 7 · Virginia · 2&9 · Q3 · EPA +4.26Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 61 yds to the UVA 18 for a 1ST down
Week 4 · Georgia Tech · 3&9 · Q2 · EPA +4.09Tyler Shough pass complete to Chris Bell for 45 yds to the GT 39 for a 1ST down
Week 13 · Pittsburgh · 3&10 · Q2 · EPA +3.92Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 31 yds to the PITT 36 for a 1ST down
Week 6 · SMU · 4&1 · Q4 · EPA +3.86Tyler Shough pass complete to Mark Redman for 32 yds to the SMU 34 for a 1ST down
Week 5 · Notre Dame · 3&7 · Q3 · EPA +3.84Tyler Shough pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 34 yds to the ND 38 for a 1ST down

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2024 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	CMP/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA	QBR	Note
Wk 1	W 62-0vs Austin Peay	18/24	232	4	0	9.7	83.3	4 TD passes
Wk 2	W 49-14vs Jacksonville State	21/33	349	2	0	10.6	86.3	Season-high 349 yds
Wk 4	W 31-19vs Georgia Tech	13/19	269	2	0	14.2	80.2	Clean 2-TD game
Wk 5	L 24-31@ Notre Dame	24/41	264	3	1	6.4	72.2	3 TD passes
Wk 6	L 27-34vs SMU	22/35	329	2	1	9.4	77.8
Wk 7	W 24-20@ Virginia	18/31	231	1	1	7.5	69.7
Wk 8	L 45-52vs Miami	31/51	342	4	0	6.7	74.5	4 TD passes
Wk 9	W 31-27@ Boston College	28/38	332	2	2	8.7	64.0
Wk 10	W 33-21@ Clemson	17/32	156	0	0	4.9	78.1
Wk 12	L 35-38@ Stanford	26/39	270	1	1	6.9	70.3
Wk 13	W 37-9vs Pittsburgh	17/28	293	2	0	10.5	88.6	Clean 2-TD game
Wk 14	W 41-14@ Kentucky	9/18	128	0	0	7.1	61.4
Total		244/389	3195	23	6	8.6	75.5

How he plays

Play style

Elite arm talent, pushing downfield. Completion rate is the variable.

CFB Index positional classification

Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long

Where the completions actually land

fact

47.7%Completion %

21.3%Conversion/dropback

52.4%Land short of sticks

0INTs

47.7% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 21.3% conversion-per-dropback — 52.4% of completions land short of the sticks.

Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. ~ our read: checkdown by design

Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration

Who gets the tough yard

fact

4/29Inside-5 share

4 of the team's 29 inside-the-5 carries (13.8%).