Sam Houston routs Nicholls 59-0

Nicholls2-20
Sam Houston1-259Final
Sat, Sep 19 · Elliott T. Bowers Stadium, Huntsville, Texas · Crowd 12,182ESPN+

Sam Houston routed Nicholls 59-0.

We had Sam Houston favored. It won.

Next: Nicholls lost to Lamar 49-18, Sat Sep 26

Next: Sam Houston lost to Texas Tech 49-14, Sat Sep 26

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Sam Houston a 67% chance, and the closing betting line (Sam Houston was a 21-point favorite) put it at 95%.

FinalSam Houston 59-0 NichollsSam Houston wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4Sam HoustonWon59-0Scores
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4Sam HoustonWon59-0Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4Sam HoustonLowest 0%Lost0-59Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4Sam HoustonLowest 0%Lost0-59Scores

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

Sam Houston’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Sam Houston -21), at 94% for Sam Houston (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.

Every drive

Sam Houston scored on 9 of its 15 drives; Nicholls on 0 of its 14.

Sam Houston’s drives are teal, Nicholls’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Nicholls: Punt, from 75 yards out to 70PuntSam Houston: Touchdown, from 69 yards out to 0TouchdownNicholls: Punt, from 75 yards out to 55PuntSam Houston: Punt, from 75 yards out to 69PuntNicholls: Interception, from 80 yards out to 67InterceptionSam Houston: Field goal, from 40 yards out to 15Field goalNicholls: Punt, from 75 yards out to 46PuntSam Houston: Punt, from 94 yards out to 64PuntQ2Nicholls: Punt, from 69 yards out to 68PuntSam Houston: Touchdown, from 82 yards out to 0TouchdownNicholls: Punt, from 75 yards out to 53PuntSam Houston: Punt, from 81 yards out to 74PuntNicholls: Interception, from 67 yards out to 67InterceptionSam Houston: Touchdown, from 23 yards out to 0TouchdownNicholls: Punt, from 75 yards out to 68PuntSam Houston: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownNicholls: Punt, from 75 yards out to 59PuntSam Houston: End of half, from 91 yards out to 92End of halfQ3Sam Houston: Touchdown, from 59 yards out to 0TouchdownNicholls: Punt, from 75 yards out to 70PuntSam Houston: Touchdown, from 80 yards out to 0TouchdownNicholls: Punt, from 65 yards out to 59PuntSam Houston: Touchdown, from 70 yards out to 0TouchdownNicholls: Punt, from 75 yards out to 70PuntSam Houston: Missed field goal, from 68 yards out to 33Missed FGQ4Nicholls: Punt, from 67 yards out to 58PuntSam Houston: Touchdown, from 55 yards out to 0TouchdownNicholls: Fumble, from 93 yards out to 73FumbleSam Houston: End of game, from 27 yards out to 22End of game

Box score

Sam Houston 59, Nicholls 0

Sam Houston covered −21 by 38. The total, 59, went over 50.5.

NichollsSam HoustonTotal yardsNicholls 163Sam Houston 619163619Passing yardsNicholls 39Sam Houston 38639386Rushing yardsNicholls 124Sam Houston 233124233First downsNicholls 10Sam Houston 261026TurnoversNicholls 3Sam Houston 030Time of possessionNicholls 24:29Sam Houston 35:3124:2935:31
Team totalsNichollsSam Houston
Total yards163619
Passing7 of 23, 39 yds22 of 32, 386 yds
Rushing36 for 124 yds43 for 233 yds
First downs1026
Third down1 of 1510 of 17
Fourth down0 of 00 of 0
Turnovers30
Penalties7 for 66 yds8 for 70 yds
Time of possession24:2935:31

Nicholls leaders

  • Passing Ean Rodrigue 7 of 21, 39 yds, 2 INT
  • Rushing Tamaj Hoffman 9 for 56 yds; Shane Lee 11 for 37 yds
  • Receiving Jordan Smith 2 for 21 yds; Karaaz Johnson 2 for 15 yds

Sam Houston leaders

  • Passing Landyn Locke 19 of 28, 322 yds, 4 TD
  • Rushing Jerrian Parker 6 for 52 yds; Brett Holloway 8 for 51 yds, 1 TD
  • Receiving Kamari Maxwell 2 for 86 yds, 1 TD; Tim Burns Jr. 1 for 65 yds, 1 TD

No rain and calm

93° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 8 mph from the southeast, mostly at an angle to the field, gusts to 18

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Sam Houston favoredNicholls favored100%Win chanceSam HoustonRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mphTemperature and feels likedegrees F75°105°feels like 88°air 84°
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Sam Houston favoredNicholls favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040Temperature and feels like · degrees F75°105°feels like 88°air 84°

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:54 left6:03 p.m.
Nicholls 0, Sam Houston 0 · Sam Houston 94% to win
no rain · wind 10 mph from the southeast, mostly at an angle to the field, gusts to 17 · 92°
Lee 4-yd run
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Huntsville Municipal Airport, 3.5 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

Nicholls · 2-1

Rated 204th in our preseason ratings, 194th now.

2-1 in its last three, capped by a 3-point win over UT Rio Grande Valley as a 5.5-point underdog.

W 31-28 vs UT Rio Grande Valley #143 of 668

won by 3 as a 5.5-point underdog

Nicholls won 31-28 vs UT Rio Grande Valley. Chance to win started at 37%, low 34%, high 99%.

L 3-71 @ Kansas State #33 of 668

lost by 68 as a 41.5-point underdog

Nicholls lost 3-71 at Kansas State. Never had a real chance.

W 44-10 vs Mississippi Valley State #253 of 668

won by 34 as a 28.5-point favorite

Last two games

Sam Houston · 0-2

Rated 165th in our preseason ratings, 156th now.

Two straight losses.

L 17-23 vs Tulsa #125 of 668

lost by 6 as a 12.5-point underdog

Sam Houston lost 17-23 vs Tulsa. Chance to win started at 26%, low 4%, high 54%.

Week by week

Sam Houston

Wk 1: L 21-24 at Troy▼3TroyWk 2: L 17-23 vs Tulsa▼6Tulsa
  • Wk 1Lat Troy21-24
  • Wk 2Lvs Tulsa17-23

Nicholls

Wk 1: W 44-10 vs Mississippi Valley State▲34Mississippi Val…Wk 1: L 3-71 at Kansas State▼68Kansas StateWk 2: W 31-28 vs UT Rio Grande Valley▲3UT Rio Grande V…
  • Wk 1Wvs Mississippi Valley State44-10
  • Wk 1Lat Kansas State3-71
  • Wk 2Wvs UT Rio Grande Valley31-28

Power rating by week

Sam Houston is rated 1.9 points ahead as of week 2. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

-6-8-10Wk 0Wk 1Wk 2Sam HoustonNicholls

The series

Sam Houston leads the series 11-3

14 meetings since 2003 · Sam Houston won the last meeting

Sam Houston wonNicholls won2003: Nicholls by 252004: Sam Houston by 282005: Nicholls by 202006: Sam Houston by 302009: Sam Houston by 232010: Sam Houston by 192011: Sam Houston by 402012: Sam Houston by 412013: Sam Houston by 252015: Sam Houston by 302016: Sam Houston by 172017: Sam Houston by 492018: Nicholls by 202019: Sam Houston by 1720032019
  • 2019Sam Houston 17-0
  • 2018Nicholls 27-7
  • 2017Sam Houston 66-17
  • 2016Sam Houston 38-21
  • 2015Sam Houston 37-7

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Sam Houston’s chances here.

50-50Model · 67%Line · 95%NichollsSam Houston

Sam Houston favored by 21 · Total 50.5

How games like this usually go

Sam Houston by 21, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 251 games since 2025 with a favorite of 14.5 to 21.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 3.5 points toward Sam Houston.

opened −17.5now −21

The total rose 1 point.

opened 49.5now 50.5

Spread: −17.5 → −21 · Total: 49.5 → 50.5

The books’ cut: 4.7%, the margin built into the odds

Weather at kickoff

Hot and dry. Feels like 91° at kickoff.

Nicholls at Sam Houston · Saturday, Sept. 19, 2026 · Elliott T. Bowers Stadium, Huntsville

  • 91°feels like at kickoff
  • Dryno rain at kickoff
  • 71weather score, Rough
  • 3rdbest of the day's 8 kickoff times

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Kickoff times that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 8 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was the third best of the day's eight kickoff times. At Elliott T. Bowers Stadium that day, a 7 pm kickoff would have scored 80, against 71 at 6 pm.

  • 11 am: 60, Rough
  • 11:45 am: 57, Rough
  • 1 pm: 55, Rough
  • 2:30 pm: 52, Rough
  • 3:30 pm: 53, Rough
  • 6 pm: 71, Rough (this game)
  • 6:30 pm: 78, Mixed
  • 7 pm: 80, Mixed

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

Home field

Sam Houston is worth +8.4 points (±5.3) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 98th percentile.

57% at home, 22% on the road against FBS opponents (8-6 home, 5-18 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -2.1 at home vs. away over 40 games — inside the ±10.0 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 290 miles to get here.

Where next