SOUTHLAND CONFERENCE · 2026 SEASON

UT Rio Grande Valley

#144 in current rankings

Record1-2
Power+12.6pts vs avg NCAA team
Resume5555th percentile season
Net Points+12
Rank #144

Team Mood Card

No conversation signal yet this week for UT Rio Grande Valley.

Fan Pulse, Respect Gap, Swing, Cohesion, Rival Heat, and Top Storylines all light up together when the weekly sample clears that bar. We publish once 12+ clean mentions from several distinct authors clear the gate.

Source: public conversation collected from Reddit & supplemental feeds.

Cohort Signal

Not enough fan conversation has cleared this week's publish threshold yet (we wait for ≥30 weighted posts before showing a number). How we set the bar ›

Fanbase Archetype

How this fanbase sorts in the Fan Intelligence taxonomy (N° 04 on the Hub).

Fanbase Archetype

The Quiet Professional

Primary: 72% confidence

Fanbases with no delusions. They know exactly who their team is: good enough to win 8-10 games, not good enough to win it all. They are at peace with this.

SIGNATURE PHRASE
“We know what we are”
MODIFIERS
· Entrenched
5-Season Migration
20252026

Performance Narrative

Season Rating Journey

One line tells the story. Hover or tap any marker to see the exact game and how many power points it moved the rating. Larger markers mean bigger swings.

Rating rose Rating fell Little movement Ring shows opponent level
Season rating journey A single line chart of the team's rating path by game, with hoverable markers showing the swing from each result.
Biggest rise +0.77

Week 2 · @ Nicholls

Loss 28-31 · FCS
Swing #2 +0.04

Week 1 · vs UT Permian Basin

Win 44-0 · DII
Swing #3 +0.04

Week 1 · @ UTSA

Loss 16-45 · FBS

Betting Lens

Market context is a second read on the season: how often this team rewarded believers, disappointed them, or played into totals differently than expected.

ATS0-2-00.0% cover rate
Totals2 over / 0 under0 pushes
Wins vs Market-0.730 actual wins vs 0.73 expected
As Favorite0-1-01 favorite spots
As Underdog0-1-01 underdog spots
Provider MixBovada, Draft Kings2 lined games for UT Rio Grande Valley
Best Cover

Week 1 vs UTSA

No cover by -0.50 against a closing line of +28.5.

Worst Burn

Week 2 vs Nicholls

No cover by -8.50. These are the losses bettors remember.

Biggest Total Miss

Week 2 vs Nicholls

Over versus 50.5 by +8.50 points.

Efficiency Dashboard

Opponent-adjusted efficiency cards organized as a premium team dashboard.

Offensive Efficiency
Offense 0th pct
Defense 0th pct

Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense

Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.

Defensive Efficiency
Offense 0th pct
Defense 0th pct

Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense

Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.

Explosiveness
Offense 0th pct
Defense 0th pct

Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense

Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.

Field Position
Offense 0th pct
Defense 0th pct

Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense

Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.

Finishing Drives
Offense 0th pct
Defense 0th pct

Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense

Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.

Passing Edge
Offense 0th pct
Defense 0th pct

Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense

Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.

Why The Model Has Them Here

A team page should explain the ranking, not just print it.

Predictive Case

Power +12.6

Currently +12.6 versus the all-level average team on a neutral field. Offensive Efficiency currently grades around the 0th percentile.

Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.

Resume Case

Resume 55

Body of work: best signal lost to Nicholls 28-31. Closest call beat UT Permian Basin 44-0. 55th percentile season.

Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.

Recent Form

1-2 over the last 3 (W1 L1 L2)

Last four games: 1-2 over the last 3 (W1 L1 L2). Power is 24 points ahead of resume right now — the underlying strength rating outpaces what the body of work says.

Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.

Season Identity

2026 Season

Biggest slice of the season so far: Regular Season at 1-2. Even if a bowl or playoff game lands in early 2027, it still belongs to this season page.

Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.

Placement Context

This is where the team sits inside the all-level board, its own subdivision, and its own conference ecosystem.

Overall Board#144
Inside FCS#21 of 128
Inside Southland#3 of 10
Power+12.6pts vs avg NCAA team
Resume5555th percentile season
Cross-Level NeighborBuffalo

Use these shortcuts to jump from this team to the neighbors that best explain its place on the board, including the closest cross-level comparison.

Historical Snapshot

Fans should be able to see the short version immediately: how big the loaded sample is, what this program's standard looks like, and where the current season sits inside that arc.

Loaded Seasons 2

The number of fully modeled seasons currently attached to this program.

Program Baseline +14.4

A recent multi-year closing-power average. This is the kind of anchor that should matter in preseason priors.

Current Vs. Baseline -1.9

How the current season's closing power stacks up against the program's recent standard.

Gap To Peak 1.9

How far the current season finished below the strongest loaded team in program history.

Peak Loaded Season 2025 | +14.4

The strongest closing power this program has posted in the loaded archive.

Best Power Since Since 2025

This is the program's best power season since 2025.

Best Resume Since Since 2025

This is the program's best resume season since 2025.

Best Finish 2025 | #121

The highest loaded all-level board finish currently attached to this program.

Best Resume Season 2025 | 83 / 100

The strongest body-of-work season currently attached to this program in the loaded archive.

Current Season Standing Resume #2 | Power #2

Where the current season sits inside this program's loaded history on the two main scales.

Program Percentile Resume 50th | Power 50th

A cleaner fan-facing answer to the question: is this near the top of the program's arc or just another solid year?

Best Record 2025 | 9-3

The cleanest results season in the loaded archive, regardless of whether it was also the strongest by power.

Program Arc

Bars track win rate. The line tracks end-of-season power, so users can see whether the program is actually getting stronger or just stacking wins.

Bars: win rate Line: public power vs average team
100% 50% 0% PWR +14.4 PWR +12.5 2025: 9-3, margin +249, power +14.4, resume 83 / 100, final rank #1212026: 1-2, margin +12, power +12.5, resume 56 / 100, final rank #145 2025: 9-3, margin +249, power +14.4, resume 83 / 100, final rank #121+14.42026: 1-2, margin +12, power +12.5, resume 56 / 100, final rank #145+12.5 20259-320261-2

Season Phase Split

How this season breaks apart inside the same year-defined competitive cycle.

Regular Season 1-2 in 12 games
Phase Record Games
Regular Season 1-2 12

Loaded History Signals

This is the fastest way to explain what the last few seasons say about the program, and why prior success should matter in the next preseason cycle.

Strongest Loaded Team

2025 Season

Ended at power +14.4, record 9-3, and final loaded-board rank #121.

Best Loaded Resume

2025 Season

Resume 83 / 100 with 9 wins and a 75% win rate.

Year-Over-Year Swing

-1.9 power

From 2025 to 2026, the program moved from +14.4 to +12.5.

Best Record

9-3

The cleanest loaded season by results came in 2025, with a margin of +249.

Impact Cards

A card-based alternate view of the same rating swings for fans who want the season game by game.

Week 12 Regular Season

@ Houston Christian

Nov 21, 2026 | FCS opponent | @ Houston Christian

Result Scheduled
Pregame --
Power --
Resume --
Postgame --
Week 11 Regular Season

vs Stephen F. Austin

Nov 14, 2026 | FCS opponent | vs Stephen F. Austin

Result Scheduled
Pregame --
Power --
Resume --
Postgame --
Week 10 Regular Season

@ Northwestern State

Nov 7, 2026 | FCS opponent | @ Northwestern State

Result Scheduled
Pregame --
Power --
Resume --
Postgame --
Week 9 Regular Season

vs Lamar

Nov 1, 2026 | FCS opponent | vs Lamar

Result Scheduled
Pregame --
Power --
Resume --
Postgame --
Week 8 Regular Season

@ Central Arkansas

Oct 24, 2026 | FCS opponent | @ Central Arkansas

Result Scheduled
Pregame --
Power --
Resume --
Postgame --
Week 7 Regular Season

@ Incarnate Word

Oct 17, 2026 | FCS opponent | @ Incarnate Word

Result Scheduled
Pregame --
Power --
Resume --
Postgame --
Week 6 Regular Season

vs SE Louisiana

Oct 11, 2026 | FCS opponent | vs SE Louisiana

Result Scheduled
Pregame --
Power --
Resume --
Postgame --
Week 5 Regular Season

@ East Texas A&M

Oct 3, 2026 | FCS opponent | @ East Texas A&M

Result Scheduled
Pregame --
Power --
Resume --
Postgame --
Week 3 Regular Season

vs McNeese

Sep 20, 2026 | FCS opponent | vs McNeese

Result Scheduled
Pregame --
Power --
Resume --
Postgame --
Week 2 Regular Season

@ Nicholls

Sep 12, 2026 | FCS opponent | @ Nicholls 28-31

Result Loss
Pregame -6.24
Power +0.77
Resume -0.08
Postgame -5.47
Week 1 Regular Season

@ UTSA

Sep 5, 2026 | FBS opponent | @ UTSA 16-45

Result Loss
Pregame -6.28
Power +0.04
Resume +0.00
Postgame -6.24
Week 1 Regular Season

vs UT Permian Basin

Aug 30, 2026 | DII opponent | vs UT Permian Basin 44-0

Result Win
Pregame -6.28
Power +0.04
Resume +0.00
Postgame -6.24

2026 Season Schedule And Rating Movement

Every result, every phase, and how the rating changed because of it.

Week Date Game Phase Result Close ATS Total Pregame Power Change Resume Change Postgame
1 Aug 30, 2026 vs UT Permian Basin DII Regular Season W 44-0 -- -- -- -6.28 +0.04 +0.00 -6.24
1 Sep 5, 2026 @ UTSA FBS Regular Season L 16-45 +28.5 No cover 59.5 | Over -6.28 +0.04 +0.00 -6.24
2 Sep 12, 2026 @ Nicholls FCS Regular Season L 28-31 -5.5 No cover 50.5 | Over -6.24 +0.77 -0.08 -5.47
3 Sep 20, 2026 vs McNeese FCS Regular Season Scheduled -- -- -- -- -- -- --
5 Oct 3, 2026 @ East Texas A&M FCS Regular Season Scheduled -- -- -- -- -- -- --
6 Oct 11, 2026 vs SE Louisiana FCS Regular Season Scheduled -- -- -- -- -- -- --
7 Oct 17, 2026 @ Incarnate Word FCS Regular Season Scheduled -- -- -- -- -- -- --
8 Oct 24, 2026 @ Central Arkansas FCS Regular Season Scheduled -- -- -- -- -- -- --
9 Nov 1, 2026 vs Lamar FCS Regular Season Scheduled -- -- -- -- -- -- --
10 Nov 7, 2026 @ Northwestern State FCS Regular Season Scheduled -- -- -- -- -- -- --
11 Nov 14, 2026 vs Stephen F. Austin FCS Regular Season Scheduled -- -- -- -- -- -- --
12 Nov 21, 2026 @ Houston Christian FCS Regular Season Scheduled -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Year-By-Year Results

The competitive story by season, kept cleanly tied to the year each season began.

Season Lens Record Final Rank End Power End Resume Games Points For Points Against Margin
2026 CurrentThis season anchors the current board. 1-2 #145 +12.5 56 3 88 76 +12
2025 Peak powerStrongest loaded closing power for the program. 9-3 #121 +14.4 83 12 475 226 +249