California
1-1ACC · Tosh Lupoi, year 1 (1-1) · California Memorial Stadium · 62,467 · 54,283 avg in 2026
LastW 21–18 at Syracuse · Sat Sep 12 · Kingston Lopa 3 INT, 5 tackles
Nextvs Wagner · Sat Sep 19 · 3:30 pm ET · California Memorial Stadium · first meeting on record · Game preview
Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2
All 93 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.23 EPA/play | 3 | 2 | 45 / 75 | 60 | 453 #56 FBS | 6.0 | 4 #36 FBS | 2 | 123.0 | 44 | 58.5 | 5.4 | 3.8 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Workhorse · +0.14 EPA/play | 24 | 2 | 47 | 194 #26 FBS | 4.1 | 1 | 20 | — | — | |
Yards by week → WorkhorseBuilt to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value. 5 of 15 RBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight220 lb 85th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Receiving share20.3% 98th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Adam Mohammed's full player page | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.45 EPA/play | 9 | 2 | 8 | 158 #58 FBS | 19.8 | 0 | 49 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.32 EPA/play | 7 | 2 | 11 | 97 | 8.8 | 2 #24 FBS | 30 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +1.11 EPA/play | 85 | 2 | 6 | 96 | 16 | 1 | 38 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 32 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 33 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 4 #1 FBS | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 | 2 | 10 | 2 #43 FBS | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| 25 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 20 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 23 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 2 | 1/2 | 50 | 6/6 | 9 | 28 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 2 | 10 | 376 | 37.6 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
2026 stat leaders · California
through 2 games
2026 stat leaders · CaliforniaIan Strong leads California with 158 receiving yards through 2 games.
How They Play · 2025California fields a limited pass-first offense behind a solid, bend-don't-break defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
California reads strongest in explosive plays allowed (top 13%) and passing epa allowed (top 22%); the crux lives in rushing epa, where California sits at the 2nd percentile.
offense · strengths lead
defense · higher bar = harder to play against
hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · California · 2018–present · FBS opponents
California is worth +2.0 points more at home than on the road.
Bottom third of FBS, 17th percentile of 133 programs
50% at home, 40% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (21–21 home, 17–26 away). Interval ±3.5.
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, California has beaten the number by −4.6 more at home than away over 75 games — inside the ±7.0 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
California Memorial Stadium seats 62,467 and has averaged 62% full (38,545, 27 games reported). Visitors face the 22nd-longest trip of 135 FBS venues: a median 621 miles since 2018. The map isn't translating, though — the split above still reads bottom third of fbs. 21% of the 2026 roster (23 of 111 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 48 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
Scheme claims
Fourth-quarter reliability, corrected
California's 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 1st percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 8th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does California hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
9th percentile success on standard downs, 25th on passing downs — a 16-point gap between the two.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| App State | 44th | 90th |
| Arizona | 92nd | 86th |
| Arkansas | 60th | 80th |
| Auburn | 75th | 55th |
| Ball State | 12th | 24th |
| Baylor | 40th | 96th |
| Boise State | 58th | 46th |
| Boston College | 27th | 56th |
| Buffalo | 7th | 14th |
| California | 9th | 25th |
| Central Michigan | 16th | 6th |
| Charlotte | 73rd | 83rd |
| Clemson | 1st | 19th |
| Coastal Carolina | 61st | 52nd |
| Colorado | 35th | 77th |
| Colorado State | 82nd | 91st |
| Delaware | 70th | 31st |
| Duke | 20th | 29th |
| Eastern Michigan | 52nd | 10th |
| Florida Atlantic | 43rd | 87th |
| Florida International | 46th | 43rd |
| Florida State | 28th | 65th |
| Georgia Southern | 24th | 45th |
| Georgia Tech | 58th | 44th |
| Hawai'i | 18th | 41st |
| Iowa State | 4th | 23rd |
| Jacksonville State | 65th | 82nd |
| Kansas | 70th | 35th |
| LSU | 33rd | 98th |
| Liberty | 14th | 59th |
| Louisiana | 19th | 92nd |
| Louisville | 96th | 70th |
| Memphis | 69th | 65th |
| Michigan | 2nd | 62nd |
| Michigan State | 62nd | 29th |
| Middle Tennessee | 87th | 68th |
| Missouri | 36th | 85th |
| Navy | 98th | 59th |
| Nevada | 77th | 52nd |
| New Mexico State | 45th | 75th |
| Norfolk State | 16th | 9th |
| North Dakota State | 86th | 27th |
| North Texas | 49th | 68th |
| Ohio | 38th | 17th |
| Ohio State | 90th | 40th |
| Oklahoma State | 41st | 49th |
| Ole Miss | 94th | 50th |
| Oregon | 35th | 33rd |
| Oregon State | 10th | 38th |
| Pittsburgh | 30th | 76th |
| Purdue | 83rd | 88th |
| Rutgers | 30th | 71st |
| Sacramento State | 23rd | 14th |
| Sam Houston | 78th | 61st |
| San Diego State | 4th | 40th |
| San José State | 54th | 22nd |
| South Alabama | 50th | 73rd |
| South Florida | 91st | 52nd |
| Stanford | 76th | 15th |
| Syracuse | 48th | 64th |
| TCU | 93rd | 8th |
| Tennessee | 65th | 78th |
| Texas | 72nd | 94th |
| Texas A&M | 85th | 72nd |
| Texas Tech | 88th | 48th |
| Troy | 22nd | 59th |
| Tulane | 31st | 2nd |
| Tulsa | 56th | 1st |
| UAB | 65th | 81st |
| UNLV | 51st | 7th |
| USC | 97th | 99th |
| UTSA | 99th | 29th |
| Utah State | 4th | 93rd |
| Vanderbilt | 80th | 12th |
| Wake Forest | 56th | 97th |
| Washington | 81st | 4th |
| Washington State | 8th | 3rd |
| Western Kentucky | 25th | 34th |
| Western Michigan | 39th | 20th |
| Wisconsin | 13th | 18th |
| Wyoming | 65th | 36th |
Halftime identity
California by half
1st-half offense ranks 16th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 9th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
Pass defense by zone
Pass-depth identity
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), California’s passing game completes a completion rate below the FBS mean (64.1% vs 68.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 69-play sample) — mid-pack, 6 of 41 qualifying offenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · California
Most similar programs · CaliforniaReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Conditions
65°F average kickoff temp; 4% of games had measurable precipitation; 9 mph average wind.
Based on 74 home games with weather data.