No. 17 Utah routs Utah State 33-0

Utah State0-30
No. 17 Utah3-033Final
Sat, Sep 19 · Rice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City, Utah · Crowd 51,455FOX

No. 17 Utah routed Utah State 33-0.

We had Utah favored. It won.

Top comment in the game thread

Did Pegan leave on bad terms? Dude playing like he’s trying to rub USU’s face in it.

Q2 0:33 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Sep 19

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Utah an 81% chance, and the closing betting line (Utah was a 26.5-point favorite) put it at 98%.

Utah led by 16 after the first quarter and by 26 at the half.

Q1Q2Q3Q40+33+33
FinalUtah 33-0 Utah StateUtah wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4UtahWon33-0ScoresUtahUtah StateUtah fans: 4 comments a minuteUtah fans: 4 comments a minuteUtah fans: 2 comments a minuteUtah fans: 4 comments a minuteUtah fans: 6 comments a minuteUtah fans: 9 comments a minuteUtah fans: 5 comments a minuteUtah fans: 7 comments a minuteUtah fans: 3 comments a minuteUtah fans: 8 comments a minuteUtah fans: 4 comments a minuteUtah fans: 5 comments a minuteUtah fans: 2 comments a minuteUtah fans: 5 comments a minuteUtah fans: 4 comments a minuteUtah fans: 2 comments a minuteUtah fans: 4 comments a minuteUtah fans: 2 comments a minuteUtah fans: 6 comments a minuteUtah fans: 8 comments a minuteUtah fans: 5 comments a minuteUtah fans: 3 comments a minuteUtah fans: 6 comments a minuteUtah fans: 11 comments a minuteUtah fans: 6 comments a minuteUtah fans: 4 comments a minuteUtah fans: 3 comments a minuteUtah fans: 6 comments a minuteUtah fans: 2 comments a minuteUtah fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah fans: 3 comments a minuteUtah fans: 5 comments a minuteUtah fans: 6 comments a minuteUtah fans: 4 comments a minuteUtah fans: 3 comments a minuteUtah fans: 4 comments a minuteUtah fans: 2 comments a minuteUtah fans: 6 comments a minuteUtah fans: 3 comments a minuteUtah fans: 3 comments a minuteUtah fans: 2 comments a minuteUtah fans: 2 comments a minuteUtah fans: 2 comments a minuteUtah fans: 4 comments a minuteUtah fans: 4 comments a minuteUtah fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah fans: 2 comments a minuteUtah fans: 3 comments a minuteUtah fans: 3 comments a minuteUtah fans: 6 comments a minuteUtah fans: 5 comments a minuteUtah fans: 2 comments a minuteUtah fans: 2 comments a minuteUtah fans: 3 comments a minuteUtah fans: 3 comments a minuteUtah fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah fans: 2 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minute
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No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

  1. Q1 10:37Fans argue officials missed offensive pass interference on Dampier to Pegan touchdownDampier needs to guide him to the corner of the end zoner/CFB game thread
  2. Q1 6:09Utah fans celebrate Dampier's pass to Simmons and Ficklin's touchdownIncredibly well placed. Dampier is looking better than last yearr/CFB game threadI think Ficklin deadass might be the best red zone qb in the countryr/CFB game thread
  3. Q1 5:23Utah fans celebrate offensive resurgence and mock Utah State's futility in the first quarterAre we *dare I say* dynamic?? Love the offensive output so far, but also kick the extra point there, I mean cmonr/CFB game threadGod I want to extend the streak so bad right herer/CFB game thread
  4. Q2 10:16Utah fans lament Dampier's incomplete pass to Johnson and mock Utah State's lack of internetThanks for that Utah State.r/CFB game thread
  5. Q2 0:33Dampier throws deep touchdown to Pegan as Utah fans celebrate the scoreQuoted at the top of the page.
Utah’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Utah -26.5), at 97% for Utah (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Utah or Utah State flair (668 and 51); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.

Every drive

Utah scored on 6 of its 12 drives; Utah State on 0 of its 11.

Utah’s drives are teal, Utah State’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Utah: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownUtah State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 69PuntUtah: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownUtah State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 76PuntUtah: Field goal, from 75 yards out to 18Field goalQ2Utah State: Punt, from 78 yards out to 41PuntUtah: Field goal, from 99 yards out to 36Field goalUtah State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 37PuntUtah: Punt, from 80 yards out to 73PuntUtah: Touchdown, from 39 yards out to 0TouchdownUtah State: End of half, from 75 yards out to 70End of halfQ3Utah State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 82PuntUtah: Turned over on downs, from 52 yards out to 48DownsUtah State: Punt, from 52 yards out to 45PuntUtah: Fumble, from 94 yards out to 72FumbleUtah State: Interception, from 28 yards out to 8InterceptionUtah: Touchdown, from 80 yards out to 0TouchdownUtah State: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 8DownsQ4Utah: Punt, from 92 yards out to 84PuntUtah State: Punt, from 72 yards out to 60PuntUtah: Turned over on downs, from 80 yards out to 55DownsUtah State: Punt, from 45 yards out to 46PuntUtah: End of game, from 0 yards out to 0End of game
“That was a *bit* of a push off lol”
A fan of another team

How fans reacted

Steady

Fans were up and loud before the first quarter was out.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was steady; the crowd was quiet.

FirstSecondThirdFourthUtah fansUtah State fansusual

What it cost

Utah’s chance to make the playoff fell from 25% to 17%.

Make the playoff

Utah State · lost0% → 0%
Utah · won25% → ▼17%25%▼ 17%

Win the conference

Utah State · lost3% → ▼1%
Utah · won21% → ▼19%21%▼ 19%

Before the game (September 18, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

Box score

Utah 33, Utah State 0

Utah covered −26.5 by 6.5. The total, 33, stayed under 55.5.

Utah StateUtahTotal yardsUtah State 188Utah 480188480Passing yardsUtah State 130Utah 286130286Rushing yardsUtah State 58Utah 19458194First downsUtah State 10Utah 231023TurnoversUtah State 1Utah 111Time of possessionUtah State 24:46Utah 35:1424:4635:14
Team totalsUtah StateUtah
Total yards188480
Passing15 of 29, 130 yds25 of 37, 286 yds
Rushing25 for 58 yds37 for 194 yds
First downs1023
Third down4 of 1410 of 17
Fourth down0 of 10 of 2
Turnovers11
Penalties8 for 68 yds5 for 43 yds
Time of possession24:4635:14

Utah State leaders

  • Passing Grady Brosterhous 15 of 29, 130 yds, 1 INT
  • Rushing Javen Jacobs 5 for 31 yds; Grady Brosterhous 17 for 17 yds
  • Receiving Eli Wood 4 for 47 yds; Noah White 2 for 22 yds

Utah leaders

  • Passing Devon Dampier 22 of 32, 253 yds, 2 TD
  • Rushing Daniel Bray 3 for 82 yds, 1 TD; Devon Dampier 10 for 34 yds
  • Receiving Braden Pegan 8 for 122 yds, 2 TD; Creed Whittemore 2 for 43 yds

No rain and calm

68° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 9 mph from the north-northwest, mostly at an angle to the field, gusts to 21

September game-day temperatures at Rice-Eccles Stadium

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Utah favoredUtah State favored100%Win chanceUtahRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mph
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Utah favoredUtah State favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:51 left1:43 p.m.
Utah State 0, Utah 0 · Utah 97% to win
no rain · wind 8 mph from the northwest · 68°
Dampier 14-yd pass to Pegan
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Salt Lake City International airport, 6.5 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last two games

Utah State · 0-2

Rated 52nd in our preseason ratings, 57th now.

Two straight losses.

Last two games

Utah · 2-0

Rated 25th in our preseason ratings, 29th now.

Two straight wins — but still hunting a ranked opponent.

Week by week

Utah

Wk 1: W 66-14 vs Idaho▲52IdahoWk 2: W 43-10 vs Arkansas▲33Arkansas
  • Wk 1Wvs Idaho66-14
  • Wk 2Wvs Arkansas43-10

Utah State

Wk 1: L 17-29 vs Idaho State▼12Idaho StateWk 2: L 14-16 at Washington▼2Washington
  • Wk 1Lvs Idaho State17-29
  • Wk 2Lat Washington14-16

Power rating by week

Utah is rated 3.8 points ahead as of week 2. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

851Wk 0Wk 1Wk 2UtahUtah State

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Utah State’s success rate against Utah, 90 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

  1. Utah State’s success rate against Utah’s defense

    90 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Utah State offense, 3rd percentile · Utah defense, 93rd

  2. Utah State’s explosive plays against Utah’s defense

    82 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Utah State offense, 95th percentile · Utah defense, 13th

  3. Utah State’s passing EPA against Utah’s defense

    75 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Utah State offense, 4th percentile · Utah defense, 79th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

Utah StateUtah
EPA/play, offense
Utah State · 5Utah · 85
EPA/play, defense
Utah State · 57Utah · 79
Success rate, offense
Utah State · 3Utah · 89
Success rate, defense
Utah State · 58Utah · 93
Explosive-play rate, offense
Utah State · 95Utah · 71
Explosive-play rate, defense
Utah State · 68Utah · 13
Rush EPA, offense
Utah State · 11Utah · 92
Rush EPA, defense
Utah State · 68Utah · 80
Pass EPA, offense
Utah State · 4Utah · 71
Pass EPA, defense
Utah State · 44Utah · 79

The series

Utah leads the series 73-28-4

105 meetings since 1905 · Utah has won the last 3

Utah wonUtah State won1905: Utah by 51906: Utah by 351907: Utah State by 141910: Utah by 61910: Utah by 91912: tie1913: Utah State by 211914: Utah by 181915: Utah by 141916: Utah by 461917: Utah State by 141919: Utah by 101920: Utah State by 61921: Utah State by 111922: Utah by 141923: Utah State by 81924: tie1925: Utah State by 41926: Utah by 341927: tie1928: Utah by 201929: Utah by 191930: Utah by 411931: Utah by 341932: Utah by 161933: Utah by 81934: Utah by 71935: tie1936: Utah State by 121937: Utah by 271938: Utah by 331939: Utah by 271940: Utah State by 71941: Utah by 121942: Utah by 281944: Utah by 471945: Utah by 181946: Utah State by 81947: Utah by 261948: Utah by 341949: Utah by 341950: Utah by 461951: Utah by 81952: Utah by 201953: Utah by 201954: Utah State by 161955: Utah by 11956: Utah by 221957: Utah by 151958: Utah by 51959: Utah by 141960: Utah by 61961: Utah State by 111962: Utah State by 131963: Utah by 21964: Utah by 81965: Utah State by 71966: Utah State by 61967: Utah State by 11968: Utah State by 151969: Utah by 201970: Utah by 171971: Utah State by 41972: Utah State by 281973: Utah by 31974: Utah State by 341975: Utah State by 61976: Utah State by 111977: Utah by 201978: Utah by 31979: Utah State by 261980: Utah by 41981: Utah by 101982: Utah by 321983: Utah State by 41984: Utah by 111985: Utah by 271986: Utah by 171987: Utah State by 51988: Utah by 211989: Utah by 351990: Utah by 191991: Utah by 51992: Utah by 241993: Utah by 21994: Utah by 151995: Utah by 201996: Utah State by 31997: Utah State by 71998: Utah by 81999: Utah by 202000: Utah by 212001: Utah by 42002: Utah by 202003: Utah by 202004: Utah by 422005: Utah by 242006: Utah by 482007: Utah by 162008: Utah by 482009: Utah by 182012: Utah State by 72013: Utah by 42015: Utah by 102024: Utah by 1719052024
  • 2024Utah 38-21Utah won 38-21 at Utah State. Chance to win started at 91%, low 69%, high 99%.
  • 2015Utah 24-14
  • 2013Utah 30-26
  • 2012Utah State 27-20
  • 2009Utah 35-17

Each line is Utah’s chance to win through that meeting. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Utah fans are feeling it more than most fanbases this week (71st among FBS fanbases), in line with the numbers.

  • Model · 81%
  • Line · 98%
  • Utah fans · 71st
  • Utah State fans · 24th

Utah favored by 26.5 · Total 55.5

How games like this usually go

Utah by 26.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 1 point toward Utah State.

opened −27.5now −26.5

The total fell 2 points.

opened 57.5now 55.5

Spread: −27.5 → −26.5 · Total: 57.5 → 55.5

The books’ cut: 3.4%, the margin built into the odds

Weather at kickoff

Mild and dry. Feels like 69° at kickoff.

Utah State at Utah · Saturday, Sept. 19, 2026 · Rice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City

  • 69°feels like at kickoff
  • Dryno rain at kickoff
  • 100weather score, Ideal

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Kickoff times that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 3 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game is ringed.

  • 1:30 pm: 100, Ideal (this game)
  • 5:30 pm: 100, Ideal
  • 8 pm: 100, Ideal

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

Home field

Utah is worth +3.4 points (±3.8) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 36th percentile.

81% at home, 61% on the road against FBS opponents (35-8 home, 27-17 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +2.1 at home vs. away over 95 games — inside the ±5.8 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

4,631 ft of altitude — real, and smaller than the folklore: high venues run a point or two better against the number, noisily. The visitors travel about 69 miles to get here.

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