cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Avante Dickerson /Arkansas State

Avante Dickerson

CB · Arkansas State · Sr · #9

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

54 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Arkansas State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Arkansas State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Cornerback · Arkansas State

Returning around him

  • 59% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -13 net (24 in / 37 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Arkansas State · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #88 · 2026 recruiting class #75

CB · ARKANSAS STATE · SUN BELT

Avante Dickerson

  • 4
  • #9
  • 5-11 | 181 lb
  • Omaha, NE

CFB Zeitgeist Score

60

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 75th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#14805

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#122 national
CFB
College
3 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionCB
Class4
Jersey9
Measurements5-11 | 181 lb
HometownOmaha, NE
Primary teamArkansas State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 122 recruit
Composite rating 0.9442 HighSchool
Signed with Oregon 2021
Origin Westside Omaha, NE, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 4-star | 0.9442 No. 122 recruit | HighSchool | Oregon

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Arkansas State 2025
Transfer stars 4-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Feb 5, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Utah State -> Arkansas State 4-star | Immediate
2023 Oregon -> -- 4-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#14805Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#14935Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Oregon

Composite

0.9442

#122 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Avante Dickerson

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Avante Dickerson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
54Tackles
3Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
58Tackles
3.2Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 54): needs 26/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 54): needs 46/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 6/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 10/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Avante Dickerson is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Arkansas State's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 3.0 tackles for loss, and 2 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #14805 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 122 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 54 39 solo | #500/4942 (90th pct)
TFL 3.0 Backfield disruption | #1006/4972 (80th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

Coverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
54 90th
SOLO
39 95th
TFL
3.0 80th
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
4 84th
INT
2 87th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 42-24vs Southeast Missouri State440.00.00
Wk 2L 14-56@ Arkansas210.00.010
Wk 3L 16-24vs Iowa State740.00.010
Wk 4L 21-28@ Kennesaw State631.00.00
Wk 6W 31-30vs Texas State530.00.01
Wk 8W 15-14@ South Alabama110.00.00
Wk 9W 34-24vs Georgia Southern860.00.00Season-high 8 tackles
Wk 10W 23-10@ Troy210.00.02
Wk 11L 21-27vs Southern Miss420.00.01
Wk 13L 30-34vs Louisiana540.00.00
Wk 14W 30-29@ App State331.00.00
BowlW 34-28vs Missouri State771.00.00
Total54393.00.024
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Oregon10-3HC: Bryan McClendon · Run-leaning
2022Oregon10-3HC: Dan Lanning · Run-leaning
2023Utah State6-7HC: Blake Anderson · Run-leaning
2025Arkansas State7-6HC: Butch Jones · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Arkansas State54393.00.042--
2023Utah State17100.00.06----
2022Oregon1--0.00.0------
2021Oregon440.00.0------
Career4 loaded seasons76533.00.0102--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 2 0 pick-six TD | #114/869 (87th pct)
Pass breakups 4 Coverage disruption | #340/2184 (84th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 54 #500/4942 90th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 3.0 #1006/4972 80th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 2 #114/869 87th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 4 #340/2184 84th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 39 #237/4584 95th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g5.70.10.00.3
Road5g2.80.40.00.4

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins7g4.30.30.00.4
Losses5g4.80.20.00.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g5.20.30.00.2
Weeks 8+6g3.80.20.00.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the CB cohort

60Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: solo tackles (91st). Strength: passes defended (85th). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Solo tackles#237 / 2975 · 91st pct
39defe
Passes defended#340 / 2975 · 86th pct
4defe
Tackles#500 / 2975 · 83rd pct
54defe
Interceptions#114 / 817 · 75th pct
2inte
Tackles for loss#1001 / 2975 · 63rd pct
3.0defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · CB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Avante DickersonArkansas StateTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 92% simDevin LafayetteTroy· 83% simTy BenefieldBoise State· 81% sim
Solo tackles
91
Dickerson
100
Ra-El
98
Lafayette
100
Benefield
Passes defended
86
Dickerson
91
Ra-El
91
Lafayette
78
Benefield
Tackles
83
Dickerson
99
Ra-El
99
Lafayette
99
Benefield
Interceptions
75
Dickerson
75
Lafayette
75
Benefield
Tackles for loss
63
Dickerson
56
Ra-El
56
Lafayette
94
Benefield
Sacks
24
Dickerson
24
Ra-El
63
Lafayette
24
Benefield
QB hurries
22
Dickerson
22
Ra-El
22
Lafayette
55
Benefield

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Volume Tackler

Targeted often and asked to tackle in space on the perimeter.

CB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Tayvonn Kyle’s 2023 season.

Tayvonn Kyle

88%match

Virginia · 2023

#2

Audavion Collins

Penn State · 2025

84%
#3

Syrus Dumas

New Mexico State · 2022

82%
#4

Davon Ferguson

Bowling Green · 2021

79%
#5

Syrus Dumas

UTSA · 2024

75%

Matches Tayvonn on

PD rate
Tackle volume
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to JaTravis Broughton's graduate season at TCU (2024).

JaTravis Broughton

89%match

TCU · 2024

#2

Parker Robertson

Oklahoma State · 2025

86%
#3

Jerrin Thompson

Auburn · 2024

86%
#4

Devan Boykin

Indiana · 2025

84%
#5

Kitan Crawford

Nevada · 2024

NFL Rd 7
84%

Matches JaTravis on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Differs from JaTravis on

Tackle volume (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Butch Jones

Pass share

53.7%

506 pass / 437 run

Plays / game

72.5

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.6%

367 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

1 coach
2021
Butch Jones
Arkansas State
2022
Butch Jones
Arkansas State
2023
Butch Jones
Arkansas State
2025
Butch Jones
Arkansas State

Played his entire career under Butch Jones.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownOmaha, NE
Height5'11"
Weight181 lb
Class4
PositionCB
Jersey9

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Utah State CB4 #14805 #14935 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 Utah State CB4 #11785 #11960 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mountain West
2022 Oregon CB4 #9523 #8986 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12
2021 Oregon CB4 #7282 #7075 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Arkansas State Sun Belt CB 4 No. 9 | 5-11 | 181 lb | Omaha, NE
2024 Utah State Mountain West CB 4 No. 9 | 5-11 | 181 lb | Omaha, NE
2023 Utah State Mountain West CB 4 No. 9 | 5-11 | 181 lb | Omaha, NE
2022 Oregon Pac-12 CB 4 No. 9 | 5-11 | 181 lb | Omaha, NE
2021 Oregon Pac-12 CB 4 No. 9 | 5-11 | 181 lb | Omaha, NE