CFB Zeitgeist Score
50
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 58th percentile.
Ajay Allen
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
497 RUSH YDS · 5 RUSH TD · 97 CARRIES
In Portal · 2026
In transfer portal
2025Tulsa
DestinationTBD
RB · TULSA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC
Ajay Allen
- 3
- #2
- 5-11 | 200 lb
- Monroe, LA
Heisman Heat
#273
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2022–2025+162%
Up 162% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
3 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3-star | 0.8837 | No. 502 recruit | HighSchool | Nebraska |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Tulsa -> -- | 4-star | Immediate |
| 2025 | Florida International -> Tulsa | 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate |
| 2023 | Nebraska -> Miami | 3-star | 0.8900 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Nebraska
Composite
0.8837
#502 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Ajay Allen
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Ajay Allen
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 11g
497Rush yards
97Carries
5Rush TDs
Per game
45.2Rush yards
9Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
587.4Rush yards
115Carries
6Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 497): needs 126.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 497): needs 251.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 497): needs 501.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 5): needs 2.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 5): needs 5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 5): needs 7.5/game over remaining 2.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Ajay Allen's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Tulsa, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
97 77th
YDS
497 78th
YPC
5.1 65th
TD
5 85th
Receiving
REC
10 61st
YDS
98 69th
YPR
9.8 76th
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 35-7vs Abilene Christian | 9 | 67 | 7.4 | 1 | 40 | |
| Wk 2 | L 14-21@ New Mexico State | 4 | 14 | 3.5 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 3 | L 23-42vs Navy | 5 | 29 | 5.8 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 4 | W 19-12@ Oklahoma State | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 5 | L 14-31vs Tulane | 10 | 45 | 4.5 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 6 | L 7-45@ Memphis | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | 2 | |
| Wk 8 | L 27-41@ East Carolina | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | |
| Wk 11 | L 21-40@ Florida Atlantic | 23 | 118 | 5.1 | 1 | 20 | |
| Wk 12 | W 31-14vs Oregon State | 10 | 68 | 6.8 | 1 | 31 | |
| Wk 13 | W 26-25@ Army | 3 | 19 | 6.3 | 1 | 11 | |
| Wk 14 | L 24-31vs UAB | 27 | 129 | 4.8 | 1 | 23 | Season-high 129 yds |
| Total | 97 | 497 | 4.4 | 5 | 40 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Nebraska4-8HC: Mickey Joseph · Run-leaning
2023Miami7-6HC: Mario Cristobal · Balanced
2024Miami10-3HC: Mario Cristobal · Balanced, fast tempo
2025Tulsa4-8HC: Tre Lamb · Run-leaning
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 497 | #163/735 | 78th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 5 | #115/739 | 85th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.1 | #257/735 | 65th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 10 | #217/552 | 61st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 98 | #173/548 | 69th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.08 | #247/362 | 32nd pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 87 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 12.8% | #229/738 | 69th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 97 | #173/739 | 77th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 40 | #233/733 | 68th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 21 | #218/540 | 60th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 9.8 | #132/548 | 76th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 21.2% | #244/738 | 67th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 14.6% | #236/738 | 68th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 13.3% | #256/738 | 65th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 12.0% | #266/738 | 64th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 11.7% | #138/738 | 81st pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 11.5% | #157/738 | 79th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 4.2% | #215/738 | 71st pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 2 | #205/256 | 20th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 67.6 | 5.9 | 0.6 |
| Road6g | 26.5 | 3.1 | 0.3 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins4g | 39.5 | 5.6 | 0.8 |
| Losses7g | 48.4 | 3.7 | 0.3 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 27.0 | 4.1 | 0.2 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 67.0 | 4.7 | 0.8 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
50Mid-pack
Concern: fumbles lost (13th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.08Low (p25–p50) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Ajay AllenTulsaSire GainesBoise State· 81% simKamari MoultonIowa· 80% simJeremiah CobbAuburn· 79% sim
Rush TDs
Yards / carry
Rec yards
Rush yards
Carries
Long run
Receptions
Fumbles lost
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Balanced Back
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to TJ Green’s 2021 season.
TJ Green
80%match
#2
Larry McCammon III
All-Conference USA
80%
#3
Davon Booth
80%
#4
Christian Turner
79%
#5
Zylan Perry
77%
Matches TJ on
Receiving share
Weight
Class year
Differs from TJ on
Yards / reception (higher)
Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Asim Rose’s path through Kentucky.
Asim Rose
95%match
#2
Cooper Wallace
93%
#3
Calvin Turner
All-Mountain West
92%
#4
Alex Tecza
All-AAC
91%
#5
Julius Loughridge
91%
Matches Asim on
Yards per carry
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Aidan Laughery's senior season at Illinois (2025).
Aidan Laughery
78%match
All-Big Ten
#2
Michael Allen
78%
#3
Zylan Perry
77%
#4
Anthony Watkins
All-AAC
73%
#5
Brandon Campbell
71%
Matches Aidan on
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Receiving share
Yards / carry
Differs from Aidan on
Yards / reception (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Tre Lamb
Pass share
45.9%
407 pass / 480 run
Plays / game
73.9
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.2%
357 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
3 coaches2022
Philip Montgomery
Tulsa
2023era →
Kevin Wilson
Tulsa
2024
Kevin Wilson
Tulsa
2025era →
Tre Lamb
Tulsa
Played under 3 different head coaches: Philip Montgomery, Kevin Wilson, and Tre Lamb. Multi-era developmental context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownMonroe, LA
Height5'11"
Weight200 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey2
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamTulsa
ConferenceAmerican Athletic
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Miami | RB3 | #273 | #218 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | ACC |
| 2023 | Miami | RB3 | #469 | #478 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | ACC |
| 2022 | Nebraska | RB3 | #1354 | #1677 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2021 | Nebraska | RB3 | #2798 | #2814 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big Ten |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Tulsa | American Athletic | RB | 3 | No. 2 | 5-11 | 200 lb | Monroe, LA |
| 2024 | Miami | ACC | RB | 3 | No. 2 | 5-11 | 200 lb | Monroe, LA |
| 2023 | Miami | ACC | RB | 3 | No. 2 | 5-11 | 200 lb | Monroe, LA |
| 2022 | Nebraska | Big Ten | RB | 3 | No. 2 | 5-11 | 200 lb | Monroe, LA |
| 2021 | Nebraska | Big Ten | RB | 3 | No. 2 | 5-11 | 200 lb | Monroe, LA |