cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jovantae Barnes /Oklahoma

Jovantae Barnes

RB · Oklahoma · Sr · #2

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

45 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD · 19 CARRIES

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Oklahoma → Kentucky for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Kentucky

2025Oklahoma
2026Kentucky

RB · OKLAHOMA · SEC

Jovantae Barnes

  • 4
  • #2
  • 6-0 | 211 lb
  • Las Vegas, NV

CFB Zeitgeist Score

3

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 13th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#111

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2022–2025
5192022
1402023
5772024
45.02025

-91%

Sharp dropoff (-91%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#115 national
CFB
College
Oklahoma
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey2
Measurements6-0 | 211 lb
HometownLas Vegas, NV
Primary teamOklahoma

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 115 recruit
Composite rating 0.9532 HighSchool
Signed with Oklahoma 2022
Origin Desert Pines Las Vegas, NV, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 4-star | 0.9532 No. 115 recruit | HighSchool | Oklahoma

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Kentucky 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 6, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Oklahoma -> Kentucky 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#111Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#123Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Oklahoma

Composite

0.9532

#115 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jovantae Barnes

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 7 mentions
Confidence LOW

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 7 mentions · belief +0 · "Q&A with Cowboy Football wide receiver Chris Barnes &nbsp;&nbsp; Oklahoma State "Own fans
  • Own fans · n=7

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jovantae Barnes

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 4g
45Rush yards
19Carries
1Rush TDs
Per game
11.2Rush yards
5Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
146.2Rush yards
62Carries
3Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 45): needs 78.3/game over remaining 9.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 45): needs 106.1/game over remaining 9.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 45): needs 161.7/game over remaining 9.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 1/game over remaining 9.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 1.6/game over remaining 9.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.1/game over remaining 9.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jovantae Barnes's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Oklahoma, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #111 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 7.8% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 115 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 61 45 rush | 16 rec | #535/735 (27th pct)
Rush TD 1 19 carries | #323/739 (56th pct)
Yards/carry 2.4 Per-rush efficiency | #672/735 (9th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
19 39th
YDS
45 27th
YPC
2.4 9th
TD
1 56th

Receiving

REC
1 16th
YDS
16 26th
YPR
16.0 96th
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 4 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 35-3vs Illinois State791.306
Wk 2W 24-13vs Michigan6244.0010Season-high 24 yds
Wk 3W 42-3@ Temple5122.416
Wk 4W 24-17vs Auburn100.000
Total19451.9110
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Oklahoma6-7HC: Brent Venables · Run-leaning, fast tempo
2023Oklahoma10-3HC: Brent Venables · Balanced
2024Oklahoma6-7HC: Brent Venables · Run-leaning
2025Oklahoma10-3HC: Brent Venables · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Oklahoma19452.41--
2024Oklahoma1225774.75--
2023Oklahoma371403.81--
2022Oklahoma1165194.55--
Career4 loaded seasons2941,2814.412--
SeasonTeam
2025Oklahoma11616.00--
2024Oklahoma171237.21--
2023Oklahoma5234.60--
2022Oklahoma5265.20--
Career4 loaded seasons281886.71--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 1 16 rec yds | #467/552 (16th pct)
Usage 7.8% 14.1% rush share | #391/738 (47th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.16 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #111/362 (70th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 45 #535/735 27th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 1 #323/739 56th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 2.4 #672/735 9th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 1 #467/552 16th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 16 #408/548 26th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.16 #111/362 70th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 104 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 7.8% #391/738 47th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 19 #454/739 39th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 10 #571/733 22nd pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 16 #277/540 49th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 16.0 #21/548 96th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 14.1% #376/738 49th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 9.8% #364/738 51st pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 9.4% #364/738 51st pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 7.7% #300/738 59th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 4.3% #588/738 20th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 3.8% #533/738 28th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 2.1% #393/738 47th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 4 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home3g11.01.80.0
Road1g12.02.41.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins4g11.21.90.2

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-74g11.21.90.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

3Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: carries (0th).

Rush TDs#284 / 349 · 13th pct
1rush
Rec yards#304 / 338 · 10th pct
16rece
Receptions#327 / 338 · 2nd pct
1rece
Rush yards#350 / 349 · 0th pct
45rush
Yards / carry#350 / 349 · 0th pct
2.4rush
Long run#350 / 349 · 0th pct
10rush
Carries#350 / 349 · 0th pct
19rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Jovantae BarnesOklahomaJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 44% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 44% simTae MeadowsTroy· 44% sim
Rush TDs
13
Barnes
50
Brunson
62
Wright
72
Meadows
Rec yards
10
Barnes
3
Brunson
10
Wright
38
Meadows
Receptions
2
Barnes
2
Brunson
32
Wright
45
Meadows
Rush yards
0
Barnes
80
Brunson
84
Wright
74
Meadows
Yards / carry
0
Barnes
41
Brunson
33
Wright
29
Meadows
Long run
0
Barnes
73
Brunson
49
Wright
53
Meadows
Carries
0
Barnes
85
Brunson
92
Wright
84
Meadows

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Brent Venables

Pass share

50.4%

429 pass / 423 run

Plays / game

65.5

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.0%

345 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Brent Venables
Oklahoma
2023
Brent Venables
Oklahoma
2024
Brent Venables
Oklahoma
2025
Brent Venables
Oklahoma

Played his entire career under Brent Venables.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownLas Vegas, NV
Height6'0"
Weight211 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey2

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Oklahoma RB4 #111 #123 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Oklahoma RB4 #885 #650 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2022 Oklahoma RB4 #512 #567 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Oklahoma SEC RB 4 No. 2 | 6-0 | 211 lb | Las Vegas, NV
2024 Oklahoma SEC RB 4 No. 2 | 6-0 | 211 lb | Las Vegas, NV
2023 Oklahoma Big 12 RB 4 No. 2 | 6-0 | 211 lb | Las Vegas, NV
2022 Oklahoma Big 12 RB 4 No. 2 | 6-0 | 211 lb | Las Vegas, NV