Next game: at Virginia
Virginia’s best edge on California is running
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
California offense against Virginia defense
Virginia offense against California defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Manager · +0.00 EPA/play | 3 | 8 | 178 / 264 | 67.4 | 1751 #47 FBS | 6.6 | 11 #57 FBS | 6 | 132.3 | 47 | 50.3 | 5.8 | 4.7 | |
Yards by week → Game managerConsistent underneath passer who protects the lead. Rarely loses games; rarely wins them alone. Starter — 264 pass attempts and 22 carries in 8 games, about as many passes and runs a game as a typical FBS quarterback who plays every week. This week's matchup — QB Sagapolutele keeps the offense on schedule and doesn't lose the game. Pribula is the one who extends plays on the move until something opens up. Season receipt Completion %68.0% 79th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Rush yards / carry-3.3 bottom 1th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| Pocket Passer · +0.10 EPA/play | 11 | 5 | 75 / 120 | 62.5 | 701 | 5.8 | 3 | 0 | 119.8 | 39 | 38.8 | 6.0 | 2.4 | |
Yards by week → Pocket passerBalanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile. This week's matchup — QB Brousseau operates within the system without forcing anything. Pribula is the one who extends plays on the move until something opens up. Season receipt Yards / attempt6.3 bottom 11th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts INT rate0.0% 97th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jackson Brousseau's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Workhorse · +0.14 EPA/play | 24 | 5 | 82 | 363 | 4.4 | 3 | 28 | 18.5 | 11.1 | |
Yards by week → WorkhorseBuilt to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value. This week's matchup — RB Mohammed just keeps getting the ball, series after series. Middlebrook is the one who does a little of everything without one standout trait. Season receipt Weight220 lb 86th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Receiving share18.0% 91th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Adam Mohammed's full player page | ||||||||||
| Satellite Back · -0.10 EPA/play | 20 | 9 | 77 | 238 | 3.1 | 4 | 20 | 26.9 | 5.1 | |
Yards by week → Satellite backDeployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles. Starter — 77 carries and 16 catches in 9 games, about as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Emory wins in space out of the backfield. Middlebrook is the one who does a little of everything without one standout trait. Season receipt Receiving share17.2% 88th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / carry3.7 bottom 7th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Ashten Emory's full player page | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.24 EPA/play | 7 | 9 | 61 | 565 #51 FBS | 9.3 | 4 #70 FBS | 42 | |
Yards by week → Slot technician· Boom-or-bustRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine Impact starter — 61 catches and 1 carry in 9 games, more catches a game than nearly every FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Hendricks wins underneath on volume and route precision. Gibson is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt Reception volume61 100th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Yards / reception9.6 bottom 14th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Chase Hendricks's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.23 EPA/play | 9 | 8 | 35 | 478 | 13.7 | 1 | 49 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 35 catches in 8 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Strong moves the chains on third down. Gibson is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt Yards / reception14.4 60th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate2.9% bottom 19th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Ian Strong's full player page | ||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.47 EPA/play | 22 | 7 | 19 | 241 | 12.7 | 1 | 91 | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. 19 catches in 7 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS tight end who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 126 of 166 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman · 4-star, 2026 class View Taimane Purcell's full player page | ||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.19 EPA/play | 85 | 8 | 22 | 226 | 10.3 | 2 | 38 | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. Starter — 22 catches, 4 carries and 1 pass attempt in 8 games, about as many catches a game as a typical FBS tight end who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 126 of 166 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Mason Mini's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.49 EPA/play | 6 | 5 | 12 | 138 | 11.5 | 1 | 80 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiver· Boom-or-bustReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine This week's matchup — WR Grayes moves the chains on third down. Gibson is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt Yards / reception15.0 66th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Reception volume12 bottom 13th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Kyion Grayes's full player page | ||||||||
| +0.29 EPA/play | 10 | 4 | 8 | 111 | 13.9 | 1 | 21 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.33 EPA/play | 4 | 6 | 11 | 108 | 9.8 | 1 | 26 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · -0.37 EPA/play | 81 | 5 | 17 | 82 | 4.8 | 0 | 20 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. This week's matchup — WR Sams moves the chains on third down. Gibson is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt Yards / reception6.1 bottom 2th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)-0.4 bottom 1th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Tyree Sams's full player page | ||||||||
| +1.02 EPA/play | 15 | 2 | 5 | 60 | 12 | 0 | 21 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nose Anchor | 96 | 9 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Nose anchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 26 tackles in 9 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 130 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight310 lb 82th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Derek Wilkins's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 44 | 7 | 21 | 10 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0 |
Nose anchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 21 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 130 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight345 lb 99th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Jericho Johnson's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 97 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Nose anchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 130 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight310 lb 82th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Michael-Anthony Okwura's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 56 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 1.5 | 0 | 3 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate13.6% bottom 45th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Legend Journey's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 99 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate0.0% bottom 9th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Ashun Shepphard's full player page | |||||||
| 98 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 9 | 9 | 49 | 19 | 30 | 4.5 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 49 tackles in 9 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 9 of 10 games this season · freshman View AJ Tuitele's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 3 | 9 | 37 | 13 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume37 bottom 49th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate0.0% bottom 9th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Kamar Mothudi's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 32 | 9 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume31 bottom 35th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate0.0% bottom 9th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Tristan Jernigan's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 19 | 6 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume22 bottom 19th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles PD rate0.0% bottom 21th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Odera Okaka's full player page | |||||||||
| Thumper | 33 | 7 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
ThumperDownhill striker who fills the run lane and blitzes off the edge. 62 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate14.3% 80th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate14.3% 100th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View JD McKinley's full player page | |||||||||
| Thumper | — | 8 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 3.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
ThumperDownhill striker who fills the run lane and blitzes off the edge. 62 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate20.6% 97th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Tackle volume17 bottom 12th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Solomon Williams's full player page | |||||||||
| 21 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 15 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 10 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Box Safety | 23 | 9 | 50 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Starter — 50 tackles in 9 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume50 93th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Isaiah Crosby's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 2 | 7 | 39 | 2 | 5 #1 FBS | 1 | 0 |
Hybrid nickel· Takeaway threatMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way 39 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate5.1% bottom 36th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Kingston Lopa's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 7 | 9 | 36 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 36 tackles in 9 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate8.3% 53th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Daniel Harris's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 14 | 7 | 23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2025 class View Aiden Manutai's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 20 | 8 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 116 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate12.5% 73th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Cameron Sidney's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 16 | 8 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Michael Hurst's full player page | |||||||
| 25 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 24 | 8 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 13 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 | |
| 26 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 33 | 8 | 8/11 | 72.7 | 14/14 | 38 | 41 |
| 91 | 3 | 2/4 | 50 | 5/5 | 11 | 37 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 29 | 8 | 45 | 1869 | 41.5 | 62 | 11 | 1 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 8 | 15 | 280 | 18.7 | 0 | 46 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Possession Receiver · -0.37 EPA/play | 81 | 5 | 9 | 81 | 9 | 0 | 24 |
Biggest plays from California’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in California’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q4, 0:18 · California down 1, takes the leadAshten Emory runs 2 yards for a touchdownVirginia Tech at California, week 6Q4, 0:18 · California 25, Virginia Tech 200:18Go-ahead touchdown for California with 0:18 left0:18Go-ahead touchdown for California with 0:18 leftGo-ahead touchdown for California with 0:18 leftAshten Emory 2 yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)▶Watch from this play
Q4, 1:15 · Virginia Tech down 5, takes the leadEthan Grunkemeyer runs 1 yard for a touchdownVirginia Tech at California, week 6Q4, 1:15 · Virginia Tech 20, California 191:15Go-ahead touchdown for Virginia Tech with 1:15 left1:15Go-ahead touchdown for Virginia Tech with 1:15 leftGo-ahead touchdown for Virginia Tech with 1:15 leftEthan Grunkemeyer 1 yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)▶Watch from this play
Q4, 4:51 · California down 4, takes the leadCalifornia scores a touchdownCalifornia at Syracuse, week 2Q4, 4:51 · California 21, Syracuse 184:51Go-ahead pick-six for California with 4:51 left4:51Go-ahead pick-six for California with 4:51 leftGo-ahead pick-six for California with 4:51 leftKingston Lopa 0 yd Interception Return (Towns McGough Kick)▶Watch from this play
Q4, 8:46 · UCLA breaks the tieWayne Knight runs 31 yards for a touchdownUCLA at California, week 1Q4, 8:46 · UCLA 31, California 24▲32%UCLA’s chance to win, 49% to 81%▲32%UCLA’s chance to win, 49% to 81%W.Knight rush middle for 31 yards gain to the CAL00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q1, 5:15 · California tiedCalifornia scores a touchdownClemson at California, week 4Q1, 5:15 · California 7, Clemson 035Fumble return touchdown35Fumble return touchdownFumble return touchdownT. Reynolds sacked by A. Manutai for -4 yds, K. Mothudi fumbled, returned for a TD (C. Meyer kick)▶Watch from this play
Q4, 9:31 · UNLV down 1, takes the leadJackson Arnold finds Keyan Burnett for a 10-yard touchdownCalifornia at UNLV, week 5Q4, 9:31 · UNLV 32, California 25Go-ahead touchdown for UNLV in the fourth quarterGo-ahead touchdown for UNLV in the fourth quarterKeyan Burnett 10 yd pass from Jackson Arnold (Jackson Arnold Run for Two-Point Conversion)▶Watch from this play
CBS Sports College Football
How scary each game got
California lost to UCLA after being 82% to win; the closest win was against Virginia Tech, down to 9%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave California during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · California
through 9 gamesIsaiah Crosby leads California with 50 tackles through 9 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+18 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
California fields a struggling pass-first offense behind a porous defense, though it gives up the big play.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
California reads strongest in success rate allowed (top 52%) and passing EPA allowed (top 66%); the crux lives in rushing EPA allowed, where California sits at the 3rd percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
California is worth +2.1 points more at home than on the road.
Bottom third of FBS, 17th percentile of 133 programs
49% at home, 37% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (22-23 home, 17-29 away). Interval ±3.4.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, California has beaten the number by −2.6 more at home than away over 98 games. That is inside the ±6.1 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
California Memorial Stadium seats 62,467 and has averaged 62% full (38,487, 31 games reported). Visitors face the 18th-longest trip of 135 FBS venues: a median 655 miles since 2018. The map isn't translating, though — the split above still reads bottom third of fbs. 21% of the 2026 roster (23 of 111 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 52 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Position battles
RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Adam Mohammed and Ashten Emory split the carries (81/159 vs 78/159) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Chase Hendricks (WR) and Mason Mini (TE) split the targets (78/116 vs 38/116) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Mason Mini produces in bigger chunks.
Scheme claims
California’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 5th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 15th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does California hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
11th percentile success on standard downs, 20th on passing downs — little dropoff between the two — a schedule-independent identity.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
California by half
1st-half offense ranks 20th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 3rd — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of California’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is -0.02; 6th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's -0.02. The widest gap came in week 4: 0.16 raw vs. 0.03 adjusted.
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), California’s passing game completes a completion rate above the FBS mean (68.1% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 350-play sample) — mid-pack, 87 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), California’s defense allows a completion rate below the FBS mean (64.6% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 181-play sample) — mid-pack, 31 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
Recovering 40% of their own fumbles — running cold vs. the ~52% league rate.
2 of 5 own fumbles recovered themselves, 2026 only.
Takeaways
Converting 25% of pass disruptions into takeaways — well above the ~18% league rate.
7 interceptions of 28 disrupted passes (21 deflected, 7 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
Losing the penalty battle: 81 penalties committed vs. 72 drawn on opponents, a 50-yard deficit.
758 penalty yards committed vs. 708 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · California
Reads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Weather
California Memorial Stadium, Berkeley, CA
Usual during the game around Nov 20: 57°, between 52° and 61° in about 7 in 10 games (24 games since 2016).
Road games since 2016: the middle game was 63°, and 8 in 10 ran between 48° and 81° (51 of 53 road games, at stadiums we cover).
What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time
Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure
Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.