Kentucky

1-1

SEC · Will Stein, year 1 (1-1) · Kroger Field · 61,000 · 60,993 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#93 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #39 (+8.5) · FPI #51
The marketTexas A&M by 17at Texas A&M · our model 4% Kentucky · a number, not a pick

LastL 17–45 vs Alabama · Sat Sep 12 · Mi'Quise Grace 1 sacks, 1.5 TFL, 1 INT

Nextat Texas A&M · Sat Sep 19 · 3:30 pm ET · Kyle Field · Texas A&M by 17 · series 1-2, lost the last 2 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Key stats — 2026 — FBS rank
Points/game
31.0
Pts allowed/game
29.0
Total yards/gm#102 / 138 · 26th pct
357.5
Rush yards/gm#103 / 138 · 26th pct
134.0
Pass yards/gm#77 / 138 · 45th pct
223.5
Yards allowed/gm#67 / 138 · 52nd pct
324.0
Rush yds allowed/gm#58 / 138 · 58th pct
107.0
SacksT-#20 / 138 · 80th pct
6
InterceptionsT-#29 / 115 · 61st pct
2
3rd-down conv#134 / 138 · 3rd pct
18.2%
All 85 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team
715357.5/gm5.72/play#102 / 138 · 26th pct#60 / 69 · 14th pct#15 / 16 · 9th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
648324.0/gm5.02/play#67 / 138 · 52nd pct#48 / 69 · 31st pct#13 / 16 · 22nd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush yards
Team
268134.0/gm2.14/play#103 / 138 · 26th pct#53 / 69 · 24th pct#15 / 16 · 9th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
214107.0/gm1.66/play#58 / 138 · 58th pct#44 / 69 · 37th pct#12 / 16 · 28th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush carries
Team
6633.0/gmT-#96 / 138 · 28th pctT-#47 / 69 · 29th pct#14 / 16 · 16th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
6834.0/gmT-#66 / 138 · 52nd pctT-#42 / 69 · 39th pct#11 / 16 · 34th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush TDs
Team
21.0/gmT-#106 / 138 · 18th pctT-#56 / 69 · 14th pctT-#14 / 16 · 12th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
42.0/gmT-#107 / 138 · 18th pctT-#62 / 69 · 7th pct#15 / 16 · 9th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Net pass yards
Team
447223.5/gm3.58/play#77 / 138 · 45th pct#50 / 69 · 28th pct#14 / 16 · 16th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
434217.0/gm3.36/playT-#84 / 138 · 39th pct#49 / 69 · 30th pct#13 / 16 · 22nd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass attempts
Team
5929.5/gmT-#67 / 138 · 51st pctT-#39 / 69 · 43rd pctT-#9 / 16 · 44th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
6130.5/gmT-#75 / 138 · 45th pctT-#39 / 69 · 43rd pctT-#10 / 16 · 38th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Completions
Team
3618.0/gmT-#77 / 138 · 44th pctT-#46 / 69 · 33rd pct#12 / 16 · 28th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
4020.0/gmT-#90 / 138 · 34th pctT-#51 / 69 · 26th pct#13 / 16 · 22nd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass TDs
Team
52.5/gmT-#33 / 138 · 71st pctT-#24 / 69 · 60th pctT-#7 / 16 · 53rd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#45 / 138 · 57th pctT-#29 / 69 · 46th pctT-#9 / 16 · 31st pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Passer rating
Team
145.8145.8#56 / 115 · 52nd pct#40 / 59 · 33rd pct#10 / 14 · 32nd pct#2 / 13 · 92nd pct
Opp
132.9132.9#58 / 91 · 37th pct#31 / 41 · 26th pct#9 / 11 · 23rd pct#8 / 13 · 46th pct
Interceptions thrown
Team
10.5/gmT-#52 / 138 · 49th pctT-#25 / 69 · 53rd pctT-#8 / 16 · 44th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#77 / 138 · 33rd pctT-#40 / 69 · 29th pctT-#6 / 16 · 38th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Sacks (def)
Team
63.0/gmT-#20 / 138 · 80th pctT-#11 / 69 · 78th pctT-#5 / 16 · 69th pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
42.0/gmT-#74 / 138 · 37th pctT-#42 / 69 · 30th pctT-#10 / 16 · 34th pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
Tackles for loss
Team
126.0/gmT-#53 / 138 · 59th pctT-#33 / 69 · 51st pct#11 / 16 · 34th pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
84.0/gmT-#39 / 138 · 67th pctT-#26 / 69 · 57th pctT-#5 / 16 · 66th pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
First downs
Team
3819.0/gmT-#97 / 138 · 29th pctT-#56 / 69 · 18th pct#14 / 16 · 16th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
4120.5/gmT-#95 / 138 · 30th pctT-#59 / 69 · 14th pct#16 / 16 · 3rd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down conv
Team
42.0/gm#135 / 138 · 3rd pct#68 / 69 · 2nd pct#16 / 16 · 3rd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
136.5/gmT-#103 / 138 · 23rd pctT-#55 / 69 · 18th pct#13 / 16 · 22nd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down att
Team
2211.0/gmT-#105 / 138 · 21st pctT-#50 / 69 · 24th pctT-#11 / 16 · 31st pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
2613.0/gmT-#43 / 138 · 66th pctT-#21 / 69 · 66th pctT-#5 / 16 · 69th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down conv
Team
31.5/gmT-#23 / 138 · 74th pctT-#12 / 69 · 72nd pctT-#4 / 16 · 62nd pct#12 / 13 · 15th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#26 / 138 · 66th pctT-#15 / 69 · 62nd pctT-#3 / 16 · 69th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down att
Team
52.5/gmT-#27 / 138 · 74th pctT-#13 / 69 · 75th pctT-#4 / 16 · 75th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
31.5/gmT-#54 / 138 · 52nd pctT-#30 / 69 · 49th pctT-#6 / 16 · 62nd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Time of possession
Team
57:3828:49/gm#99 / 138 · 29th pct#50 / 69 · 28th pct#13 / 16 · 22nd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
62:2231:11/gm#89 / 138 · 36th pct#50 / 69 · 28th pct#13 / 16 · 22nd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct

FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs

Player stats — 2026 season
Quarterbacks
Player#GCmp/AttPctYdsY/ATDINTRateZPRQBRAdj ANY/ASack%
+0.19 EPA/play3236 / 5862.1447
#61 FBS
7.75
#22 FBS
1151.84344.57.76.5
Running Backs
Player#GCarYdsAvgTDLongStuff%10+%
+0.08 EPA/play262221316.0022
+0.14 EPA/play1220773.92
#43 FBS
15
Receivers
Player#GRecYdsAvgTDLong
+0.83 EPA/play192811914.9137
Complete TE · +0.58 EPA/play81212978.1120

2026 stat leaders · Kentucky

through 2 games

Jordan Castell leads Kentucky with 16 tackles through 2 games.

1. Jordan Castell DB 16 tackles
2. Ty Bryant DB 15 tackles
3. Grant Godfrey LB 14 tackles
4. Kenny Minchey QB 447 passing yards
5. Elijah Barnes LB 10 tackles
How They Play · 2025

Kentucky fields a struggling methodical, ball-control offense behind a leaky, bend-don't-break defense.

Offense
18th pct EPA/play
Tempo
56th pct success, 5th explosiveness
Defense
42nd pct EPA allowed
Defensive shape
65th pct at limiting explosive plays

Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.

The Savant Card · Kentucky · 2025

Kentucky reads strongest in explosive plays allowed (top 35%) and rushing epa allowed (top 36%); the crux lives in explosive plays, where Kentucky sits at the 4th percentile.

offense · strengths lead

EPA / play +0.08
18th
Success Rate +0.43
56th
Explosive Plays +1.13
5th
Rushing EPA +0.05
28th

defense · higher bar = harder to play against

EPA Allowed +0.17
42nd
Success Rate Allowed +0.43
28th
Explosive Plays Allowed +1.22
65th
Passing EPA Allowed +0.33
22nd

hidden math · special situations

Passing EPA +0.19
25th
Rushing EPA Allowed +0.05
64th
Elite · 90+Strong · 70+Average · 40-70Concern · 10-40Bottom · <10
Sources · CFBD tier-2 advanced stats · per-game production · 12 games this season · percentiles vs. up to 136 FBS peers

Home-field advantage · Kentucky · 2018–present · FBS opponents

Kentucky is worth +6.4 points more at home than on the road.

Top third of FBS, 85th percentile of 133 programs

59% at home, 41% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (30–21 home, 15–22 away). Interval ±4.4.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Kentucky has beaten the number by +1.7 more at home than away over 74 games — inside the ±8.1 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Kroger Field seats 61,000 and has averaged 98% full (59,732, 32 games reported). Visitors cover a median 296 miles to get here since 2018 — 35th-shortest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. 17% of the 2026 roster (18 of 105 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 59 home games since 2018.

Home30–21Away15–22Edge+6.4 ±4.4Visitor trip296 mi

More in this tab

RatingsWhere the public rating systems put this team.

Model Consensus

Where the Models Rank Kentucky

CFB Zeitgeist

#93

-2.2

SP+

#39

+8.5

FPI

#51

+4.2

Elo

#78

1440

The national models put Kentucky between 39th and 78th nationally — CFB Zeitgeist is more skeptical, at 93rd.

National rank of 138 FBS teams · 2026 season. SP+/FPI/SRS published; Elo & CFB Zeitgeist ranked by rating.

Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · Kentucky

Reads like

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

ConditionsThe weather and altitude visitors have to deal with.
Venue texture

65°F average kickoff temp; 9% of games had measurable precipitation; 8 mph average wind.

Based on 88 home games with weather data.

This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. AI-generated content is labeled and may contain factual errors. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site