Fresno State
1-1Pac-12 · Matt Entz, year 2 (10-5) · Valley Children's Stadium · 41,031 · 40,198 avg in 2026
LastW 49–3 vs Sacramento State · Sat Sep 12 · Jayden Mandal 316 pass yds, 2 TD, 8 rush yds
Nextat San José State · Sat Sep 19 · 11 pm ET · CEFCU Stadium · Fresno State by 6.5 · series 39-31, won the last 2 · Game preview
Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2
All 82 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.74 EPA/play | 7 | 2 | 30 / 41 | 73.2 | 393 | 9.6 | 2 | 1 | 164.9 | — | 9.5 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.75 EPA/play | 5 | 1 | 6 | 100 | 16.7 | 0 | 28 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +1.34 EPA/play | 1 | 2 | 6 | 59 | 9.8 | 0 | 13 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nose Anchor | 8 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Nose AnchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 7 of 27 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight310 lb 92th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Martin Owusu's full player page | |||||||
| 6 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| 95 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| — | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 35 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 18 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 1 #22 FBS | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 20 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 1 | 2/2 | 100 | 5/5 | 11 | 51 |
2026 stat leaders · Fresno State
through 2 games
2026 stat leaders · Fresno StateK'Vion Thunderbird leads Fresno State with 13 tackles through 2 games.
How They Play · 2025Fresno State fields a struggling offense behind a strong, bend-don't-break defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Fresno State reads strongest in success rate allowed (top 15%) and explosive plays allowed (top 20%); the crux lives in rushing epa, where Fresno State sits at the 14th percentile.
offense · strengths lead
defense · higher bar = harder to play against
hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · Fresno State · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Fresno State is worth +5.2 points more at home than on the road.
Top third of FBS, 68th percentile of 133 programs
70% at home, 53% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (28–12 home, 26–23 away). Interval ±4.0.
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Fresno State has beaten the number by +2.1 more at home than away over 76 games — inside the ±7.6 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Valley Children's Stadium seats 41,031 and has averaged 96% full (39,440, 25 games reported). Visitors cover a median 566 miles to get here since 2018 — 33rd-longest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. 24% of the 2026 roster (26 of 110 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 45 home games since 2018.
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Tendency drift
Season by season
How Fresno State’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Fresno State
Most similar programs · Fresno StateReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Conditions
75°F average kickoff temp; 1% of games had measurable precipitation; 5 mph average wind.
Based on 69 home games with weather data.