Next game: at Nevada
Nevada’s best edge on New Mexico is big plays
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
New Mexico offense against Nevada defense
Nevada offense against New Mexico defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dual Threat · +0.04 EPA/play | 13 | 8 | 58 / 101 | 57.4 | 888 | 8.8 | 5 | 7 | 133.8 | 43 | 47.2 | 4.7 | 14.4 | |
Yards by week → Dual threatDangerous with both arm and legs — defenses can't just pin the ears back. Starter — 101 pass attempts, 76 carries and 1 catch in 8 games, fewer passes and runs a game than most FBS quarterbacks who play every week. This week's matchup — QB Faavae runs when the pocket breaks down. Arnold is the one who extends plays on the move until something opens up. Season receipt Rush yards / carry3.8 76th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts INT rate6.9% bottom 1th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Toa Faavae's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| -0.01 EPA/play | 10 | 4 | 23 / 38 | 60.5 | 248 | 6.5 | 3 | 0 | 141.4 | — | 38.4 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · +0.11 EPA/play | 22 | 8 | 111 | 540 #66 FBS | 4.9 | 11 #9 FBS | 49 | 11.9 | 14.7 | |
Yards by week → Balanced backPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. Starter — 111 carries and 2 catches in 8 games, about as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Humphrey does a little of everything without one standout trait. Thomas is the one who wins in space out of the backfield. Season receipt Yards / carry4.9 bottom 37th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Rush TD rate9.9% 97th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Plays like View Scottre Humphrey's full player page | ||||||||||
| Balanced Back · +0.20 EPA/play | 21 | 8 | 80 | 485 | 6.1 | 3 | 43 | 10.7 | 16 | |
Yards by week → Balanced backPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. Starter — 80 carries and 7 catches in 8 games, about as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Sibley does a little of everything without one standout trait. Thomas is the one who wins in space out of the backfield. Season receipt Yards / carry6.0 74th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Receiving share8.0% bottom 32th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Kiefer Sibley's full player page | ||||||||||
| 23 | 4 | 20 | 149 | 7.5 | 1 | 54 | — | — | ||
Yards by week → | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Complete TE · +0.70 EPA/play | 88 | 7 | 22 | 295 | 13.4 | 3 | 42 | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. Starter — 22 catches in 7 games, about as many catches a game as a typical FBS tight end who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 126 of 166 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Cade Keith's full player page | ||||||||
| Deep Threat · +0.59 EPA/play | 81 | 6 | 13 | 262 | 20.2 | 3 | 68 | |
Yards by week → Deep threat· Money-downStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. lives on the sticks and moves the chains This week's matchup — WR George beats you over the top. McGee is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Yards / reception19.5 95th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate23.1% 98th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Bailen George's full player page | ||||||||
| +0.08 EPA/play | 14 | 4 | 6 | 132 | 22 | 1 | 36 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.29 EPA/play | 5 | 3 | 6 | 112 | 18.7 | 1 | 64 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.40 EPA/play | 11 | 5 | 9 | 100 | 11.1 | 0 | 21 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| -0.06 EPA/play | — | 5 | 5 | 52 | 10.4 | 0 | 19 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Speed Rusher | 10 | 8 | 32 | 16 | 12.5 #6 FBS | 6 #17 FBS | 6 |
Speed rusherBends the edge and wins with first-step quickness. Lighter frame, relentless motor. Impact starter — 32 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than most FBS defensive linemen who play every week. 19 of 180 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Sack rate18.8% 84th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Darren Agu's full player page | |||||||
| Finisher | 45 | 8 | 21 | 8 | 8 #50 FBS | 5.5 #29 FBS | 2 |
FinisherTurns pressure into sacks — when he gets there, he finishes. 21 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 10 of 180 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Pressure-to-sack conversion0.7 92th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Brett Karhu's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 92 | 7 | 15 | 4 | 3.5 | 1 | 0 |
Nose anchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 130 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight330 lb 95th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Brian Booker's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 94 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 2.5 | 2 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate38.5% 98th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Jalen McIver's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 15 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 2.5 | 2 | 3 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate25.0% 81th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Xavier Slayton's full player page | |||||||
| 22 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0 | |
| 19 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 36 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 2.5 | 1 | 3 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 2 | 8 | 50 | 24 | 26 | 7.5 #73 FBS | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 50 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume50 76th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate15.0% 83th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Mercury Swaim's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 38 | 7 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume28 bottom 29th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate19.6% 95th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jayden Flaker's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 6 | 5 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 5 of 10 games this season · freshman View Jaxton Eck's full player page | |||||||||
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 18 | 7 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 3.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Sideline-to-sidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. 83 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.7 95th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate19.4% 95th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Clay Martineau's full player page | |||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hybrid Nickel | — | 8 | 30 | 2 | 4 #6 FBS | 2 | 0.5 |
Hybrid nickel· Takeaway threatMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way 30 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate6.7% bottom 44th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Austin Brawley's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 7 | 7 | 28 | 0 | 4 #6 FBS | 0 | 0 |
Centerfielder· Takeaway threatSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way 28 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 116 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate0.0% bottom 15th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Tavian Combs's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 3 | 7 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 2.5 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 27 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2025 class View CJ McBean's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 12 | 8 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate13.0% 75th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Drew Speech's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 20 | 7 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate4.8% bottom 35th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Kevin Longstreet's full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 8 | 7 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Cover cornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. 138 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate19.0% 69th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Ormanie Arnold's full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 5 | 7 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.5 |
Cover cornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. 138 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate0.0% bottom 10th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Frankie Edwards's full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 1 | 8 | 16 | 3 | 2 #51 FBS | 1.5 | 0 |
Cover corner· Takeaway threatSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way The most common profile in its group this season — 138 of 244 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Jahmir Torres's full player page | |||||||
| 23 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 9 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 31 | 8 | 6/11 | 54.5 | 32/32 | 50 | 49 |
| 41 | 2 | 0/1 | 0 | 4/4 | 4 | 0 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 4 | 6 | 276 | 46 | 76 | 3 | 1 | |
| 19 | 7 | 24 | 986 | 41.1 | 66 | 8 | 1 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 8 | 17 | 265 | 15.6 | 0 | 44 |
Biggest plays from New Mexico’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in New Mexico’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q4, 14:01 · Hawai'i up 3M. Alejado fumbles and New Mexico recoversNew Mexico at Hawai'i, week 7Q4, 14:01 · Hawai'i 10, New Mexico 77Hawai'i’s turnover led to a touchdown7Hawai'i’s turnover led to a touchdownHawai'i’s turnover led to a touchdownM.Alejado rush middle for 12 yards gain to the UNM00 fumbled by M.Alejado at UNM01 forced by D.Speech recovered by UNM M.Swaim at UNM00, Touchback▶Watch from this play
- Q4, 6:57 · New Mexico down 3, takes the leadNew Mexico scores a touchdownNew Mexico at Hawai'i, week 7Q4, 6:57 · New Mexico 14, Hawai'i 10Go-ahead touchdown for New Mexico in the fourth quarterGo-ahead touchdown for New Mexico in the fourth quarterT.Fa'avae rush middle for 21 yards gain to the Hawaii00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q1, 11:12 · New Mexico tiedJeremiah Hughes intercepts a passNew Mexico at Hawai'i, week 7Q1, 11:12 · New Mexico 0, Hawai'i 03New Mexico’s turnover led to a field goal3New Mexico’s turnover led to a field goalNew Mexico’s turnover led to a field goalT.Fa'avae pass intercepted by J.Hughes at Hawaii48 J.Hughes return 3 yards to the UNM49, End Of Play▶Watch from this play- Q4, 3:24 · New Mexico up 4Scottre Humphrey runs 49 yards for a touchdownNew Mexico at Hawai'i, week 7Q4, 3:24 · New Mexico 21, Hawai'i 10▲14%New Mexico’s chance to win, 82% to 96%▲14%New Mexico’s chance to win, 82% to 96%S.Humphrey rush middle for 49 yards gain to the Hawaii00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q3, 9:43 · New Mexico down 10Scottre Humphrey runs 1 yard for a touchdownNew Mexico at Hawai'i, week 7Q3, 9:43 · New Mexico 7, Hawai'i 10New Mexico got on the board with 9:43 left in the third quarterNew Mexico got on the board with 9:43 left in the third quarterS.Humphrey rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Hawaii00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q2, 4:29 · Hawai'i up 3Hawai'i is sackedNew Mexico at Hawai'i, week 7Q2, 4:29 · Hawai'i 3, New Mexico 0▼9%Hawai'i’s chance to win, 43% to 34%▼9%Hawai'i’s chance to win, 43% to 34%M.Alejado sacked for loss of 11 yards to the Hawaii27 (M.Swaim, A.Brawley)▶Watch from this play
How scary each game got
New Mexico lost 1 of 8 games, none after a real lead; the closest win was at Hawai’i, down to 17%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave New Mexico during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · New Mexico
through 8 games
2026 stat leaders · New MexicoMercury Swaim leads New Mexico with 50 tackles through 8 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+15 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
New Mexico fields a limited run-heavy offense behind an elite defense, though it gives up the big play.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
New Mexico reads strongest in success rate allowed (top 1%) and field position (O) (top 1%); the crux lives in explosive plays allowed, where New Mexico sits at the 3rd percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
New Mexico is worth +2.4 points more at home than on the road.
Bottom third of FBS, 19th percentile of 133 programs
40% at home, 28% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (17-25 home, 14-36 away). Interval ±3.9.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, New Mexico has beaten the number by −1.8 more at home than away over 99 games. That is inside the ±5.9 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
University Stadium (NM) seats 39,224 and has averaged 50% full (19,564, 27 games reported). Visitors face the 25th-longest trip of 135 FBS venues: a median 622 miles since 2018. The map isn't translating, though — the split above still reads bottom third of fbs. 9% of the 2026 roster (10 of 110 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 49 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- UnderdogDorian Thomas produces at a notably higher rate when his team is an underdog than when favored, and his per-target value rises too, not just raw catches.
- Garbage timeKeagan Johnson sees a real spike in usage once the game is out of reach, and his efficiency in competitive snaps sits below the position baseline: the numbers lean on the opponent giving up.
Position battles
RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Scottre Humphrey and Kiefer Sibley split the carries (108/183 vs 75/183) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Scottre Humphrey gets the goal line; Kiefer Sibley owns the receiving work; Kiefer Sibley produces in bigger chunks.
See it develop week by week
Inside-the-5 share, week by week (weeks both players actually played the role)
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Bailen George (WR) and Cade Keith (TE) split the targets (20/45 vs 25/45) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Bailen George produces in bigger chunks.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How New Mexico actually scores
39th percentile quality, 68th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
New Mexico’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 35th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it drops to the 21st — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does New Mexico hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
55th percentile success on standard downs, 48th on passing downs — little dropoff between the two — a schedule-independent identity.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
New Mexico by half
1st-half offense ranks 22nd percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 80th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of New Mexico’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.09; 34th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.02. The widest gap came in week 3: 0.24 raw vs. 0.02 adjusted.
Tendency drift
How New Mexico’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), New Mexico’s passing game completes a completion rate below the FBS mean (64.0% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 122-play sample) — mid-pack, 26 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), New Mexico’s defense allows a completion rate below the FBS mean (65.4% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 164-play sample) — mid-pack, 47 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
The bounces have gone their way on the fumbles they've forced: 67% recovered, vs. ~48% expected.
8 of 12 forced fumbles recovered, 2026 only.
Takeaways
Cashing in more than most: 47% of disrupted passes intercepted, vs. ~18% league-wide.
17 interceptions of 36 disrupted passes (19 deflected, 17 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
The flags have favored them: 55 penalties drawn on opponents vs. 54 committed, 50 yards to the good.
444 penalty yards committed vs. 494 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · New Mexico
Most similar programs · New MexicoReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Weather
University Stadium (NM), Albuquerque, NM · 5,100 ft above sea level
Usual during the game around Nov 14: 51°, between 44° and 59° in about 7 in 10 games (30 games since 2016).
Road games since 2016: the middle game was 58°, and 8 in 10 ran between 38° and 81° (49 of 57 road games, at stadiums we cover).
What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time
Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure
Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.