Cincinnati
2-0Big 12 · Scott Satterfield, year 4 (17-22) · Nippert Stadium · 40,000 · 35,962 avg in 2026
LastW 62–10 vs Western Carolina · Sat Sep 12 · JC French 245 pass yds, 2 TD, 52 rush yds
Nextvs Miami (OH) · Sat Sep 19 · 3:30 pm ET · TQL Stadium · Cincinnati by 14.5 · series 35-34-1 · Game preview
Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2
All 84 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.49 EPA/play | 4 | 2 | 31 / 38 | 81.6 | 322 | 8.5 | 3 #60 FBS | 0 | 178.8 | — | — | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.48 EPA/play | 6 | 2 | 26 | 210 #20 FBS | 8.1 | 2 #43 FBS | 40 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.99 EPA/play | 11 | 2 | 9 | 133 | 14.8 | 2 #24 FBS | 50 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| -0.47 EPA/play | — | 2 | 6 | 19 | 3.2 | 0 | 9 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1.5 | 1.5 #68 FBS | 1 |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 31 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 9 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 12 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | |
| 10 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cover Corner | — | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Cover CornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. The most common profile in its group this season — 13 of 24 classified this way. Played in 2 of 3 games this season · senior View Jacob Finley's full player page | |||||||
| 18 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 2 | 2/2 | 100 | 12/12 | 18 | 54 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 2 | 5 | 262 | 52.4 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0.19 EPA/play | 8 | 2 | 5 | 34 | 6.8 | 0 | 12 |
2026 stat leaders · Cincinnati
through 2 games
2026 stat leaders · CincinnatiJonathan Thompson leads Cincinnati with 14 tackles through 2 games.
How They Play · 2025Cincinnati fields an elite offense behind a leaky, bend-don't-break defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Cincinnati reads strongest in explosive plays allowed (top 7%) and rushing epa (top 11%); the crux lives in success rate allowed, where Cincinnati sits at the 25th percentile.
offense · strengths lead
defense · higher bar = harder to play against
hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · Cincinnati · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Cincinnati is worth +5.6 points more at home than on the road.
Top third of FBS, 74th percentile of 133 programs
74% at home, 61% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (35–12 home, 25–16 away). Interval ±4.0.
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Cincinnati has beaten the number by +2.2 more at home than away over 71 games — inside the ±7.0 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Nippert Stadium seats 40,000 and has averaged 93% full (37,143, 28 games reported). Visitors face the 17th-longest trip of 135 FBS venues: a median 651 miles since 2018. Some of what the band above measures is the map, not the crowd. 21% of the 2026 roster (23 of 107 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 54 home games since 2018.
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Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Cincinnati
Most similar programs · CincinnatiReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Historical echo
Historical echo
Cincinnati’s slide has precedent — and 3 of the 4 closest kept falling.
Programs whose stature fell in the same shape. The grey line is their decline; the color is what came next for them.
An analogy on the shape of a program’s Zeitgeist stature arc — not a prediction. Interim calibration, medium confidence; matched among current FBS programs at a comparable level.
Conditions
63°F average kickoff temp; 8% of games had measurable precipitation; 7 mph average wind.
Based on 80 home games with weather data.